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Autocorrelation Test 1
Performance
Return for Risk
Dividends
Drawdowns
Volatility
Diversification

Asset Allocation


BA 17.12%LMT 14.61%NOC 13.80%HWM 10.45%BA.L 8.95%PM 8.62%MO 5.24%HL 5.21%20 positions 15.90%BondBondCurrencyCurrencyEquityEquity

S&P 500 Index

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Performance

Performance Chart

The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Autocorrelation Test 1, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every week.


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Returns By Period


Position1D1MYTD6M1Y3Y*5Y*10Y*
Benchmark
S&P 500 Index
0.50%0.31%8.56%8.85%24.33%19.37%11.84%13.61%
Portfolio
Autocorrelation Test 1
0.00%0.24%7.93%10.08%19.38%20.80%
0027.HK
Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd
1.24%-5.02%-16.72%-18.02%-0.02%-12.93%-11.43%4.33%
1128.HK
Wynn Macau Ltd
0.20%-1.07%-5.65%-10.30%13.79%-5.98%-14.27%-4.66%
BA
The Boeing Company
-1.16%-0.65%0.89%7.18%9.35%-0.20%-2.40%6.28%
BA.L
BAE Systems plc
-1.78%-0.68%12.20%13.86%-0.87%31.41%30.99%18.26%
BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
0.12%-14.13%-22.32%-26.87%0.87%11.06%-10.74%4.42%
BTI
British American Tobacco p.l.c.
1.51%-4.26%11.67%12.20%35.30%34.54%17.96%7.69%
BUD
Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV
0.78%2.46%31.39%32.01%18.48%16.08%2.63%-1.70%
CARL-B.CO
Carlsberg A/S
-1.16%0.25%2.74%2.90%-6.54%-2.45%-3.89%6.33%
CRON
Cronos Group Inc.
-2.55%-2.19%1.90%-18.04%38.86%15.05%-21.36%
DEO
Diageo plc
0.83%0.12%-4.24%-7.27%-19.48%-19.42%-13.55%0.50%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

Monthly Returns

Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Nov 5, 2021, Autocorrelation Test 1's average daily return is +0.05%, while the average monthly return is +1.61%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 3.6 years.

Historically, 64% of months were positive and 36% were negative. The best month was Jan 2026 with a return of +13.7%, while the worst month was Sep 2022 at -9.6%. The longest winning streak lasted 9 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 3 months.

On a daily basis, Autocorrelation Test 1 closed higher 43% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +7.1%, while the worst single day was Apr 4, 2025 at -6.8%.


JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
202613.66%5.11%-9.24%-0.32%1.31%-1.43%7.93%
20253.33%2.32%2.79%5.39%6.95%1.70%0.13%5.76%4.57%-3.86%-0.88%4.70%37.64%
2024-5.96%2.78%4.10%-2.77%6.07%-2.64%10.11%3.02%0.46%-1.87%1.64%-2.85%11.56%
20231.17%-0.52%3.94%1.00%-4.97%5.52%4.09%-3.67%-6.19%1.54%8.13%3.27%12.97%
20221.61%9.74%0.25%-5.93%-0.43%-3.17%5.13%-1.12%-9.62%13.46%8.80%1.62%19.49%
2021-3.68%6.20%2.29%

Benchmark Metrics

Autocorrelation Test 1 has an annualized alpha of 12.70%, beta of 0.62, and R2 of 0.42 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since November 05, 2021.

  • This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (74.20%) than losses (29.52%) - typical of diversified or defensive assets.
  • Beta of 0.62 may look defensive, but with R2 of 0.42 this portfolio is largely uncorrelated with S&P 500 Index - low beta reflects independence, not downside protection. See the Volatility section for a true picture of this portfolio's risk.
  • R2 of 0.42 means the benchmark explains less than half of this portfolio's behavior - treat beta with caution or consider switching to a more representative benchmark.

Alpha
12.70%
Beta
0.62
0.42
Upside Capture
74.20%
Downside Capture
29.52%

Expense Ratio

Autocorrelation Test 1 has an expense ratio of 0.00%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.


Return for Risk

Risk / Return Rank

Autocorrelation Test 1 ranks 17 for risk / return — in the bottom 17% of Portfolios on our site. This means you're taking on significantly more risk than the returns justify. Consider whether the potential upside is worth the volatility, or explore alternatives with better risk / return profiles.


