Asset Allocation
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Top Picks, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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The earliest data available for this chart is Jan 11, 2024, corresponding to the inception date of FBTC
Returns By Period
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.11% | -3.43% | -3.84% | -1.98% | 16.08% | 16.86% | 10.37% | 12.29% |
Portfolio Top Picks | -0.03% | -2.93% | -2.21% | 2.38% | 52.48% | — | — | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
JNJ Johnson & Johnson | -0.44% | -1.50% | 18.06% | 32.21% | 60.80% | 19.22% | 11.44% | 11.41% |
AAPL Apple Inc | 0.11% | -2.97% | -5.78% | -0.28% | 14.80% | 16.04% | 16.39% | 26.10% |
AMAT Applied Materials, Inc. | -1.51% | -0.81% | 35.77% | 56.35% | 137.96% | 42.99% | 20.77% | 33.82% |
GOOGL Alphabet Inc Class A | -0.54% | -2.50% | -5.44% | 20.55% | 88.99% | 41.91% | 22.87% | 22.80% |
IBM International Business Machines Corporation | 2.06% | 1.17% | -15.74% | -12.48% | 1.74% | 27.71% | 18.92% | 10.02% |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | 0.93% | -1.47% | -4.88% | -6.08% | 60.69% | 85.17% | 66.71% | 70.07% |
AMD Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. | 3.47% | 13.90% | 1.56% | 28.14% | 111.25% | 31.09% | 21.81% | 54.37% |
CIFR Cipher Mining Inc. | 1.42% | -12.85% | -13.14% | -7.17% | 383.77% | 74.81% | — | — |
MU Micron Technology, Inc. | -0.44% | -3.50% | 28.37% | 99.60% | 314.35% | 84.06% | 32.37% | 42.60% |
LRCX Lam Research Corporation | -1.61% | 0.66% | 27.76% | 49.03% | 198.24% | 62.76% | 29.23% | 40.66% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Jan 12, 2024, Top Picks's average daily return is +0.13%, while the average monthly return is +2.47%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 2.4 years.
Historically, 61% of months were positive and 39% were negative. The best month was Sep 2025 with a return of +12.3%, while the worst month was Mar 2025 at -7.5%. The longest winning streak lasted 7 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 2 months.
On a daily basis, Top Picks closed higher 57% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +12.5%, while the worst single day was Apr 3, 2025 at -6.4%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 5.73% | -2.86% | -5.91% | 1.20% | -2.21% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 4.35% | -5.27% | -7.45% | 0.32% | 10.19% | 11.30% | 3.58% | 3.89% | 12.34% | 8.69% | -1.27% | -0.68% | 45.02% |
| 2024 | 2.35% | 9.43% | 4.13% | -5.33% | 8.47% | 6.81% | -0.95% | -0.51% | 3.02% | -0.95% | 6.23% | -1.65% | 34.40% |
Benchmark Metrics
Top Picks has an annualized alpha of 10.45%, beta of 1.41, and R² of 0.87 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since January 12, 2024.
- This portfolio captured 202.38% of S&P 500 Index gains and 131.53% of its losses — amplifying both gains and losses, but participating more in upside than downside.
- This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 10.45% versus S&P 500 Index — delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
