Pathikrit Bhowmick
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There are only 4 kinds of capital markets and you can win if you can find 4 uncorrelated assets for each phases of the market which make more money in their respective cycles than they lose during other phases. Here's an example (I have a better one - DM me if you want to see it): 1. Rising rates (inflation): Rising rates means USD is in demand ($UUP) 2. Falling rates (deflation): Money is shifting away from bonds to stocks but there will be winners and losers in this market. Managed long/short (e.g. $QLEIX) is a good idea. 3. Flattened high-rates (recession): Buy gold/commodities ($LCSIX) or consumer-stapes/utilities 4. Flattened low-rates (prosperity): Buy growth stocks ($VOOG or $PGTYX)
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2x leveraged version of Harry Browne's Permanent portfolio
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Inspired by Taleb's Barbell. We put 5% in 3x leveraged risky bets (TECL,USD,FAS,CURE,GBTC) and 5% in SP500 (UPRO) and rest 90% in super safe (e.g. low vol. SVARX, anti-beta BTAL, commodities LCSIX and dollars UUP and gold UGL)
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This portfolio performs similar to SP500 while protecting against Wars ($XAR), Diseases ($XLV), and Disasters ($IAK) with US Dollars ($UUP), TBills ($GOVT), Cash ($BIL), Gold ($IAU), commodities ($DBC) and mom and pop consumer stores ($PSCC).
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