ZSL vs. TMF
ZSL (ProShares UltraShort Silver) and TMF (Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF) are both exchange-traded funds - ZSL is a Silver fund tracking the Bloomberg Silver Subindex (-2x), while TMF is a Leveraged Bonds fund tracking the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index (300%). Both are passively managed. Over the past 10 years, ZSL returned -38.38%/yr vs -17.81%/yr for TMF. At a correlation of -0.07, they often move in opposite directions. ZSL charges 1.32%/yr vs 1.01%/yr for TMF.
Performance
ZSL vs. TMF - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, ZSL achieves a -35.96% return, which is significantly lower than TMF's -10.00% return. Over the past 10 years, ZSL has underperformed TMF with an annualized return of -38.38%, while TMF has yielded a comparatively higher -17.81% annualized return.
ZSL
- 1D
- 7.48%
- 1M
- 50.79%
- 6M
- 17.12%
- YTD
- -35.96%
- 1Y
- -85.32%
- 3Y*
- -63.16%
- 5Y*
- -48.77%
- 10Y*
- -38.38%
TMF
- 1D
- -0.03%
- 1M
- -6.57%
- 6M
- -13.01%
- YTD
- -10.00%
- 1Y
- -2.84%
- 3Y*
- -21.08%
- 5Y*
- -33.44%
- 10Y*
- -17.81%
ZSL vs. TMF - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ZSL ProShares UltraShort Silver | -35.96% | -87.29% | -42.43% | -5.49% | -28.09% | -2.04% | -74.44% | -27.76% | 18.15% | -18.99% |
TMF Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF | -10.00% | -2.94% | -35.95% | -13.01% | -72.60% | -19.80% | 39.02% | 34.75% | -11.01% | 22.72% |
Correlation
The correlation between ZSL and TMF is -0.10, meaning there is essentially no relationship between their price movements. Each responds to its own set of market drivers, making them strong candidates for combining in a diversified portfolio.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | -0.10 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | -0.10 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | -0.14 |
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | -0.16 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Apr 16, 2009 | -0.07 |
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Return for Risk
ZSL vs. TMF — Risk / Return Rank
ZSL
TMF
ZSL vs. TMF - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for ProShares UltraShort Silver (ZSL) and Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF (TMF). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| ZSL | TMF | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | -0.59 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | -1.54 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 0.84 | 1.01 | -0.17 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | -0.91 | -0.11 | -0.80 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | -1.18 | -0.22 | -0.96 |
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Drawdowns
ZSL vs. TMF - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum ZSL drawdown since its inception was -100.00%, which is greater than TMF's maximum drawdown of -92.89%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for ZSL and TMF.
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Drawdown Indicators
| ZSL | TMF | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -100.00% | -92.89% | -7.11% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -93.81% | -26.51% | -67.30% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -98.40% | -55.14% | -43.26% |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | -99.06% | -88.81% | -10.25% |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | -99.82% | -92.89% | -6.93% |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -99.99% | -92.55% | -7.44% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -96.39% | -43.94% | -52.45% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 72.29% | 13.06% | +59.23% |
Volatility
ZSL vs. TMF - Volatility Comparison
ProShares UltraShort Silver (ZSL) has a higher volatility of 24.88% compared to Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF (TMF) at 7.49%. This indicates that ZSL's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than TMF based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| ZSL | TMF | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 24.88% | 7.49% | +17.39% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 101.84% | 19.82% | +82.02% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 123.98% | 27.47% | +96.51% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 75.58% | 46.49% | +29.09% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 65.92% | 43.70% | +22.22% |
ZSL vs. TMF - Expense Ratio Comparison
ZSL has a 1.32% expense ratio, which is higher than TMF's 1.01% expense ratio.
Dividends
ZSL vs. TMF - Dividend Comparison
ZSL has not paid dividends to shareholders, while TMF's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 4.39%.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TMF Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF | 4.39% | 4.06% | 4.29% | 2.82% | 1.62% | 0.13% | 2.23% | 0.94% | 1.49% | 0.41% |
ZSL ProShares UltraShort Silver | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Frequently Asked Questions
ZSL and TMF have a correlation of -0.10, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
ZSL has higher volatility (24.88%) compared to TMF (7.49%). In terms of maximum drawdown, ZSL dropped -100.00% vs TMF's -92.89%.
On 10-year performance, TMF leads with -17.81% vs -38.38% for ZSL. On fees, TMF is cheaper at 1.01% per year. On volatility, TMF has been the lower-risk option at 7.49%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 10-year period, TMF has performed better with a -17.81% return vs -38.38%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
TMF is cheaper with a 1.01% expense ratio, compared with 1.32% for ZSL.
TMF has the higher dividend yield at 4.39%, compared with 0.00% for ZSL.
ZSL is categorized as Silver, while TMF is Leveraged Bonds. ZSL tracks Bloomberg Silver Subindex (-2x), while TMF tracks ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index (300%). They also come from different issuers: ProShares and Direxion. Their fees differ too: 1.32% for ZSL and 1.01% for TMF.
TMF currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (-0.10 vs -0.69), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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