Asset Allocation
Transactions
| Date | Type | Symbol | Quantity | Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2026 | Sell | ProShares Ultra Gold | 10 | $53.75 |
| Mar 13, 2026 | Sell | Pfizer Inc. | 30 | $26.88 |
| Mar 13, 2026 | Sell | Target Corporation | 5 | $115.60 |
| Mar 13, 2026 | Sell | EQT Corporation | 10 | $64.60 |
| Mar 13, 2026 | Sell | Archer-Daniels-Midland Company | 10 | $72.26 |
| Mar 13, 2026 | Sell | Moderna, Inc. | 10 | $52.85 |
| Mar 11, 2026 | Buy | Pfizer Inc. | 10 | $27.26 |
| Mar 11, 2026 | Buy | Moderna, Inc. | 10 | $56.30 |
| Mar 11, 2026 | Buy | Pfizer Inc. | 20 | $27.30 |
| Mar 9, 2026 | Buy | YieldMax Short COIN Option Income Strategy ETF | 4 | $25.23 |
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in SPECULATIVE, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends.
Loading graphics...
Returns By Period
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.11% | -3.43% | -3.84% | -1.98% | 16.08% | 16.86% | 10.37% | 12.29% |
Portfolio SPECULATIVE | -1.21% | -7.55% | -14.67% | -54.50% | — | — | — | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
MSTU T-Rex 2X Long MSTR Daily Target ETF | -4.88% | -23.08% | -53.07% | -92.93% | -93.91% | — | — | — |
MST Defiance Leveraged Long Income MSTR ETF | -4.78% | -19.14% | -43.69% | -89.12% | — | — | — | — |
ULTY YieldMax Ultra Option Income Strategy ETF | 0.46% | -4.08% | -2.65% | -19.01% | 9.74% | — | — | — |
ABNB Airbnb, Inc. | -0.19% | -6.08% | -7.94% | 2.85% | 1.75% | 0.95% | -7.87% | — |
MRK Merck & Co., Inc. | 0.02% | 1.62% | 15.68% | 37.20% | 44.64% | 6.77% | 13.97% | 12.22% |
LULU Lululemon Athletica Inc. | -1.95% | -10.64% | -25.07% | -12.62% | -44.93% | -24.88% | -12.35% | 8.70% |
V Visa Inc. | 0.77% | -6.24% | -14.05% | -12.70% | -12.50% | 10.35% | 7.55% | 15.28% |
ADBE Adobe Inc | 0.64% | -10.36% | -30.59% | -30.89% | -37.03% | -13.86% | -12.86% | 9.90% |
TSII REX TSLA Growth & Income ETF | -5.81% | -6.84% | -17.49% | -13.01% | — | — | — | — |
ACN Accenture plc | 2.17% | -4.08% | -24.52% | -16.58% | -34.92% | -9.41% | -4.75% | 7.53% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Apr 11, 2025, SPECULATIVE's average daily return is -0.57%, while the average monthly return is -13.88%.
Historically, 15% of months were positive and 85% were negative. The best month was Jun 2025 with a return of +13.2%, while the worst month was Apr 2025 at -100.0%. The longest winning streak lasted 1 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 5 months.
On a daily basis, SPECULATIVE closed higher 46% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 22, 2025 with a return of +15.7%, while the worst single day was Apr 11, 2025 at -100.0%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -0.80% | -3.31% | -9.96% | -1.20% | -14.67% | ||||||||
| 2025 | -100.00% | -9.81% | 13.21% | -1.89% | -16.43% | -2.24% | -16.42% | -32.63% | 0.98% | -100.00% |
Benchmark Metrics
SPECULATIVE has an annualized alpha of -79.94%, beta of 0.74, and R² of 0.01 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since April 11, 2025.
- R² of 0.01 means this portfolio moves largely independently of S&P 500 Index — capture ratios reflect limited market correlation rather than active downside protection. Consider using a more representative benchmark.
- Alpha
- -79.94%
- Beta
- 0.74
- R²
- 0.01
- Downside Capture
- 184.63%
Expense Ratio
Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Top 10 holdings
Return for Risk
Return / Risk — by metrics
Risk / return metrics aren't available yet — we need at least 12 months of trading data to calculate them.
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MSTU T-Rex 2X Long MSTR Daily Target ETF | 1 | -0.65 | -1.74 | 0.81 | -0.97 | -1.43 |
MST Defiance Leveraged Long Income MSTR ETF | — | — | — | — | — | — |
ULTY YieldMax Ultra Option Income Strategy ETF | 20 | 0.39 | 0.69 | 1.09 | 0.46 | 1.00 |
ABNB Airbnb, Inc. | 40 | 0.05 | 0.32 | 1.04 | 0.14 | 0.31 |
MRK Merck & Co., Inc. | 82 | 1.55 | 2.20 | 1.28 | 2.89 | 7.69 |
LULU Lululemon Athletica Inc. | 10 | -0.92 | -1.19 | 0.84 | -0.78 | -1.12 |
V Visa Inc. | 16 | -0.53 | -0.59 | 0.92 | -0.61 | -1.33 |
ADBE Adobe Inc | 5 | -1.20 | -1.69 | 0.79 | -0.83 | -1.69 |
TSII REX TSLA Growth & Income ETF | — | — | — | — | — | — |
ACN Accenture plc | 6 | -1.05 | -1.47 | 0.82 | -0.86 | -1.65 |
Loading graphics...
Dividends
Dividend yield
SPECULATIVE provided a 52.16% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | |
|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 52.16% | 16.49% |
Monthly Dividends
The table below shows the monthly dividends paid by this portfolio.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $210.66 | $276.30 | $86.82 | $6.38 | $580.15 | ||||||||
| 2025 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $462.86 | $1,042.48 | $599.34 | $602.14 | $463.48 | -$36.95 | $214.64 | $3,347.99 |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
Loading graphics...
Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the SPECULATIVE. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the SPECULATIVE was 100.00%, occurring on Apr 11, 2025. The portfolio has not yet recovered.
The current SPECULATIVE drawdown is 100.00%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -100% | Apr 11, 2025 | 1 | Apr 11, 2025 | — | — | — |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
Loading graphics...
Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 50 assets, with an effective number of assets of 9.38, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets indicates a moderate level of diversification, where some assets may have a more significant influence on overall performance.