- Alpha
- 10.45%
- Beta
- 1.41
- R²
- 0.87
- Upside Capture
- 202.38%
- Downside Capture
- 131.53%
Expense Ratio
Top Picks has an expense ratio of 0.06%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
Top Picks ranks 89 for risk / return — in the top 89% of portfolios on our site. This means strong returns relative to risk — exactly what professional investors look for. Well-suited for investors who want to maximize return per unit of risk.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 2.01 | 0.88 | +1.13 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 2.72 | 1.37 | +1.35 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.39 | 1.21 | +0.18 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 3.87 | 1.39 | +2.49 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 13.77 | 6.43 | +7.34 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
JNJ Johnson & Johnson | 97 | 3.51 | 4.77 | 1.64 | 7.48 | 25.03 |
AAPL Apple Inc | 55 | 0.47 | 0.92 | 1.13 | 0.66 | 2.04 |
AMAT Applied Materials, Inc. | 94 | 2.82 | 3.06 | 1.43 | 6.62 | 18.28 |
GOOGL Alphabet Inc Class A | 94 | 2.91 | 3.87 | 1.48 | 4.37 | 16.63 |
IBM International Business Machines Corporation | 39 | 0.05 | 0.29 | 1.04 | 0.06 | 0.15 |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | 81 | 1.47 | 2.17 | 1.27 | 3.02 | 7.54 |
AMD Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. | 85 | 1.73 | 2.48 | 1.32 | 4.02 | 8.17 |
CIFR Cipher Mining Inc. | 94 | 3.50 | 3.37 | 1.39 | 8.20 | 17.55 |
MU Micron Technology, Inc. | 98 | 4.84 | 3.99 | 1.54 | 10.37 | 34.71 |
LRCX Lam Research Corporation | 97 | 3.70 | 3.60 | 1.50 | 10.10 | 31.52 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
Top Picks provided a 0.81% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 0.81% | 0.77% | 0.92% | 1.00% | 1.21% | 0.85% | 1.02% | 1.29% | 1.55% | 1.24% | 1.39% | 1.46% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
JNJ Johnson & Johnson | 2.14% | 2.48% | 3.40% | 3.00% | 2.52% | 2.45% | 2.53% | 2.57% | 2.74% | 2.38% | 2.73% | 2.87% |
AAPL Apple Inc | 0.41% | 0.38% | 0.40% | 0.49% | 0.70% | 0.49% | 0.61% | 1.04% | 1.79% | 1.45% | 1.93% | 1.93% |
AMAT Applied Materials, Inc. | 0.53% | 0.69% | 0.93% | 0.75% | 1.05% | 0.60% | 1.01% | 1.36% | 2.14% | 0.78% | 1.24% | 2.14% |
GOOGL Alphabet Inc Class A | 0.28% | 0.27% | 0.32% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
IBM International Business Machines Corporation | 2.71% | 2.27% | 3.03% | 4.05% | 4.68% | 4.74% | 5.17% | 4.80% | 5.46% | 3.85% | 3.31% | 3.63% |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | 0.02% | 0.02% | 0.03% | 0.03% | 0.11% | 0.05% | 0.12% | 0.27% | 0.46% | 0.29% | 0.45% | 1.20% |
AMD Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
CIFR Cipher Mining Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
MU Micron Technology, Inc. | 0.14% | 0.16% | 0.55% | 0.54% | 0.89% | 0.21% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
