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Long Term Bet 15 - 20 Y
Performance
Return for Risk
Dividends
Drawdowns
Volatility
Diversification

Asset Allocation


BTC-USD 6.67%IONQ 6.67%RGTI 6.67%SOFI 6.67%DAVE 6.67%RKLB 6.67%OKLO 6.67%APP 6.67%SNOW 6.67%VRT 6.67%AVGO 6.67%NET 6.67%CRDO 6.67%ALMU 6.67%ANET 6.67%CryptocurrencyCryptocurrencyEquityEquity

S&P 500 Index

Performance

Performance Chart

The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Long Term Bet 15 - 20 Y, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every year.


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The earliest data available for this chart is Nov 16, 2022, corresponding to the inception date of ALMU

Returns By Period


1D1MYTD6M1Y3Y*5Y*10Y*
Benchmark
S&P 500 Index
0.11%-3.63%-3.84%-1.98%29.73%16.86%10.37%12.29%
Portfolio
Long Term Bet 15 - 20 Y
0.02%-10.02%-17.29%-28.52%119.34%121.73%
IONQ
IonQ, Inc.
5.43%-18.66%-34.70%-60.02%41.68%68.27%22.62%
RGTI
Rigetti Computing Inc
5.11%-16.38%-35.94%-64.58%89.20%176.50%
SOFI
SoFi Technologies, Inc.
1.41%-17.66%-39.46%-37.20%65.62%38.01%-1.70%
DAVE
Dave Inc.
-0.43%-20.86%-22.00%-15.11%143.93%205.62%
RKLB
Rocket Lab USA, Inc.
3.37%-3.24%-2.91%20.60%313.74%155.94%
OKLO
Oklo Inc.
0.12%-22.41%-32.93%-62.21%143.08%67.89%
APP
AppLovin Corporation
-0.38%-24.03%-42.66%-43.41%76.13%190.07%
SNOW
Snowflake Inc.
-0.83%-14.43%-30.78%-35.41%16.33%0.41%-8.50%
VRT
Vertiv Holdings Co.
0.74%4.65%61.32%63.20%340.35%165.75%65.70%
AVGO
Broadcom Inc.
0.34%-5.28%-8.93%-6.67%116.76%72.07%48.84%38.50%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

Monthly Returns

Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Nov 17, 2022, Long Term Bet 15 - 20 Y's average daily return is +0.23%, while the average monthly return is +7.13%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 0.8 years.

Historically, 69% of months were positive and 31% were negative. The best month was Nov 2024 with a return of +72.8%, while the worst month was Nov 2025 at -17.4%. The longest winning streak lasted 7 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 5 months.

On a daily basis, Long Term Bet 15 - 20 Y closed higher 54% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +16.4%, while the worst single day was Jan 27, 2025 at -11.7%.


JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
2026-7.06%-4.51%-8.50%1.86%-17.29%
202511.11%-14.77%-17.04%14.34%41.92%16.44%14.09%2.50%13.28%16.23%-17.43%-2.93%83.19%
20249.06%19.64%7.27%0.39%2.73%-5.48%1.04%2.80%12.17%18.84%72.75%30.26%325.07%
202316.40%2.50%3.39%-3.26%26.29%10.24%22.72%-1.10%-10.41%-7.23%9.30%10.81%102.98%
20221.08%-12.19%-11.24%

Benchmark Metrics

Long Term Bet 15 - 20 Y has an annualized alpha of 64.71%, beta of 2.08, and R² of 0.44 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since November 17, 2022.

  • This portfolio captured 449.90% of S&P 500 Index gains but only 63.01% of its losses — a favorable profile for investors.
  • R² of 0.44 means the benchmark explains less than half of this portfolio's behavior — treat beta with caution or consider switching to a more representative benchmark.

Alpha
64.71%
Beta
2.08
0.44
Upside Capture
449.90%
Downside Capture
63.01%

Expense Ratio

Long Term Bet 15 - 20 Y has an expense ratio of 0.00%, meaning no management fees are charged. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.


The portfolio doesn't include any funds that charge management fees.

Return for Risk

Risk / Return Rank

Long Term Bet 15 - 20 Y ranks 50 for risk / return — on par with similar portfolios. You're getting a typical balance of risk and reward. Not a standout, but not a red flag either — a reasonable choice if other factors align with your goals.


Long Term Bet 15 - 20 Y Risk / Return Rank: 5050
Overall Rank
Long Term Bet 15 - 20 Y Sharpe Ratio Rank: 8888
Sharpe Ratio Rank
Long Term Bet 15 - 20 Y Sortino Ratio Rank: 8585
Sortino Ratio Rank
Long Term Bet 15 - 20 Y Omega Ratio Rank: 6868
Omega Ratio Rank
Long Term Bet 15 - 20 Y Calmar Ratio Rank: 44
Calmar Ratio Rank
Long Term Bet 15 - 20 Y Martin Ratio Rank: 44
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

Return / Risk — by metrics


PortfolioBenchmarkDifference

Sharpe ratio

Return per unit of total volatility

2.37

0.88

+1.49

Sortino ratio

Return per unit of downside risk

2.92

1.37

+1.55

Omega ratio

Gain probability vs. loss probability

1.35

1.21

+0.14

Calmar ratio

Return relative to maximum drawdown

-0.30

1.39

-1.69

Martin ratio

Return relative to average drawdown

-0.59

6.43

-7.03


How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.

