TMF vs. GUSH

Last updated Jun 13, 2026

TMF (Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF) and GUSH (Direxion Daily S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Bull 2x Shares) are both exchange-traded funds - TMF is a Leveraged Bonds fund tracking the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index (300%), while GUSH is a Leveraged Equities fund tracking the S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Select Industry Index (300%). Both are passively managed. Over the past 10 years, TMF returned -16.87%/yr vs -36.52%/yr for GUSH. At a correlation of -0.25, they often move in opposite directions. TMF charges 1.01%/yr vs 1.17%/yr for GUSH.

Performance

TMF vs. GUSH - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF (TMF) and Direxion Daily S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Bull 2x Shares (GUSH). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, TMF achieves a -5.18% return, which is significantly lower than GUSH's 61.19% return. Over the past 10 years, TMF has outperformed GUSH with an annualized return of -16.87%, while GUSH has yielded a comparatively lower -36.52% annualized return.

TMF

• 1D: -0.93%
• 1M: 3.29%
• YTD: -5.18%
• 6M: -5.04%
• 1Y: -4.90%
• 3Y*: -19.82%
• 5Y*: -31.10%
• 10Y*: -16.87%

GUSH

• 1D: 2.06%
• 1M: -5.00%
• YTD: 61.19%
• 6M: 49.15%
• 1Y: 49.53%
• 3Y*: 8.93%
• 5Y*: 9.46%
• 10Y*: -36.52%

*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

TMF vs. GUSH - Yearly Performance Comparison

	2026 (YTD)	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017
TMF Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF	-5.18%	-2.94%	-35.95%	-13.01%	-72.60%	-19.80%	39.02%	34.75%	-11.01%	22.72%
GUSH Direxion Daily S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Bull 2x Shares	61.19%	-19.39%	-12.73%	-7.23%	66.47%	129.94%	-97.38%	-52.68%	-74.28%	-40.21%

Correlation

The correlation between TMF and GUSH is -0.26, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. This is especially valuable for risk management - when one declines, the other has historically tended to hold steady or rise.

	Correlation
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	-0.26
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period	-0.08
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period	-0.15
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period	-0.23
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since May 29, 2015	-0.25

The correlation between TMF and GUSH shifts across timeframes, from -0.26 (1 year) to -0.08 (3 years), reflecting how their relationship changes across market environments.

TMF vs. GUSH - Sectors Allocation Comparison

Sectors	TMF	GUSH
Financial Services	18.4%	-
Basic Materials	-	2.9%
Communication Services	-	-
Consumer Cyclical	-	-
Consumer Defensive	-	-
Energy	-	97.2%
Healthcare	-	-
Industrials	-	-
Real Estate	-	-
Technology	-	-
Utilities	-	-

Return for Risk

TMF vs. GUSH — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

TMF

TMF Risk / Return Rank: 8
TMF Sharpe Ratio Rank: 8
TMF Sortino Ratio Rank: 8
TMF Omega Ratio Rank: 8
TMF Calmar Ratio Rank: 8
TMF Martin Ratio Rank: 8

GUSH

GUSH Risk / Return Rank: 31
GUSH Sharpe Ratio Rank: 28
GUSH Sortino Ratio Rank: 28
GUSH Omega Ratio Rank: 28
GUSH Calmar Ratio Rank: 40
GUSH Martin Ratio Rank: 30

The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

TMF vs. GUSH - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF (TMF) and Direxion Daily S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Bull 2x Shares (GUSH). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.

Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.

	TMF	GUSH	Difference
Sharpe ratio: Return per unit of total volatility	-0.17	0.89	-1.06
Sortino ratio: Return per unit of downside risk	-0.05	1.40	-1.46
Omega ratio: Gain probability vs. loss probability	0.99	1.17	-0.18
Calmar ratio: Return relative to maximum drawdown	-0.19	1.72	-1.91
Martin ratio: Return relative to average drawdown	-0.41	3.77	-4.19

TMF vs. GUSH - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current TMF Sharpe Ratio is -0.17, which is lower than the GUSH Sharpe Ratio of 0.89. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of TMF and GUSH, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.

