Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
ALMU Aeluma, Inc | Technology | 6.67% |
ANET Arista Networks, Inc. | Technology | 6.67% |
APP AppLovin Corporation | Technology | 6.67% |
AVGO Broadcom Inc. | Technology | 6.67% |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 6.67% | |
CRDO Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd | Technology | 6.67% |
DAVE Dave Inc. | Technology | 6.67% |
IONQ IonQ, Inc. | Technology | 6.67% |
NET Cloudflare, Inc. | Technology | 6.67% |
OKLO Oklo Inc. | Utilities | 6.67% |
RGTI Rigetti Computing Inc | Technology | 6.67% |
RKLB Rocket Lab USA, Inc. | Industrials | 6.67% |
SNOW Snowflake Inc. | Technology | 6.67% |
SOFI SoFi Technologies, Inc. | Financial Services | 6.67% |
VRT Vertiv Holdings Co. | Industrials | 6.67% |
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Long Term Bet 15 - 20 Y, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every year.
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The earliest data available for this chart is Nov 16, 2022, corresponding to the inception date of ALMU
Returns By Period
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.11% | -3.63% | -3.84% | -1.98% | 29.73% | 16.86% | 10.37% | 12.29% |
Portfolio Long Term Bet 15 - 20 Y | 0.02% | -10.02% | -17.29% | -28.52% | 119.34% | 121.73% | — | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
IONQ IonQ, Inc. | 5.43% | -18.66% | -34.70% | -60.02% | 41.68% | 68.27% | 22.62% | — |
RGTI Rigetti Computing Inc | 5.11% | -16.38% | -35.94% | -64.58% | 89.20% | 176.50% | — | — |
SOFI SoFi Technologies, Inc. | 1.41% | -17.66% | -39.46% | -37.20% | 65.62% | 38.01% | -1.70% | — |
DAVE Dave Inc. | -0.43% | -20.86% | -22.00% | -15.11% | 143.93% | 205.62% | — | — |
RKLB Rocket Lab USA, Inc. | 3.37% | -3.24% | -2.91% | 20.60% | 313.74% | 155.94% | — | — |
OKLO Oklo Inc. | 0.12% | -22.41% | -32.93% | -62.21% | 143.08% | 67.89% | — | — |
APP AppLovin Corporation | -0.38% | -24.03% | -42.66% | -43.41% | 76.13% | 190.07% | — | — |
SNOW Snowflake Inc. | -0.83% | -14.43% | -30.78% | -35.41% | 16.33% | 0.41% | -8.50% | — |
VRT Vertiv Holdings Co. | 0.74% | 4.65% | 61.32% | 63.20% | 340.35% | 165.75% | 65.70% | — |
AVGO Broadcom Inc. | 0.34% | -5.28% | -8.93% | -6.67% | 116.76% | 72.07% | 48.84% | 38.50% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Nov 17, 2022, Long Term Bet 15 - 20 Y's average daily return is +0.23%, while the average monthly return is +7.13%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 0.8 years.
Historically, 69% of months were positive and 31% were negative. The best month was Nov 2024 with a return of +72.8%, while the worst month was Nov 2025 at -17.4%. The longest winning streak lasted 7 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 5 months.
On a daily basis, Long Term Bet 15 - 20 Y closed higher 54% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +16.4%, while the worst single day was Jan 27, 2025 at -11.7%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -7.06% | -4.51% | -8.50% | 1.86% | -17.29% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 11.11% | -14.77% | -17.04% | 14.34% | 41.92% | 16.44% | 14.09% | 2.50% | 13.28% | 16.23% | -17.43% | -2.93% | 83.19% |
| 2024 | 9.06% | 19.64% | 7.27% | 0.39% | 2.73% | -5.48% | 1.04% | 2.80% | 12.17% | 18.84% | 72.75% | 30.26% | 325.07% |
| 2023 | 16.40% | 2.50% | 3.39% | -3.26% | 26.29% | 10.24% | 22.72% | -1.10% | -10.41% | -7.23% | 9.30% | 10.81% | 102.98% |
| 2022 | 1.08% | -12.19% | -11.24% |
Benchmark Metrics
Long Term Bet 15 - 20 Y has an annualized alpha of 64.71%, beta of 2.08, and R² of 0.44 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since November 17, 2022.
- This portfolio captured 449.90% of S&P 500 Index gains but only 63.01% of its losses — a favorable profile for investors.