LRCX Lam Research Corporation | 0.46% | 0.57% | 1.19% | 0.95% | 1.53% | 0.78% | 1.04% | 1.54% | 2.79% | 1.01% | 1.28% | 1.36% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Top Picks. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the Top Picks was 24.67%, occurring on Apr 8, 2025. Recovery took 43 trading sessions.
The current Top Picks drawdown is 9.44%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -24.67% | Feb 20, 2025 | 34 | Apr 8, 2025 | 43 | Jun 10, 2025 | 77 |
| -14.79% | Jul 11, 2024 | 20 | Aug 7, 2024 | 64 | Nov 6, 2024 | 84 |
| -13.92% | Jan 29, 2026 | 42 | Mar 30, 2026 | — | — | — |
| -9.03% | Oct 30, 2025 | 16 | Nov 20, 2025 | 30 | Jan 6, 2026 | 46 |
| -8.17% | Apr 2, 2024 | 14 | Apr 19, 2024 | 18 | May 15, 2024 | 32 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 24 assets, with an effective number of assets of 7.79, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets indicates a moderate level of diversification, where some assets may have a more significant influence on overall performance.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | JNJ | IBM | FBTC | AAPL | IREN | CIFR | TSLA | GOOGL | META | MSFT | AMZN | MU | QCOM | AMD | IWM | NVDA | AVGO | TSM | ASML | AMAT | KLAC | LRCX | SPY | QQQ | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | 0.01 | 0.47 | 0.40 | 0.54 | 0.43 | 0.47 | 0.56 | 0.58 | 0.61 | 0.66 | 0.66 | 0.55 | 0.65 | 0.59 | 0.77 | 0.64 | 0.64 | 0.62 | 0.63 | 0.65 | 0.66 | 0.67 | 1.00 | 0.94 | 0.90 |
| JNJ | 0.01 | 1.00 | 0.07 | -0.05 | 0.05 | -0.07 | -0.05 | -0.08 | -0.07 | -0.18 | -0.14 | -0.16 | -0.13 | -0.03 | -0.12 | 0.09 | -0.26 | -0.20 | -0.17 | -0.07 | -0.08 | -0.09 | -0.11 | 0.01 | -0.13 | -0.11 |
| IBM | 0.47 | 0.07 | 1.00 | 0.15 | 0.25 | 0.14 | 0.20 | 0.20 | 0.21 | 0.28 | 0.29 | 0.25 | 0.23 | 0.32 | 0.30 | 0.41 | 0.20 | 0.29 | 0.26 | 0.30 | 0.29 | 0.32 | 0.31 | 0.47 | 0.41 | 0.39 |
| FBTC | 0.40 | -0.05 | 0.15 | 1.00 | 0.14 | 0.51 | 0.51 | 0.38 | 0.25 | 0.24 | 0.25 | 0.29 | 0.27 | 0.27 | 0.34 | 0.46 | 0.29 | 0.26 | 0.28 | 0.29 | 0.28 | 0.28 | 0.27 | 0.40 | 0.40 | 0.49 |
| AAPL | 0.54 | 0.05 | 0.25 | 0.14 | 1.00 | 0.18 | 0.19 | 0.37 | 0.40 | 0.29 | 0.35 | 0.36 | 0.23 | 0.37 | 0.29 | 0.37 | 0.27 | 0.31 | 0.27 | 0.34 | 0.31 | 0.31 | 0.33 | 0.54 | 0.54 | 0.45 |
| IREN | 0.43 | -0.07 | 0.14 | 0.51 | 0.18 | 1.00 | 0.76 | 0.37 | 0.32 | 0.29 | 0.29 | 0.31 | 0.34 | 0.27 | 0.40 | 0.43 | 0.34 | 0.30 | 0.33 | 0.29 | 0.31 | 0.30 | 0.31 | 0.43 | 0.44 | 0.61 |
| CIFR | 0.47 | -0.05 | 0.20 | 0.51 | 0.19 | 0.76 | 1.00 | 0.38 | 0.29 | 0.29 | 0.28 | 0.33 | 0.34 | 0.31 | 0.37 | 0.55 | 0.34 | 0.32 | 0.35 | 0.32 | 0.34 | 0.33 | 0.35 | 0.47 | 0.46 | 0.63 |
| TSLA | 0.56 | -0.08 | 0.20 | 0.38 | 0.37 | 0.37 | 0.38 | 1.00 | 0.41 | 0.35 | 0.37 | 0.41 | 0.34 | 0.39 | 0.38 | 0.46 | 0.35 | 0.39 | 0.37 | 0.36 | 0.40 | 0.40 | 0.40 | 0.55 | 0.59 | 0.59 |
| GOOGL | 0.58 | -0.07 | 0.21 | 0.25 | 0.40 | 0.32 | 0.29 | 0.41 | 1.00 | 0.47 | 0.45 | 0.57 | 0.36 | 0.36 | 0.41 | 0.39 | 0.36 | 0.41 | 0.38 | 0.38 | 0.38 | 0.40 | 0.43 | 0.58 | 0.62 | 0.60 |
| META | 0.61 | -0.18 | 0.28 | 0.24 | 0.29 | 0.29 | 0.29 | 0.35 | 0.47 | 1.00 | 0.57 | 0.61 | 0.34 | 0.37 | 0.39 | 0.38 | 0.47 | 0.48 | 0.44 | 0.45 | 0.41 | 0.41 | 0.42 | 0.60 | 0.65 | 0.61 |
