Asset Allocation
Find the right asset allocation for 40/40/20+ Portfolio
Add portfolio to the optimizer to find optimal allocations for your target — whether that's maximizing returns, minimizing drawdowns, or balancing risk across holdings.
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Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in 40/40/20+ Portfolio, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced when any position deviates by more than 20.0% from its target allocation.
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Returns By Period
| Position | 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | -2.64% | -0.21% | 7.86% | 7.47% | 23.05% | 19.90% | 11.79% | 13.33% |
Portfolio 40/40/20+ Portfolio | -1.71% | -1.08% | 5.83% | 6.62% | 17.57% | 13.79% | 7.74% | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
AVDV Avantis International Small Cap Value ETF | -3.19% | -3.19% | 12.92% | 15.80% | 39.79% | 26.89% | 13.10% | — |
BND Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF | -0.45% | -0.64% | -0.05% | 0.11% | 4.90% | 3.80% | 0.02% | 1.56% |
BSV Vanguard Short-Term Bond Index Fund ETF Shares | -0.26% | -0.36% | 0.11% | 0.49% | 3.67% | 4.36% | 1.58% | 1.93% |
DBMF iMGP DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF | -2.01% | -0.10% | 9.70% | 11.78% | 28.17% | 9.96% | 7.93% | — |
GLDM SPDR Gold MiniShares Trust | -3.67% | -8.63% | 0.06% | 2.68% | 30.23% | 29.91% | 17.81% | — |
JMSIX JPMorgan Income Fund | 0.00% | 0.15% | 1.23% | 1.85% | 5.92% | 7.08% | 2.78% | 3.96% |
QDSNX AQR Diversifying Strategies Fund Class N | -0.27% | 1.16% | 6.09% | 7.59% | 14.70% | 13.67% | 10.81% | — |
RLY SPDR SSgA Multi-Asset Real Return ETF | -2.18% | -2.04% | 14.42% | 15.47% | 28.07% | 14.14% | 9.92% | 8.16% |
VT Vanguard Total World Stock ETF | -3.07% | -0.97% | 9.20% | 9.69% | 24.82% | 19.73% | 10.38% | 12.30% |
VTIP Vanguard Short-Term Inflation-Protected Securities ETF | -0.20% | -0.18% | 1.76% | 1.81% | 4.64% | 5.13% | 3.31% | 3.09% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Jun 11, 2020, 40/40/20+ Portfolio's average daily return is +0.04%, while the average monthly return is +0.79%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 7.3 years.
Historically, 66% of months were positive and 34% were negative. The best month was Nov 2020 with a return of +5.8%, while the worst month was Sep 2022 at -5.4%. The longest winning streak lasted 11 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 3 months.
On a daily basis, 40/40/20+ Portfolio closed higher 56% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +3.9%, while the worst single day was Apr 4, 2025 at -3.1%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2.93% | 2.62% | -3.73% | 3.91% | 1.82% | -1.63% | 5.83% | ||||||
| 2025 | 2.16% | 0.64% | -0.37% | 0.89% | 2.49% | 2.60% | 0.45% | 2.48% | 2.60% | 1.38% | 1.00% | 0.80% | 18.46% |
| 2024 | 0.16% | 1.72% | 2.91% | -1.33% | 2.63% | 0.62% | 1.65% | 1.33% | 1.78% | -1.62% | 1.88% | -1.67% | 10.37% |
| 2023 | 4.31% | -2.16% | 1.64% | 0.93% | -1.48% | 2.57% | 2.16% | -1.22% | -1.91% | -1.23% | 4.56% | 2.99% | 11.40% |
| 2022 | -1.93% | -0.40% | 0.99% | -3.31% | 0.62% | -4.69% | 3.34% | -2.40% | -5.41% | 3.04% | 4.56% | -1.70% | -7.60% |
| 2021 | -0.09% | 1.40% | 1.44% | 2.50% | 1.69% | -0.08% | 0.79% | 0.69% | -1.89% | 2.44% | -1.74% | 2.34% | 9.78% |
Benchmark Metrics
40/40/20+ Portfolio has an annualized alpha of 3.20%, beta of 0.42, and R2 of 0.82 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since June 11, 2020.