- R² of 0.44 means the benchmark explains less than half of this portfolio's behavior — treat beta with caution or consider switching to a more representative benchmark.
- Alpha
- 64.71%
- Beta
- 2.08
- R²
- 0.44
- Upside Capture
- 449.90%
- Downside Capture
- 63.01%
Expense Ratio
Long Term Bet 15 - 20 Y has an expense ratio of 0.00%, meaning no management fees are charged. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
Long Term Bet 15 - 20 Y ranks 50 for risk / return — on par with similar portfolios. You're getting a typical balance of risk and reward. Not a standout, but not a red flag either — a reasonable choice if other factors align with your goals.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 2.37 | 0.88 | +1.49 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 2.92 | 1.37 | +1.55 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.35 | 1.21 | +0.14 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | -0.30 | 1.39 | -1.69 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | -0.59 | 6.43 | -7.03 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
IONQ IonQ, Inc. | 50 | 0.18 | 1.06 | 1.12 | 0.39 | 0.79 |
RGTI Rigetti Computing Inc | 63 | 0.62 | 1.74 | 1.19 | 1.06 | 1.99 |
SOFI SoFi Technologies, Inc. | 55 | 0.48 | 1.05 | 1.13 | 0.62 | 1.65 |
DAVE Dave Inc. | 76 | 1.21 | 2.06 | 1.26 | 2.34 | 4.35 |
RKLB Rocket Lab USA, Inc. | 92 | 2.92 | 3.00 | 1.37 | 6.35 | 15.88 |
OKLO Oklo Inc. | 71 | 1.05 | 2.08 | 1.23 | 1.54 | 3.12 |
APP AppLovin Corporation | 56 | 0.44 | 1.06 | 1.14 | 0.73 | 1.74 |
SNOW Snowflake Inc. | 38 | -0.03 | 0.34 | 1.05 | 0.03 | 0.08 |
VRT Vertiv Holdings Co. | 97 | 3.84 | 3.85 | 1.51 | 9.99 | 28.96 |
AVGO Broadcom Inc. | 84 | 1.76 | 2.49 | 1.32 | 3.08 | 7.50 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
Long Term Bet 15 - 20 Y provided a 0.06% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 0.06% | 0.05% | 0.07% | 0.12% | 0.21% | 0.15% | 0.21% | 0.24% | 0.21% | 0.12% | 0.10% | 0.08% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
IONQ IonQ, Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
RGTI Rigetti Computing Inc | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
SOFI SoFi Technologies, Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
DAVE Dave Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
RKLB Rocket Lab USA, Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
OKLO Oklo Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
APP AppLovin Corporation | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
SNOW Snowflake Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
VRT Vertiv Holdings Co. | 0.08% | 0.11% | 0.10% | 0.05% | 0.07% | 0.04% | 0.05% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
AVGO Broadcom Inc. | 0.79% | 0.70% | 0.94% | 1.71% | 3.02% | 2.24% | 3.05% | 3.54% | 3.11% | 1.87% | 1.43% | 1.13% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Long Term Bet 15 - 20 Y. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the Long Term Bet 15 - 20 Y was 42.62%, occurring on Apr 6, 2025. Recovery took 46 trading sessions.
