Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
SPMO Invesco S&P 500 Momentum ETF | Momentum, S&P 500 | 17.50% |
SPYM State Street SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 ETF | S&P 500 | 12.50% |
CGDV Capital Group Dividend Value ETF | Large Cap Value Equities, Dividend | 12.50% |
PRGSX T. Rowe Price Global Stock Fund | Global Equities | 10% |
CGDG Capital Group Dividend Growers ETF | Global Equities | 10% |
SPGM SPDR Portfolio MSCI Global Stock Market ETF | Global Equities | 8.50% |
ARKQ ARK Autonomous Technology & Robotics ETF | Robotics, Technology Equities, Actively Managed | 8.50% |
IXG iShares Global Financials ETF | Financials Equities | 7.50% |
SPMD SPDR Portfolio S&P 400 Mid Cap ETF | Mid Cap Blend Equities | 7% |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | Technology | 3% |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 2% | |
SNSXX Schwab U.S. Treasury Money Fund | Money Market | 1% |
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Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in M&D Future 12/16, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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Returns By Period
| Position | 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.50% | -0.17% | 8.56% | 8.85% | 22.93% | 19.37% | 11.84% | 13.61% |
Portfolio M&D Future 12/16 | 0.61% | 0.73% | 13.45% | 14.19% | 29.91% | — | — | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
ARKQ ARK Autonomous Technology & Robotics ETF | -0.64% | -5.27% | 12.86% | 13.25% | 55.23% | 32.57% | 9.89% | 21.73% |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 0.05% | -19.79% | -27.32% | -29.56% | -39.85% | 34.86% | 10.27% | 57.32% |
CGDG Capital Group Dividend Growers ETF | 0.77% | 1.37% | 6.59% | 7.53% | 15.36% | — | — | — |
CGDV Capital Group Dividend Value ETF | 0.66% | 1.57% | 11.55% | 12.50% | 27.43% | 24.15% | — | — |
IXG iShares Global Financials ETF | 1.28% | 4.46% | 3.78% | 4.96% | 16.81% | 23.67% | 12.27% | 12.87% |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | 0.16% | -9.03% | 10.16% | 17.38% | 41.70% | 71.13% | 63.13% | 67.95% |
PRGSX T. Rowe Price Global Stock Fund | 3.77% | 1.51% | 19.13% | 20.89% | 36.75% | 22.39% | 9.00% | 16.85% |
SNSXX Schwab U.S. Treasury Money Fund | 0.00% | 0.29% | 1.40% | 1.72% | 3.69% | 2.32% | 1.38% | — |
SPGM SPDR Portfolio MSCI Global Stock Market ETF | 0.65% | 0.63% | 11.79% | 12.19% | 28.38% | 20.20% | 11.20% | 13.18% |
SPMD SPDR Portfolio S&P 400 Mid Cap ETF | 0.73% | 3.99% | 15.51% | 14.03% | 25.98% | 15.42% | 8.28% | 11.78% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Sep 28, 2023, M&D Future 12/16's average daily return is +0.08%, while the average monthly return is +2.29%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 2.6 years.
Historically, 74% of months were positive and 26% were negative. The best month was Apr 2026 with a return of +11.6%, while the worst month was Mar 2026 at -5.8%. The longest winning streak lasted 7 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 2 months.
On a daily basis, M&D Future 12/16 closed higher 56% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +9.6%, while the worst single day was Apr 4, 2025 at -6.2%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2.49% | 0.28% | -5.76% | 11.58% | 6.04% | -1.00% | 13.45% | ||||||
| 2025 | 4.04% | -1.50% | -5.04% | 0.93% | 8.04% | 6.22% | 2.61% | 1.72% | 4.01% | 2.39% | -1.30% | 0.92% | 24.81% |
| 2024 | 1.17% | 7.56% | 4.49% | -4.06% | 5.42% | 2.47% | 1.97% | 2.14% | 2.35% | -0.42% | 7.47% | -2.74% | 30.75% |
| 2023 | 0.62% | -2.55% | 9.28% | 6.13% | 13.72% |
Benchmark Metrics
M&D Future 12/16 has an annualized alpha of 5.82%, beta of 1.07, and R2 of 0.95 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since September 28, 2023.
- This portfolio captured 121.71% of S&P 500 Index gains but only 83.77% of its losses - a favorable profile for investors.
