Asset Allocation
Find the right asset allocation for 99% Shep
Add portfolio to the optimizer to find optimal allocations for your target — whether that's maximizing returns, minimizing drawdowns, or balancing risk across holdings.
Open Portfolio OptimizerPerformance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in 99% Shep, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
Loading charts...
Returns By Period
| Position | 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.30% | 0.09% | 8.18% | 8.17% | 23.42% | 19.88% | 11.91% | 13.45% |
Portfolio 99% Shep | 0.19% | -0.13% | 8.91% | 9.65% | 22.46% | — | — | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
AVDE Avantis International Equity ETF | 0.36% | -1.91% | 8.71% | 11.46% | 25.00% | 19.31% | 9.61% | — |
BKLC BNY Mellon US Large Cap Core Equity ETF | 0.37% | 0.47% | 8.75% | 8.75% | 24.83% | 22.35% | 13.91% | — |
FMDE Fidelity Enhanced Mid Cap ETF | -0.18% | 1.08% | 8.21% | 8.53% | 17.86% | — | — | — |
IDEV iShares Core MSCI International Developed Markets ETF | 0.52% | -1.13% | 7.53% | 10.04% | 20.84% | 16.81% | 8.22% | — |
IEMG iShares Core MSCI Emerging Markets ETF | 1.70% | -3.66% | 18.97% | 20.80% | 40.80% | 20.51% | 6.57% | 9.88% |
SCHC Schwab International Small-Cap Equity ETF | 0.04% | -5.20% | 6.81% | 9.38% | 23.23% | 16.78% | 5.72% | 7.91% |
SCHG Schwab U.S. Large-Cap Growth ETF | 0.15% | -0.94% | 3.75% | 2.93% | 20.82% | 24.03% | 14.90% | 18.53% |
SCHV Schwab U.S. Large-Cap Value ETF | 0.45% | 3.06% | 14.24% | 15.31% | 26.78% | 18.05% | 10.33% | 11.38% |
SMLV SPDR SSGA US Small Cap Low Volatility Index ETF | 0.20% | 1.40% | 14.81% | 15.50% | 23.44% | 15.62% | 8.02% | 10.25% |
SPYM State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF | 0.24% | 0.23% | 8.75% | 8.78% | 24.91% | 21.46% | 13.50% | 15.40% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Nov 21, 2023, 99% Shep's average daily return is +0.08%, while the average monthly return is +1.60%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 3.6 years.
Historically, 81% of months were positive and 19% were negative. The best month was Apr 2026 with a return of +8.1%, while the worst month was Mar 2026 at -5.7%. The longest winning streak lasted 11 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 1 months.
On a daily basis, 99% Shep closed higher 57% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +8.0%, while the worst single day was Apr 4, 2025 at -6.0%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2.99% | 2.20% | -5.70% | 8.06% | 3.60% | -1.99% | 8.91% | ||||||
| 2025 | 3.34% | 0.03% | -3.04% | 0.30% | 5.51% | 4.11% | 0.83% | 3.03% | 2.62% | 1.02% | 1.01% | 0.67% | 20.90% |
| 2024 | 0.49% | 4.23% | 3.47% | -3.76% | 4.56% | 1.29% | 2.68% | 2.36% | 1.64% | -1.84% | 5.25% | -3.52% | 17.60% |
| 2023 | 0.73% | 5.19% | 5.96% |
Benchmark Metrics
99% Shep has an annualized alpha of 3.12%, beta of 0.85, and R2 of 0.93 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since November 21, 2023.
- This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (89.32%) than losses (73.04%) - typical of diversified or defensive assets.
- This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 3.12% versus S&P 500 Index - delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
- With beta of 0.85 and R2 of 0.93, this portfolio moves broadly in line with S&P 500 Index - much of its variation is explained by market exposure rather than independent behavior.
- Alpha
- 3.12%
- Beta
- 0.85
- R²
- 0.93
- Upside Capture
- 89.32%
- Downside Capture
- 73.04%
Expense Ratio
99% Shep has an expense ratio of 0.10%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Top 10 holdings
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
99% Shep ranks 38 for risk / return — below 38% of Portfolios on our site. The returns aren't fully compensating for the risk involved. This isn't necessarily a dealbreaker, but factor it into your decision — especially if you're risk-averse.
Return / Risk — by metrics
The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for 99% Shep and compares them with S&P 500 Index.
