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*2026 thinking etfs
Performance
Return for Risk
Dividends
Drawdowns
Volatility
Diversification

Asset Allocation


S&P 500 Index

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Performance

Performance Chart

The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in *2026 thinking etfs, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every year.


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Returns By Period


Position1D1MYTD6M1Y3Y*5Y*10Y*
Benchmark
S&P 500 Index
0.50%-0.17%8.56%8.85%22.93%19.37%11.84%13.61%
Portfolio
*2026 thinking etfs
0.53%-0.08%14.87%15.50%33.83%
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF
-0.12%0.42%0.52%0.91%4.40%4.17%0.03%1.58%
BTC
Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust ETF
0.07%-20.09%-27.37%-29.59%-40.53%
GLD
SPDR Gold Shares
0.06%-10.21%-2.47%-2.25%23.81%28.89%17.08%12.15%
MAGS
Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF
0.00%-7.97%-1.59%-0.43%23.09%31.29%
SMH
VanEck Semiconductor ETF
1.72%8.30%72.15%75.62%136.32%60.05%38.42%37.49%
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF
0.54%-0.08%9.07%9.42%24.27%20.86%13.36%15.42%
VGT
Vanguard Information Technology ETF
0.58%2.90%24.03%24.13%47.99%29.84%20.35%25.19%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

Monthly Returns

Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Jul 31, 2024, *2026 thinking etfs's average daily return is +0.10%, while the average monthly return is +1.96%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 3.0 years.

Historically, 67% of months were positive and 33% were negative. The best month was Apr 2026 with a return of +11.4%, while the worst month was Mar 2026 at -4.4%. The longest winning streak lasted 7 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 2 months.

On a daily basis, *2026 thinking etfs closed higher 59% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +7.6%, while the worst single day was Jun 5, 2026 at -4.6%.


JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20262.90%-0.81%-4.38%11.41%7.91%-2.10%14.87%
20251.66%-2.23%-3.71%1.63%5.83%5.87%2.39%1.15%6.55%4.22%-1.74%0.63%23.95%
20242.60%0.30%2.75%-0.33%4.85%-0.30%10.18%

Benchmark Metrics

*2026 thinking etfs has an annualized alpha of 9.59%, beta of 0.90, and R2 of 0.82 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since July 31, 2024.

  • This portfolio captured 114.17% of S&P 500 Index gains but only 62.90% of its losses - a favorable profile for investors.
  • This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 9.59% versus S&P 500 Index - delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
  • With beta of 0.90 and R2 of 0.82, this portfolio moves broadly in line with S&P 500 Index - much of its variation is explained by market exposure rather than independent behavior.

Alpha
9.59%
Beta
0.90
0.82
Upside Capture
114.17%
Downside Capture
62.90%

Expense Ratio

*2026 thinking etfs has an expense ratio of 0.17%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.


Return for Risk

Risk / Return Rank

*2026 thinking etfs ranks 64 for risk / return — better than 64% of Portfolios on our site. You're getting solid returns for the risk taken. A good sign, especially for investors who want growth without excessive volatility.


*2026 thinking etfs Risk / Return Rank: 6464
Overall Rank
*2026 thinking etfs Sharpe Ratio Rank: 6969
Sharpe Ratio Rank
*2026 thinking etfs Sortino Ratio Rank: 6363
Sortino Ratio Rank
*2026 thinking etfs Omega Ratio Rank: 6565
Omega Ratio Rank
*2026 thinking etfs Calmar Ratio Rank: 6666
Calmar Ratio Rank
*2026 thinking etfs Martin Ratio Rank: 5858
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

Return / Risk — by metrics

The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for *2026 thinking etfs and compares them with S&P 500 Index.

Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.


PortfolioBenchmarkDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

2.25

1.86

+0.38

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

2.94

2.53

+0.41

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

1.39

1.34

+0.06

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

3.25

2.53

+0.72

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

12.20

11.37

+0.83


How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.

PositionRisk / Return RankSharpe ratioSortino ratioOmega ratioCalmar ratioMartin ratio
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF
37
1.181.771.211.654.81
BTC
Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust ETF
2
-0.92-1.300.85-0.78-1.37
GLD
SPDR Gold Shares
26
0.871.241.180.982.81
MAGS
Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF
33
1.141.621.201.254.21
SMH
VanEck Semiconductor ETF
96
4.134.261.609.1833.74
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF
70
1.982.681.362.7412.39
VGT
Vanguard Information Technology ETF
70
2.192.741.362.949.11

Sharpe Ratio

The Sharpe ratio helps investors understand how much return they're getting for the level of risk taken. A higher Sharpe ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance, meaning more reward for each unit of risk.

