Asset Allocation
Find the right asset allocation for 2026 January
Add portfolio to the optimizer to find optimal allocations for your target — whether that's maximizing returns, minimizing drawdowns, or balancing risk across holdings.
Open Portfolio OptimizerPerformance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in 2026 January, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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Returns By Period
| Position | 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.50% | 0.31% | 8.56% | 8.85% | 24.33% | 19.37% | 11.84% | 13.61% |
Portfolio 2026 January | 0.66% | -0.66% | 10.68% | 12.56% | 38.86% | — | — | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
AVDV Avantis International Small Cap Value ETF | 0.89% | 0.12% | 14.99% | 17.18% | 41.91% | 26.72% | 13.63% | — |
FMTM MarketDesk Focused U.S. Momentum ETF | 0.84% | 1.16% | 28.93% | 30.60% | 60.58% | — | — | — |
IAUM iShares Gold Trust Micro | 0.10% | -7.37% | -2.40% | -2.08% | 22.55% | 29.28% | — | — |
IMOM Alpha Architect International Quantitative Momentum ETF | 1.30% | -0.87% | 16.29% | 18.55% | 39.37% | 23.40% | 8.18% | 7.94% |
SGOV iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF | 0.02% | 0.26% | 1.61% | 1.78% | 3.91% | 4.71% | 3.56% | — |
SHLD Global X Defense Tech ETF | -2.04% | 2.37% | -1.50% | -1.03% | 8.26% | — | — | — |
SLVP iShares MSCI Global Silver and Metals Miners ETF | 3.38% | -11.10% | -5.37% | -0.60% | 81.81% | 48.97% | 14.15% | 12.67% |
VEA Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF | 0.34% | 3.58% | 14.73% | 16.65% | 31.41% | 19.03% | 9.51% | 10.72% |
VT Vanguard Total World Stock ETF | 0.44% | 1.80% | 11.06% | 11.82% | 27.43% | 19.71% | 10.65% | 12.93% |
XAR SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF | -1.55% | 7.38% | 16.10% | 18.39% | 42.07% | 33.32% | 16.58% | 18.45% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Mar 20, 2025, 2026 January's average daily return is +0.14%, while the average monthly return is +2.75%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 2.1 years.
Historically, 81% of months were positive and 19% were negative. The best month was Sep 2025 with a return of +8.4%, while the worst month was Mar 2026 at -9.9%. The longest winning streak lasted 11 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 1 months.
On a daily basis, 2026 January closed higher 61% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +6.5%, while the worst single day was Apr 4, 2025 at -6.4%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 8.14% | 7.16% | -9.91% | 5.68% | 3.24% | -2.82% | 10.68% | ||||||
| 2025 | -1.71% | 3.07% | 4.59% | 5.08% | 0.22% | 5.53% | 8.37% | 1.27% | 3.00% | 3.10% | 37.23% |
Benchmark Metrics
2026 January has an annualized alpha of 19.56%, beta of 0.76, and R2 of 0.51 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since March 20, 2025.
- This portfolio captured 123.90% of S&P 500 Index gains but only 21.89% of its losses - a favorable profile for investors.
- This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 19.56% versus S&P 500 Index - delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
- Alpha
- 19.56%
- Beta
- 0.76
- R²
- 0.51
- Upside Capture
- 123.90%
- Downside Capture
- 21.89%
Expense Ratio
2026 January has an expense ratio of 0.27%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
2026 January ranks 58 for risk / return — on par with similar Portfolios. You're getting a typical balance of risk and reward. Not a standout, but not a red flag either — a reasonable choice if other factors align with your goals.
Return / Risk — by metrics
The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for 2026 January and compares them with S&P 500 Index.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 2.16 | 1.86 | +0.30 |
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 2.78 | 2.53 | +0.25 |
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.39 | 1.34 | +0.05 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 2.94 | 2.53 | +0.41 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 10.95 | 11.37 | -0.42 |
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Position | Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AVDV Avantis International Small Cap Value ETF | 80 | 2.53 | 3.36 | 1.46 | 3.12 | 12.44 |
FMTM MarketDesk Focused U.S. Momentum ETF | 86 | 2.55 | 3.13 | 1.43 | 4.98 | 19.05 |
IAUM iShares Gold Trust Micro | 26 | 0.90 | 1.26 | 1.19 | 1.00 | 2.87 |
IMOM Alpha Architect International Quantitative Momentum ETF | 63 | 1.92 | 2.60 | 1.35 | 2.52 | 10.23 |
SGOV iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF | 100 | 20.28 | 275.69 | 195.55 | 398.20 | 4,461.98 |
SHLD Global X Defense Tech ETF | 16 | 0.43 | 0.78 | 1.09 | 0.52 | 1.28 |