| MSFT | 0.66 | -0.14 | 0.29 | 0.25 | 0.35 | 0.29 | 0.28 | 0.37 | 0.45 | 0.57 | 1.00 | 0.59 | 0.37 | 0.41 | 0.41 | 0.38 | 0.52 | 0.54 | 0.44 | 0.41 | 0.40 | 0.41 | 0.42 | 0.66 | 0.70 | 0.62 |
| AMZN | 0.66 | -0.16 | 0.25 | 0.29 | 0.36 | 0.31 | 0.33 | 0.41 | 0.57 | 0.61 | 0.59 | 1.00 | 0.39 | 0.40 | 0.39 | 0.44 | 0.46 | 0.47 | 0.43 | 0.43 | 0.43 | 0.40 | 0.44 | 0.66 | 0.70 | 0.64 |
| MU | 0.55 | -0.13 | 0.23 | 0.27 | 0.23 | 0.34 | 0.34 | 0.34 | 0.36 | 0.34 | 0.37 | 0.39 | 1.00 | 0.52 | 0.52 | 0.45 | 0.57 | 0.56 | 0.61 | 0.61 | 0.67 | 0.64 | 0.72 | 0.55 | 0.63 | 0.68 |
| QCOM | 0.65 | -0.03 | 0.32 | 0.27 | 0.37 | 0.27 | 0.31 | 0.39 | 0.36 | 0.37 | 0.41 | 0.40 | 0.52 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 0.56 | 0.49 | 0.51 | 0.54 | 0.58 | 0.65 | 0.66 | 0.64 | 0.64 | 0.66 | 0.68 |
| AMD | 0.59 | -0.12 | 0.30 | 0.34 | 0.29 | 0.40 | 0.37 | 0.38 | 0.41 | 0.39 | 0.41 | 0.39 | 0.52 | 0.50 | 1.00 | 0.48 | 0.57 | 0.52 | 0.57 | 0.56 | 0.58 | 0.59 | 0.58 | 0.59 | 0.64 | 0.71 |
| IWM | 0.77 | 0.09 | 0.41 | 0.46 | 0.37 | 0.43 | 0.55 | 0.46 | 0.39 | 0.38 | 0.38 | 0.44 | 0.45 | 0.56 | 0.48 | 1.00 | 0.37 | 0.42 | 0.45 | 0.50 | 0.53 | 0.53 | 0.52 | 0.77 | 0.66 | 0.70 |
| NVDA | 0.64 | -0.26 | 0.20 | 0.29 | 0.27 | 0.34 | 0.34 | 0.35 | 0.36 | 0.47 | 0.52 | 0.46 | 0.57 | 0.49 | 0.57 | 0.37 | 1.00 | 0.65 | 0.66 | 0.56 | 0.59 | 0.58 | 0.59 | 0.64 | 0.72 | 0.72 |
| AVGO | 0.64 | -0.20 | 0.29 | 0.26 | 0.31 | 0.30 | 0.32 | 0.39 | 0.41 | 0.48 | 0.54 | 0.47 | 0.56 | 0.51 | 0.52 | 0.42 | 0.65 | 1.00 | 0.66 | 0.58 | 0.61 | 0.64 | 0.62 | 0.64 | 0.74 | 0.71 |
| TSM | 0.62 | -0.17 | 0.26 | 0.28 | 0.27 | 0.33 | 0.35 | 0.37 | 0.38 | 0.44 | 0.44 | 0.43 | 0.61 | 0.54 | 0.57 | 0.45 | 0.66 | 0.66 | 1.00 | 0.67 | 0.67 | 0.68 | 0.69 | 0.62 | 0.69 | 0.74 |
| ASML | 0.63 | -0.07 | 0.30 | 0.29 | 0.34 | 0.29 | 0.32 | 0.36 | 0.38 | 0.45 | 0.41 | 0.43 | 0.61 | 0.58 | 0.56 | 0.50 | 0.56 | 0.58 | 0.67 | 1.00 | 0.79 | 0.80 | 0.80 | 0.63 | 0.68 | 0.72 |
| AMAT | 0.65 | -0.08 | 0.29 | 0.28 | 0.31 | 0.31 | 0.34 | 0.40 | 0.38 | 0.41 | 0.40 | 0.43 | 0.67 | 0.65 | 0.58 | 0.53 | 0.59 | 0.61 | 0.67 | 0.79 | 1.00 | 0.89 | 0.89 | 0.65 | 0.72 | 0.76 |
| KLAC | 0.66 | -0.09 | 0.32 | 0.28 | 0.31 | 0.30 | 0.33 | 0.40 | 0.40 | 0.41 | 0.41 | 0.40 | 0.64 | 0.66 | 0.59 | 0.53 | 0.58 | 0.64 | 0.68 | 0.80 | 0.89 | 1.00 | 0.88 | 0.65 | 0.71 | 0.75 |
| LRCX | 0.67 | -0.11 | 0.31 | 0.27 | 0.33 | 0.31 | 0.35 | 0.40 | 0.43 | 0.42 | 0.42 | 0.44 | 0.72 | 0.64 | 0.58 | 0.52 | 0.59 | 0.62 | 0.69 | 0.80 | 0.89 | 0.88 | 1.00 | 0.66 | 0.73 | 0.77 |
| SPY | 1.00 | 0.01 | 0.47 | 0.40 | 0.54 | 0.43 | 0.47 | 0.55 | 0.58 | 0.60 | 0.66 | 0.66 | 0.55 | 0.64 | 0.59 | 0.77 | 0.64 | 0.64 | 0.62 | 0.63 | 0.65 | 0.65 | 0.66 | 1.00 | 0.94 | 0.90 |
| QQQ | 0.94 | -0.13 | 0.41 | 0.40 | 0.54 | 0.44 | 0.46 | 0.59 | 0.62 | 0.65 | 0.70 | 0.70 | 0.63 | 0.66 | 0.64 | 0.66 | 0.72 | 0.74 | 0.69 | 0.68 | 0.72 | 0.71 | 0.73 | 0.94 | 1.00 | 0.94 |
| Portfolio | 0.90 | -0.11 | 0.39 | 0.49 | 0.45 | 0.61 | 0.63 | 0.59 | 0.60 | 0.61 | 0.62 | 0.64 | 0.68 | 0.68 | 0.71 | 0.70 | 0.72 | 0.71 | 0.74 | 0.72 | 0.76 | 0.75 | 0.77 | 0.90 | 0.94 | 1.00 |