Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | Technology | 13.12% |
ET Energy Transfer LP | Energy | 12.44% |
SHW The Sherwin-Williams Company | Basic Materials | 10.83% |
VXUS Vanguard Total International Stock ETF | Global Equities | 9.80% |
VOO Vanguard S&P 500 ETF | S&P 500 | 9.61% |
RVMD Revolution Medicines, Inc. | Healthcare | 8.45% |
BND Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF | Total Bond Market | 7.98% |
NBIX Neurocrine Biosciences, Inc. | Healthcare | 7.48% |
VTEB Vanguard Tax-Exempt Bond ETF | Municipal Bonds | 7.46% |
VHT Vanguard Health Care ETF | Health & Biotech Equities | 6.62% |
XBI SPDR S&P Biotech ETF | Health & Biotech Equities | 6.21% |
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Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Modified v3, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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Returns By Period
| Position | 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 1.65% | 1.97% | 10.35% | 10.82% | 26.39% | 19.66% | 12.33% | 13.81% |
Portfolio Modified v3 | 1.41% | 1.65% | 16.89% | 17.09% | 39.86% | 29.21% | 20.74% | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
BND Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF | 0.08% | 1.11% | 0.60% | 0.87% | 4.86% | 4.03% | 0.16% | 1.57% |
ET Energy Transfer LP | -0.84% | -6.15% | 18.84% | 18.77% | 11.20% | 23.21% | 19.85% | 12.78% |
NBIX Neurocrine Biosciences, Inc. | -0.16% | 0.69% | 12.47% | 3.54% | 28.23% | 17.79% | 10.10% | 13.68% |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | 3.54% | -5.60% | 14.05% | 20.66% | 49.84% | 70.84% | 64.29% | 68.59% |
RVMD Revolution Medicines, Inc. | 4.02% | 9.89% | 100.95% | 102.61% | 294.33% | 86.64% | 35.73% | — |
SHW The Sherwin-Williams Company | 0.93% | 6.99% | -0.69% | -2.03% | -3.77% | 9.88% | 4.52% | 13.83% |
VHT Vanguard Health Care ETF | -0.29% | 5.54% | -0.41% | -0.95% | 16.15% | 6.96% | 4.83% | 9.99% |
VOO Vanguard S&P 500 ETF | 1.74% | 2.12% | 10.99% | 11.51% | 27.95% | 21.25% | 13.93% | 15.72% |
VTEB Vanguard Tax-Exempt Bond ETF | 0.10% | 1.32% | 1.54% | 1.95% | 6.68% | 3.38% | 0.88% | 2.02% |
VXUS Vanguard Total International Stock ETF | 1.52% | 4.66% | 15.42% | 16.87% | 32.10% | 18.53% | 8.83% | 10.23% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Feb 13, 2020, Modified v3's average daily return is +0.09%, while the average monthly return is +1.84%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 3.2 years.
Historically, 65% of months were positive and 35% were negative. The best month was Apr 2020 with a return of +22.6%, while the worst month was Mar 2020 at -15.8%. The longest winning streak lasted 7 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 3 months.
On a daily basis, Modified v3 closed higher 55% of trading days. The best single day was Mar 24, 2020 with a return of +8.2%, while the worst single day was Mar 16, 2020 at -12.1%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 5.23% | 1.14% | -3.54% | 8.76% | 3.72% | 0.93% | 16.89% | ||||||
| 2025 | 1.74% | -2.08% | -5.37% | -0.14% | 5.44% | 3.63% | 1.56% | 3.07% | 3.76% | 4.79% | 3.47% | -0.24% | 20.86% |
| 2024 | 3.56% | 7.62% | 5.75% | -2.66% | 5.46% | 3.25% | 4.25% | 0.67% | 0.91% | 1.57% | 6.72% | -5.56% | 35.43% |
| 2023 | 8.70% | -0.02% | 2.63% | 2.61% | 3.37% | 6.10% | 3.70% | 2.86% | -5.21% | -6.11% | 9.86% | 7.55% | 40.80% |
| 2022 | -6.60% | -0.45% | 5.69% | -8.86% | -0.02% | -6.38% | 8.65% | -3.42% | -7.76% | 7.09% | 9.65% | -4.66% | -9.17% |
| 2021 | 1.66% | 4.26% | -0.05% | 2.94% | 3.45% | 5.40% | -1.68% | 3.25% | -3.67% | 6.98% | 0.44% | -0.98% | 23.71% |
Benchmark Metrics
Modified v3 has an annualized alpha of 10.05%, beta of 0.87, and R2 of 0.77 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since February 13, 2020.
