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Autocorrelation Test 1
Performance
Return for Risk
Dividends
Drawdowns
Volatility
Diversification

Asset Allocation


BA 17.12%LMT 14.61%NOC 13.80%HWM 10.45%BA.L 8.95%PM 8.62%MO 5.24%HL 5.21%20 positions 15.90%BondBondCurrencyCurrencyEquityEquity

S&P 500 Index

Performance

Performance Chart

The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Autocorrelation Test 1, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every week.


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The earliest data available for this chart is Nov 5, 2021, corresponding to the inception date of PRNDY

Returns By Period


1D1MYTD6M1Y3Y*5Y*10Y*
Benchmark
S&P 500 Index
0.11%-3.43%-3.84%-1.98%16.08%16.86%10.37%12.29%
Portfolio
Autocorrelation Test 1
0.00%-6.85%10.45%10.50%39.41%21.89%
BA
The Boeing Company
0.43%-7.09%-4.10%-4.24%23.53%-1.12%-3.82%6.18%
LMT
Lockheed Martin Corporation
0.83%-6.74%29.44%26.33%41.28%11.53%13.95%13.73%
NOC
Northrop Grumman Corporation
0.79%-7.46%23.59%16.96%39.36%16.31%18.77%15.15%
HWM
Howmet Aerospace Inc.
-2.66%-10.11%13.56%21.91%74.20%76.13%49.29%31.18%
BA.L
BAE Systems plc
-0.74%2.18%31.35%10.23%51.28%38.26%37.82%19.65%
PM
Philip Morris International Inc.
0.49%-10.35%-0.55%2.89%4.82%22.66%17.88%9.96%
MO
Altria Group, Inc.
0.43%-2.94%15.96%3.55%23.23%22.72%13.73%7.41%
HL
Hecla Mining Company
0.00%-11.60%-0.03%59.11%241.86%45.12%27.09%22.04%
DEO
Diageo plc
-1.76%-12.84%-15.01%-21.91%-29.34%-23.96%-13.03%-1.36%
TAP
Molson Coors Brewing Company
2.66%-7.42%-4.68%-2.65%-26.07%-2.33%-0.30%-5.14%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

Monthly Returns

Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Nov 6, 2021, Autocorrelation Test 1's average daily return is +0.05%, while the average monthly return is +1.67%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 3.5 years.

Historically, 67% of months were positive and 33% were negative. The best month was Jan 2026 with a return of +13.7%, while the worst month was Sep 2022 at -9.6%. The longest winning streak lasted 9 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 3 months.

On a daily basis, Autocorrelation Test 1 closed higher 44% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +7.1%, while the worst single day was Apr 4, 2025 at -6.8%.


JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
202613.66%5.11%-9.24%1.87%10.45%
20253.33%2.32%2.79%5.39%6.95%1.70%0.13%5.76%4.57%-3.86%-0.88%4.70%37.64%
2024-5.96%2.78%4.10%-2.77%6.07%-2.64%10.11%3.02%0.46%-1.87%1.64%-2.85%11.56%
20231.17%-0.52%3.94%1.00%-4.97%5.52%4.09%-3.67%-6.19%1.54%8.13%3.27%12.97%
20221.61%9.74%0.25%-5.93%-0.43%-3.17%5.13%-1.12%-9.62%13.46%8.80%1.62%19.49%
2021-6.17%6.20%-0.35%

Benchmark Metrics

Autocorrelation Test 1 has an annualized alpha of 15.22%, beta of 0.62, and R² of 0.43 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since November 06, 2021.

  • This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (86.21%) than losses (31.75%) — typical of diversified or defensive assets.
  • Beta of 0.62 may look defensive, but with R² of 0.43 this portfolio is largely uncorrelated with S&P 500 Index — low beta reflects independence, not downside protection. See the Volatility section for a true picture of this portfolio's risk.
  • R² of 0.43 means the benchmark explains less than half of this portfolio's behavior — treat beta with caution or consider switching to a more representative benchmark.

Alpha
15.22%
Beta
0.62
0.43
Upside Capture
86.21%
Downside Capture
31.75%

Expense Ratio

Autocorrelation Test 1 has an expense ratio of 0.00%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.


