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Long Term Bet 15 - 20 Y
Performance
Return for Risk
Dividends
Drawdowns
Volatility
Diversification

Asset Allocation


BTC-USD 6.67%IONQ 6.67%RGTI 6.67%SOFI 6.67%DAVE 6.67%RKLB 6.67%OKLO 6.67%APP 6.67%SNOW 6.67%VRT 6.67%AVGO 6.67%NET 6.67%CRDO 6.67%ALMU 6.67%ANET 6.67%CryptocurrencyCryptocurrencyEquityEquity

S&P 500 Index

Portfolio Optimizer

Find the right asset allocation for Long Term Bet 15 - 20 Y

Add portfolio to the optimizer to find optimal allocations for your target — whether that's maximizing returns, minimizing drawdowns, or balancing risk across holdings.

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Performance

Performance Chart

The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Long Term Bet 15 - 20 Y, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every year.


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Returns By Period


Position1D1MYTD6M1Y3Y*5Y*10Y*
Benchmark
S&P 500 Index
0.50%0.31%8.56%8.85%24.33%19.37%11.84%13.61%
Portfolio
Long Term Bet 15 - 20 Y
0.10%4.03%17.20%14.25%63.03%126.86%
ALMU
Aeluma, Inc
1.45%1.37%46.77%38.84%88.27%113.21%
ANET
Arista Networks, Inc.
4.37%14.98%24.58%30.84%76.76%57.04%48.31%43.12%
APP
AppLovin Corporation
3.80%-0.84%-26.28%-25.93%36.29%180.45%43.23%
AVGO
Broadcom Inc.
-0.91%-10.14%10.62%6.58%54.87%67.17%55.09%40.96%
BTC-USD
Bitcoin
2.42%-17.06%-25.06%-25.64%-37.83%36.87%10.30%55.97%
CRDO
Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd
-5.27%45.68%74.31%74.28%241.28%142.90%
DAVE
Dave Inc.
0.47%21.63%29.52%45.12%37.72%269.82%-2.05%
IONQ
IonQ, Inc.
-0.24%11.36%28.93%14.90%52.88%75.90%40.49%
NET
Cloudflare, Inc.
0.46%15.65%15.89%12.86%32.86%48.96%19.44%
OKLO
Oklo Inc.
-0.64%-7.65%-19.89%-34.24%-9.69%75.64%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

Monthly Returns

Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Nov 16, 2022, Long Term Bet 15 - 20 Y's average daily return is +0.24%, while the average monthly return is +7.65%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 0.8 years.

Historically, 66% of months were positive and 34% were negative. The best month was Nov 2024 with a return of +72.8%, while the worst month was Nov 2025 at -17.4%. The longest winning streak lasted 7 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 5 months.

On a daily basis, Long Term Bet 15 - 20 Y closed higher 54% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +16.4%, while the worst single day was Jan 27, 2025 at -11.7%.


JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
2026-7.06%-4.51%-8.50%32.63%19.00%-8.55%17.20%
202511.11%-14.77%-17.04%14.34%41.92%16.44%14.09%2.50%13.28%16.23%-17.43%-2.93%83.19%
20249.06%19.64%7.27%0.39%2.73%-5.48%1.04%2.80%12.17%18.84%72.75%30.26%325.07%
202316.40%2.50%3.39%-3.26%26.29%10.24%22.72%-1.10%-10.41%-7.23%9.30%10.81%102.98%
2022-3.49%-11.98%-15.05%

Benchmark Metrics

Long Term Bet 15 - 20 Y has an annualized alpha of 63.34%, beta of 2.11, and R2 of 0.44 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since November 16, 2022.

  • This portfolio captured 473.72% of S&P 500 Index gains but only 80.49% of its losses - a favorable profile for investors.
  • R2 of 0.44 means the benchmark explains less than half of this portfolio's behavior - treat beta with caution or consider switching to a more representative benchmark.

Alpha
63.34%
Beta
2.11
0.44
Upside Capture
473.72%
Downside Capture
80.49%

Expense Ratio

Long Term Bet 15 - 20 Y has an expense ratio of 0.00%, meaning no management fees are charged. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.


The portfolio doesn't include any funds that charge management fees.

Return for Risk

Risk / Return Rank

Long Term Bet 15 - 20 Y ranks 15 for risk / return — in the bottom 15% of Portfolios on our site. This means you're taking on significantly more risk than the returns justify. Consider whether the potential upside is worth the volatility, or explore alternatives with better risk / return profiles.


Long Term Bet 15 - 20 Y Risk / Return Rank: 1515
Overall Rank
Long Term Bet 15 - 20 Y Sharpe Ratio Rank: 1616
Sharpe Ratio Rank
Long Term Bet 15 - 20 Y Sortino Ratio Rank: 1717
Sortino Ratio Rank
Long Term Bet 15 - 20 Y Omega Ratio Rank: 1515
Omega Ratio Rank
Long Term Bet 15 - 20 Y Calmar Ratio Rank: 1414
Calmar Ratio Rank
Long Term Bet 15 - 20 Y Martin Ratio Rank: 1212
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

Return / Risk — by metrics

The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for Long Term Bet 15 - 20 Y and compares them with S&P 500 Index.

Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.


PortfolioBenchmarkDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

1.31

1.86

-0.55

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

1.87

2.53

-0.66

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

1.22

1.34

-0.12

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

1.54

2.53

-1.00

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

3.32

11.37

-8.05


How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.