- This portfolio captured 114.23% of S&P 500 Index gains but only 82.30% of its losses - a favorable profile for investors.
- This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 10.05% versus S&P 500 Index - delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
- With beta of 0.87 and R2 of 0.77, this portfolio moves broadly in line with S&P 500 Index - much of its variation is explained by market exposure rather than independent behavior.
- Alpha
- 10.05%
- Beta
- 0.87
- R²
- 0.77
- Upside Capture
- 114.23%
- Downside Capture
- 82.30%
Expense Ratio
Modified v3 has an expense ratio of 0.04%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
Modified v3 ranks 90 for risk / return — in the top 90% of Portfolios on our site. This means strong returns relative to risk — exactly what professional investors look for. Well-suited for investors who want to maximize return per unit of risk.
Return / Risk — by metrics
The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for Modified v3 and compares them with S&P 500 Index.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 2.97 | 2.14 | +0.84 |
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 4.27 | 2.89 | +1.38 |
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.55 | 1.39 | +0.16 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 5.66 | 2.91 | +2.75 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 21.55 | 13.08 | +8.47 |
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Position | Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BND Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF | 40 | 1.31 | 1.97 | 1.23 | 1.82 | 5.29 |
ET Energy Transfer LP | 63 | 0.70 | 1.14 | 1.13 | 1.28 | 2.91 |
NBIX Neurocrine Biosciences, Inc. | 67 | 0.90 | 1.39 | 1.19 | 1.36 | 2.98 |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | 78 | 1.43 | 2.00 | 1.24 | 2.48 | 5.89 |
RVMD Revolution Medicines, Inc. | 98 | 4.41 | 5.59 | 1.78 | 11.88 | 28.48 |
SHW The Sherwin-Williams Company | 34 | -0.15 | -0.05 | 0.99 | -0.18 | -0.37 |
VHT Vanguard Health Care ETF | 33 | 1.10 | 1.74 | 1.20 | 1.56 | 3.87 |
VOO Vanguard S&P 500 ETF | 78 | 2.28 | 3.07 | 1.42 | 3.15 | 14.25 |
VTEB Vanguard Tax-Exempt Bond ETF | 76 | 2.52 | 3.71 | 1.55 | 2.48 | 8.75 |
VXUS Vanguard Total International Stock ETF | 67 | 2.01 | 2.73 | 1.37 | 2.86 | 11.00 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
Modified v3 provided a 2.05% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 2.05% | 2.20% | 1.99% | 2.20% | 1.95% | 1.79% | 3.03% | 2.30% | 2.31% | 1.85% | 1.85% | 2.04% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
BND Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF | 3.95% | 3.86% | 3.67% | 3.09% | 2.60% | 2.12% | 2.38% | 2.72% | 2.81% | 2.54% | 2.51% | 2.57% |
ET Energy Transfer LP | 7.06% | 7.97% | 6.51% | 8.95% | 7.33% | 7.41% | 17.27% | 9.51% | 9.24% | 6.66% | 5.90% | 7.42% |
NBIX Neurocrine Biosciences, Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | 0.13% | 0.02% | 0.03% | 0.03% | 0.11% | 0.05% | 0.12% | 0.27% | 0.46% | 0.29% | 0.45% | 1.20% |
RVMD Revolution Medicines, Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
SHW The Sherwin-Williams Company | 0.99% | 0.98% | 0.84% | 0.78% | 1.01% | 0.62% | 0.73% | 0.77% | 0.87% | 0.83% | 1.25% | 1.03% |
VHT Vanguard Health Care ETF | 1.64% | 1.61% | 1.53% | 1.36% | 1.33% | 1.14% | 1.21% | 1.89% | 1.38% | 1.31% | 1.45% | 1.22% |
VOO Vanguard S&P 500 ETF | 1.03% | 1.13% | 1.24% | 1.46% | 1.69% | 1.25% | 1.54% | 1.88% | 2.06% | 1.78% | 2.02% | 2.10% |
VTEB Vanguard Tax-Exempt Bond ETF | 3.35% | 3.29% | 3.14% | 2.79% | 2.09% | 1.64% | 1.99% | 2.30% | 2.25% | 1.96% | 1.66% | 0.58% |
VXUS Vanguard Total International Stock ETF | 2.63% | 3.18% | 3.37% | 3.24% | 3.09% | 3.10% | 2.14% | 3.06% | 3.18% | 2.73% | 2.93% | 2.83% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Modified v3. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the Modified v3 was 31.69%, occurring on Mar 18, 2020. Recovery took 42 trading sessions.
