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Top Picks
Performance
Return for Risk
Dividends
Drawdowns
Volatility
Diversification

Asset Allocation


S&P 500 Index

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Performance

Performance Chart

The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Top Picks, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.


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Returns By Period


Position1D1MYTD6M1Y3Y*5Y*10Y*
Benchmark
S&P 500 Index
-2.64%-0.21%7.86%7.47%23.05%19.90%11.79%13.33%
Portfolio
Top Picks
-5.80%-0.47%22.74%21.20%70.09%
AAPL
Apple Inc
-1.25%4.88%13.26%10.45%51.31%20.25%20.16%29.85%
AMAT
Applied Materials, Inc.
-9.71%4.16%76.71%69.45%173.68%51.34%27.57%35.52%
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.
-10.86%2.46%117.77%113.97%301.39%55.42%41.72%59.02%
AMZN
Amazon.com, Inc
-3.06%-9.77%6.59%7.19%15.20%24.79%8.94%21.13%
ASML
ASML Holding N.V.
-6.59%3.12%53.99%49.85%119.73%33.16%20.37%33.39%
AVGO
Broadcom Inc.
-7.92%-10.30%11.68%-0.76%57.48%71.92%55.10%40.58%
CIFR
Cipher Mining Inc.
-12.13%9.25%52.10%16.44%475.64%111.29%
FBTC
Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund
-5.08%-24.85%-31.18%-32.63%-42.38%
GOOGL
Alphabet Inc. Class A
-0.98%-8.05%17.82%14.87%112.92%42.91%25.43%26.10%
IBM
International Business Machines Corporation
-5.61%23.97%-2.58%-6.29%8.65%33.23%19.70%11.43%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

Monthly Returns

Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Jan 12, 2024, Top Picks's average daily return is +0.16%, while the average monthly return is +3.14%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 1.9 years.

Historically, 60% of months were positive and 40% were negative. The best month was Apr 2026 with a return of +17.9%, while the worst month was Mar 2025 at -7.5%. The longest winning streak lasted 7 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 2 months.

On a daily basis, Top Picks closed higher 58% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +12.5%, while the worst single day was Apr 3, 2025 at -6.4%.


JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20265.73%-2.86%-5.91%17.88%13.64%-5.19%22.74%
20254.35%-5.27%-7.45%0.32%10.19%11.30%3.58%3.89%12.34%8.69%-1.27%-0.68%45.02%
20242.35%9.43%4.13%-5.33%8.47%6.81%-0.95%-0.51%3.02%-0.95%6.23%-1.65%34.40%

Benchmark Metrics

Top Picks has an annualized alpha of 12.38%, beta of 1.43, and R2 of 0.86 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since January 12, 2024.

  • This portfolio captured 216.49% of S&P 500 Index gains and 136.66% of its losses - amplifying both gains and losses, but participating more in upside than downside.
  • This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 12.38% versus S&P 500 Index - delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.

Alpha
12.38%
Beta
1.43
0.86
Upside Capture
216.49%
Downside Capture
136.66%

Expense Ratio

Top Picks has an expense ratio of 0.06%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.


Return for Risk

Risk / Return Rank

Top Picks ranks 87 for risk / return — in the top 87% of Portfolios on our site. This means strong returns relative to risk — exactly what professional investors look for. Well-suited for investors who want to maximize return per unit of risk.


Top Picks Risk / Return Rank: 8787
Overall Rank
Top Picks Sharpe Ratio Rank: 9191
Sharpe Ratio Rank
Top Picks Sortino Ratio Rank: 8383
Sortino Ratio Rank
Top Picks Omega Ratio Rank: 8787
Omega Ratio Rank
Top Picks Calmar Ratio Rank: 8787
Calmar Ratio Rank
Top Picks Martin Ratio Rank: 8686
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

Return / Risk — by metrics

The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for Top Picks and compares them with S&P 500 Index.


PortfolioBenchmarkDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

3.41

2.01

+1.41

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

3.99

2.71

+1.28

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

1.56

1.36

+0.20

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

5.26

2.69

+2.57

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

20.53

12.34

+8.19


How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.

PositionRisk / Return RankSharpe ratioSortino ratioOmega ratioCalmar ratioMartin ratio
AAPL
Apple Inc
902.423.391.433.929.86
AMAT
Applied Materials, Inc.
963.803.591.518.3823.87
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.
974.634.381.5811.0022.75
AMZN
Amazon.com, Inc
590.611.041.130.852.03
ASML
ASML Holding N.V.
932.963.401.426.8318.38
AVGO
Broadcom Inc.
721.101.671.221.744.15
CIFR
Cipher Mining Inc.
964.983.871.4510.5221.12
FBTC
Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund
2-0.94-1.330.85-0.79-1.43
GOOGL
Alphabet Inc. Class A
974.105.421.655.9221.69
IBM
International Business Machines Corporation
490.240.611.090.310.67

Sharpe Ratio

The Sharpe ratio helps investors understand how much return they're getting for the level of risk taken. A higher Sharpe ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance, meaning more reward for each unit of risk.

