FBTC vs. CIFR

Last updated Jul 21, 2026

FBTC (Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund) is Cryptocurrency fund tracking the Fidelity Bitcoin Reference Rate, while CIFR (Cipher Digital Inc.) is a stock. Over the past year, FBTC returned -44.68% vs 222.96% for CIFR. At a 0.49 correlation, their price movements are largely independent.

Performance

FBTC vs. CIFR - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC) and Cipher Digital Inc. (CIFR). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, FBTC achieves a -25.63% return, which is significantly lower than CIFR's 39.16% return.

FBTC

• 1D: 1.56%
• 1M: 3.51%
• 6M: -31.89%
• YTD: -25.63%
• 1Y: -44.68%
• 3Y*: —
• 5Y*: —
• 10Y*: —
• ALL TIME*: 12.64%

CIFR

• 1D: 16.97%
• 1M: -29.61%
• 6M: 9.26%
• YTD: 39.16%
• 1Y: 222.96%
• 3Y*: 67.89%
• 5Y*: —
• 10Y*: —
• ALL TIME*: 15.38%

*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

FBTC vs. CIFR - Yearly Performance Comparison

	2026 (YTD)	2025	2024
FBTC Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund	-25.63%	-6.56%	94.28%
CIFR Cipher Digital Inc.	39.16%	218.10%	22.43%

Correlation

The correlation between FBTC and CIFR is 0.42, which is low. Their price movements are largely independent, making them effective diversification partners.

	Correlation
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	0.42
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Jan 11, 2024	0.50

Return for Risk

FBTC vs. CIFR — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

FBTC

FBTC Risk / Return Rank: 2
FBTC Sharpe Ratio Rank: 2
FBTC Sortino Ratio Rank: 2
FBTC Omega Ratio Rank: 2
FBTC Calmar Ratio Rank: 2
FBTC Martin Ratio Rank: 2

CIFR

CIFR Risk / Return Rank: 89
CIFR Sharpe Ratio Rank: 92
CIFR Sortino Ratio Rank: 89
CIFR Omega Ratio Rank: 85
CIFR Calmar Ratio Rank: 93
CIFR Martin Ratio Rank: 88

The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

FBTC vs. CIFR - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC) and Cipher Digital Inc. (CIFR). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.

Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.

	FBTC	CIFR	Difference
Sharpe ratio: Return per unit of total volatility	-1.01	2.03	-3.04
Sortino ratio: Return per unit of downside risk	-1.50	2.68	-4.18
Omega ratio: Gain probability vs. loss probability	0.83	1.30	-0.47
Calmar ratio: Return relative to maximum drawdown	-0.84	4.37	-5.21
Martin ratio: Return relative to average drawdown	-1.34	8.45	-9.79

FBTC vs. CIFR - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current FBTC Sharpe Ratio is -1.01, which is lower than the CIFR Sharpe Ratio of 2.03. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of FBTC and CIFR, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.

Drawdowns

FBTC vs. CIFR - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum FBTC drawdown since its inception was -53.35%, smaller than the maximum CIFR drawdown of -97.16%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for FBTC and CIFR.

Drawdown Indicators

	FBTC	CIFR	Difference
Max Drawdown Largest peak-to-trough decline	-53.35%	-97.16%	+43.81%
Max Drawdown (1Y) Largest decline over 1 year	-53.35%	-51.38%	-1.97%
Max Drawdown (3Y) Largest decline over 3 years	—	-71.74%	—
Current Drawdown Current decline from peak	-48.20%	-29.61%	-18.59%
Average Drawdown Average peak-to-trough decline	-17.73%	-65.31%	+47.58%
Ulcer Index Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks	33.39%	26.50%	+6.89%

Volatility

FBTC vs. CIFR - Volatility Comparison

The current volatility for Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC) is 10.58%, while Cipher Digital Inc. (CIFR) has a volatility of 33.12%. This indicates that FBTC experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than CIFR based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.

Volatility by Period

	FBTC	CIFR	Difference
Volatility (1M) Calculated over the trailing 1-month period	10.58%	33.12%	-22.54%
Volatility (6M) Calculated over the trailing 6-month period	34.53%	74.07%	-39.54%
Volatility (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	44.30%	110.94%	-66.64%
Volatility (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized	49.71%	121.73%	-72.02%
Volatility (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized	49.71%	121.73%	-72.02%

Dividends

FBTC vs. CIFR - Dividend Comparison

Neither FBTC nor CIFR has paid dividends to shareholders.

Tickers have no history of dividend payments

Frequently Asked Questions

Can I hold both FBTC and CIFR in my portfolio?

FBTC and CIFR have a correlation of 0.42, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

Which is riskier, FBTC or CIFR?

CIFR has higher volatility (33.12%) compared to FBTC (10.58%). In terms of maximum drawdown, FBTC dropped -53.35% vs CIFR's -97.16%.

Which has better risk-adjusted returns?

CIFR currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (2.03 vs -1.01), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.