- This portfolio participates in less of S&P 500 Index's moves in both directions, but captures a larger share of gains (46.16%) than losses (45.47%) - typical of diversified or defensive assets.
- This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 3.20% versus S&P 500 Index - delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
- Beta of 0.42 indicates this portfolio moves significantly less than S&P 500 Index - a genuinely defensive profile with reduced participation in both market rallies and downturns.
- Alpha
- 3.20%
- Beta
- 0.42
- R²
- 0.82
- Upside Capture
- 46.16%
- Downside Capture
- 45.47%
Expense Ratio
40/40/20+ Portfolio has an expense ratio of 0.33%, placing it in the medium range. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
40/40/20+ Portfolio ranks 53 for risk / return — on par with similar Portfolios. You're getting a typical balance of risk and reward. Not a standout, but not a red flag either — a reasonable choice if other factors align with your goals.
Return / Risk — by metrics
The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for 40/40/20+ Portfolio and compares them with S&P 500 Index.
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 2.53 | 2.01 | +0.52 |
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 3.47 | 2.71 | +0.75 |
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.49 | 1.36 | +0.13 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 3.37 | 2.69 | +0.69 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 14.61 | 12.34 | +2.27 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Position | Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AVDV Avantis International Small Cap Value ETF | 78 | 2.51 | 3.32 | 1.46 | 3.02 | 12.23 |
BND Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF | 35 | 1.16 | 1.71 | 1.20 | 1.62 | 4.86 |
BSV Vanguard Short-Term Bond Index Fund ETF Shares | 63 | 1.87 | 2.96 | 1.35 | 2.63 | 9.17 |
DBMF iMGP DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF | 82 | 2.26 | 2.97 | 1.48 | 4.58 | 16.82 |
GLDM SPDR Gold MiniShares Trust | 32 | 1.07 | 1.45 | 1.22 | 1.43 | 3.63 |
JMSIX JPMorgan Income Fund | 79 | 2.21 | 4.35 | 1.58 | 3.43 | 14.27 |
QDSNX AQR Diversifying Strategies Fund Class N | 92 | 2.93 | 4.41 | 1.57 | 7.42 | 21.46 |
RLY SPDR SSgA Multi-Asset Real Return ETF | 91 | 2.75 | 3.71 | 1.51 | 7.32 | 26.80 |
VT Vanguard Total World Stock ETF | 65 | 1.98 | 2.70 | 1.36 | 2.68 | 11.87 |
VTIP Vanguard Short-Term Inflation-Protected Securities ETF | 94 | 2.96 | 4.99 | 1.62 | 6.39 | 25.19 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
40/40/20+ Portfolio provided a 2.98% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 2.98% | 3.09% | 2.91% | 3.07% | 3.57% | 3.41% | 1.94% | 2.67% | 2.29% | 1.94% | 1.46% | 1.35% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
AVDV Avantis International Small Cap Value ETF | 2.82% | 3.05% | 4.31% | 3.29% | 3.17% | 2.39% | 1.67% | 0.36% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
BND Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF | 3.98% | 3.86% | 3.67% | 3.09% | 2.60% | 2.12% | 2.38% | 2.72% | 2.81% | 2.54% | 2.51% | 2.57% |
BSV Vanguard Short-Term Bond Index Fund ETF Shares | 4.00% | 3.83% | 3.38% | 2.46% | 1.50% | 1.45% | 1.79% | 2.29% | 1.99% | 1.65% | 1.48% | 1.40% |
DBMF iMGP DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF | 5.22% | 5.91% | 5.75% | 2.91% | 7.72% | 10.38% | 0.86% | 9.35% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
GLDM SPDR Gold MiniShares Trust | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
JMSIX JPMorgan Income Fund | 6.03% | 5.95% | 5.78% | 4.43% | 4.78% | 4.00% | 4.95% | 5.10% | 5.43% | 5.42% | 0.46% | 0.00% |
QDSNX AQR Diversifying Strategies Fund Class N | 1.88% | 1.99% | 0.00% | 11.18% | 8.01% | 5.99% | 1.83% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
RLY SPDR SSgA Multi-Asset Real Return ETF | 2.93% | 3.24% | 3.31% | 3.71% | 5.66% | 12.15% | 2.16% | 3.45% | 2.76% | 1.85% | 2.07% | 1.80% |
VT Vanguard Total World Stock ETF | 1.64% | 1.82% | 1.95% | 2.08% | 2.20% | 1.82% | 1.66% | 2.32% | 2.53% | 2.11% | 2.39% | 2.45% |
VTIP Vanguard Short-Term Inflation-Protected Securities ETF | 3.59% | 3.81% | 2.70% | 2.86% | 6.84% | 4.68% | 1.20% | 1.95% | 2.45% | 1.52% | 0.76% | 0.00% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the 40/40/20+ Portfolio. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the 40/40/20+ Portfolio was 13.17%, occurring on Sep 30, 2022. Recovery took 294 trading sessions.