The current Modified v3 drawdown is 0.45%.
Related event | Drawdown | Fall | Recovery | Underwater |
|---|---|---|---|---|
COVID crash2020 | -31.69%Mar 2020 | 27d | 2mo 1d | 2mo 28dFeb 2020 - May 2020 |
Bear market2022 | -23.94%Sep 2022 | 10mo 21d | 6mo 25d | 1y 5moNov 2021 - Apr 2023 |
2025 selloff2025 | -20.68%Apr 2025 | 4mo 7d | 4mo 6d | 8mo 13dDec 2024 - Aug 2025 |
2023 correction2023 | -12.87%Oct 2023 | 1mo 22d | 1mo 17d | 3mo 9dSep 2023 - Dec 2023 |
2020 pullback2020 | -9.42%Oct 2020 | 16d | 24d | 1mo 10dOct 2020 - Nov 2020 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 11 assets, with an effective number of assets of 10.40, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your capital is spread almost evenly across your holdings, indicating a well-balanced allocation. Note that true diversification also depends on the correlations between assets — check the diversification ratio below.
Diversification Ratio
1Y | 3Y | 5Y | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Diversification Ratio | 1.78 | 1.62 | 1.54 | 1.51 |
The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.51, in line with the typical range across portfolios. There's room to improve by adding less correlated assets.
Modified v3 correlation to the S&P 500 Index
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.73 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.79 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.83 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Feb 13, 2020 | 0.83 |
Benchmark Correlations
Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. VOO has the highest benchmark correlation at 1.00, while BND has the lowest at 0.15.
Asset Correlations Table
| VTEB | BND | ET | NBIX | RVMD | SHW | NVDA | VHT | XBI | VXUS | VOO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VTEB | 1.00 | 0.69 | -0.02 | 0.08 | 0.11 | 0.25 | 0.10 | 0.17 | 0.18 | 0.21 | 0.17 |
| BND | 0.69 | 1.00 | -0.06 | 0.06 | 0.11 | 0.29 | 0.09 | 0.19 | 0.18 | 0.18 | 0.15 |
| ET | -0.02 | -0.06 | 1.00 | 0.15 | 0.16 | 0.15 | 0.22 | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.38 | 0.39 |
| NBIX | 0.08 | 0.06 | 0.15 | 1.00 | 0.31 | 0.19 | 0.21 | 0.44 | 0.53 | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| RVMD | 0.11 | 0.11 | 0.16 | 0.31 | 1.00 | 0.22 | 0.26 | 0.40 | 0.63 | 0.35 | 0.38 |
| SHW | 0.25 | 0.29 | 0.15 | 0.19 | 0.22 | 1.00 | 0.33 | 0.55 | 0.39 | 0.48 | 0.58 |
| NVDA | 0.10 | 0.09 | 0.22 | 0.21 | 0.26 | 0.33 | 1.00 | 0.35 | 0.42 | 0.51 | 0.67 |
| VHT | 0.17 | 0.19 | 0.25 | 0.44 | 0.40 | 0.55 | 0.35 | 1.00 | 0.65 | 0.58 | 0.68 |
| XBI | 0.18 | 0.18 | 0.25 | 0.53 | 0.63 | 0.39 | 0.42 | 0.65 | 1.00 | 0.54 | 0.57 |
| VXUS | 0.21 | 0.18 | 0.38 | 0.29 | 0.35 | 0.48 | 0.51 | 0.58 | 0.54 | 1.00 | 0.79 |
| VOO | 0.17 | 0.15 | 0.39 | 0.33 | 0.38 | 0.58 | 0.67 | 0.68 | 0.57 | 0.79 | 1.00 |
Find what Modified v3 is missing
See which holdings overlap, where Modified v3 is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.
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