Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
SDEU.L iShares Germany Government Bond UCITS ETF (Dist) | European Government Bonds | 6.25% |
IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF | Government Bonds | 6.25% |
HG=F Copper | 6.25% | |
CORN Teucrium Corn Fund | Agricultural Commodities | 6.25% |
UNG United States Natural Gas Fund LP | Oil & Gas | 6.25% |
GC=F Gold Futures | 6.25% | |
CL=F Crude Oil WTI | 6.25% | |
SOYB Teucrium Soybean Fund | Agricultural Commodities | 6.25% |
MXNUSD=X MXN/USD | 6.25% | |
AUDUSD=X AUD/USD | 6.25% | |
GBPUSD=X GBP/USD | 6.25% | |
JPYUSD=X JPY/USD | 6.25% | |
IWM iShares Russell 2000 ETF | Small Cap Blend Equities | 6.25% |
DAX Global X DAX Germany ETF | Europe Equities | 6.25% |
^GSPC S&P 500 Index | 6.25% | |
^NDX NASDAQ 100 Index | 6.25% |
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Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of €10,000 in Futures - v5, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every month.
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Returns By Period
| Position | 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.00% | 2.09% | 9.98% | 8.94% | 21.69% | 17.04% | 13.09% | 13.15% |
Portfolio Futures - v5 | 0.00% | 0.84% | 4.69% | 2.58% | 3.46% | 1.77% | — | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
^GSPC S&P 500 Index | 0.00% | 2.09% | 9.98% | 8.94% | 21.69% | 17.04% | 13.09% | 13.15% |
^NDX NASDAQ 100 Index | 0.00% | 1.33% | 16.93% | 14.14% | 31.60% | 22.99% | 17.25% | 20.28% |
AUDUSD=X AUD/USD | 0.17% | -0.42% | 7.72% | 7.51% | 7.24% | -0.58% | -0.75% | -0.70% |
CL=F Crude Oil WTI | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
CORN Teucrium Corn Fund | -0.19% | -6.22% | -1.89% | -3.39% | -9.39% | -12.61% | -3.41% | -3.18% |
DAX Global X DAX Germany ETF | 0.00% | 0.73% | -0.03% | 1.95% | 0.37% | 14.72% | 8.77% | 8.96% |
GBPUSD=X GBP/USD | 0.03% | 0.09% | 1.04% | 1.11% | -2.55% | -0.21% | -0.09% | -0.98% |
GC=F Gold Futures | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
HG=F Copper | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF | 0.00% | 1.19% | 0.88% | 0.15% | 2.87% | 0.14% | -0.22% | 0.30% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Feb 1, 2022, Futures - v5's average daily return is +0.01%, while the average monthly return is +0.12%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 48.2 years.
Historically, 49% of months were positive and 51% were negative. The best month was Jul 2022 with a return of +7.6%, while the worst month was Dec 2022 at -5.3%. The longest winning streak lasted 4 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 3 months.
On a daily basis, Futures - v5 closed higher 54% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +3.4%, while the worst single day was Apr 10, 2025 at -2.5%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2.70% | -1.14% | -0.36% | 2.03% | 2.48% | -1.02% | 4.69% | ||||||
| 2025 | 1.40% | 1.38% | -3.84% | -3.31% | 0.98% | -1.25% | 0.92% | -0.39% | 0.46% | 1.68% | 0.90% | -2.25% | -3.48% |
| 2024 | -0.07% | -0.70% | 0.88% | -1.57% | 1.96% | -0.15% | -1.35% | -1.09% | 2.50% | -2.07% | 4.35% | 1.42% | 3.98% |
| 2023 | 0.04% | -0.02% | -1.77% | -1.59% | 0.79% | 1.93% | 0.73% | -0.43% | -1.03% | -0.70% | 0.06% | 0.90% | -1.15% |
| 2022 | 0.94% | 4.21% | 2.87% | -0.40% | -4.85% | 7.57% | 0.00% | -3.81% | 1.05% | -0.19% | -5.30% | 1.32% |
Benchmark Metrics
Futures - v5 has an annualized alpha of -2.49%, beta of 0.32, and R2 of 0.48 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since February 01, 2022.
- This portfolio participated in 41.92% of S&P 500 Index downside but only 22.35% of its upside - more exposed to losses than it benefited from rallies.
- Beta of 0.32 may look defensive, but with R2 of 0.48 this portfolio is largely uncorrelated with S&P 500 Index - low beta reflects independence, not downside protection. See the Volatility section for a true picture of this portfolio's risk.