Risk / Return RankSharpe ratioSortino ratioOmega ratioCalmar ratioMartin ratio
IONQ
IonQ, Inc.
500.181.061.120.390.79
RGTI
Rigetti Computing Inc
630.621.741.191.061.99
SOFI
SoFi Technologies, Inc.
550.481.051.130.621.65
DAVE
Dave Inc.
761.212.061.262.344.35
RKLB
Rocket Lab USA, Inc.
922.923.001.376.3515.88
OKLO
Oklo Inc.
711.052.081.231.543.12
APP
AppLovin Corporation
560.441.061.140.731.74
SNOW
Snowflake Inc.
38-0.030.341.050.030.08
VRT
Vertiv Holdings Co.
973.843.851.519.9928.96
AVGO
Broadcom Inc.
841.762.491.323.087.50

Sharpe Ratio

The Sharpe ratio helps investors understand how much return they're getting for the level of risk taken. A higher Sharpe ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance, meaning more reward for each unit of risk.

Long Term Bet 15 - 20 Y Sharpe ratios as of Apr 4, 2026 (values are recalculated daily):

  • 1-Year: 2.37
  • All Time: 2.24

These values reflect how efficiently the investment has delivered returns relative to its volatility over different time periods. All figures are annualized and based on daily total returns (including price changes and dividends).

Compared to the broad market, where average Sharpe ratios range from 0.99 to 1.69, this portfolio's current Sharpe ratio is in the top 25%. This signifies superior risk-adjusted performance, meaning the portfolio is delivering strong returns for the level of risk taken compared to most others.

The chart below shows the rolling Sharpe ratio of Long Term Bet 15 - 20 Y compared to the selected benchmark. This view highlights how the investment's risk-adjusted performance has changed over time.


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Dividends

Dividend yield

Long Term Bet 15 - 20 Y provided a 0.06% dividend yield over the last twelve months.


TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
Portfolio0.06%0.05%0.07%0.12%0.21%0.15%0.21%0.24%0.21%0.12%0.10%0.08%
IONQ
IonQ, Inc.
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
RGTI
Rigetti Computing Inc
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
SOFI
SoFi Technologies, Inc.
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
DAVE
Dave Inc.
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
RKLB
Rocket Lab USA, Inc.
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
OKLO
Oklo Inc.
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
APP
AppLovin Corporation
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
SNOW
Snowflake Inc.
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
VRT
Vertiv Holdings Co.
0.08%0.11%0.10%0.05%0.07%0.04%0.05%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
AVGO
Broadcom Inc.
0.79%0.70%0.94%1.71%3.02%2.24%3.05%3.54%3.11%1.87%1.43%1.13%

Drawdowns

Drawdowns Chart

The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.


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Worst Drawdowns

The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Long Term Bet 15 - 20 Y. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.

The maximum drawdown for the Long Term Bet 15 - 20 Y was 42.62%, occurring on Apr 6, 2025. Recovery took 46 trading sessions.

The current Long Term Bet 15 - 20 Y drawdown is 36.44%.


Depth

Start

To Bottom

Bottom

To Recover

End

Total

-42.62%Feb 11, 202555Apr 6, 202546May 22, 2025101
-41.02%Oct 16, 2025166Mar 30, 2026
-23.6%Aug 2, 202386Oct 26, 202388Jan 22, 2024174
-22.26%May 10, 202488Aug 5, 202446Sep 20, 2024134
-16.3%Dec 1, 202228Dec 28, 202230Jan 27, 202358

Volatility

Volatility Chart

The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.


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Diversification

Diversification Metrics


Number of Effective Assets

The portfolio contains 15 assets, with an effective number of assets of 15.00, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests that the portfolio's investments are spread across a variety of assets, indicating a well-diversified allocation. However, true diversification also depends on the correlations between assets.

Asset Correlations Table

The table below displays the correlation coefficients between the individual components of the portfolio, the entire portfolio, and the chosen benchmark.

BenchmarkALMUBTC-USDOKLODAVERGTIAPPSNOWAVGOVRTCRDOANETSOFIRKLBNETIONQPortfolio
Benchmark1.000.150.340.300.370.400.510.530.650.600.520.590.560.480.560.450.64
ALMU0.151.000.110.140.110.130.110.110.110.110.130.150.120.170.110.140.28
BTC-USD0.340.111.000.180.190.210.200.190.170.200.190.160.250.260.220.250.41
OKLO0.300.140.181.000.250.320.250.200.250.290.280.250.290.350.240.360.48
DAVE0.370.110.190.251.000.340.300.270.220.240.220.220.370.340.270.310.53
RGTI0.400.130.210.320.341.000.300.300.280.280.290.260.400.440.340.580.63
APP0.510.110.200.250.300.301.000.380.380.380.390.410.390.340.420.400.56
SNOW0.530.110.190.200.270.300.381.000.370.370.390.420.420.390.600.410.52
AVGO0.650.110.170.250.220.280.380.371.000.520.550.570.310.330.410.320.49
VRT0.600.110.200.290.240.280.380.370.521.000.510.550.350.350.420.340.54
CRDO0.520.130.190.280.220.290.390.390.550.511.000.500.370.370.430.390.56
ANET0.590.150.160.250.220.260.410.420.570.550.501.000.340.320.450.350.53
SOFI0.560.120.250.290.370.400.390.420.310.350.370.341.000.480.470.490.57
RKLB0.480.170.260.350.340.440.340.390.330.350.370.320.481.000.400.550.62
NET0.560.110.220.240.270.340.420.600.410.420.430.450.470.401.000.410.57
IONQ0.450.140.250.360.310.580.400.410.320.340.390.350.490.550.411.000.65
Portfolio0.640.280.410.480.530.630.560.520.490.540.560.530.570.620.570.651.00
The correlation results are calculated based on daily price changes starting from Nov 17, 2022