Top Picks Sharpe ratios as of Jun 6, 2026 (values are recalculated daily):

  • 1-Year: 3.41
  • All Time: 1.83

These values reflect how efficiently the investment has delivered returns relative to its volatility over different time periods. All figures are annualized and based on daily total returns (including price changes and dividends).

Compared to the broad market, where average Sharpe ratios range from 1.64 to 2.53, this portfolio's current Sharpe ratio is in the top 25%. This signifies superior risk-adjusted performance, meaning the portfolio is delivering strong returns for the level of risk taken compared to most others.

The chart below shows the rolling Sharpe ratio of Top Picks compared to the selected benchmark. This view highlights how the investment's risk-adjusted performance has changed over time.


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Dividends

Dividend yield

Top Picks provided a 0.69% dividend yield over the last twelve months.


PositionTTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
Portfolio0.69%0.77%0.92%1.00%1.21%0.85%1.02%1.29%1.55%1.24%1.39%1.46%
AAPL
Apple Inc
0.34%0.38%0.40%0.49%0.70%0.49%0.61%1.04%1.79%1.45%1.93%1.93%
AMAT
Applied Materials, Inc.
0.42%0.69%0.93%0.75%1.05%0.60%1.01%1.36%2.14%0.78%1.24%2.14%
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
AMZN
Amazon.com, Inc
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
ASML
ASML Holding N.V.
0.54%0.97%0.97%0.86%1.27%0.50%0.50%1.40%0.94%0.64%0.92%0.73%
AVGO
Broadcom Inc.
0.64%0.70%0.94%1.71%3.02%2.24%3.05%3.54%3.11%1.87%1.43%1.13%
CIFR
Cipher Mining Inc.
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
FBTC
Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
GOOGL
Alphabet Inc. Class A
0.23%0.27%0.32%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
IBM
International Business Machines Corporation
2.36%2.27%3.03%4.05%4.68%4.74%5.17%4.80%5.46%3.85%3.31%3.63%

Drawdowns

Drawdowns Chart

The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.


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Worst Drawdowns

The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Top Picks. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.

The maximum drawdown for the Top Picks was 24.67%, occurring on Apr 8, 2025. Recovery took 43 trading sessions.

The current Top Picks drawdown is 6.58%.


Related event

Drawdown

Fall

Recovery

Underwater

2025 selloff2025
-24.67%Apr 2025
1mo 17d2mo 3d
3mo 20dFeb 2025 - Jun 2025
2024 correction2024
-14.79%Aug 2024
27d3mo 1d
3mo 28dJul 2024 - Nov 2024
2026 correction2026
-13.92%Mar 2026
2mo16d
2mo 16dJan 2026 - Apr 2026
2025 pullback2025
-9.03%Nov 2025
21d1mo 17d
2mo 8dOct 2025 - Jan 2026
2024 pullback2024
-8.17%Apr 2024
17d26d
1mo 13dApr 2024 - May 2024

Volatility

Volatility Chart

The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.


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Diversification

Diversification Metrics


Number of Effective Assets

The portfolio contains 24 assets, with an effective number of assets of 7.79, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your portfolio is dominated by one or two holdings, which significantly increases concentration risk. Consider rebalancing toward more even weights or adding additional positions.


Diversification Ratio
1Y
All Time
Diversification Ratio

1.49

1.39

The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.39, in line with the typical range across portfolios. There's room to improve by adding less correlated assets.

Top Picks correlation to the S&P 500 Index

Top Picks has a 0.88 correlation to S&P 500 Index over the trailing 12 months. This section compares each holding's correlation to the benchmark and to the portfolio.

Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.88

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Jan 12, 2024

0.90


Benchmark Correlations

Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. SPY has the highest benchmark correlation at 1.00, while JNJ has the lowest at 0.01.

JNJ
0.01
FBTC
0.40
IREN
0.44
IBM
0.44
CIFR
0.48
AAPL
0.53
MU
0.55
TSLA
0.56
GOOGL
0.59
AMD
0.59
META
0.59
TSM
0.61
QCOM
0.63
MSFT
0.63
ASML
0.63
NVDA
0.64
AVGO
0.64
KLAC
0.65
AMAT
0.65
AMZN
0.65
LRCX
0.67
IWM
0.78
QQQ
0.94
SPY
1.00

Portfolio Correlations

Correlation vs. Top Picks. QQQ has the highest portfolio correlation at 0.94, while JNJ has the lowest at -0.11.

