TMF vs. OILU
TMF (Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF) and OILU (MicroSectors Oil & Gas Exploration & Production 3X Leveraged ETN) are both exchange-traded funds - TMF is a Leveraged Bonds fund tracking the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index (300%), while OILU is a Leveraged Commodities fund managed by BMO. Over the past 3 years, TMF returned -19.82%/yr vs 6.45%/yr for OILU. At a correlation of -0.12, they often move in opposite directions. TMF charges 1.01%/yr vs 0.95%/yr for OILU.
Performance
TMF vs. OILU - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, TMF achieves a -5.18% return, which is significantly lower than OILU's 80.85% return.
TMF
- 1D
- -0.93%
- 1M
- 3.29%
- YTD
- -5.18%
- 6M
- -5.04%
- 1Y
- -4.90%
- 3Y*
- -19.82%
- 5Y*
- -31.10%
- 10Y*
- -16.87%
OILU
- 1D
- 2.31%
- 1M
- -5.32%
- YTD
- 80.85%
- 6M
- 71.72%
- 1Y
- 79.06%
- 3Y*
- 6.45%
- 5Y*
- —
- 10Y*
- —
TMF vs. OILU - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TMF Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF | -5.18% | -2.94% | -35.95% | -13.01% | -72.60% | -2.79% |
OILU MicroSectors Oil & Gas Exploration & Production 3X Leveraged ETN | 80.85% | -16.50% | -21.65% | -32.50% | 151.08% | -16.79% |
Correlation
The correlation between TMF and OILU is -0.22, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. This is especially valuable for risk management - when one declines, the other has historically tended to hold steady or rise.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | -0.22 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | -0.07 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Nov 9, 2021 | -0.12 |
The correlation between TMF and OILU shifts across timeframes, from -0.22 (1 year) to -0.07 (3 years), reflecting how their relationship changes across market environments.
TMF vs. OILU - Sectors Allocation Comparison
Sectors
TMF
OILU
Financial Services
-
Basic Materials
-
-
Communication Services
-
-
Consumer Cyclical
-
-
Consumer Defensive
-
-
Energy
-
Healthcare
-
-
Industrials
-
-
Real Estate
-
-
Technology
-
-
Utilities
-
-
Financial Services
TMF
OILU
-
Basic Materials
TMF
-
OILU
-
Communication Services
TMF
-
OILU
-
Consumer Cyclical
TMF
-
OILU
-
Consumer Defensive
TMF
-
OILU
-
Energy
TMF
-
OILU
Healthcare
TMF
-
OILU
-
Industrials
TMF
-
OILU
-
Real Estate
TMF
-
OILU
-
Technology
TMF
-
OILU
-
Utilities
TMF
-
OILU
-
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Return for Risk
TMF vs. OILU — Risk / Return Rank
TMF
OILU
TMF vs. OILU - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF (TMF) and MicroSectors Oil & Gas Exploration & Production 3X Leveraged ETN (OILU). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| TMF | OILU | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | -1.45 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | -1.84 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 0.99 | 1.22 | -0.22 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | -0.19 | 2.37 | -2.56 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | -0.41 | 5.62 | -6.03 |
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Drawdowns
TMF vs. OILU - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum TMF drawdown since its inception was -92.89%, which is greater than OILU's maximum drawdown of -81.00%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for TMF and OILU.
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Drawdown Indicators
| TMF | OILU | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -92.89% | -81.00% | -11.89% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -26.51% | -33.51% | +7.00% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -56.31% | -69.09% | +12.78% |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | -88.81% | — | — |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | -92.89% | — | — |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -92.15% | -51.36% | -40.79% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -43.70% | -50.54% | +6.84% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 11.96% | 14.12% | -2.16% |
Volatility
TMF vs. OILU - Volatility Comparison
The current volatility for Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF (TMF) is 8.43%, while MicroSectors Oil & Gas Exploration & Production 3X Leveraged ETN (OILU) has a volatility of 21.88%. This indicates that TMF experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than OILU based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| TMF | OILU | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 8.43% | 21.88% | -13.45% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 19.46% | 50.72% | -31.26% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 28.49% | 62.50% | -34.01% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 46.72% | 81.07% | -34.35% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 43.92% | 81.07% | -37.15% |
TMF vs. OILU - Expense Ratio Comparison
TMF has a 1.01% expense ratio, which is higher than OILU's 0.95% expense ratio.
Dividends
TMF vs. OILU - Dividend Comparison
TMF's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 4.11%, while OILU has not paid dividends to shareholders.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
OILU MicroSectors Oil & Gas Exploration & Production 3X Leveraged ETN | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
TMF Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF | 4.11% | 4.06% | 4.29% | 2.82% | 1.62% | 0.13% | 2.23% | 0.94% | 1.49% | 0.41% |
Frequently Asked Questions
TMF and OILU have a correlation of -0.22, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
OILU has higher volatility (21.88%) compared to TMF (8.43%). In terms of maximum drawdown, TMF dropped -92.89% vs OILU's -81.00%.
On 3-year performance, OILU leads with 6.45% vs -19.82% for TMF. On fees, OILU is cheaper at 0.95% per year. On volatility, TMF has been the lower-risk option at 8.43%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 3-year period, OILU has performed better with a 6.45% return vs -19.82%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
OILU is cheaper with a 0.95% expense ratio, compared with 1.01% for TMF.
TMF has the higher dividend yield at 4.11%, compared with 0.00% for OILU.
TMF is categorized as Leveraged Bonds, while OILU is Leveraged Commodities. They also come from different issuers: Direxion and BMO. Their fees differ too: 1.01% for TMF and 0.95% for OILU.
OILU currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (1.27 vs -0.17), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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