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2026 Outlook Optimal Allocation
Performance
Return for Risk
Dividends
Drawdowns
Volatility
Diversification

Asset Allocation


S&P 500 Index

Performance

Performance Chart

The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in 2026 Outlook Optimal Allocation, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.


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The earliest data available for this chart is May 28, 2020, corresponding to the inception date of SGOV

Returns By Period


1D1MYTD6M1Y3Y*5Y*10Y*
Benchmark
S&P 500 Index
0.11%-2.33%-3.84%-1.98%29.73%16.86%10.37%12.29%
Portfolio
2026 Outlook Optimal Allocation
-0.85%-0.02%9.63%14.15%94.91%45.26%26.28%
CEF
Sprott Physical Gold and Silver Trust
-2.67%-11.43%2.73%26.38%77.41%35.36%21.61%14.94%
IXC
iShares Global Energy ETF
1.18%7.34%34.70%37.83%61.17%17.03%22.47%11.43%
WPM
Wheaton Precious Metals Corp.
-0.91%-7.54%15.53%24.01%92.52%41.58%29.21%25.65%
GOOG
Alphabet Inc
-0.15%-1.22%-6.10%19.64%100.00%41.44%22.67%23.06%
O
Realty Income Corporation
0.53%-3.87%11.80%5.82%19.18%5.34%4.90%5.14%
SGOV
iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF
0.04%0.27%0.92%1.88%4.05%4.81%3.42%
IFRA
iShares U.S. Infrastructure ETF
-0.07%-0.75%10.08%9.95%39.67%17.94%12.76%
IXUS
iShares Core MSCI Total International Stock ETF
-0.59%-0.59%2.89%5.69%39.56%15.46%7.33%9.00%
XAR
SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF
-0.14%-7.02%7.65%7.96%79.79%30.77%16.06%18.38%
DIVO
Amplify CWP Enhanced Dividend Income ETF
0.16%-1.50%2.35%5.13%27.48%13.86%11.05%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

Monthly Returns

Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since May 29, 2020, 2026 Outlook Optimal Allocation's average daily return is +0.11%, while the average monthly return is +2.29%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 2.6 years.

Historically, 67% of months were positive and 33% were negative. The best month was Jan 2023 with a return of +12.0%, while the worst month was Mar 2026 at -9.1%. The longest winning streak lasted 7 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 2 months.

On a daily basis, 2026 Outlook Optimal Allocation closed higher 56% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +7.4%, while the worst single day was Jun 11, 2020 at -6.7%.


JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
202611.02%6.47%-9.09%2.02%9.63%
20255.92%-0.24%-2.71%3.07%8.71%7.04%6.33%11.29%10.42%-1.11%2.04%2.96%67.36%
2024-2.15%3.52%7.94%5.13%8.27%-3.46%9.03%1.57%1.23%4.13%10.52%-6.12%45.53%
202312.03%-3.35%1.28%2.30%-1.35%3.93%4.88%0.47%-5.40%-2.20%8.37%5.42%28.10%
2022-1.32%2.57%0.30%-5.40%0.39%-8.54%4.44%-6.99%-8.90%10.58%9.93%-1.51%-6.59%
20211.17%5.03%2.37%4.30%5.22%-3.60%1.53%-2.20%-7.63%7.60%-5.64%3.83%11.28%

Benchmark Metrics

2026 Outlook Optimal Allocation has an annualized alpha of 16.87%, beta of 0.86, and R² of 0.52 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since May 29, 2020.

  • This portfolio captured 130.05% of S&P 500 Index gains but only 67.54% of its losses — a favorable profile for investors.
  • This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 16.87% versus S&P 500 Index — delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
  • With beta of 0.86 and R² of 0.52, this portfolio moves broadly in line with S&P 500 Index — much of its variation is explained by market exposure rather than independent behavior.

