Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 6.67% | |
IONQ IonQ, Inc. | Technology | 6.67% |
RGTI Rigetti Computing Inc | Technology | 6.67% |
SOFI SoFi Technologies, Inc. | Financial Services | 6.67% |
DAVE Dave Inc. | Technology | 6.67% |
RKLB Rocket Lab USA, Inc. | Industrials | 6.67% |
OKLO Oklo Inc. | Utilities | 6.67% |
APP AppLovin Corporation | Communication Services | 6.67% |
SNOW Snowflake Inc. | Technology | 6.67% |
VRT Vertiv Holdings Co. | Industrials | 6.67% |
AVGO Broadcom Inc. | Technology | 6.67% |
NET Cloudflare, Inc. | Technology | 6.67% |
CRDO Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd | Technology | 6.67% |
ALMU Aeluma, Inc | Technology | 6.67% |
ANET Arista Networks, Inc. | Technology | 6.67% |
Find the right asset allocation for Long Term Bet 15 - 20 Y
Add portfolio to the optimizer to find optimal allocations for your target — whether that's maximizing returns, minimizing drawdowns, or balancing risk across holdings.
Open Portfolio OptimizerPerformance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Long Term Bet 15 - 20 Y, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every year.
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Returns By Period
| Position | 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.50% | 0.31% | 8.56% | 8.85% | 24.33% | 19.37% | 11.84% | 13.61% |
Portfolio Long Term Bet 15 - 20 Y | 0.10% | 4.03% | 17.20% | 14.25% | 63.03% | 126.86% | — | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
ALMU Aeluma, Inc | 1.45% | 1.37% | 46.77% | 38.84% | 88.27% | 113.21% | — | — |
ANET Arista Networks, Inc. | 4.37% | 14.98% | 24.58% | 30.84% | 76.76% | 57.04% | 48.31% | 43.12% |
APP AppLovin Corporation | 3.80% | -0.84% | -26.28% | -25.93% | 36.29% | 180.45% | 43.23% | — |
AVGO Broadcom Inc. | -0.91% | -10.14% | 10.62% | 6.58% | 54.87% | 67.17% | 55.09% | 40.96% |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 2.42% | -17.06% | -25.06% | -25.64% | -37.83% | 36.87% | 10.30% | 55.97% |
CRDO Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd | -5.27% | 45.68% | 74.31% | 74.28% | 241.28% | 142.90% | — | — |
DAVE Dave Inc. | 0.47% | 21.63% | 29.52% | 45.12% | 37.72% | 269.82% | -2.05% | — |
IONQ IonQ, Inc. | -0.24% | 11.36% | 28.93% | 14.90% | 52.88% | 75.90% | 40.49% | — |
NET Cloudflare, Inc. | 0.46% | 15.65% | 15.89% | 12.86% | 32.86% | 48.96% | 19.44% | — |
OKLO Oklo Inc. | -0.64% | -7.65% | -19.89% | -34.24% | -9.69% | 75.64% | — | — |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Nov 16, 2022, Long Term Bet 15 - 20 Y's average daily return is +0.24%, while the average monthly return is +7.65%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 0.8 years.
Historically, 66% of months were positive and 34% were negative. The best month was Nov 2024 with a return of +72.8%, while the worst month was Nov 2025 at -17.4%. The longest winning streak lasted 7 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 5 months.
On a daily basis, Long Term Bet 15 - 20 Y closed higher 54% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +16.4%, while the worst single day was Jan 27, 2025 at -11.7%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -7.06% | -4.51% | -8.50% | 32.63% | 19.00% | -8.55% | 17.20% | ||||||
| 2025 | 11.11% | -14.77% | -17.04% | 14.34% | 41.92% | 16.44% | 14.09% | 2.50% | 13.28% | 16.23% | -17.43% | -2.93% | 83.19% |
| 2024 | 9.06% | 19.64% | 7.27% | 0.39% | 2.73% | -5.48% | 1.04% | 2.80% | 12.17% | 18.84% | 72.75% | 30.26% | 325.07% |
| 2023 | 16.40% | 2.50% | 3.39% | -3.26% | 26.29% | 10.24% | 22.72% | -1.10% | -10.41% | -7.23% | 9.30% | 10.81% | 102.98% |
| 2022 | -3.49% | -11.98% | -15.05% |
Benchmark Metrics
Long Term Bet 15 - 20 Y has an annualized alpha of 63.34%, beta of 2.11, and R2 of 0.44 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since November 16, 2022.
- This portfolio captured 473.72% of S&P 500 Index gains but only 80.49% of its losses - a favorable profile for investors.
- R2 of 0.44 means the benchmark explains less than half of this portfolio's behavior - treat beta with caution or consider switching to a more representative benchmark.