Autocorrelation Test 1 Risk / Return Rank: 1717
Overall Rank
Autocorrelation Test 1 Sharpe Ratio Rank: 1919
Sharpe Ratio Rank
Autocorrelation Test 1 Sortino Ratio Rank: 2020
Sortino Ratio Rank
Autocorrelation Test 1 Omega Ratio Rank: 1818
Omega Ratio Rank
Autocorrelation Test 1 Calmar Ratio Rank: 1616
Calmar Ratio Rank
Autocorrelation Test 1 Martin Ratio Rank: 1313
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

Return / Risk — by metrics

The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for Autocorrelation Test 1 and compares them with S&P 500 Index.

Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.


PortfolioBenchmarkDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

1.25

1.86

-0.61

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

1.84

2.53

-0.69

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

1.22

1.34

-0.12

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

1.40

2.53

-1.13

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

3.32

11.37

-8.05


How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.

PositionRisk / Return RankSharpe ratioSortino ratioOmega ratioCalmar ratioMartin ratio
0027.HK
Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd
38
-0.060.121.01-0.06-0.13
1128.HK
Wynn Macau Ltd
53
0.400.851.100.460.81
BA
The Boeing Company
48
0.240.581.070.300.69
BA.L
BAE Systems plc
42
0.050.291.030.070.16
BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
39
-0.050.261.03-0.06-0.12
BTI
British American Tobacco p.l.c.
80
1.582.211.262.625.89
BUD
Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV
60
0.671.011.160.881.66
CARL-B.CO
Carlsberg A/S
29
-0.30-0.270.97-0.33-0.53
CRON
Cronos Group Inc.
66
0.751.491.171.292.27
DEO
Diageo plc
17
-0.66-0.750.90-0.59-1.05

Sharpe Ratio

The Sharpe ratio helps investors understand how much return they're getting for the level of risk taken. A higher Sharpe ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance, meaning more reward for each unit of risk. Learn how to interpret the Sharpe ratio.

The current Autocorrelation Test 1 Sharpe ratio is 1.25 as of Jun 13, 2026 (the value is recalculated daily), calculated over the past 12 months.

Compared to the broad market, where average Sharpe ratios range from 1.53 to 2.41, this portfolio's current Sharpe ratio places it in the bottom 25%. This suggests weaker risk-adjusted returns than most portfolios, possibly due to lower returns, higher volatility, or both. It may be worth reviewing the allocation. You can use the Portfolio Optimization tool to explore options for improving the Sharpe ratio.

The chart below shows the rolling Sharpe ratio of Autocorrelation Test 1 compared to the selected benchmark. This view highlights how the investment's risk-adjusted performance has changed over time.


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Dividends

Dividend yield

Autocorrelation Test 1 provided a 1.85% dividend yield over the last twelve months.


PositionTTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
Portfolio1.85%1.99%2.15%2.26%1.99%2.18%2.27%2.56%3.02%2.11%6.55%2.47%
0027.HK
Galaxy Entertainment Group Ltd
4.79%3.13%2.42%0.46%0.58%0.00%0.75%1.59%1.83%0.94%0.98%1.72%
1128.HK
Wynn Macau Ltd
7.53%6.23%2.78%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%4.69%6.26%2.55%4.86%11.59%
BA
The Boeing Company
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.96%2.52%2.12%1.93%2.80%2.52%
BA.L
BAE Systems plc
1.90%1.99%2.69%2.53%2.99%4.40%4.75%4.00%4.79%3.75%3.57%4.14%
BABA
Alibaba Group Holding Limited
0.93%1.36%1.96%1.29%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
BTI
British American Tobacco p.l.c.
4.95%5.29%8.18%9.72%7.23%7.98%7.22%6.35%8.53%4.27%3.85%4.11%
BUD
Anheuser-Busch InBev SA/NV
1.62%1.91%1.74%1.28%0.88%0.98%0.79%2.45%5.15%3.63%5.41%3.21%
CARL-B.CO
Carlsberg A/S
3.44%3.23%3.91%3.19%2.60%1.95%2.15%1.81%2.31%1.34%1.48%1.47%
CRON
Cronos Group Inc.
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
DEO
Diageo plc
4.06%4.80%3.26%2.77%2.16%1.82%2.29%2.07%2.51%2.18%3.00%3.13%

Drawdowns

Drawdowns Chart

The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.


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Worst Drawdowns

The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Autocorrelation Test 1. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.