Alpha
16.87%
Beta
0.86
0.52
Upside Capture
130.05%
Downside Capture
67.54%

Expense Ratio

2026 Outlook Optimal Allocation has an expense ratio of 0.10%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.


Return for Risk

Risk / Return Rank

2026 Outlook Optimal Allocation ranks 97 for risk / return — in the top 97% of portfolios on our site. This means strong returns relative to risk — exactly what professional investors look for. Well-suited for investors who want to maximize return per unit of risk.


2026 Outlook Optimal Allocation Risk / Return Rank: 9797
Overall Rank
2026 Outlook Optimal Allocation Sharpe Ratio Rank: 9898
Sharpe Ratio Rank
2026 Outlook Optimal Allocation Sortino Ratio Rank: 9797
Sortino Ratio Rank
2026 Outlook Optimal Allocation Omega Ratio Rank: 9797
Omega Ratio Rank
2026 Outlook Optimal Allocation Calmar Ratio Rank: 9696
Calmar Ratio Rank
2026 Outlook Optimal Allocation Martin Ratio Rank: 9696
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

Return / Risk — by metrics


PortfolioBenchmarkDifference

Sharpe ratio

Return per unit of total volatility

3.15

0.88

+2.27

Sortino ratio

Return per unit of downside risk

3.67

1.37

+2.30

Omega ratio

Gain probability vs. loss probability

1.55

1.21

+0.34

Calmar ratio

Return relative to maximum drawdown

5.37

1.39

+3.99

Martin ratio

Return relative to average drawdown

20.90

6.43

+14.47


How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.

Risk / Return RankSharpe ratioSortino ratioOmega ratioCalmar ratioMartin ratio
CEF
Sprott Physical Gold and Silver Trust
801.772.071.332.498.98
IXC
iShares Global Energy ETF
731.722.161.322.157.14
WPM
Wheaton Precious Metals Corp.
821.712.011.292.529.35
GOOG
Alphabet Inc
942.873.821.474.1415.67
O
Realty Income Corporation
650.901.291.161.354.03
SGOV
iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF
10020.63286.00202.83412.764,634.41
IFRA
iShares U.S. Infrastructure ETF
811.652.341.302.7911.79
IXUS
iShares Core MSCI Total International Stock ETF
791.632.261.342.529.49
XAR
SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF
882.072.751.353.5412.22
DIVO
Amplify CWP Enhanced Dividend Income ETF
701.331.941.291.969.17

Sharpe Ratio

The Sharpe ratio helps investors understand how much return they're getting for the level of risk taken. A higher Sharpe ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance, meaning more reward for each unit of risk.

2026 Outlook Optimal Allocation Sharpe ratios as of Apr 4, 2026 (values are recalculated daily):

  • 1-Year: 3.15
  • 5-Year: 1.32
  • All Time: 1.47

These values reflect how efficiently the investment has delivered returns relative to its volatility over different time periods. All figures are annualized and based on daily total returns (including price changes and dividends).

Compared to the broad market, where average Sharpe ratios range from 0.99 to 1.69, this portfolio's current Sharpe ratio is in the top 25%. This signifies superior risk-adjusted performance, meaning the portfolio is delivering strong returns for the level of risk taken compared to most others.

The chart below shows the rolling Sharpe ratio of 2026 Outlook Optimal Allocation compared to the selected benchmark. This view highlights how the investment's risk-adjusted performance has changed over time.


