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TRND vs. AOA
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility
Dividends

Performance

TRND vs. AOA - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in Pacer Trendpilot Fund of Funds ETF (TRND) and iShares Core Aggressive Allocation ETF (AOA). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

The year-to-date returns for both stocks are quite close, with TRND having a 10.59% return and AOA slightly lower at 10.48%.


TRND

1D
0.37%
1M
5.27%
YTD
10.59%
6M
11.19%
1Y
22.41%
3Y*
12.03%
5Y*
6.46%
10Y*

AOA

1D
0.37%
1M
4.06%
YTD
10.48%
6M
11.51%
1Y
25.21%
3Y*
17.71%
5Y*
9.42%
10Y*
10.61%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

TRND vs. AOA - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)2025202420232022202120202019
TRND
Pacer Trendpilot Fund of Funds ETF
10.59%6.03%11.97%16.48%-15.37%12.95%4.73%7.79%
AOA
iShares Core Aggressive Allocation ETF
10.48%19.59%13.55%18.27%-16.23%15.42%12.82%8.67%

Correlation

The correlation between TRND and AOA is 0.96 - these two move nearly in lockstep. At this level, holding both provides almost no diversification benefit. If you already own one, adding the other does little to reduce portfolio risk.


Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.96

Correlation (3Y)
Calculated over the trailing 3-year period

0.94

Correlation (5Y)
Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.91

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since May 7, 2019

0.91

The correlation between TRND and AOA has been stable across timeframes, ranging from 0.91 to 0.96 - a consistent structural relationship.

TRND vs. AOA - Sectors Allocation Comparison


Sectors
TRND
AOA

Technology

30.6%
27.4%

Industrials

13.4%
12.0%

Financial Services

13.2%
16.1%

Consumer Cyclical

10.0%
9.5%

Communication Services

7.7%
8.3%

Healthcare

7.4%
8.0%

Consumer Defensive

5.5%
5.0%

Energy

3.8%
4.3%

Basic Materials

3.4%
4.2%

Real Estate

2.7%
2.4%

Utilities

2.3%
2.7%

Technology

TRND
30.6%
AOA
27.4%

Industrials

TRND
13.4%
AOA
12.0%

Financial Services

TRND
13.2%
AOA
16.1%

Consumer Cyclical

TRND
10.0%
AOA
9.5%

Communication Services

TRND
7.7%
AOA
8.3%

Healthcare

TRND
7.4%
AOA
8.0%

Consumer Defensive

TRND
5.5%
AOA
5.0%

Energy

TRND
3.8%
AOA
4.3%

Basic Materials

TRND
3.4%
AOA
4.2%

Real Estate

TRND
2.7%
AOA
2.4%

Utilities

TRND
2.3%
AOA
2.7%

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Return for Risk

TRND vs. AOA — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

TRND
TRND Risk / Return Rank: 6060
Overall Rank
TRND Sharpe Ratio Rank: 5959
Sharpe Ratio Rank
TRND Sortino Ratio Rank: 5959
Sortino Ratio Rank
TRND Omega Ratio Rank: 5858
Omega Ratio Rank
TRND Calmar Ratio Rank: 5757
Calmar Ratio Rank
TRND Martin Ratio Rank: 6565
Martin Ratio Rank

AOA
AOA Risk / Return Rank: 7171
Overall Rank
AOA Sharpe Ratio Rank: 7272
Sharpe Ratio Rank
AOA Sortino Ratio Rank: 7373
Sortino Ratio Rank
AOA Omega Ratio Rank: 7474
Omega Ratio Rank
AOA Calmar Ratio Rank: 6363
Calmar Ratio Rank
AOA Martin Ratio Rank: 7373
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

TRND vs. AOA - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Pacer Trendpilot Fund of Funds ETF (TRND) and iShares Core Aggressive Allocation ETF (AOA). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.