The maximum drawdown for the Autocorrelation Test 1 was 16.82%, occurring on Oct 2, 2022. Recovery took 52 trading sessions.

The current Autocorrelation Test 1 drawdown is 11.04%.


Related event

Drawdown

Fall

Recovery

Underwater

Bear market2022
-16.82%Oct 2022
5mo 15d1mo 22d
7mo 7dApr 2022 - Nov 2022
2026 correction2026
-13.81%Jun 2026
3mo 2d
3mo 14dMar 2026 - now
2023 correction2023
-12.04%Oct 2023
2mo 5d1mo 27d
4mo 2dAug 2023 - Dec 2023
2025 selloff2025
-9.85%Apr 2025
12d10d
22dMar 2025 - Apr 2025
2021 pullback2021
-9.63%Dec 2021
15d1mo 4d
1mo 19dNov 2021 - Jan 2022

Volatility

Volatility Chart

The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.


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Diversification

Diversification Metrics


Number of Effective Assets

The portfolio contains 30 assets, with an effective number of assets of 9.47, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your portfolio is dominated by one or two holdings, which significantly increases concentration risk. Consider rebalancing toward more even weights or adding additional positions.


Diversification Ratio
1Y
3Y
All Time
Diversification Ratio

2.06

2.02

1.87

The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.87, placing it in the top 5% across portfolios — assets in this portfolio move largely independently, providing strong diversification benefit.

Autocorrelation Test 1 correlation to the S&P 500 Index

Autocorrelation Test 1 has a 0.41 correlation to S&P 500 Index over the trailing 12 months. This section compares each holding's correlation to the benchmark and to the portfolio.

Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.41

Correlation (3Y)
Calculated over the trailing 3-year period

0.47

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Nov 5, 2021

0.58


Benchmark Correlations

Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. TSLA has the highest benchmark correlation at 0.59, while SGOV has the lowest at -0.00.

SGOV
-0.00
USD=X
0.00
MO
0.12
NOC
0.14
LMT
0.16
BA.L
0.18
PM
0.21
TAP
0.24
BTI
0.24
PRNDY
0.33
HL
0.33
FLTR.L
0.34
STZ
0.34
JD
0.36
BUD
0.36
BABA
0.38
DEO
0.39
RTX
0.40
CRON
0.44
BA
0.48
PENN
0.49
RICK
0.50
IIPR
0.50
TTD
0.56
HWM
0.58
TSLA
0.59

Portfolio Correlations

Correlation vs. Autocorrelation Test 1. BA has the highest portfolio correlation at 0.64, while USD=X has the lowest at 0.00.

USD=X
0.00
SGOV
0.02
JD
0.25
FLTR.L
0.26
BABA
0.27
PRNDY
0.27
TAP
0.30
TSLA
0.31
PENN
0.31
IIPR
0.31
CRON
0.32
MO
0.32
TTD
0.32
STZ
0.32
RICK
0.33
BTI
0.38
DEO
0.38
BA.L
0.40
BUD
0.41
PM
0.41
HL
0.43
NOC
0.52
LMT
0.52
RTX
0.59
HWM
0.63
BA
0.64

Asset Correlations Table

The table below displays the correlation coefficients between the individual components of the portfolio, the entire portfolio, and the chosen benchmark.