PositionRisk / Return RankSharpe ratioSortino ratioOmega ratioCalmar ratioMartin ratio
ALMU
Aeluma, Inc
61
0.361.501.180.851.62
ANET
Arista Networks, Inc.
77
1.321.901.242.505.20
APP
AppLovin Corporation
57
0.431.021.130.611.22
AVGO
Broadcom Inc.
73
1.111.691.221.774.11
BTC-USD
Bitcoin
36
-0.88-1.200.88-0.74-1.28
CRDO
Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd
90
2.792.951.354.4610.76
DAVE
Dave Inc.
52
0.280.891.110.460.82
IONQ
IonQ, Inc.
60
0.531.431.160.731.33
NET
Cloudflare, Inc.
61
0.571.091.150.921.98
OKLO
Oklo Inc.
41
-0.110.601.06-0.15-0.24

Sharpe Ratio

The Sharpe ratio helps investors understand how much return they're getting for the level of risk taken. A higher Sharpe ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance, meaning more reward for each unit of risk. Learn how to interpret the Sharpe ratio.

The current Long Term Bet 15 - 20 Y Sharpe ratio is 1.31 as of Jun 13, 2026 (the value is recalculated daily), calculated over the past 12 months.

Compared to the broad market, where average Sharpe ratios range from 1.53 to 2.41, this portfolio's current Sharpe ratio places it in the bottom 25%. This suggests weaker risk-adjusted returns than most portfolios, possibly due to lower returns, higher volatility, or both. It may be worth reviewing the allocation. You can use the Portfolio Optimization tool to explore options for improving the Sharpe ratio.

The chart below shows the rolling Sharpe ratio of Long Term Bet 15 - 20 Y compared to the selected benchmark. This view highlights how the investment's risk-adjusted performance has changed over time.


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Dividends

Dividend yield

Long Term Bet 15 - 20 Y provided a 0.05% dividend yield over the last twelve months.


PositionTTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
Portfolio0.05%0.05%0.07%0.12%0.21%0.15%0.21%0.24%0.21%0.12%0.10%0.08%
ALMU
Aeluma, Inc
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
ANET
Arista Networks, Inc.
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
APP
AppLovin Corporation
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
AVGO
Broadcom Inc.
0.65%0.70%0.94%1.71%3.02%2.24%3.05%3.54%3.11%1.87%1.43%1.13%
BTC-USD
Bitcoin
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
CRDO
Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
DAVE
Dave Inc.
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
IONQ
IonQ, Inc.
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
NET
Cloudflare, Inc.
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
OKLO
Oklo Inc.
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Drawdowns

Drawdowns Chart

The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.


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Worst Drawdowns

The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Long Term Bet 15 - 20 Y. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.

The maximum drawdown for the Long Term Bet 15 - 20 Y was 42.62%, occurring on Apr 6, 2025. Recovery took 46 trading sessions.

The current Long Term Bet 15 - 20 Y drawdown is 10.66%.


Related event

Drawdown

Fall

Recovery

Underwater

2025 selloff2025
-42.62%Apr 2025
1mo 24d1mo 16d
3mo 10dFeb 2025 - May 2025
2026 bear market2026
-41.02%Mar 2026
5mo 15d2mo 4d
7mo 19dOct 2025 - Jun 2026
2023 bear market2023
-23.60%Oct 2023
2mo 25d2mo 28d
5mo 23dAug 2023 - Jan 2024
2024 bear market2024
-22.26%Aug 2024
2mo 27d1mo 16d
4mo 13dMay 2024 - Sep 2024
Bear market2022
-18.96%Dec 2022
1mo 12d1mo 5d
2mo 17dNov 2022 - Feb 2023

Volatility

Volatility Chart

The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.


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Diversification

Diversification Metrics


Number of Effective Assets

The portfolio contains 15 assets, with an effective number of assets of 15.00, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your capital is spread almost evenly across your holdings, indicating a well-balanced allocation. Note that true diversification also depends on the correlations between assets — check the diversification ratio below.


Diversification Ratio
1Y
3Y
All Time
Diversification Ratio

1.65

1.71

1.75

The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.75, in line with the typical range across portfolios. There's room to improve by adding less correlated assets.

Long Term Bet 15 - 20 Y correlation to the S&P 500 Index

Long Term Bet 15 - 20 Y has a 0.66 correlation to S&P 500 Index over the trailing 12 months. This section compares each holding's correlation to the benchmark and to the portfolio.

Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.66

Correlation (3Y)
Calculated over the trailing 3-year period

0.64

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Nov 16, 2022

0.65


Benchmark Correlations

Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. AVGO has the highest benchmark correlation at 0.65, while ALMU has the lowest at 0.17.

ALMU
0.17
OKLO
0.32
DAVE
0.37
RGTI
0.41
IONQ
0.46
RKLB
0.48
SNOW
0.49
APP
0.50
CRDO
0.50
NET
0.55
SOFI
0.56
ANET
0.58
VRT
0.59
AVGO
0.65

Portfolio Correlations

Correlation vs. Long Term Bet 15 - 20 Y. IONQ has the highest portfolio correlation at 0.67, while ALMU has the lowest at 0.29.

ALMU
0.29
OKLO
0.50
AVGO
0.50
SNOW
0.50
DAVE
0.51
ANET
0.52
VRT
0.54
APP
0.55
NET
0.55
CRDO
0.56
SOFI
0.57
RKLB
0.62
RGTI
0.63
IONQ
0.67

Asset Correlations Table

The table below displays the correlation coefficients between the individual components of the portfolio, the entire portfolio, and the chosen benchmark.

The correlation results are calculated based on daily price changes starting from Nov 16, 2022
Diversification Analysis

Find what Long Term Bet 15 - 20 Y is missing

See which holdings overlap, where Long Term Bet 15 - 20 Y is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.

Analyze Diversification