- Alpha
- 63.34%
- Beta
- 2.11
- R²
- 0.44
- Upside Capture
- 473.72%
- Downside Capture
- 80.49%
Expense Ratio
Long Term Bet 15 - 20 Y has an expense ratio of 0.00%, meaning no management fees are charged. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
Long Term Bet 15 - 20 Y ranks 15 for risk / return — in the bottom 15% of Portfolios on our site. This means you're taking on significantly more risk than the returns justify. Consider whether the potential upside is worth the volatility, or explore alternatives with better risk / return profiles.
Return / Risk — by metrics
The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for Long Term Bet 15 - 20 Y and compares them with S&P 500 Index.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 1.31 | 1.86 | -0.55 |
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 1.87 | 2.53 | -0.66 |
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.22 | 1.34 | -0.12 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 1.54 | 2.53 | -1.00 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 3.32 | 11.37 | -8.05 |
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Position | Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ALMU Aeluma, Inc | 61 | 0.36 | 1.50 | 1.18 | 0.85 | 1.62 |
ANET Arista Networks, Inc. | 77 | 1.32 | 1.90 | 1.24 | 2.50 | 5.20 |
APP AppLovin Corporation | 57 | 0.43 | 1.02 | 1.13 | 0.61 | 1.22 |
AVGO Broadcom Inc. | 73 | 1.11 | 1.69 | 1.22 | 1.77 | 4.11 |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 36 | -0.88 | -1.20 | 0.88 | -0.74 | -1.28 |
CRDO Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd | 90 | 2.79 | 2.95 | 1.35 | 4.46 | 10.76 |
DAVE Dave Inc. | 52 | 0.28 | 0.89 | 1.11 | 0.46 | 0.82 |
IONQ IonQ, Inc. | 60 | 0.53 | 1.43 | 1.16 | 0.73 | 1.33 |
NET Cloudflare, Inc. | 61 | 0.57 | 1.09 | 1.15 | 0.92 | 1.98 |
OKLO Oklo Inc. | 41 | -0.11 | 0.60 | 1.06 | -0.15 | -0.24 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
Long Term Bet 15 - 20 Y provided a 0.05% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 0.05% | 0.05% | 0.07% | 0.12% | 0.21% | 0.15% | 0.21% | 0.24% | 0.21% | 0.12% | 0.10% | 0.08% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
ALMU Aeluma, Inc | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
ANET Arista Networks, Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
APP AppLovin Corporation | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
AVGO Broadcom Inc. | 0.65% | 0.70% | 0.94% | 1.71% | 3.02% | 2.24% | 3.05% | 3.54% | 3.11% | 1.87% | 1.43% | 1.13% |
BTC-USD Bitcoin | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
CRDO Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
DAVE Dave Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
IONQ IonQ, Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
NET Cloudflare, Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
OKLO Oklo Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Long Term Bet 15 - 20 Y. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the Long Term Bet 15 - 20 Y was 42.62%, occurring on Apr 6, 2025. Recovery took 46 trading sessions.
The current Long Term Bet 15 - 20 Y drawdown is 10.66%.
Related event | Drawdown | Fall | Recovery | Underwater |
|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 selloff2025 | -42.62%Apr 2025 | 1mo 24d | 1mo 16d | 3mo 10dFeb 2025 - May 2025 |
2026 bear market2026 | -41.02%Mar 2026 | 5mo 15d | 2mo 4d | 7mo 19dOct 2025 - Jun 2026 |
2023 bear market2023 | -23.60%Oct 2023 | 2mo 25d | 2mo 28d | 5mo 23dAug 2023 - Jan 2024 |
2024 bear market2024 | -22.26%Aug 2024 | 2mo 27d | 1mo 16d | 4mo 13dMay 2024 - Sep 2024 |
Bear market2022 | -18.96%Dec 2022 | 1mo 12d | 1mo 5d | 2mo 17dNov 2022 - Feb 2023 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 15 assets, with an effective number of assets of 15.00, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your capital is spread almost evenly across your holdings, indicating a well-balanced allocation. Note that true diversification also depends on the correlations between assets — check the diversification ratio below.
Diversification Ratio
1Y | 3Y | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|
Diversification Ratio | 1.65 | 1.71 | 1.75 |
The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.75, in line with the typical range across portfolios. There's room to improve by adding less correlated assets.
Long Term Bet 15 - 20 Y correlation to the S&P 500 Index
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.66 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.64 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Nov 16, 2022 | 0.65 |
Benchmark Correlations
Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. AVGO has the highest benchmark correlation at 0.65, while ALMU has the lowest at 0.17.
Asset Correlations Table
Find what Long Term Bet 15 - 20 Y is missing
See which holdings overlap, where Long Term Bet 15 - 20 Y is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.
Analyze Diversification