Asset Allocation
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in 2026 Outlook Optimal Allocation, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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The earliest data available for this chart is May 28, 2020, corresponding to the inception date of SGOV
Returns By Period
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.11% | -2.33% | -3.84% | -1.98% | 29.73% | 16.86% | 10.37% | 12.29% |
Portfolio 2026 Outlook Optimal Allocation | -0.85% | -0.02% | 9.63% | 14.15% | 94.91% | 45.26% | 26.28% | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
CEF Sprott Physical Gold and Silver Trust | -2.67% | -11.43% | 2.73% | 26.38% | 77.41% | 35.36% | 21.61% | 14.94% |
IXC iShares Global Energy ETF | 1.18% | 7.34% | 34.70% | 37.83% | 61.17% | 17.03% | 22.47% | 11.43% |
WPM Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. | -0.91% | -7.54% | 15.53% | 24.01% | 92.52% | 41.58% | 29.21% | 25.65% |
GOOG Alphabet Inc | -0.15% | -1.22% | -6.10% | 19.64% | 100.00% | 41.44% | 22.67% | 23.06% |
O Realty Income Corporation | 0.53% | -3.87% | 11.80% | 5.82% | 19.18% | 5.34% | 4.90% | 5.14% |
SGOV iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF | 0.04% | 0.27% | 0.92% | 1.88% | 4.05% | 4.81% | 3.42% | — |
IFRA iShares U.S. Infrastructure ETF | -0.07% | -0.75% | 10.08% | 9.95% | 39.67% | 17.94% | 12.76% | — |
IXUS iShares Core MSCI Total International Stock ETF | -0.59% | -0.59% | 2.89% | 5.69% | 39.56% | 15.46% | 7.33% | 9.00% |
XAR SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF | -0.14% | -7.02% | 7.65% | 7.96% | 79.79% | 30.77% | 16.06% | 18.38% |
DIVO Amplify CWP Enhanced Dividend Income ETF | 0.16% | -1.50% | 2.35% | 5.13% | 27.48% | 13.86% | 11.05% | — |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since May 29, 2020, 2026 Outlook Optimal Allocation's average daily return is +0.11%, while the average monthly return is +2.29%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 2.6 years.
Historically, 67% of months were positive and 33% were negative. The best month was Jan 2023 with a return of +12.0%, while the worst month was Mar 2026 at -9.1%. The longest winning streak lasted 7 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 2 months.
On a daily basis, 2026 Outlook Optimal Allocation closed higher 56% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +7.4%, while the worst single day was Jun 11, 2020 at -6.7%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 11.02% | 6.47% | -9.09% | 2.02% | 9.63% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 5.92% | -0.24% | -2.71% | 3.07% | 8.71% | 7.04% | 6.33% | 11.29% | 10.42% | -1.11% | 2.04% | 2.96% | 67.36% |
| 2024 | -2.15% | 3.52% | 7.94% | 5.13% | 8.27% | -3.46% | 9.03% | 1.57% | 1.23% | 4.13% | 10.52% | -6.12% | 45.53% |
| 2023 | 12.03% | -3.35% | 1.28% | 2.30% | -1.35% | 3.93% | 4.88% | 0.47% | -5.40% | -2.20% | 8.37% | 5.42% | 28.10% |
| 2022 | -1.32% | 2.57% | 0.30% | -5.40% | 0.39% | -8.54% | 4.44% | -6.99% | -8.90% | 10.58% | 9.93% | -1.51% | -6.59% |
| 2021 | 1.17% | 5.03% | 2.37% | 4.30% | 5.22% | -3.60% | 1.53% | -2.20% | -7.63% | 7.60% | -5.64% | 3.83% | 11.28% |
Benchmark Metrics
2026 Outlook Optimal Allocation has an annualized alpha of 16.87%, beta of 0.86, and R² of 0.52 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since May 29, 2020.
- This portfolio captured 130.05% of S&P 500 Index gains but only 67.54% of its losses — a favorable profile for investors.
- This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 16.87% versus S&P 500 Index — delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
- With beta of 0.86 and R² of 0.52, this portfolio moves broadly in line with S&P 500 Index — much of its variation is explained by market exposure rather than independent behavior.