USD=XSGOV1128.HK0027.HKBA.LNOCLMTCARL-B.COMOFLTR.LHLTSLAPMTAPJDTTDHEIA.ASBTIBABASTZCRONPENNRICKRTXPRNDYIIPRBAHWMDEOBUD
USD=X0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
SGOV0.001.00-0.010.020.020.020.02-0.020.05-0.01-0.01-0.010.07-0.000.000.00-0.020.010.010.01-0.02-0.05-0.10-0.01-0.020.030.020.01-0.030.02
1128.HK0.00-0.011.000.660.02-0.02-0.080.10-0.010.140.050.03-0.00-0.000.230.050.08-0.010.230.020.050.06-0.02-0.010.080.020.030.010.050.06
0027.HK0.000.020.661.000.05-0.03-0.070.11-0.010.120.080.040.050.010.220.060.100.030.230.030.070.05-0.01-0.000.080.040.040.010.070.09
BA.L0.000.020.020.051.000.230.240.120.060.130.180.050.120.070.100.030.120.220.080.060.070.070.050.250.090.060.130.250.150.16
NOC0.000.02-0.02-0.030.231.000.680.000.240.010.090.010.220.16-0.000.010.070.19-0.000.200.080.070.070.490.040.080.180.250.140.14
LMT0.000.02-0.08-0.070.240.681.000.000.240.010.090.030.240.160.010.000.040.190.010.210.070.020.070.520.070.080.200.270.140.14
CARL-B.CO0.00-0.020.100.110.120.000.001.000.110.210.130.050.180.160.140.070.560.160.140.140.090.090.100.040.400.120.120.080.350.43
MO0.000.05-0.01-0.010.060.240.240.111.000.040.09-0.030.590.270.040.030.160.510.040.270.110.080.080.210.140.140.050.130.200.29
FLTR.L0.00-0.010.140.120.130.010.010.210.041.000.180.220.090.140.200.270.250.110.220.130.230.280.200.150.220.170.260.180.220.21
HL0.00-0.010.050.080.180.090.090.130.090.181.000.180.180.100.220.170.140.220.230.130.230.240.190.200.190.220.230.240.200.22
TSLA0.00-0.010.030.040.050.010.030.05-0.030.220.181.000.020.070.290.390.070.050.310.160.330.300.300.180.150.320.310.300.190.17
PM0.000.07-0.000.050.120.220.240.180.590.090.180.021.000.270.090.060.230.520.110.240.120.120.080.220.180.110.150.220.260.34
TAP0.00-0.00-0.000.010.070.160.160.160.270.140.100.070.271.000.100.090.260.270.090.430.190.200.250.200.290.260.150.190.410.41
JD0.000.000.230.220.10-0.000.010.140.040.200.220.290.090.101.000.300.150.140.720.170.290.240.210.100.240.240.230.120.200.22
TTD0.000.000.050.060.030.010.000.070.030.270.170.390.060.090.301.000.100.050.330.170.340.390.370.140.180.350.300.250.220.18
HEIA.AS0.00-0.020.080.100.120.070.040.560.160.250.140.070.230.260.150.101.000.270.160.200.140.140.140.080.520.150.160.100.480.56
BTI0.000.01-0.010.030.220.190.190.160.510.110.220.050.520.270.140.050.271.000.130.230.140.100.120.220.210.170.150.210.300.39
BABA0.000.010.230.230.08-0.000.010.140.040.220.230.310.110.090.720.330.160.131.000.180.290.240.220.100.250.250.230.160.210.25
STZ0.000.010.020.030.060.200.210.140.270.130.130.160.240.430.170.170.200.230.181.000.230.180.270.230.280.290.200.190.410.34
CRON0.00-0.020.050.070.070.080.070.090.110.230.230.330.120.190.290.340.140.140.290.231.000.310.330.200.170.410.320.240.240.24
PENN0.00-0.050.060.050.070.070.020.090.080.280.240.300.120.200.240.390.140.100.240.180.311.000.420.190.210.370.310.310.250.24
RICK0.00-0.10-0.02-0.010.050.070.070.100.080.200.190.300.080.250.210.370.140.120.220.270.330.421.000.250.220.420.310.330.260.21
RTX0.00-0.01-0.01-0.000.250.490.520.040.210.150.200.180.220.200.100.140.080.220.100.230.200.190.251.000.120.200.360.520.190.19
PRNDY0.00-0.020.080.080.090.040.070.400.140.220.190.150.180.290.240.180.520.210.250.280.170.210.220.121.000.250.210.150.650.48
IIPR0.000.030.020.040.060.080.080.120.140.170.220.320.110.260.240.350.150.170.250.290.410.370.420.200.251.000.280.240.310.28
BA0.000.020.030.040.130.180.200.120.050.260.230.310.150.150.230.300.160.150.230.200.320.310.310.360.210.281.000.470.250.26
HWM0.000.010.010.010.250.250.270.080.130.180.240.300.220.190.120.250.100.210.160.190.240.310.330.520.150.240.471.000.210.24
DEO0.00-0.030.050.070.150.140.140.350.200.220.200.190.260.410.200.220.480.300.210.410.240.250.260.190.650.310.250.211.000.55
BUD0.000.020.060.090.160.140.140.430.290.210.220.170.340.410.220.180.560.390.250.340.240.240.210.190.480.280.260.240.551.00
The correlation results are calculated based on daily price changes starting from Nov 5, 2021
Diversification Analysis

Find what Autocorrelation Test 1 is missing

See which holdings overlap, where Autocorrelation Test 1 is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.

Analyze Diversification