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 1.96 | 1.94 | +0.02 |
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 2.72 | 2.63 | +0.10 |
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.35 | 1.35 | 0.00 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 2.67 | 2.59 | +0.08 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 11.84 | 11.84 | 0.00 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Position | Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AVDE Avantis International Equity ETF | 54 | 1.71 | 2.38 | 1.31 | 2.19 | 8.59 |
BKLC BNY Mellon US Large Cap Core Equity ETF | 67 | 2.01 | 2.69 | 1.37 | 2.74 | 12.42 |
FMDE Fidelity Enhanced Mid Cap ETF | 45 | 1.31 | 1.89 | 1.23 | 2.15 | 8.49 |
IDEV iShares Core MSCI International Developed Markets ETF | 45 | 1.42 | 2.02 | 1.26 | 1.87 | 7.31 |
IEMG iShares Core MSCI Emerging Markets ETF | 67 | 1.99 | 2.58 | 1.38 | 3.10 | 11.68 |
SCHC Schwab International Small-Cap Equity ETF | 45 | 1.47 | 2.05 | 1.27 | 1.87 | 7.03 |
SCHG Schwab U.S. Large-Cap Growth ETF | 36 | 1.33 | 1.82 | 1.24 | 1.27 | 4.25 |
SCHV Schwab U.S. Large-Cap Value ETF | 84 | 2.50 | 3.51 | 1.44 | 3.94 | 15.87 |
SMLV SPDR SSGA US Small Cap Low Volatility Index ETF | 54 | 1.50 | 2.17 | 1.28 | 3.21 | 8.78 |
SPYM State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF | 69 | 2.08 | 2.80 | 1.38 | 2.81 | 12.97 |
Loading charts...
Dividends
Dividend yield
99% Shep provided a 1.63% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 1.63% | 1.75% | 1.86% | 1.96% | 1.81% | 1.50% | 1.69% | 1.57% | 1.60% | 1.01% | 1.08% | 1.15% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
AVDE Avantis International Equity ETF | 2.56% | 2.66% | 3.29% | 3.01% | 2.79% | 2.46% | 1.63% | 0.29% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
BKLC BNY Mellon US Large Cap Core Equity ETF | 1.03% | 1.05% | 1.22% | 1.35% | 1.64% | 1.10% | 0.84% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
FMDE Fidelity Enhanced Mid Cap ETF | 1.13% | 1.23% | 1.11% | 0.10% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
IDEV iShares Core MSCI International Developed Markets ETF | 3.17% | 3.40% | 3.30% | 3.07% | 2.69% | 3.05% | 2.00% | 3.18% | 3.16% | 1.54% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
IEMG iShares Core MSCI Emerging Markets ETF | 2.31% | 2.75% | 3.20% | 2.89% | 2.71% | 3.06% | 1.87% | 3.15% | 2.76% | 2.35% | 2.28% | 2.53% |
SCHC Schwab International Small-Cap Equity ETF | 3.43% | 3.66% | 3.72% | 2.94% | 1.78% | 3.02% | 1.62% | 3.23% | 2.51% | 2.73% | 2.01% | 2.34% |
SCHG Schwab U.S. Large-Cap Growth ETF | 0.37% | 0.36% | 0.39% | 0.46% | 0.55% | 0.42% | 0.52% | 0.82% | 1.27% | 1.01% | 1.04% | 1.22% |
SCHV Schwab U.S. Large-Cap Value ETF | 1.78% | 2.02% | 2.25% | 2.42% | 2.37% | 1.93% | 3.03% | 3.02% | 3.05% | 2.37% | 2.65% | 2.69% |
SMLV SPDR SSGA US Small Cap Low Volatility Index ETF | 2.31% | 2.74% | 2.68% | 2.68% | 2.40% | 2.12% | 2.47% | 2.62% | 3.15% | 7.92% | 3.04% | 2.63% |
SPYM State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF | 1.02% | 1.13% | 1.28% | 1.44% | 1.69% | 1.25% | 1.54% | 1.79% | 2.23% | 1.75% | 1.97% | 1.98% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
Loading charts...
Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the 99% Shep. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the 99% Shep was 15.18%, occurring on Apr 8, 2025. Recovery took 27 trading sessions.
The current 99% Shep drawdown is 2.48%.
Related event | Drawdown | Fall | Recovery | Underwater |
|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 selloff2025 | -15.18%Apr 2025 | 1mo 18d | 1mo 8d | 2mo 26dFeb 2025 - May 2025 |
2026 pullback2026 | -8.46%Mar 2026 | 1mo 2d | 16d | 1mo 18dFeb 2026 - Apr 2026 |
2024 pullback2024 | -7.25%Aug 2024 | 19d | 18d | 1mo 7dJul 2024 - Aug 2024 |
2025 pullback2025 | -4.92%Jan 2025 | 1mo 6d | 27d | 2mo 3dDec 2024 - Feb 2025 |
2024 pullback2024 | -4.91%Apr 2024 | 18d | 25d | 1mo 13dApr 2024 - May 2024 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
Loading charts...
Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 14 assets, with an effective number of assets of 4.67, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your portfolio is dominated by one or two holdings, which significantly increases concentration risk. Consider rebalancing toward more even weights or adding additional positions.
Diversification Ratio
1Y | All Time | |
|---|---|---|
Diversification Ratio | 1.15 | 1.13 |
The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.13, placing it in the bottom quartile across portfolios — positions are highly correlated. Consider adding assets from different classes or sectors to reduce risk.
99% Shep correlation to the S&P 500 Index
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.94 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Nov 21, 2023 | 0.95 |
Benchmark Correlations
Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. SPYM has the highest benchmark correlation at 1.00, while VMRXX has the lowest at 0.01.
Asset Correlations Table
Find what 99% Shep is missing
See which holdings overlap, where 99% Shep is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.
Analyze Diversification