- R2 of 0.48 means the benchmark explains less than half of this portfolio's behavior - treat beta with caution or consider switching to a more representative benchmark.
- Alpha
- -2.49%
- Beta
- 0.32
- R²
- 0.48
- Upside Capture
- 22.35%
- Downside Capture
- 41.92%
Expense Ratio
Futures - v5 has an expense ratio of 0.38%, placing it in the medium range. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Return / Risk — by metrics
The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for Futures - v5 and compares them with S&P 500 Index.
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 0.64 | 1.77 | -1.13 |
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 0.90 | 2.31 | -1.41 |
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.10 | 1.33 | -0.22 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 1.41 | 2.88 | -1.47 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 2.89 | 10.71 | -7.82 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Position | Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
^GSPC S&P 500 Index | 65 | 1.77 | 2.31 | 1.33 | 2.88 | 10.71 |
^NDX NASDAQ 100 Index | 64 | 1.90 | 2.43 | 1.34 | 2.84 | 8.80 |
AUDUSD=X AUD/USD | 84 | 1.05 | 1.49 | 1.19 | 1.72 | 3.84 |
CL=F Crude Oil WTI | — | — | — | — | — | — |
CORN Teucrium Corn Fund | 4 | -0.50 | -0.57 | 0.93 | -0.68 | -1.17 |
DAX Global X DAX Germany ETF | 9 | 0.02 | 0.15 | 1.02 | 0.03 | 0.09 |
GBPUSD=X GBP/USD | 26 | -0.54 | -0.71 | 0.91 | -0.43 | -0.64 |
GC=F Gold Futures | — | — | — | — | — | — |
HG=F Copper | — | — | — | — | — | — |
IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF | 17 | 0.47 | 0.72 | 1.09 | 0.57 | 1.62 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
Futures - v5 provided a 0.53% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 0.53% | 0.53% | 0.57% | 0.43% | 0.39% | 0.28% | 0.27% | 0.36% | 0.44% | 0.30% | 0.31% | 0.32% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
^GSPC S&P 500 Index | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
^NDX NASDAQ 100 Index | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
AUDUSD=X AUD/USD | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
CL=F Crude Oil WTI | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
CORN Teucrium Corn Fund | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
DAX Global X DAX Germany ETF | 1.50% | 1.47% | 2.24% | 2.48% | 2.80% | 2.65% | 2.25% | 2.47% | 3.33% | 1.73% | 1.78% | 1.41% |
GBPUSD=X GBP/USD | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
GC=F Gold Futures | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
HG=F Copper | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
IEF iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF | 3.92% | 3.77% | 3.62% | 2.91% | 1.96% | 0.83% | 1.08% | 2.08% | 2.24% | 1.82% | 1.81% | 1.90% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Futures - v5. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the Futures - v5 was 14.63%, occurring on Aug 5, 2024. The portfolio has not yet recovered.
The current Futures - v5 drawdown is 0.99%.
Related event | Drawdown | Fall | Recovery | Underwater |
|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 correction2024 | -14.63%Aug 2024 | 1y 11mo | — | 3y 9moAug 2022 - now |
Bear market2022 | -7.07%Jun 2022 | 2mo 12d | 1mo 11d | 3mo 23dApr 2022 - Aug 2022 |
Bear market2022 | -3.34%Mar 2022 | 8d | 8d | 16dMar 2022 - Mar 2022 |
Bear market2022 | -2.74%Feb 2022 | 4d | 21d | 25dFeb 2022 - Feb 2022 |
Bear market2022 | -1.93%Mar 2022 | 2d | 5d | 7dMar 2022 - Apr 2022 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 16 assets, with an effective number of assets of 16.00, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your capital is spread almost evenly across your holdings, indicating a well-balanced allocation. Note that true diversification also depends on the correlations between assets — check the diversification ratio below.
Diversification Ratio
1Y | 3Y | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|
Diversification Ratio | 2.02 | 1.88 | 2.02 |
The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 2.02, placing it in the top 5% across portfolios — assets in this portfolio move largely independently, providing strong diversification benefit.
Futures - v5 correlation to the S&P 500 Index
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.62 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.63 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Feb 1, 2022 | 0.65 |
Benchmark Correlations
Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. ^GSPC has the highest benchmark correlation at 1.00, while GC=F has the lowest at -0.07.
Asset Correlations Table
Find what Futures - v5 is missing
See which holdings overlap, where Futures - v5 is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.
Analyze Diversification