The current *2026 thinking etfs Sharpe ratio is 2.25 as of Jun 13, 2026 (the value is recalculated daily), calculated over the past 12 months.

Compared to the broad market, where average Sharpe ratios range from 1.53 to 2.41, this portfolio's current Sharpe ratio falls between the 25th and 75th percentiles. This indicates that its risk-adjusted performance is in line with the majority of portfolios, suggesting a balanced approach to risk and return—likely suitable for a wide range of investors.

The chart below shows the rolling Sharpe ratio of *2026 thinking etfs compared to the selected benchmark. This view highlights how the investment's risk-adjusted performance has changed over time.


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Dividends

Dividend yield

*2026 thinking etfs provided a 1.53% dividend yield over the last twelve months.


PositionTTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
Portfolio1.53%1.54%1.49%1.33%1.30%0.96%1.13%1.44%1.59%1.35%1.34%1.56%
BND
Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF
3.96%3.86%3.67%3.09%2.60%2.12%2.38%2.72%2.81%2.54%2.51%2.57%
BTC
Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust ETF
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
GLD
SPDR Gold Shares
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
MAGS
Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF
1.50%1.48%0.81%0.44%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
SMH
VanEck Semiconductor ETF
0.18%0.31%0.44%0.60%1.18%0.51%0.69%1.50%1.88%1.43%0.80%2.14%
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF
1.00%1.07%1.21%1.40%1.65%1.20%1.52%1.75%2.04%1.80%2.03%2.06%
VGT
Vanguard Information Technology ETF
0.33%0.40%0.60%0.65%0.91%0.64%0.82%1.11%1.29%0.99%1.31%1.28%

Drawdowns

Drawdowns Chart

The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.


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Worst Drawdowns

The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the *2026 thinking etfs. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.

The maximum drawdown for the *2026 thinking etfs was 15.20%, occurring on Apr 8, 2025. Recovery took 38 trading sessions.

The current *2026 thinking etfs drawdown is 3.49%.


Related event

Drawdown

Fall

Recovery

Underwater

2025 selloff2025
-15.20%Apr 2025
2mo 15d1mo 26d
4mo 11dJan 2025 - Jun 2025
2026 correction2026
-10.46%Mar 2026
2mo18d
2mo 18dJan 2026 - Apr 2026
2026 pullback2026
-6.73%Jun 2026
7d
10d 14hJun 2026 - now
2024 pullback2024
-6.54%Aug 2024
6d9d
15dAug 2024 - Aug 2024
2025 pullback2025
-6.36%Nov 2025
21d1mo 17d
2mo 8dOct 2025 - Jan 2026

Volatility

Volatility Chart

The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.


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Diversification

Diversification Metrics


Number of Effective Assets

The portfolio contains 7 assets, with an effective number of assets of 5.41, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your capital is well-distributed across most of your holdings, with only mild concentration in a few names. True diversification also depends on the correlations between assets — check the diversification ratio below.


Diversification Ratio
1Y
All Time
Diversification Ratio

1.29

1.28

The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.28, in line with the typical range across portfolios. There's room to improve by adding less correlated assets.

*2026 thinking etfs correlation to the S&P 500 Index

*2026 thinking etfs has a 0.87 correlation to S&P 500 Index over the trailing 12 months. This section compares each holding's correlation to the benchmark and to the portfolio.

Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.87

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Jul 31, 2024

0.89


Benchmark Correlations

Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. SPY has the highest benchmark correlation at 1.00, while GLD has the lowest at 0.14.

GLD
0.14
BND
0.19
BTC
0.46
SMH
0.79
MAGS
0.82
VGT
0.90
SPY
1.00

Portfolio Correlations

Correlation vs. *2026 thinking etfs. VGT has the highest portfolio correlation at 0.94, while BND has the lowest at 0.21.

BND
0.21
GLD
0.31
BTC
0.58
MAGS
0.81
SPY
0.89
SMH
0.91
VGT
0.94

Asset Correlations Table

The table below displays the correlation coefficients between the individual components of the portfolio, the entire portfolio, and the chosen benchmark.

The correlation results are calculated based on daily price changes starting from Jul 31, 2024
Diversification Analysis

Find what *2026 thinking etfs is missing

See which holdings overlap, where *2026 thinking etfs is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.

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