- This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 5.82% versus S&P 500 Index - delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
- With beta of 1.07 and R2 of 0.95, this portfolio moves broadly in line with S&P 500 Index - much of its variation is explained by market exposure rather than independent behavior.
- Alpha
- 5.82%
- Beta
- 1.07
- R²
- 0.95
- Upside Capture
- 121.71%
- Downside Capture
- 83.77%
Expense Ratio
M&D Future 12/16 has an expense ratio of 0.31%, placing it in the medium range. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
M&D Future 12/16 ranks 52 for risk / return — on par with similar Portfolios. You're getting a typical balance of risk and reward. Not a standout, but not a red flag either — a reasonable choice if other factors align with your goals.
Return / Risk — by metrics
The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for M&D Future 12/16 and compares them with S&P 500 Index.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 1.95 | 1.86 | +0.09 |
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 2.63 | 2.53 | +0.10 |
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.35 | 1.34 | +0.01 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 3.03 | 2.53 | +0.50 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 12.49 | 11.37 | +1.12 |
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Position | Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ARKQ ARK Autonomous Technology & Robotics ETF | 54 | 1.66 | 2.18 | 1.27 | 2.70 | 7.95 |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 37 | -0.93 | -1.31 | 0.87 | -0.78 | -1.36 |
CGDG Capital Group Dividend Growers ETF | 46 | 1.42 | 2.01 | 1.25 | 2.00 | 7.69 |
CGDV Capital Group Dividend Value ETF | 78 | 2.27 | 3.11 | 1.42 | 2.83 | 13.19 |
IXG iShares Global Financials ETF | 37 | 1.20 | 1.78 | 1.21 | 1.49 | 5.26 |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | 75 | 1.20 | 1.75 | 1.21 | 2.07 | 4.94 |
PRGSX T. Rowe Price Global Stock Fund | 70 | 1.93 | 2.53 | 1.35 | 2.91 | 11.56 |
SNSXX Schwab U.S. Treasury Money Fund | — | 3.71 | — | — | — | — |
SPGM SPDR Portfolio MSCI Global Stock Market ETF | 74 | 2.10 | 2.85 | 1.38 | 3.00 | 13.23 |
SPMD SPDR Portfolio S&P 400 Mid Cap ETF | 60 | 1.64 | 2.39 | 1.29 | 2.95 | 10.81 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
M&D Future 12/16 provided a 1.86% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 1.86% | 2.06% | 1.81% | 1.22% | 1.27% | 2.06% | 1.43% | 1.23% | 1.83% | 0.99% | 1.14% | 1.36% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
ARKQ ARK Autonomous Technology & Robotics ETF | 0.24% | 0.27% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.80% | 0.86% | 0.00% | 2.86% | 1.54% | 0.00% | 0.98% |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
CGDG Capital Group Dividend Growers ETF | 1.85% | 1.95% | 2.15% | 0.39% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
CGDV Capital Group Dividend Value ETF | 1.17% | 1.29% | 1.60% | 1.65% | 1.36% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
IXG iShares Global Financials ETF | 1.97% | 2.04% | 2.64% | 2.62% | 3.71% | 1.69% | 2.13% | 2.87% | 3.14% | 2.12% | 2.21% | 2.79% |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | 0.14% | 0.02% | 0.03% | 0.03% | 0.11% | 0.05% | 0.12% | 0.27% | 0.46% | 0.29% | 0.45% | 1.20% |
PRGSX T. Rowe Price Global Stock Fund | 8.06% | 9.60% | 6.73% | 0.27% | 0.00% | 13.67% | 5.67% | 2.21% | 5.81% | 0.03% | 0.63% | 0.33% |
SNSXX Schwab U.S. Treasury Money Fund | 3.62% | 3.88% | 1.59% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
SPGM SPDR Portfolio MSCI Global Stock Market ETF | 1.81% | 1.89% | 1.98% | 2.09% | 2.37% | 1.94% | 1.45% | 2.46% | 1.89% | 2.29% | 1.87% | 3.70% |
SPMD SPDR Portfolio S&P 400 Mid Cap ETF | 1.21% | 1.39% | 1.42% | 1.47% | 1.64% | 1.24% | 1.30% | 1.57% | 1.85% | 1.97% | 2.13% | 5.33% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the M&D Future 12/16. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the M&D Future 12/16 was 18.31%, occurring on Apr 8, 2025. Recovery took 38 trading sessions.
