Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
AAPL Apple Inc | Technology | 1.30% |
AMZN Amazon.com, Inc | Consumer Cyclical | 1.70% |
GOOG Alphabet Inc | Communication Services | 2.10% |
GSY Invesco Ultra Short Duration ETF | Ultrashort Bond | 10% |
IAU iShares Gold Trust | Gold, Precious Metals | 19.40% |
META Meta Platforms, Inc. | Communication Services | 1.90% |
MSFT Microsoft Corporation | Technology | 1.10% |
NFLX Netflix, Inc. | Communication Services | 2.30% |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | Technology | 1.10% |
SCHD Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF | Dividend | 17.70% |
SGOV iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF | Ultrashort Bond | 5% |
SHV iShares Short Treasury Bond ETF | Government Bonds | 5% |
SLV iShares Silver Trust | Precious Metals | 4.30% |
SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | S&P 500 | 20% |
TBIL US Treasury 3 Month Bill ETF | Ultrashort Bond | 5% |
TSLA Tesla, Inc. | Consumer Cyclical | 2.10% |
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in Early Retirement The One w/ SPY, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every year.
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The earliest data available for this chart is Aug 9, 2022, corresponding to the inception date of TBIL
Returns By Period
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.11% | -4.18% | -3.84% | -1.98% | 21.98% | 16.86% | 10.37% | 12.29% |
Portfolio Early Retirement The One w/ SPY | -0.51% | -4.32% | 2.20% | 9.12% | 29.68% | 22.11% | — | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
IAU iShares Gold Trust | -1.94% | -9.01% | 8.34% | 20.10% | 50.07% | 32.68% | 21.72% | 14.14% |
GSY Invesco Ultra Short Duration ETF | 0.06% | 0.20% | 0.88% | 1.91% | 4.54% | 5.48% | 3.53% | 2.84% |
MSFT Microsoft Corporation | 1.11% | -7.83% | -22.60% | -27.51% | 0.86% | 10.00% | 9.94% | 22.58% |
AAPL Apple Inc | 0.11% | -2.51% | -5.78% | -0.62% | 26.50% | 16.04% | 16.39% | 26.10% |
GOOG Alphabet Inc | -0.15% | -2.89% | -6.10% | 19.64% | 93.59% | 41.44% | 22.67% | 23.06% |
TSLA Tesla, Inc. | -5.42% | -11.17% | -19.82% | -16.11% | 34.91% | 22.79% | 10.33% | 36.16% |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | 0.93% | -3.08% | -4.88% | -5.44% | 74.29% | 85.17% | 66.71% | 70.07% |
AMZN Amazon.com, Inc | -0.38% | -3.25% | -9.12% | -4.44% | 17.58% | 27.00% | 5.83% | 21.61% |
NFLX Netflix, Inc. | 3.25% | 0.00% | 5.23% | -14.46% | 7.58% | 41.49% | 12.83% | 25.19% |
META Meta Platforms, Inc. | -0.82% | -13.89% | -12.90% | -19.02% | 8.40% | 39.54% | 14.16% | 17.80% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Aug 10, 2022, Early Retirement The One w/ SPY's average daily return is +0.07%, while the average monthly return is +1.51%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 3.9 years.
Historically, 73% of months were positive and 27% were negative. The best month was Nov 2023 with a return of +6.2%, while the worst month was Mar 2026 at -5.4%. The longest winning streak lasted 11 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 3 months.
On a daily basis, Early Retirement The One w/ SPY closed higher 57% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +5.4%, while the worst single day was Jan 30, 2026 at -3.8%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 4.90% | 2.94% | -5.37% | 0.01% | 2.20% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 3.30% | -0.48% | -0.03% | 0.11% | 2.93% | 2.84% | 0.62% | 3.24% | 5.04% | 1.65% | 2.75% | 2.53% | 27.25% |
| 2024 | 0.40% | 2.98% | 3.81% | -1.23% | 3.90% | 1.83% | 2.00% | 1.71% | 2.89% | 1.30% | 2.66% | -1.19% | 22.99% |
| 2023 | 5.81% | -1.94% | 4.64% | 0.49% | 1.94% | 3.78% | 3.19% | -0.95% | -3.98% | -0.13% | 6.22% | 3.00% | 23.78% |
| 2022 | -3.47% | -4.64% | 3.02% | 5.26% | -2.10% | -2.28% |
Benchmark Metrics
Early Retirement The One w/ SPY has an annualized alpha of 11.10%, beta of 0.58, and R² of 0.72 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since August 10, 2022.
- This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (81.92%) than losses (40.41%) — typical of diversified or defensive assets.
- This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 11.10% versus S&P 500 Index — delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
- Beta of 0.58 indicates this portfolio moves significantly less than S&P 500 Index — a genuinely defensive profile with reduced participation in both market rallies and downturns.
