KOLD vs. NOBL
KOLD (ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Natural Gas) and NOBL (ProShares S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats ETF) are both exchange-traded funds - KOLD is a Leveraged Commodities fund tracking the Bloomberg Natural Gas Subindex (TR) (200%), while NOBL is a S&P 500 fund tracking the S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats Index. Both are passively managed. Over the past 10 years, KOLD returned -26.16%/yr vs 9.53%/yr for NOBL. At a correlation of -0.05, they often move in opposite directions. KOLD charges 0.95%/yr vs 0.35%/yr for NOBL.
Performance
KOLD vs. NOBL - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, KOLD achieves a -34.34% return, which is significantly lower than NOBL's 3.68% return. Over the past 10 years, KOLD has underperformed NOBL with an annualized return of -26.16%, while NOBL has yielded a comparatively higher 9.53% annualized return.
KOLD
- 1D
- 1.05%
- 1M
- -9.50%
- YTD
- -34.34%
- 6M
- -7.88%
- 1Y
- 1.67%
- 3Y*
- -19.53%
- 5Y*
- -40.39%
- 10Y*
- -26.16%
NOBL
- 1D
- 0.37%
- 1M
- -0.27%
- YTD
- 3.68%
- 6M
- 4.28%
- 1Y
- 9.53%
- 3Y*
- 8.08%
- 5Y*
- 5.15%
- 10Y*
- 9.53%
KOLD vs. NOBL - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
KOLD ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Natural Gas | -34.34% | -17.48% | -11.34% | 249.82% | -88.62% | -74.44% | 22.05% | 82.94% | -46.48% | 72.02% |
NOBL ProShares S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats ETF | 3.68% | 6.84% | 6.72% | 8.09% | -6.52% | 25.46% | 8.35% | 27.39% | -3.26% | 21.02% |
Correlation
The correlation between KOLD and NOBL is 0.09, meaning there is essentially no relationship between their price movements. Each responds to its own set of market drivers, making them strong candidates for combining in a diversified portfolio.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.09 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | -0.01 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | -0.08 |
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | -0.06 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Oct 11, 2013 | -0.05 |
The correlation between KOLD and NOBL shifts across timeframes, from -0.08 (5 years) to 0.09 (1 year), reflecting how their relationship changes across market environments.
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Return for Risk
KOLD vs. NOBL — Risk / Return Rank
KOLD
NOBL
KOLD vs. NOBL - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Natural Gas (KOLD) and ProShares S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats ETF (NOBL). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
| KOLD | NOBL | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 0.01 | 0.84 | -0.83 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 0.87 | 1.31 | -0.44 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.11 | 1.15 | -0.03 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | -0.18 | 1.03 | -1.21 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | -0.37 | 2.69 | -3.06 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
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Sharpe Ratios by Period
| KOLD | NOBL | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe Ratio (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.01 | 0.84 | -0.83 |
Sharpe Ratio (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | -0.34 | 0.36 | -0.70 |
Sharpe Ratio (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | -0.26 | 0.58 | -0.83 |
Sharpe Ratio (All Time)Calculated using the full available price history | -0.14 | 0.64 | -0.78 |
Drawdowns
KOLD vs. NOBL - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum KOLD drawdown since its inception was -99.45%, which is greater than NOBL's maximum drawdown of -35.43%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for KOLD and NOBL.
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Drawdown Indicators
| KOLD | NOBL | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -99.45% | -35.43% | -64.02% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -72.50% | -9.11% | -63.39% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -84.34% | -15.36% | -68.98% |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | -98.45% | -17.92% | -80.53% |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | -99.45% | -35.43% | -64.02% |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -97.32% | -5.83% | -91.49% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -69.48% | -3.48% | -66.00% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 35.85% | 3.48% | +32.37% |
Volatility
KOLD vs. NOBL - Volatility Comparison
ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Natural Gas (KOLD) has a higher volatility of 24.65% compared to ProShares S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats ETF (NOBL) at 2.78%. This indicates that KOLD's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than NOBL based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| KOLD | NOBL | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 24.65% | 2.78% | +21.87% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 99.52% | 8.01% | +91.51% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 114.40% | 11.33% | +103.07% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 118.74% | 14.38% | +104.36% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 101.77% | 16.61% | +85.16% |
KOLD vs. NOBL - Expense Ratio Comparison
KOLD has a 0.95% expense ratio, which is higher than NOBL's 0.35% expense ratio.
Dividends
KOLD vs. NOBL - Dividend Comparison
KOLD has not paid dividends to shareholders, while NOBL's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 2.12%.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
KOLD ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Natural Gas | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
NOBL ProShares S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats ETF | 2.12% | 2.14% | 2.05% | 2.09% | 1.94% | 1.89% | 2.14% | 1.89% | 2.37% | 1.74% | 2.13% | 2.02% |
Frequently Asked Questions
KOLD and NOBL have a correlation of 0.09, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
KOLD has higher volatility (24.65%) compared to NOBL (2.78%). In terms of maximum drawdown, KOLD dropped -99.45% vs NOBL's -35.43%.
On 10-year performance, NOBL leads with 9.53% vs -26.16% for KOLD. On fees, NOBL is cheaper at 0.35% per year. On volatility, NOBL has been the lower-risk option at 2.78%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 10-year period, NOBL has performed better with a 9.53% return vs -26.16%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
NOBL is cheaper with a 0.35% expense ratio, compared with 0.95% for KOLD.
NOBL has the higher dividend yield at 2.12%, compared with 0.00% for KOLD.
KOLD is categorized as Leveraged Commodities, while NOBL is S&P 500. KOLD tracks Bloomberg Natural Gas Subindex (TR) (200%), while NOBL tracks S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats Index. Their fees differ too: 0.95% for KOLD and 0.35% for NOBL.
NOBL currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (0.84 vs 0.01), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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