The current Long Term Bet 15 - 20 Y drawdown is 36.44%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -42.62% | Feb 11, 2025 | 55 | Apr 6, 2025 | 46 | May 22, 2025 | 101 |
| -41.02% | Oct 16, 2025 | 166 | Mar 30, 2026 | — | — | — |
| -23.6% | Aug 2, 2023 | 86 | Oct 26, 2023 | 88 | Jan 22, 2024 | 174 |
| -22.26% | May 10, 2024 | 88 | Aug 5, 2024 | 46 | Sep 20, 2024 | 134 |
| -16.3% | Dec 1, 2022 | 28 | Dec 28, 2022 | 30 | Jan 27, 2023 | 58 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 15 assets, with an effective number of assets of 15.00, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests that the portfolio's investments are spread across a variety of assets, indicating a well-diversified allocation. However, true diversification also depends on the correlations between assets.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | ALMU | BTC-USD | OKLO | DAVE | RGTI | APP | SNOW | AVGO | VRT | CRDO | ANET | SOFI | RKLB | NET | IONQ | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | 0.15 | 0.34 | 0.30 | 0.37 | 0.40 | 0.51 | 0.53 | 0.65 | 0.60 | 0.52 | 0.59 | 0.56 | 0.48 | 0.56 | 0.45 | 0.64 |
| ALMU | 0.15 | 1.00 | 0.11 | 0.14 | 0.11 | 0.13 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.13 | 0.15 | 0.12 | 0.17 | 0.11 | 0.14 | 0.28 |
| BTC-USD | 0.34 | 0.11 | 1.00 | 0.18 | 0.19 | 0.21 | 0.20 | 0.19 | 0.17 | 0.20 | 0.19 | 0.16 | 0.25 | 0.26 | 0.22 | 0.25 | 0.41 |
| OKLO | 0.30 | 0.14 | 0.18 | 1.00 | 0.25 | 0.32 | 0.25 | 0.20 | 0.25 | 0.29 | 0.28 | 0.25 | 0.29 | 0.35 | 0.24 | 0.36 | 0.48 |
| DAVE | 0.37 | 0.11 | 0.19 | 0.25 | 1.00 | 0.34 | 0.30 | 0.27 | 0.22 | 0.24 | 0.22 | 0.22 | 0.37 | 0.34 | 0.27 | 0.31 | 0.53 |
| RGTI | 0.40 | 0.13 | 0.21 | 0.32 | 0.34 | 1.00 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.28 | 0.28 | 0.29 | 0.26 | 0.40 | 0.44 | 0.34 | 0.58 | 0.63 |
| APP | 0.51 | 0.11 | 0.20 | 0.25 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 1.00 | 0.38 | 0.38 | 0.38 | 0.39 | 0.41 | 0.39 | 0.34 | 0.42 | 0.40 | 0.56 |
| SNOW | 0.53 | 0.11 | 0.19 | 0.20 | 0.27 | 0.30 | 0.38 | 1.00 | 0.37 | 0.37 | 0.39 | 0.42 | 0.42 | 0.39 | 0.60 | 0.41 | 0.52 |
| AVGO | 0.65 | 0.11 | 0.17 | 0.25 | 0.22 | 0.28 | 0.38 | 0.37 | 1.00 | 0.52 | 0.55 | 0.57 | 0.31 | 0.33 | 0.41 | 0.32 | 0.49 |
| VRT | 0.60 | 0.11 | 0.20 | 0.29 | 0.24 | 0.28 | 0.38 | 0.37 | 0.52 | 1.00 | 0.51 | 0.55 | 0.35 | 0.35 | 0.42 | 0.34 | 0.54 |
| CRDO | 0.52 | 0.13 | 0.19 | 0.28 | 0.22 | 0.29 | 0.39 | 0.39 | 0.55 | 0.51 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 0.37 | 0.37 | 0.43 | 0.39 | 0.56 |
| ANET | 0.59 | 0.15 | 0.16 | 0.25 | 0.22 | 0.26 | 0.41 | 0.42 | 0.57 | 0.55 | 0.50 | 1.00 | 0.34 | 0.32 | 0.45 | 0.35 | 0.53 |
| SOFI | 0.56 | 0.12 | 0.25 | 0.29 | 0.37 | 0.40 | 0.39 | 0.42 | 0.31 | 0.35 | 0.37 | 0.34 | 1.00 | 0.48 | 0.47 | 0.49 | 0.57 |
| RKLB | 0.48 | 0.17 | 0.26 | 0.35 | 0.34 | 0.44 | 0.34 | 0.39 | 0.33 | 0.35 | 0.37 | 0.32 | 0.48 | 1.00 | 0.40 | 0.55 | 0.62 |
| NET | 0.56 | 0.11 | 0.22 | 0.24 | 0.27 | 0.34 | 0.42 | 0.60 | 0.41 | 0.42 | 0.43 | 0.45 | 0.47 | 0.40 | 1.00 | 0.41 | 0.57 |
| IONQ | 0.45 | 0.14 | 0.25 | 0.36 | 0.31 | 0.58 | 0.40 | 0.41 | 0.32 | 0.34 | 0.39 | 0.35 | 0.49 | 0.55 | 0.41 | 1.00 | 0.65 |
| Portfolio | 0.64 | 0.28 | 0.41 | 0.48 | 0.53 | 0.63 | 0.56 | 0.52 | 0.49 | 0.54 | 0.56 | 0.53 | 0.57 | 0.62 | 0.57 | 0.65 | 1.00 |