SLVP iShares MSCI Global Silver and Metals Miners ETF | 45 | 1.54 | 1.95 | 1.26 | 2.21 | 5.86 |
VEA Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF | 60 | 1.81 | 2.50 | 1.33 | 2.58 | 9.92 |
VT Vanguard Total World Stock ETF | 65 | 1.94 | 2.67 | 1.35 | 2.68 | 11.67 |
XAR SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF | 48 | 1.50 | 2.20 | 1.25 | 2.43 | 6.81 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
2026 January provided a 1.93% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 1.93% | 1.92% | 2.34% | 1.97% | 1.88% | 1.17% | 0.97% | 0.98% | 0.88% | 0.74% | 0.92% | 0.74% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
AVDV Avantis International Small Cap Value ETF | 4.11% | 3.05% | 4.31% | 3.29% | 3.17% | 2.39% | 1.67% | 0.36% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
FMTM MarketDesk Focused U.S. Momentum ETF | 0.23% | 0.30% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
IAUM iShares Gold Trust Micro | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
IMOM Alpha Architect International Quantitative Momentum ETF | 2.17% | 2.53% | 4.52% | 2.95% | 6.06% | 1.27% | 0.59% | 1.17% | 0.78% | 1.11% | 0.54% | 0.00% |
SGOV iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF | 3.85% | 4.10% | 5.10% | 4.87% | 1.45% | 0.03% | 0.05% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
SHLD Global X Defense Tech ETF | 0.56% | 0.55% | 0.53% | 0.26% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
SLVP iShares MSCI Global Silver and Metals Miners ETF | 1.88% | 1.78% | 1.05% | 0.88% | 0.63% | 1.63% | 2.39% | 2.03% | 1.28% | 0.85% | 2.32% | 0.72% |
VEA Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF | 2.62% | 3.22% | 3.35% | 3.15% | 2.91% | 3.16% | 2.04% | 3.04% | 3.35% | 2.77% | 3.05% | 2.92% |
VT Vanguard Total World Stock ETF | 1.61% | 1.82% | 1.95% | 2.08% | 2.20% | 1.82% | 1.66% | 2.32% | 2.53% | 2.11% | 2.39% | 2.45% |
XAR SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF | 0.31% | 0.40% | 0.66% | 0.54% | 0.50% | 0.83% | 0.63% | 0.75% | 1.19% | 0.76% | 1.09% | 2.31% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the 2026 January. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the 2026 January was 13.23%, occurring on Mar 30, 2026. The portfolio has not yet recovered.
The current 2026 January drawdown is 4.49%.
Related event | Drawdown | Fall | Recovery | Underwater |
|---|---|---|---|---|
2026 correction2026 | -13.23%Mar 2026 | 28d | — | 3mo 15dMar 2026 - now |
2025 selloff2025 | -10.42%Apr 2025 | 19d | 16d | 1mo 5dMar 2025 - Apr 2025 |
2026 pullback2026 | -6.06%Feb 2026 | 7d | 15d | 22dJan 2026 - Feb 2026 |
2025 pullback2025 | -5.10%Nov 2025 | 7d | 8d | 15dNov 2025 - Nov 2025 |
2025 pullback2025 | -3.05%Oct 2025 | 1d | 6d | 7dOct 2025 - Oct 2025 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 10 assets, with an effective number of assets of 8.98, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your capital is well-distributed across most of your holdings, with only mild concentration in a few names. True diversification also depends on the correlations between assets — check the diversification ratio below.
Diversification Ratio
1Y | All Time | |
|---|---|---|
Diversification Ratio | 1.23 | 1.23 |
The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.23, in line with the typical range across portfolios. There's room to improve by adding less correlated assets.
2026 January correlation to the S&P 500 Index
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.72 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Mar 20, 2025 | 0.65 |
Benchmark Correlations
Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. VT has the highest benchmark correlation at 0.96, while SGOV has the lowest at -0.09.
Asset Correlations Table
| SGOV | IAUM | SHLD | SLVP | XAR | FMTM | IMOM | AVDV | VT | VEA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SGOV | 1.00 | -0.05 | -0.04 | -0.06 | -0.03 | -0.11 | -0.14 | -0.09 | -0.10 | -0.12 |
| IAUM | -0.05 | 1.00 | 0.27 | 0.74 | 0.20 | 0.25 | 0.39 | 0.49 | 0.23 | 0.38 |
| SHLD | -0.04 | 0.27 | 1.00 | 0.33 | 0.76 | 0.43 | 0.53 | 0.41 | 0.44 | 0.42 |
| SLVP | -0.06 | 0.74 | 0.33 | 1.00 | 0.32 | 0.41 | 0.49 | 0.58 | 0.40 | 0.49 |
| XAR | -0.03 | 0.20 | 0.76 | 0.32 | 1.00 | 0.57 | 0.55 | 0.52 | 0.65 | 0.55 |
| FMTM | -0.11 | 0.25 | 0.43 | 0.41 | 0.57 | 1.00 | 0.60 | 0.57 | 0.74 | 0.65 |
| IMOM | -0.14 | 0.39 | 0.53 | 0.49 | 0.55 | 0.60 | 1.00 | 0.82 | 0.71 | 0.81 |
| AVDV | -0.09 | 0.49 | 0.41 | 0.58 | 0.52 | 0.57 | 0.82 | 1.00 | 0.76 | 0.90 |
| VT | -0.10 | 0.23 | 0.44 | 0.40 | 0.65 | 0.74 | 0.71 | 0.76 | 1.00 | 0.90 |
| VEA | -0.12 | 0.38 | 0.42 | 0.49 | 0.55 | 0.65 | 0.81 | 0.90 | 0.90 | 1.00 |
Find what 2026 January is missing
See which holdings overlap, where 2026 January is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.
Analyze Diversification