TTT vs. NOBL
TTT (UltraPro Short 20+ Year Treasury) and NOBL (ProShares S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats ETF) are both exchange-traded funds - TTT is a Leveraged Bonds fund tracking the Barclays Capital U.S. 20+ Year Treasury Index (-300%), while NOBL is a Dividend fund tracking the S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats Index. Both are passively managed. Over the past 10 years, TTT returned -1.20%/yr vs 9.51%/yr for NOBL. At a 0.13 correlation, their price movements are largely independent. TTT charges 0.95%/yr vs 0.35%/yr for NOBL.
Performance
TTT vs. NOBL - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
The year-to-date returns for both stocks are quite close, with TTT having a 3.59% return and NOBL slightly lower at 3.51%. Over the past 10 years, TTT has underperformed NOBL with an annualized return of -1.20%, while NOBL has yielded a comparatively higher 9.51% annualized return.
TTT
- 1D
- 1.04%
- 1M
- -1.77%
- YTD
- 3.59%
- 6M
- 10.09%
- 1Y
- -6.82%
- 3Y*
- 9.99%
- 5Y*
- 17.30%
- 10Y*
- -1.20%
NOBL
- 1D
- -0.17%
- 1M
- 1.01%
- YTD
- 3.51%
- 6M
- 3.45%
- 1Y
- 9.00%
- 3Y*
- 8.01%
- 5Y*
- 5.03%
- 10Y*
- 9.51%
TTT vs. NOBL - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TTT UltraPro Short 20+ Year Treasury | 3.59% | -7.89% | 38.07% | -11.25% | 150.17% | 2.55% | -54.12% | -34.88% | 6.34% | -25.87% |
NOBL ProShares S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats ETF | 3.51% | 6.84% | 6.72% | 8.09% | -6.52% | 25.46% | 8.35% | 27.39% | -3.26% | 21.02% |
Correlation
The correlation between TTT and NOBL is -0.25, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. This is especially valuable for risk management - when one declines, the other has historically tended to hold steady or rise.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | -0.25 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | -0.24 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | -0.11 |
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | 0.07 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Oct 11, 2013 | 0.13 |
The correlation between TTT and NOBL shifts across timeframes, from -0.25 (1 year) to 0.13 (all time), reflecting how their relationship changes across market environments.
TTT vs. NOBL - Sectors Allocation Comparison
Sectors
TTT
NOBL
Financial Services
Basic Materials
-
Communication Services
-
-
Consumer Cyclical
-
Consumer Defensive
-
Energy
-
Healthcare
-
Industrials
-
Real Estate
-
Technology
-
Utilities
-
Financial Services
TTT
NOBL
Basic Materials
TTT
-
NOBL
Communication Services
TTT
-
NOBL
-
Consumer Cyclical
TTT
-
NOBL
Consumer Defensive
TTT
-
NOBL
Energy
TTT
-
NOBL
Healthcare
TTT
-
NOBL
Industrials
TTT
-
NOBL
Real Estate
TTT
-
NOBL
Technology
TTT
-
NOBL
Utilities
TTT
-
NOBL
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Return for Risk
TTT vs. NOBL — Risk / Return Rank
TTT
NOBL
TTT vs. NOBL - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for UltraPro Short 20+ Year Treasury (TTT) and ProShares S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats ETF (NOBL). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
| TTT | NOBL | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | -1.03 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | -1.38 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 0.98 | 1.14 | -0.15 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | -0.31 | 0.99 | -1.30 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | -0.58 | 2.58 | -3.16 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
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Sharpe Ratios by Period
| TTT | NOBL | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe Ratio (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | -0.23 | 0.80 | -1.03 |
Sharpe Ratio (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.37 | 0.35 | +0.02 |
Sharpe Ratio (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | -0.03 | 0.57 | -0.60 |
Sharpe Ratio (All Time)Calculated using the full available price history | -0.23 | 0.64 | -0.87 |
Drawdowns
TTT vs. NOBL - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum TTT drawdown since its inception was -94.00%, which is greater than NOBL's maximum drawdown of -35.43%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for TTT and NOBL.
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Drawdown Indicators
| TTT | NOBL | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -94.00% | -35.43% | -58.57% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -22.18% | -9.11% | -13.07% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -49.69% | -15.36% | -34.33% |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | -49.69% | -17.92% | -31.77% |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | -81.76% | -35.43% | -46.33% |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -78.28% | -5.99% | -72.29% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -70.36% | -3.48% | -66.88% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 12.13% | 3.50% | +8.63% |
Volatility
TTT vs. NOBL - Volatility Comparison
UltraPro Short 20+ Year Treasury (TTT) has a higher volatility of 8.69% compared to ProShares S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats ETF (NOBL) at 2.36%. This indicates that TTT's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than NOBL based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| TTT | NOBL | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 8.69% | 2.36% | +6.33% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 19.48% | 8.00% | +11.48% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 29.26% | 11.33% | +17.93% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 47.18% | 14.38% | +32.80% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 43.38% | 16.60% | +26.78% |
TTT vs. NOBL - Expense Ratio Comparison
TTT has a 0.95% expense ratio, which is higher than NOBL's 0.35% expense ratio.
Dividends
TTT vs. NOBL - Dividend Comparison
TTT's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 9.34%, more than NOBL's 2.12% yield.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NOBL ProShares S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats ETF | 2.12% | 2.14% | 2.05% | 2.09% | 1.94% | 1.89% | 2.14% | 1.89% | 2.37% | 1.74% | 2.13% | 2.02% |
TTT UltraPro Short 20+ Year Treasury | 9.34% | 9.87% | 4.86% | 12.15% | 0.34% | 0.00% | 0.29% | 1.88% | 0.44% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Frequently Asked Questions
TTT and NOBL have a correlation of -0.25, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
TTT has higher volatility (8.69%) compared to NOBL (2.36%). In terms of maximum drawdown, TTT dropped -94.00% vs NOBL's -35.43%.
On 10-year performance, NOBL leads with 9.51% vs -1.20% for TTT. On fees, NOBL is cheaper at 0.35% per year. On volatility, NOBL has been the lower-risk option at 2.36%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 10-year period, NOBL has performed better with a 9.51% return vs -1.20%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
NOBL is cheaper with a 0.35% expense ratio, compared with 0.95% for TTT.
TTT has the higher dividend yield at 9.34%, compared with 2.12% for NOBL.
TTT is categorized as Leveraged Bonds, while NOBL is Dividend. TTT tracks Barclays Capital U.S. 20+ Year Treasury Index (-300%), while NOBL tracks S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats Index. Their fees differ too: 0.95% for TTT and 0.35% for NOBL.
NOBL currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (0.80 vs -0.23), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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