The current M&D Future 12/16 drawdown is 1.96%.
Related event | Drawdown | Fall | Recovery | Underwater |
|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 selloff2025 | -18.31%Apr 2025 | 1mo 18d | 1mo 8d | 2mo 26dFeb 2025 - May 2025 |
2026 pullback2026 | -9.87%Mar 2026 | 1mo 2d | 15d | 1mo 17dFeb 2026 - Apr 2026 |
2024 pullback2024 | -9.29%Aug 2024 | 19d | 1mo 15d | 2mo 4dJul 2024 - Sep 2024 |
2025 pullback2025 | -6.76%Nov 2025 | 21d | 1mo 4d | 1mo 25dOct 2025 - Dec 2025 |
2024 pullback2024 | -6.13%Apr 2024 | 21d | 25d | 1mo 16dMar 2024 - May 2024 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 12 assets, with an effective number of assets of 9.24, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your capital is well-distributed across most of your holdings, with only mild concentration in a few names. True diversification also depends on the correlations between assets — check the diversification ratio below.
Diversification Ratio
1Y | All Time | |
|---|---|---|
Diversification Ratio | 1.15 | 1.14 |
The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.14, placing it in the bottom quartile across portfolios — positions are highly correlated. Consider adding assets from different classes or sectors to reduce risk.
M&D Future 12/16 correlation to the S&P 500 Index
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.95 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Sep 28, 2023 | 0.96 |
Benchmark Correlations
Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. SPYM has the highest benchmark correlation at 1.00, while SNSXX has the lowest at 0.02.
Asset Correlations Table
| SNSXX | BTC-USD | NVDA | IXG | ARKQ | CGDG | SPMD | SPMO | CGDV | PRGSX | SPYM | SPGM | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SNSXX | 1.00 | -0.03 | -0.07 | 0.03 | -0.01 | 0.05 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.04 | 0.01 | 0.03 | 0.02 |
| BTC-USD | -0.03 | 1.00 | 0.18 | 0.22 | 0.33 | 0.25 | 0.30 | 0.24 | 0.25 | 0.29 | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| NVDA | -0.07 | 0.18 | 1.00 | 0.26 | 0.46 | 0.33 | 0.30 | 0.66 | 0.45 | 0.60 | 0.57 | 0.52 |
| IXG | 0.03 | 0.22 | 0.26 | 1.00 | 0.51 | 0.75 | 0.70 | 0.54 | 0.71 | 0.57 | 0.66 | 0.72 |
| ARKQ | -0.01 | 0.33 | 0.46 | 0.51 | 1.00 | 0.60 | 0.70 | 0.66 | 0.66 | 0.72 | 0.73 | 0.74 |
| CGDG | 0.05 | 0.25 | 0.33 | 0.75 | 0.60 | 1.00 | 0.76 | 0.61 | 0.82 | 0.70 | 0.73 | 0.83 |
| SPMD | 0.02 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.70 | 0.70 | 0.76 | 1.00 | 0.61 | 0.79 | 0.67 | 0.75 | 0.79 |
| SPMO | 0.02 | 0.24 | 0.66 | 0.54 | 0.66 | 0.61 | 0.61 | 1.00 | 0.75 | 0.83 | 0.85 | 0.78 |
| CGDV | 0.04 | 0.25 | 0.45 | 0.71 | 0.66 | 0.82 | 0.79 | 0.75 | 1.00 | 0.77 | 0.86 | 0.85 |
| PRGSX | 0.01 | 0.29 | 0.60 | 0.57 | 0.72 | 0.70 | 0.67 | 0.83 | 0.77 | 1.00 | 0.87 | 0.88 |
| SPYM | 0.03 | 0.29 | 0.57 | 0.66 | 0.73 | 0.73 | 0.75 | 0.85 | 0.86 | 0.87 | 1.00 | 0.91 |
| SPGM | 0.02 | 0.29 | 0.52 | 0.72 | 0.74 | 0.83 | 0.79 | 0.78 | 0.85 | 0.88 | 0.91 | 1.00 |
Find what M&D Future 12/16 is missing
See which holdings overlap, where M&D Future 12/16 is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.
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