The current 40/40/20+ Portfolio drawdown is 2.45%.
Related event | Drawdown | Fall | Recovery | Underwater |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Bear market2022 | -13.17%Sep 2022 | 10mo 25d | 1y 2mo | 2y 22dNov 2021 - Dec 2023 |
2025 selloff2025 | -7.03%Apr 2025 | 1mo 18d | 27d | 2mo 15dFeb 2025 - May 2025 |
2026 pullback2026 | -5.26%Mar 2026 | 25d | 21d | 1mo 16dMar 2026 - Apr 2026 |
2024 pullback2024 | -4.04%Aug 2024 | 19d | 16d | 1mo 5dJul 2024 - Aug 2024 |
2020 pullback2020 | -3.71%Sep 2020 | 21d | 1mo 12d | 2mo 3dSep 2020 - Nov 2020 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 10 assets, with an effective number of assets of 5.71, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your allocation shows noticeable concentration: a few holdings carry significantly more weight than the rest. Rebalancing toward more even weights — or adding less correlated assets — could reduce risk.
Diversification Ratio
1Y | 3Y | 5Y | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Diversification Ratio | 1.29 | 1.31 | 1.35 | 1.34 |
The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.34, in line with the typical range across portfolios. There's room to improve by adding less correlated assets.
40/40/20+ Portfolio correlation to the S&P 500 Index
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.84 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.85 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.87 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Jun 11, 2020 | 0.88 |
Benchmark Correlations
Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. VT has the highest benchmark correlation at 0.96, while BSV has the lowest at 0.14.
Asset Correlations Table
| QDSNX | DBMF | GLDM | VTIP | BND | BSV | JMSIX | RLY | VT | AVDV | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QDSNX | 1.00 | 0.40 | 0.11 | 0.07 | -0.08 | -0.08 | -0.07 | 0.35 | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| DBMF | 0.40 | 1.00 | 0.11 | -0.10 | -0.31 | -0.29 | -0.25 | 0.26 | 0.18 | 0.19 |
| GLDM | 0.11 | 0.11 | 1.00 | 0.36 | 0.32 | 0.36 | 0.29 | 0.42 | 0.23 | 0.39 |
| VTIP | 0.07 | -0.10 | 0.36 | 1.00 | 0.55 | 0.65 | 0.54 | 0.32 | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| BND | -0.08 | -0.31 | 0.32 | 0.55 | 1.00 | 0.86 | 0.62 | 0.10 | 0.19 | 0.17 |
| BSV | -0.08 | -0.29 | 0.36 | 0.65 | 0.86 | 1.00 | 0.69 | 0.11 | 0.17 | 0.19 |
| JMSIX | -0.07 | -0.25 | 0.29 | 0.54 | 0.62 | 0.69 | 1.00 | 0.22 | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| RLY | 0.35 | 0.26 | 0.42 | 0.32 | 0.10 | 0.11 | 0.22 | 1.00 | 0.65 | 0.75 |
| VT | 0.21 | 0.18 | 0.23 | 0.19 | 0.19 | 0.17 | 0.31 | 0.65 | 1.00 | 0.82 |
| AVDV | 0.28 | 0.19 | 0.39 | 0.25 | 0.17 | 0.19 | 0.33 | 0.75 | 0.82 | 1.00 |
Find what 40/40/20+ Portfolio is missing
See which holdings overlap, where 40/40/20+ Portfolio is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.
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