- Alpha
- 11.10%
- Beta
- 0.58
- R²
- 0.72
- Upside Capture
- 81.92%
- Downside Capture
- 40.41%
Expense Ratio
Early Retirement The One w/ SPY has an expense ratio of 0.14%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
Early Retirement The One w/ SPY ranks 86 for risk / return — in the top 86% of portfolios on our site. This means strong returns relative to risk — exactly what professional investors look for. Well-suited for investors who want to maximize return per unit of risk.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 2.04 | 0.88 | +1.16 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 2.71 | 1.37 | +1.34 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.44 | 1.21 | +0.23 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 3.14 | 1.39 | +1.75 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 11.50 | 6.43 | +5.06 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
IAU iShares Gold Trust | 79 | 1.78 | 2.21 | 1.33 | 2.58 | 9.32 |
GSY Invesco Ultra Short Duration ETF | 99 | 10.83 | 24.61 | 6.50 | 25.76 | 180.21 |
MSFT Microsoft Corporation | 35 | -0.06 | 0.11 | 1.01 | -0.05 | -0.12 |
AAPL Apple Inc | 55 | 0.47 | 0.92 | 1.13 | 0.66 | 2.04 |
GOOG Alphabet Inc | 94 | 2.87 | 3.82 | 1.47 | 4.14 | 15.67 |
TSLA Tesla, Inc. | 60 | 0.50 | 1.10 | 1.13 | 1.25 | 3.01 |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | 81 | 1.47 | 2.17 | 1.27 | 3.02 | 7.54 |
AMZN Amazon.com, Inc | 46 | 0.20 | 0.55 | 1.07 | 0.42 | 1.00 |
NFLX Netflix, Inc. | 42 | 0.16 | 0.48 | 1.06 | 0.14 | 0.30 |
META Meta Platforms, Inc. | 36 | -0.03 | 0.25 | 1.03 | -0.05 | -0.12 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
Early Retirement The One w/ SPY provided a 1.90% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 1.90% | 1.98% | 2.20% | 2.14% | 1.32% | 0.81% | 1.07% | 1.29% | 1.31% | 1.08% | 1.11% | 1.12% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
IAU iShares Gold Trust | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
GSY Invesco Ultra Short Duration ETF | 4.42% | 4.56% | 5.31% | 4.95% | 1.70% | 0.58% | 1.45% | 2.71% | 2.30% | 1.80% | 1.21% | 1.17% |
MSFT Microsoft Corporation | 0.93% | 0.70% | 0.73% | 0.74% | 1.06% | 0.68% | 0.94% | 1.20% | 1.69% | 1.86% | 2.37% | 2.33% |
AAPL Apple Inc | 0.41% | 0.38% | 0.40% | 0.49% | 0.70% | 0.49% | 0.61% | 1.04% | 1.79% | 1.45% | 1.93% | 1.93% |
GOOG Alphabet Inc | 0.29% | 0.26% | 0.32% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
TSLA Tesla, Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | 0.02% | 0.02% | 0.03% | 0.03% | 0.11% | 0.05% | 0.12% | 0.27% | 0.46% | 0.29% | 0.45% | 1.20% |
AMZN Amazon.com, Inc | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
NFLX Netflix, Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
META Meta Platforms, Inc. | 0.37% | 0.32% | 0.34% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the Early Retirement The One w/ SPY. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the Early Retirement The One w/ SPY was 10.75%, occurring on Oct 14, 2022. Recovery took 69 trading sessions.