- Alpha
- 16.87%
- Beta
- 0.86
- R²
- 0.52
- Upside Capture
- 130.05%
- Downside Capture
- 67.54%
Expense Ratio
2026 Outlook Optimal Allocation has an expense ratio of 0.10%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
2026 Outlook Optimal Allocation ranks 97 for risk / return — in the top 97% of portfolios on our site. This means strong returns relative to risk — exactly what professional investors look for. Well-suited for investors who want to maximize return per unit of risk.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 3.15 | 0.88 | +2.27 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 3.67 | 1.37 | +2.30 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.55 | 1.21 | +0.34 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 5.37 | 1.39 | +3.99 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 20.90 | 6.43 | +14.47 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
CEF Sprott Physical Gold and Silver Trust | 80 | 1.77 | 2.07 | 1.33 | 2.49 | 8.98 |
IXC iShares Global Energy ETF | 73 | 1.72 | 2.16 | 1.32 | 2.15 | 7.14 |
WPM Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. | 82 | 1.71 | 2.01 | 1.29 | 2.52 | 9.35 |
GOOG Alphabet Inc | 94 | 2.87 | 3.82 | 1.47 | 4.14 | 15.67 |
O Realty Income Corporation | 65 | 0.90 | 1.29 | 1.16 | 1.35 | 4.03 |
SGOV iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF | 100 | 20.63 | 286.00 | 202.83 | 412.76 | 4,634.41 |
IFRA iShares U.S. Infrastructure ETF | 81 | 1.65 | 2.34 | 1.30 | 2.79 | 11.79 |
IXUS iShares Core MSCI Total International Stock ETF | 79 | 1.63 | 2.26 | 1.34 | 2.52 | 9.49 |
XAR SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF | 88 | 2.07 | 2.75 | 1.35 | 3.54 | 12.22 |
DIVO Amplify CWP Enhanced Dividend Income ETF | 70 | 1.33 | 1.94 | 1.29 | 1.96 | 9.17 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
2026 Outlook Optimal Allocation provided a 1.30% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 1.30% | 1.37% | 1.52% | 1.69% | 1.74% | 1.46% | 1.39% | 1.66% | 1.72% | 1.24% | 1.07% | 0.99% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
CEF Sprott Physical Gold and Silver Trust | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.08% | 0.07% | 0.09% | 0.10% |
IXC iShares Global Energy ETF | 2.73% | 3.68% | 4.56% | 3.45% | 4.76% | 3.98% | 4.86% | 7.00% | 3.51% | 3.05% | 2.86% | 3.77% |
WPM Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. | 0.51% | 0.56% | 1.10% | 1.22% | 1.54% | 1.33% | 1.01% | 1.21% | 1.84% | 1.49% | 1.09% | 0.00% |
GOOG Alphabet Inc | 0.29% | 0.26% | 0.32% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
O Realty Income Corporation | 5.20% | 6.19% | 5.37% | 5.33% | 4.68% | 3.87% | 4.51% | 3.69% | 4.19% | 4.45% | 4.18% | 4.41% |
SGOV iShares 0-3 Month Treasury Bond ETF | 3.95% | 4.10% | 5.10% | 4.87% | 1.45% | 0.03% | 0.05% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
IFRA iShares U.S. Infrastructure ETF | 1.69% | 1.84% | 1.75% | 1.98% | 1.98% | 1.63% | 2.08% | 1.68% | 2.50% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
IXUS iShares Core MSCI Total International Stock ETF | 3.15% | 3.24% | 3.33% | 3.13% | 2.48% | 3.12% | 1.85% | 3.09% | 3.00% | 2.41% | 2.58% | 2.81% |
XAR SPDR S&P Aerospace & Defense ETF | 0.34% | 0.40% | 0.66% | 0.54% | 0.50% | 0.83% | 0.63% | 0.75% | 1.19% | 0.76% | 1.09% | 2.31% |
DIVO Amplify CWP Enhanced Dividend Income ETF | 6.47% | 6.44% | 4.70% | 4.67% | 4.76% | 4.79% | 4.91% | 8.16% | 5.27% | 3.83% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the 2026 Outlook Optimal Allocation. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the 2026 Outlook Optimal Allocation was 29.33%, occurring on Sep 27, 2022. Recovery took 198 trading sessions.