Drawdowns

TMF vs. GUSH - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum TMF drawdown since its inception was -92.89%, smaller than the maximum GUSH drawdown of -99.98%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for TMF and GUSH.

Drawdown Indicators

	TMF	GUSH	Difference
Max Drawdown Largest peak-to-trough decline	-92.89%	-99.98%	+7.09%
Max Drawdown (1Y) Largest decline over 1 year	-26.51%	-28.94%	+2.43%
Max Drawdown (3Y) Largest decline over 3 years	-56.31%	-63.59%	+7.28%
Max Drawdown (5Y) Largest decline over 5 years	-88.81%	-73.64%	-15.17%
Max Drawdown (10Y) Largest decline over 10 years	-92.89%	-99.94%	+7.05%
Current Drawdown Current decline from peak	-92.15%	-99.80%	+7.65%
Average Drawdown Average peak-to-trough decline	-43.70%	-92.90%	+49.20%
Ulcer Index Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks	11.96%	13.16%	-1.20%

Volatility

TMF vs. GUSH - Volatility Comparison

The current volatility for Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF (TMF) is 8.43%, while Direxion Daily S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Bull 2x Shares (GUSH) has a volatility of 18.07%. This indicates that TMF experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than GUSH based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.

Volatility by Period

	TMF	GUSH	Difference
Volatility (1M) Calculated over the trailing 1-month period	8.43%	18.07%	-9.64%
Volatility (6M) Calculated over the trailing 6-month period	19.46%	44.41%	-24.95%
Volatility (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	28.49%	56.06%	-27.57%
Volatility (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized	46.72%	68.35%	-21.63%
Volatility (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized	43.92%	93.58%	-49.66%

TMF vs. GUSH - Expense Ratio Comparison

TMF has a 1.01% expense ratio, which is lower than GUSH's 1.17% expense ratio.

Dividends

TMF vs. GUSH - Dividend Comparison

TMF's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 4.11%, more than GUSH's 1.55% yield.

Position	TTM	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016
GUSH Direxion Daily S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Bull 2x Shares	1.55%	2.60%	2.96%	3.00%	0.47%	0.00%	0.20%	1.68%	0.17%	0.00%	3.26%
TMF Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF	4.11%	4.06%	4.29%	2.82%	1.62%	0.13%	2.23%	0.94%	1.49%	0.41%	0.00%

Frequently Asked Questions

Can I hold both TMF and GUSH in my portfolio?

TMF and GUSH have a correlation of -0.26, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

Which is riskier, TMF or GUSH?

GUSH has higher volatility (18.07%) compared to TMF (8.43%). In terms of maximum drawdown, TMF dropped -92.89% vs GUSH's -99.98%.

Which ETF is better, TMF or GUSH?

On 10-year performance, TMF leads with -16.87% vs -36.52% for GUSH. On fees, TMF is cheaper at 1.01% per year. On volatility, TMF has been the lower-risk option at 8.43%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.

Which ETF has performed better, TMF or GUSH?

Over the 10-year period, TMF has performed better with a -16.87% return vs -36.52%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.

Which ETF is cheaper, TMF or GUSH?

TMF is cheaper with a 1.01% expense ratio, compared with 1.17% for GUSH.

Which ETF pays a higher dividend yield, TMF or GUSH?

TMF has the higher dividend yield at 4.11%, compared with 1.55% for GUSH.

What is the main difference between TMF and GUSH?

TMF is categorized as Leveraged Bonds, while GUSH is Leveraged Equities. TMF tracks ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index (300%), while GUSH tracks S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Select Industry Index (300%). Their fees differ too: 1.01% for TMF and 1.17% for GUSH.

Which has better risk-adjusted returns?

GUSH currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (0.89 vs -0.17), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.