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Dividends

Dividend yield

2026 Outlook Optimal Allocation provided a 1.30% dividend yield over the last twelve months.


TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
Portfolio1.30%1.37%1.52%1.69%1.74%1.46%1.39%1.66%1.72%1.24%1.07%0.99%
CEF
Sprott Physical Gold and Silver Trust
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.08%0.07%0.09%0.10%
IXC
iShares Global Energy ETF
2.73%3.68%4.56%3.45%4.76%3.98%4.86%7.00%3.51%3.05%2.86%3.77%
WPM
Wheaton Precious Metals Corp.
0.51%0.56%1.10%1.22%1.54%1.33%1.01%1.21%1.84%1.49%1.09%0.00%
GOOG
Alphabet Inc
0.29%0.26%0.32%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
O
Realty Income Corporation
5.20%6.19%5.37%5.33%4.68%3.87%4.51%3.69%4.19%4.45%4.18%4.41%
SGOV
iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF
3.95%4.10%5.10%4.87%1.45%0.03%0.05%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
IFRA
iShares U.S. Infrastructure ETF
1.69%1.84%1.75%1.98%1.98%1.63%2.08%1.68%2.50%0.00%0.00%0.00%
IXUS
iShares Core MSCI Total International Stock ETF
3.15%3.24%3.33%3.13%2.48%3.12%1.85%3.09%3.00%2.41%2.58%2.81%
XAR
SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF
0.34%0.40%0.66%0.54%0.50%0.83%0.63%0.75%1.19%0.76%1.09%2.31%
DIVO
Amplify CWP Enhanced Dividend Income ETF
6.47%6.44%4.70%4.67%4.76%4.79%4.91%8.16%5.27%3.83%0.00%0.00%

Drawdowns

Drawdowns Chart

The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.


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Worst Drawdowns

The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the 2026 Outlook Optimal Allocation. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.

The maximum drawdown for the 2026 Outlook Optimal Allocation was 29.33%, occurring on Sep 27, 2022. Recovery took 198 trading sessions.

The current 2026 Outlook Optimal Allocation drawdown is 8.50%.


Depth

Start

To Bottom

Bottom

To Recover

End

Total

-29.33%Jun 10, 2021328Sep 27, 2022198Jul 13, 2023526
-14.6%Feb 23, 202620Mar 20, 2026
-14.26%Feb 11, 202540Apr 8, 202518May 5, 202558
-10.14%Sep 3, 202014Sep 23, 202033Nov 9, 202047
-9.33%Mar 15, 20218Mar 24, 202137May 17, 202145

Volatility

Volatility Chart

The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.


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Diversification

Diversification Metrics


Number of Effective Assets

The portfolio contains 14 assets, with an effective number of assets of 7.19, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets indicates a moderate level of diversification, where some assets may have a more significant influence on overall performance.

Asset Correlations Table

The table below displays the correlation coefficients between the individual components of the portfolio, the entire portfolio, and the chosen benchmark.

BenchmarkSGOVCEFOWPMGOOGIXCPRIMGSSPEMXARDIVOIFRAIXUSVOOPortfolio
Benchmark1.00-0.020.180.360.280.690.390.520.640.640.670.820.710.781.000.69
SGOV-0.021.00-0.000.000.040.01-0.020.00-0.030.010.00-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.020.01
CEF0.18-0.001.000.140.730.150.230.150.100.350.170.180.220.370.180.50
O0.360.000.141.000.200.170.240.220.280.250.320.430.490.340.360.35
WPM0.280.040.730.201.000.210.230.180.160.370.230.290.300.420.280.62
GOOG0.690.010.150.170.211.000.190.280.360.480.360.470.350.520.690.44
IXC0.39-0.020.230.240.230.191.000.400.440.390.460.520.560.470.390.51
PRIM0.520.000.150.220.180.280.401.000.490.380.600.480.670.480.520.80
GS0.64-0.030.100.280.160.360.440.491.000.470.580.670.650.590.640.64
SPEM0.640.010.350.250.370.480.390.380.471.000.470.520.500.880.640.59
XAR0.670.000.170.320.230.360.460.600.580.471.000.630.750.600.680.67
DIVO0.82-0.030.180.430.290.470.520.480.670.520.631.000.750.690.820.66
IFRA0.71-0.030.220.490.300.350.560.670.650.500.750.751.000.670.710.76
IXUS0.78-0.020.370.340.420.520.470.480.590.880.600.690.671.000.780.72
VOO1.00-0.020.180.360.280.690.390.520.640.640.680.820.710.781.000.69
Portfolio0.690.010.500.350.620.440.510.800.640.590.670.660.760.720.691.00
The correlation results are calculated based on daily price changes starting from May 29, 2020