JNJ
-0.11
IBM
0.36
AAPL
0.45
FBTC
0.49
MSFT
0.57
TSLA
0.59
GOOGL
0.59
META
0.59
IREN
0.61
AMZN
0.63
CIFR
0.64
QCOM
0.67
MU
0.67
NVDA
0.69
AVGO
0.71
IWM
0.71
AMD
0.72
ASML
0.72
TSM
0.73
KLAC
0.75
AMAT
0.76
LRCX
0.78
SPY
0.90
QQQ
0.94

Asset Correlations Table

The table below displays the correlation coefficients between the individual components of the portfolio, the entire portfolio, and the chosen benchmark.

JNJIBMFBTCAAPLIRENCIFRTSLAGOOGLMSFTMETAAMZNQCOMMUAMDNVDAIWMAVGOTSMASMLKLACAMATLRCXSPYQQQ
JNJ1.000.04-0.060.06-0.07-0.04-0.09-0.05-0.17-0.16-0.15-0.04-0.14-0.12-0.260.09-0.21-0.16-0.06-0.09-0.09-0.100.01-0.14
IBM0.041.000.130.230.130.180.190.180.320.240.220.300.190.270.180.380.280.230.270.270.250.270.440.38
FBTC-0.060.131.000.150.500.510.380.250.240.240.300.250.270.340.290.460.270.280.270.280.280.280.400.41
AAPL0.060.230.151.000.190.200.370.380.310.280.350.360.220.280.250.380.290.260.340.300.310.320.530.53
IREN-0.070.130.500.191.000.750.360.320.260.280.320.250.350.400.330.440.320.340.300.320.320.330.430.45
CIFR-0.040.180.510.200.751.000.380.290.250.290.330.300.360.370.330.560.330.370.340.350.360.380.480.47
TSLA-0.090.190.380.370.360.381.000.400.350.350.400.390.340.380.350.460.380.370.360.390.400.400.550.59
GOOGL-0.050.180.250.380.320.290.401.000.430.470.570.340.350.400.370.410.390.390.380.390.370.430.590.62
MSFT-0.170.320.240.310.260.250.350.431.000.540.560.370.330.370.500.350.510.420.360.360.350.360.630.67
META-0.160.240.240.280.280.290.350.470.541.000.600.350.330.370.460.370.460.440.430.410.390.410.590.63
AMZN-0.150.220.300.350.320.330.400.570.560.601.000.370.390.400.450.450.450.440.430.390.420.440.650.68
QCOM-0.040.300.250.360.250.300.390.340.370.350.371.000.500.510.440.550.480.480.580.630.630.630.630.65
MU-0.140.190.270.220.350.360.340.350.330.330.390.501.000.510.540.450.550.590.580.620.660.710.540.63
AMD-0.120.270.340.280.400.370.380.400.370.370.400.510.511.000.530.480.530.550.560.590.590.590.590.65
NVDA-0.260.180.290.250.330.330.350.370.500.460.450.440.540.531.000.370.620.650.540.570.570.560.630.71
IWM0.090.380.460.380.440.560.460.410.350.370.450.550.450.480.371.000.420.460.520.530.530.540.780.67
AVGO-0.210.280.270.290.320.330.380.390.510.460.450.480.550.530.620.421.000.650.570.630.610.620.630.73
TSM-0.160.230.280.260.340.370.370.390.420.440.440.480.590.550.650.460.651.000.650.670.660.680.610.68
ASML-0.060.270.270.340.300.340.360.380.360.430.430.580.580.560.540.520.570.651.000.800.790.800.630.67
KLAC-0.090.270.280.300.320.350.390.390.360.410.390.630.620.590.570.530.630.670.801.000.880.880.650.70
AMAT-0.090.250.280.310.320.360.400.370.350.390.420.630.660.590.570.530.610.660.790.881.000.890.650.71
LRCX-0.100.270.280.320.330.380.400.430.360.410.440.630.710.590.560.540.620.680.800.880.891.000.660.73
SPY0.010.440.400.530.430.480.550.590.630.590.650.630.540.590.630.780.630.610.630.650.650.661.000.94
QQQ-0.140.380.410.530.450.470.590.620.670.630.680.650.630.650.710.670.730.680.670.700.710.730.941.00
The correlation results are calculated based on daily price changes starting from Jan 12, 2024
Diversification Analysis

Find what Top Picks is missing

See which holdings overlap, where Top Picks is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.

Analyze Diversification