Return for Risk

Risk / Return Rank

Autocorrelation Test 1 ranks 77 for risk / return — better than 77% of portfolios on our site. You're getting solid returns for the risk taken. A good sign, especially for investors who want growth without excessive volatility.


Autocorrelation Test 1 Risk / Return Rank: 7777
Overall Rank
Autocorrelation Test 1 Sharpe Ratio Rank: 9595
Sharpe Ratio Rank
Autocorrelation Test 1 Sortino Ratio Rank: 9696
Sortino Ratio Rank
Autocorrelation Test 1 Omega Ratio Rank: 9595
Omega Ratio Rank
Autocorrelation Test 1 Calmar Ratio Rank: 6363
Calmar Ratio Rank
Autocorrelation Test 1 Martin Ratio Rank: 3434
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

Return / Risk — by metrics


PortfolioBenchmarkDifference

Sharpe ratio

Return per unit of total volatility

2.45

0.88

+1.57

Sortino ratio

Return per unit of downside risk

3.32

1.37

+1.96

Omega ratio

Gain probability vs. loss probability

1.48

1.21

+0.27

Calmar ratio

Return relative to maximum drawdown

2.23

1.39

+0.84

Martin ratio

Return relative to average drawdown

6.68

6.43

+0.25


How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.

Risk / Return RankSharpe ratioSortino ratioOmega ratioCalmar ratioMartin ratio
BA
The Boeing Company
600.641.161.160.952.37
LMT
Lockheed Martin Corporation
811.551.991.292.747.01
NOC
Northrop Grumman Corporation
781.361.851.282.515.38
HWM
Howmet Aerospace Inc.
912.192.811.384.7814.61
BA.L
BAE Systems plc
781.602.191.282.015.07
PM
Philip Morris International Inc.
420.190.401.060.170.36
MO
Altria Group, Inc.
681.121.531.221.203.11
HL
Hecla Mining Company
933.313.231.425.4515.34
DEO
Diageo plc
7-0.92-1.180.84-0.78-1.68
TAP
Molson Coors Brewing Company
9-1.02-1.400.84-0.80-1.22

Sharpe Ratio

The Sharpe ratio helps investors understand how much return they're getting for the level of risk taken. A higher Sharpe ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance, meaning more reward for each unit of risk.

Autocorrelation Test 1 Sharpe ratios as of Apr 3, 2026 (values are recalculated daily):

  • 1-Year: 2.45
  • All Time: 1.25

These values reflect how efficiently the investment has delivered returns relative to its volatility over different time periods. All figures are annualized and based on daily total returns (including price changes and dividends).

Compared to the broad market, where average Sharpe ratios range from 0.98 to 1.66, this portfolio's current Sharpe ratio is in the top 25%. This signifies superior risk-adjusted performance, meaning the portfolio is delivering strong returns for the level of risk taken compared to most others.

The chart below shows the rolling Sharpe ratio of Autocorrelation Test 1 compared to the selected benchmark. This view highlights how the investment's risk-adjusted performance has changed over time.


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Dividends

Dividend yield

Autocorrelation Test 1 provided a 1.75% dividend yield over the last twelve months.


TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
Portfolio1.75%1.99%2.15%2.26%1.99%2.18%2.27%2.56%3.02%2.11%6.55%2.47%
BA
The Boeing Company
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.96%2.52%2.12%1.93%2.80%2.52%
LMT
Lockheed Martin Corporation
2.17%2.76%2.62%2.68%2.34%2.98%2.76%2.31%3.13%2.32%2.71%2.83%
NOC
Northrop Grumman Corporation
1.32%1.58%1.72%1.57%1.24%1.59%1.86%1.50%1.92%1.27%1.50%1.64%
HWM
Howmet Aerospace Inc.
0.20%0.21%0.24%0.31%0.25%0.13%0.05%0.39%1.42%0.88%40.49%1.22%
BA.L
BAE Systems plc
1.49%1.99%2.69%2.53%2.99%4.40%4.75%4.00%4.79%3.75%3.57%4.14%
PM
Philip Morris International Inc.
3.64%3.52%4.40%5.46%4.98%5.16%5.73%5.43%6.73%3.99%4.50%4.60%
MO
Altria Group, Inc.
6.39%7.21%7.65%9.52%8.05%7.43%8.29%6.57%6.07%3.56%3.48%3.73%
HL
Hecla Mining Company
0.08%0.08%0.81%0.65%0.40%0.72%0.25%0.29%0.42%0.25%0.19%0.53%
DEO
Diageo plc
3.44%4.80%3.26%2.77%2.16%1.82%2.29%2.07%2.51%2.18%3.00%3.13%
TAP
Molson Coors Brewing Company
4.29%4.03%3.07%2.68%2.95%1.47%1.26%3.64%2.92%2.00%1.69%1.75%

Drawdowns

Drawdowns Chart

The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.


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Worst Drawdowns

The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Autocorrelation Test 1. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.

The maximum drawdown for the Autocorrelation Test 1 was 16.82%, occurring on Sep 30, 2022. Recovery took 54 trading sessions.

The current Autocorrelation Test 1 drawdown is 8.97%.


Depth

Start

To Bottom

Bottom

To Recover

End

Total

-16.82%Apr 20, 2022164Sep 30, 202254Nov 23, 2022218
-12.83%Mar 3, 202628Mar 30, 2026
-12.04%Aug 1, 202366Oct 5, 202357Dec 1, 2023123
-9.85%Mar 26, 202513Apr 7, 202510Apr 17, 202523
-9.63%Nov 16, 202116Dec 1, 202134Jan 4, 202250

Volatility

Volatility Chart

The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.


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Diversification

Diversification Metrics


Number of Effective Assets

The portfolio contains 30 assets, with an effective number of assets of 9.47, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets indicates a moderate level of diversification, where some assets may have a more significant influence on overall performance.

Asset Correlations Table

The table below displays the correlation coefficients between the individual components of the portfolio, the entire portfolio, and the chosen benchmark.