The current Early Retirement The One w/ SPY drawdown is 6.28%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -10.75% | Aug 15, 2022 | 44 | Oct 14, 2022 | 69 | Jan 25, 2023 | 113 |
| -9.26% | Feb 20, 2025 | 34 | Apr 8, 2025 | 24 | May 13, 2025 | 58 |
| -8.45% | Jan 30, 2026 | 39 | Mar 26, 2026 | — | — | — |
| -6.12% | Jul 20, 2023 | 53 | Oct 3, 2023 | 35 | Nov 21, 2023 | 88 |
| -5.54% | Jul 17, 2024 | 16 | Aug 7, 2024 | 10 | Aug 21, 2024 | 26 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 16 assets, with an effective number of assets of 7.65, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets indicates a moderate level of diversification, where some assets may have a more significant influence on overall performance.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | SGOV | TBIL | SHV | GSY | IAU | SLV | SCHD | TSLA | NFLX | AAPL | NVDA | META | GOOG | AMZN | MSFT | SPY | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | -0.02 | 0.05 | 0.03 | 0.12 | 0.14 | 0.24 | 0.67 | 0.56 | 0.49 | 0.65 | 0.67 | 0.64 | 0.64 | 0.68 | 0.71 | 1.00 | 0.83 |
| SGOV | -0.02 | 1.00 | 0.38 | 0.49 | 0.16 | -0.02 | -0.03 | -0.02 | -0.03 | -0.06 | -0.02 | -0.02 | -0.01 | -0.00 | -0.00 | -0.00 | -0.02 | -0.02 |
| TBIL | 0.05 | 0.38 | 1.00 | 0.42 | 0.24 | 0.05 | 0.02 | 0.05 | 0.03 | 0.06 | 0.03 | -0.02 | 0.05 | 0.03 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.05 | 0.06 |
| SHV | 0.03 | 0.49 | 0.42 | 1.00 | 0.39 | 0.12 | 0.06 | 0.05 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 0.03 | -0.01 | 0.04 | 0.06 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.04 | 0.08 |
| GSY | 0.12 | 0.16 | 0.24 | 0.39 | 1.00 | 0.28 | 0.19 | 0.11 | 0.06 | 0.12 | 0.09 | 0.03 | 0.07 | 0.08 | 0.09 | 0.07 | 0.12 | 0.19 |
| IAU | 0.14 | -0.02 | 0.05 | 0.12 | 0.28 | 1.00 | 0.76 | 0.13 | 0.05 | 0.13 | 0.05 | 0.07 | 0.10 | 0.13 | 0.09 | 0.08 | 0.15 | 0.57 |
| SLV | 0.24 | -0.03 | 0.02 | 0.06 | 0.19 | 0.76 | 1.00 | 0.18 | 0.11 | 0.17 | 0.13 | 0.17 | 0.16 | 0.19 | 0.18 | 0.17 | 0.24 | 0.59 |
| SCHD | 0.67 | -0.02 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.11 | 0.13 | 0.18 | 1.00 | 0.30 | 0.22 | 0.40 | 0.22 | 0.26 | 0.29 | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.67 | 0.60 |
| TSLA | 0.56 | -0.03 | 0.03 | 0.02 | 0.06 | 0.05 | 0.11 | 0.30 | 1.00 | 0.36 | 0.43 | 0.40 | 0.36 | 0.41 | 0.42 | 0.38 | 0.56 | 0.52 |
| NFLX | 0.49 | -0.06 | 0.06 | 0.01 | 0.12 | 0.13 | 0.17 | 0.22 | 0.36 | 1.00 | 0.38 | 0.41 | 0.46 | 0.35 | 0.45 | 0.46 | 0.49 | 0.49 |
| AAPL | 0.65 | -0.02 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.09 | 0.05 | 0.13 | 0.40 | 0.43 | 0.38 | 1.00 | 0.41 | 0.41 | 0.50 | 0.47 | 0.50 | 0.65 | 0.54 |
| NVDA | 0.67 | -0.02 | -0.02 | -0.01 | 0.03 | 0.07 | 0.17 | 0.22 | 0.40 | 0.41 | 0.41 | 1.00 | 0.52 | 0.45 | 0.52 | 0.58 | 0.67 | 0.57 |
| META | 0.64 | -0.01 | 0.05 | 0.04 | 0.07 | 0.10 | 0.16 | 0.26 | 0.36 | 0.46 | 0.41 | 0.52 | 1.00 | 0.55 | 0.60 | 0.60 | 0.63 | 0.58 |
| GOOG | 0.64 | -0.00 | 0.03 | 0.06 | 0.08 | 0.13 | 0.19 | 0.29 | 0.41 | 0.35 | 0.50 | 0.45 | 0.55 | 1.00 | 0.62 | 0.57 | 0.64 | 0.59 |
| AMZN | 0.68 | -0.00 | 0.02 | 0.05 | 0.09 | 0.09 | 0.18 | 0.30 | 0.42 | 0.45 | 0.47 | 0.52 | 0.60 | 0.62 | 1.00 | 0.64 | 0.68 | 0.59 |
| MSFT | 0.71 | -0.00 | 0.02 | 0.05 | 0.07 | 0.08 | 0.17 | 0.30 | 0.38 | 0.46 | 0.50 | 0.58 | 0.60 | 0.57 | 0.64 | 1.00 | 0.71 | 0.60 |
| SPY | 1.00 | -0.02 | 0.05 | 0.04 | 0.12 | 0.15 | 0.24 | 0.67 | 0.56 | 0.49 | 0.65 | 0.67 | 0.63 | 0.64 | 0.68 | 0.71 | 1.00 | 0.83 |
| Portfolio | 0.83 | -0.02 | 0.06 | 0.08 | 0.19 | 0.57 | 0.59 | 0.60 | 0.52 | 0.49 | 0.54 | 0.57 | 0.58 | 0.59 | 0.59 | 0.60 | 0.83 | 1.00 |