SPXU vs. NOBL
SPXU (ProShares UltraPro Short S&P500) and NOBL (ProShares S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats ETF) are both exchange-traded funds - SPXU is a Leveraged Equities fund tracking the S&P 500 Index (-300%), while NOBL is a Dividend fund tracking the S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats Index. Both are passively managed. Over the past 10 years, SPXU returned -41.95%/yr vs 9.51%/yr for NOBL. At a correlation of -0.80, they often move in opposite directions. SPXU charges 0.93%/yr vs 0.35%/yr for NOBL.
Performance
SPXU vs. NOBL - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, SPXU achieves a -25.62% return, which is significantly lower than NOBL's 3.51% return. Over the past 10 years, SPXU has underperformed NOBL with an annualized return of -41.95%, while NOBL has yielded a comparatively higher 9.51% annualized return.
SPXU
- 1D
- 2.06%
- 1M
- -13.20%
- YTD
- -25.62%
- 6M
- -25.04%
- 1Y
- -48.96%
- 3Y*
- -43.02%
- 5Y*
- -34.89%
- 10Y*
- -41.95%
NOBL
- 1D
- -0.17%
- 1M
- 1.01%
- YTD
- 3.51%
- 6M
- 3.45%
- 1Y
- 9.00%
- 3Y*
- 8.01%
- 5Y*
- 5.03%
- 10Y*
- 9.51%
SPXU vs. NOBL - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SPXU ProShares UltraPro Short S&P500 | -25.62% | -41.73% | -43.31% | -46.02% | 36.05% | -57.94% | -70.39% | -56.27% | 3.97% | -44.23% |
NOBL ProShares S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats ETF | 3.51% | 6.84% | 6.72% | 8.09% | -6.52% | 25.46% | 8.35% | 27.39% | -3.26% | 21.02% |
Correlation
The correlation between SPXU and NOBL is -0.44, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. This is especially valuable for risk management - when one declines, the other has historically tended to hold steady or rise.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | -0.44 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | -0.57 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | -0.71 |
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | -0.77 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Oct 11, 2013 | -0.80 |
Over the past year, the inverse relationship between SPXU and NOBL has weakened: their correlation has moved from -0.80 to -0.44, meaning they move in opposite directions less often than they have historically.
SPXU vs. NOBL - Sectors Allocation Comparison
Sectors
SPXU
NOBL
Financial Services
Basic Materials
-
Communication Services
-
-
Consumer Cyclical
-
Consumer Defensive
-
Energy
-
Healthcare
-
Industrials
-
Real Estate
-
Technology
-
Utilities
-
Financial Services
SPXU
NOBL
Basic Materials
SPXU
-
NOBL
Communication Services
SPXU
-
NOBL
-
Consumer Cyclical
SPXU
-
NOBL
Consumer Defensive
SPXU
-
NOBL
Energy
SPXU
-
NOBL
Healthcare
SPXU
-
NOBL
Industrials
SPXU
-
NOBL
Real Estate
SPXU
-
NOBL
Technology
SPXU
-
NOBL
Utilities
SPXU
-
NOBL
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Return for Risk
SPXU vs. NOBL — Risk / Return Rank
SPXU
NOBL
SPXU vs. NOBL - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for ProShares UltraPro Short S&P500 (SPXU) and ProShares S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats ETF (NOBL). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
| SPXU | NOBL | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | -2.19 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | -3.57 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 0.75 | 1.14 | -0.39 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | -0.97 | 0.99 | -1.96 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | -1.63 | 2.58 | -4.21 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
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Sharpe Ratios by Period
| SPXU | NOBL | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe Ratio (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | -1.39 | 0.80 | -2.19 |
Sharpe Ratio (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | -0.70 | 0.35 | -1.05 |
Sharpe Ratio (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | -0.79 | 0.57 | -1.36 |
Sharpe Ratio (All Time)Calculated using the full available price history | -0.84 | 0.64 | -1.48 |
Drawdowns
SPXU vs. NOBL - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum SPXU drawdown since its inception was -99.99%, which is greater than NOBL's maximum drawdown of -35.43%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for SPXU and NOBL.
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Drawdown Indicators
| SPXU | NOBL | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -99.99% | -35.43% | -64.56% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -50.82% | -9.11% | -41.71% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -84.36% | -15.36% | -69.00% |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | -90.23% | -17.92% | -72.31% |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | -99.63% | -35.43% | -64.20% |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -99.99% | -5.99% | -94.00% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -93.33% | -3.48% | -89.85% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 30.06% | 3.50% | +26.56% |
Volatility
SPXU vs. NOBL - Volatility Comparison
ProShares UltraPro Short S&P500 (SPXU) has a higher volatility of 8.58% compared to ProShares S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats ETF (NOBL) at 2.36%. This indicates that SPXU's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than NOBL based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| SPXU | NOBL | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 8.58% | 2.36% | +6.22% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 26.85% | 8.00% | +18.85% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 35.37% | 11.33% | +24.04% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 50.33% | 14.38% | +35.95% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 53.38% | 16.60% | +36.78% |
SPXU vs. NOBL - Expense Ratio Comparison
SPXU has a 0.93% expense ratio, which is higher than NOBL's 0.35% expense ratio.
Dividends
SPXU vs. NOBL - Dividend Comparison
SPXU's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 7.89%, more than NOBL's 2.12% yield.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NOBL ProShares S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats ETF | 2.12% | 2.14% | 2.05% | 2.09% | 1.94% | 1.89% | 2.14% | 1.89% | 2.37% | 1.74% | 2.13% | 2.02% |
SPXU ProShares UltraPro Short S&P500 | 7.89% | 7.02% | 9.53% | 7.06% | 0.39% | 0.00% | 0.70% | 2.14% | 1.41% | 0.10% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Frequently Asked Questions
SPXU and NOBL have a correlation of -0.44, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
SPXU has higher volatility (8.58%) compared to NOBL (2.36%). In terms of maximum drawdown, SPXU dropped -99.99% vs NOBL's -35.43%.
On 10-year performance, NOBL leads with 9.51% vs -41.95% for SPXU. On fees, NOBL is cheaper at 0.35% per year. On volatility, NOBL has been the lower-risk option at 2.36%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 10-year period, NOBL has performed better with a 9.51% return vs -41.95%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
NOBL is cheaper with a 0.35% expense ratio, compared with 0.93% for SPXU.
SPXU has the higher dividend yield at 7.89%, compared with 2.12% for NOBL.
SPXU is categorized as Leveraged Equities, while NOBL is Dividend. SPXU tracks S&P 500 Index (-300%), while NOBL tracks S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats Index. Their fees differ too: 0.93% for SPXU and 0.35% for NOBL.
NOBL currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (0.80 vs -1.39), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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