BenchmarkUSD=XSGOV1128.HK0027.HKBA.LNOCLMTCARL-B.COMOFLTR.LHLTSLAPMTAPHEIA.ASJDBTITTDBABASTZCRONRICKRTXPENNPRNDYIIPRBAHWMDEOBUDPortfolio
Benchmark1.000.000.010.060.080.180.150.170.170.150.360.320.590.220.250.210.360.250.590.380.360.440.500.410.500.330.510.480.590.400.360.58
USD=X0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
SGOV0.010.001.00-0.010.030.030.030.03-0.020.05-0.02-0.00-0.010.07-0.01-0.010.000.01-0.000.020.01-0.02-0.100.00-0.05-0.020.030.030.02-0.030.020.03
1128.HK0.060.00-0.011.000.670.03-0.02-0.070.10-0.010.140.050.030.00-0.000.080.240.000.050.230.030.06-0.020.000.060.090.030.040.020.060.060.06
0027.HK0.080.000.030.671.000.06-0.03-0.070.11-0.010.120.080.050.060.010.090.220.030.060.230.030.08-0.02-0.010.040.080.050.050.020.080.090.09
BA.L0.180.000.030.030.061.000.210.230.110.070.130.180.040.120.060.110.100.230.040.080.050.060.040.240.070.080.060.110.240.140.160.39
NOC0.150.000.03-0.02-0.030.211.000.680.000.26-0.000.090.010.230.160.07-0.000.200.01-0.000.190.070.070.490.070.030.080.180.240.140.150.51
LMT0.170.000.03-0.07-0.070.230.681.00-0.000.25-0.000.090.030.230.160.040.010.190.000.010.200.060.070.510.030.060.090.200.260.140.140.51
CARL-B.CO0.170.00-0.020.100.110.110.00-0.001.000.120.210.140.050.190.150.560.150.160.080.150.140.090.100.040.100.400.110.130.090.350.420.17
MO0.150.000.05-0.01-0.010.070.260.250.121.000.060.11-0.010.590.290.160.050.520.030.050.270.120.090.220.090.140.160.060.140.210.300.33
FLTR.L0.360.00-0.020.140.120.13-0.00-0.000.210.061.000.200.230.100.150.260.210.120.280.230.150.230.210.150.290.230.180.270.200.230.230.27
HL0.320.00-0.000.050.080.180.090.090.140.110.201.000.170.200.110.150.210.220.200.230.140.230.190.190.260.190.210.220.240.210.230.43
TSLA0.590.00-0.010.030.050.040.010.030.05-0.010.230.171.000.030.080.080.290.060.420.310.180.330.310.180.310.160.320.310.300.200.180.32
PM0.220.000.070.000.060.120.230.230.190.590.100.200.031.000.270.230.090.520.070.110.240.130.080.230.130.180.130.160.220.260.350.41
TAP0.250.00-0.01-0.000.010.060.160.160.150.290.150.110.080.271.000.250.100.280.100.100.430.200.260.210.200.280.260.150.190.410.400.30
HEIA.AS0.210.00-0.010.080.090.110.070.040.560.160.260.150.080.230.251.000.150.270.110.170.190.150.140.070.140.510.140.160.100.480.550.25
JD0.360.000.000.240.220.10-0.000.010.150.050.210.210.290.090.100.151.000.140.310.720.180.300.220.100.260.240.250.230.120.200.220.25
BTI0.250.000.010.000.030.230.200.190.160.520.120.220.060.520.280.270.141.000.060.130.230.140.110.220.100.200.180.140.210.300.390.38
TTD0.590.00-0.000.050.060.040.010.000.080.030.280.200.420.070.100.110.310.061.000.330.180.360.370.150.400.180.360.320.280.230.190.34
BABA0.380.000.020.230.230.08-0.000.010.150.050.230.230.310.110.100.170.720.130.331.000.200.300.220.100.250.250.260.230.160.210.250.27
STZ0.360.000.010.030.030.050.190.200.140.270.150.140.180.240.430.190.180.230.180.201.000.240.290.230.190.270.300.210.190.410.340.33
CRON0.440.00-0.020.060.080.060.070.060.090.120.230.230.330.130.200.150.300.140.360.300.241.000.340.200.330.170.410.320.250.240.250.32
RICK0.500.00-0.10-0.02-0.020.040.070.070.100.090.210.190.310.080.260.140.220.110.370.220.290.341.000.240.430.220.430.300.330.260.210.33
RTX0.410.000.000.00-0.010.240.490.510.040.220.150.190.180.230.210.070.100.220.150.100.230.200.241.000.200.110.200.360.510.180.190.58
PENN0.500.00-0.050.060.040.070.070.030.100.090.290.260.310.130.200.140.260.100.400.250.190.330.430.201.000.210.380.320.320.250.240.33
PRNDY0.330.00-0.020.090.080.080.030.060.400.140.230.190.160.180.280.510.240.200.180.250.270.170.220.110.211.000.240.210.140.640.480.27
IIPR0.510.000.030.030.050.060.080.090.110.160.180.210.320.130.260.140.250.180.360.260.300.410.430.200.380.241.000.280.260.310.290.32
BA0.480.000.030.040.050.110.180.200.130.060.270.220.310.160.150.160.230.140.320.230.210.320.300.360.320.210.281.000.470.240.270.63
HWM0.590.000.020.020.020.240.240.260.090.140.200.240.300.220.190.100.120.210.280.160.190.250.330.510.320.140.260.471.000.200.250.63
DEO0.400.00-0.030.060.080.140.140.140.350.210.230.210.200.260.410.480.200.300.230.210.410.240.260.180.250.640.310.240.201.000.550.38
BUD0.360.000.020.060.090.160.150.140.420.300.230.230.180.350.400.550.220.390.190.250.340.250.210.190.240.480.290.270.250.551.000.41
Portfolio0.580.000.030.060.090.390.510.510.170.330.270.430.320.410.300.250.250.380.340.270.330.320.330.580.330.270.320.630.630.380.411.00
The correlation results are calculated based on daily price changes starting from Nov 6, 2021