TRNDAOADifference

Sharpe ratio

Return per unit of total volatility

2.01

2.39

-0.38

Sortino ratio

Return per unit of downside risk

2.84

3.35

-0.51

Omega ratio

Gain probability vs. loss probability

1.36

1.44

-0.08

Calmar ratio

Return relative to maximum drawdown

2.86

3.16

-0.30

Martin ratio

Return relative to average drawdown

12.02

14.04

-2.02

TRND vs. AOA - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current TRND Sharpe Ratio is 2.01, which is comparable to the AOA Sharpe Ratio of 2.39. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of TRND and AOA, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.


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Sharpe Ratios by Period


TRNDAOADifference

Sharpe Ratio (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

2.01

2.39

-0.38

Sharpe Ratio (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.67

0.73

-0.06

Sharpe Ratio (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

0.79

Sharpe Ratio (All Time)

Calculated using the full available price history

0.66

0.69

-0.03

Drawdowns

TRND vs. AOA - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum TRND drawdown since its inception was -17.88%, smaller than the maximum AOA drawdown of -28.38%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for TRND and AOA.


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Drawdown Indicators


TRNDAOADifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-17.88%

-28.38%

+10.50%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-8.00%

-8.20%

+0.20%

Max Drawdown (3Y)

Largest decline over 3 years

-9.56%

-12.94%

+3.38%

Max Drawdown (5Y)

Largest decline over 5 years

-16.21%

-23.62%

+7.41%

Max Drawdown (10Y)

Largest decline over 10 years

-28.38%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

0.00%

0.00%

0.00%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-5.22%

-4.05%

-1.17%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

1.90%

1.84%

+0.06%

Volatility

TRND vs. AOA - Volatility Comparison

Pacer Trendpilot Fund of Funds ETF (TRND) has a higher volatility of 3.59% compared to iShares Core Aggressive Allocation ETF (AOA) at 3.27%. This indicates that TRND's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than AOA based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


TRNDAOADifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

3.59%

3.27%

+0.32%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

8.96%

8.52%

+0.44%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

11.22%

10.62%

+0.60%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

9.71%

12.98%

-3.27%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

11.18%

13.55%

-2.37%

TRND vs. AOA - Expense Ratio Comparison

TRND has a 0.77% expense ratio, which is higher than AOA's 0.25% expense ratio.


Dividends

TRND vs. AOA - Dividend Comparison

TRND's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 2.10%, more than AOA's 2.03% yield.


PositionTTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
AOA
iShares Core Aggressive Allocation ETF
2.03%2.18%2.30%2.22%2.10%1.67%1.71%2.50%2.37%5.09%2.26%2.15%
TRND
Pacer Trendpilot Fund of Funds ETF
2.10%2.32%2.31%2.51%1.76%0.93%0.60%0.93%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Frequently Asked Questions


With a correlation of 0.96, TRND and AOA move almost identically. Holding both adds very little diversification - you're essentially doubling your position in the same market segment. Choosing one is usually more capital-efficient.

TRND has higher volatility (3.59%) compared to AOA (3.27%). In terms of maximum drawdown, TRND dropped -17.88% vs AOA's -28.38%.

On 5-year performance, AOA leads with 9.42% vs 6.46% for TRND. On fees, AOA is cheaper at 0.25% per year. On volatility, AOA has been the lower-risk option at 3.27%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.

Over the 5-year period, AOA has performed better with a 9.42% return vs 6.46%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.

AOA is cheaper with a 0.25% expense ratio, compared with 0.77% for TRND.

TRND has the higher dividend yield at 2.10%, compared with 2.03% for AOA.

TRND is categorized as Large Cap Blend Equities, while AOA is Diversified Portfolio. TRND tracks Pacer Trendpilot Fund of Funds Index, while AOA tracks S&P Target Risk Aggressive Index. They also come from different issuers: Pacer and iShares. Their fees differ too: 0.77% for TRND and 0.25% for AOA.

AOA currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (2.39 vs 2.01), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.

Portfolio Optimizer

Find the right allocation for TRND and AOA

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