The current 2026 Outlook Optimal Allocation drawdown is 8.50%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -29.33% | Jun 10, 2021 | 328 | Sep 27, 2022 | 198 | Jul 13, 2023 | 526 |
| -14.6% | Feb 23, 2026 | 20 | Mar 20, 2026 | — | — | — |
| -14.26% | Feb 11, 2025 | 40 | Apr 8, 2025 | 18 | May 5, 2025 | 58 |
| -10.14% | Sep 3, 2020 | 14 | Sep 23, 2020 | 33 | Nov 9, 2020 | 47 |
| -9.33% | Mar 15, 2021 | 8 | Mar 24, 2021 | 37 | May 17, 2021 | 45 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 14 assets, with an effective number of assets of 7.19, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets indicates a moderate level of diversification, where some assets may have a more significant influence on overall performance.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | SGOV | CEF | O | WPM | GOOG | IXC | PRIM | GS | SPEM | XAR | DIVO | IFRA | IXUS | VOO | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | -0.02 | 0.18 | 0.36 | 0.28 | 0.69 | 0.39 | 0.52 | 0.64 | 0.64 | 0.67 | 0.82 | 0.71 | 0.78 | 1.00 | 0.69 |
| SGOV | -0.02 | 1.00 | -0.00 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 0.01 | -0.02 | 0.00 | -0.03 | 0.01 | 0.00 | -0.03 | -0.03 | -0.02 | -0.02 | 0.01 |
| CEF | 0.18 | -0.00 | 1.00 | 0.14 | 0.73 | 0.15 | 0.23 | 0.15 | 0.10 | 0.35 | 0.17 | 0.18 | 0.22 | 0.37 | 0.18 | 0.50 |
| O | 0.36 | 0.00 | 0.14 | 1.00 | 0.20 | 0.17 | 0.24 | 0.22 | 0.28 | 0.25 | 0.32 | 0.43 | 0.49 | 0.34 | 0.36 | 0.35 |
| WPM | 0.28 | 0.04 | 0.73 | 0.20 | 1.00 | 0.21 | 0.23 | 0.18 | 0.16 | 0.37 | 0.23 | 0.29 | 0.30 | 0.42 | 0.28 | 0.62 |
| GOOG | 0.69 | 0.01 | 0.15 | 0.17 | 0.21 | 1.00 | 0.19 | 0.28 | 0.36 | 0.48 | 0.36 | 0.47 | 0.35 | 0.52 | 0.69 | 0.44 |
| IXC | 0.39 | -0.02 | 0.23 | 0.24 | 0.23 | 0.19 | 1.00 | 0.40 | 0.44 | 0.39 | 0.46 | 0.52 | 0.56 | 0.47 | 0.39 | 0.51 |
| PRIM | 0.52 | 0.00 | 0.15 | 0.22 | 0.18 | 0.28 | 0.40 | 1.00 | 0.49 | 0.38 | 0.60 | 0.48 | 0.67 | 0.48 | 0.52 | 0.80 |
| GS | 0.64 | -0.03 | 0.10 | 0.28 | 0.16 | 0.36 | 0.44 | 0.49 | 1.00 | 0.47 | 0.58 | 0.67 | 0.65 | 0.59 | 0.64 | 0.64 |
| SPEM | 0.64 | 0.01 | 0.35 | 0.25 | 0.37 | 0.48 | 0.39 | 0.38 | 0.47 | 1.00 | 0.47 | 0.52 | 0.50 | 0.88 | 0.64 | 0.59 |
| XAR | 0.67 | 0.00 | 0.17 | 0.32 | 0.23 | 0.36 | 0.46 | 0.60 | 0.58 | 0.47 | 1.00 | 0.63 | 0.75 | 0.60 | 0.68 | 0.67 |
| DIVO | 0.82 | -0.03 | 0.18 | 0.43 | 0.29 | 0.47 | 0.52 | 0.48 | 0.67 | 0.52 | 0.63 | 1.00 | 0.75 | 0.69 | 0.82 | 0.66 |
| IFRA | 0.71 | -0.03 | 0.22 | 0.49 | 0.30 | 0.35 | 0.56 | 0.67 | 0.65 | 0.50 | 0.75 | 0.75 | 1.00 | 0.67 | 0.71 | 0.76 |
| IXUS | 0.78 | -0.02 | 0.37 | 0.34 | 0.42 | 0.52 | 0.47 | 0.48 | 0.59 | 0.88 | 0.60 | 0.69 | 0.67 | 1.00 | 0.78 | 0.72 |
| VOO | 1.00 | -0.02 | 0.18 | 0.36 | 0.28 | 0.69 | 0.39 | 0.52 | 0.64 | 0.64 | 0.68 | 0.82 | 0.71 | 0.78 | 1.00 | 0.69 |
| Portfolio | 0.69 | 0.01 | 0.50 | 0.35 | 0.62 | 0.44 | 0.51 | 0.80 | 0.64 | 0.59 | 0.67 | 0.66 | 0.76 | 0.72 | 0.69 | 1.00 |