SPY vs. BTC
SPY (State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF) and BTC (Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust ETF) are both exchange-traded funds - SPY is a S&P 500 fund tracking the S&P 500 Index, while BTC is a Cryptocurrency fund actively managed by Grayscale. SPY is passively managed, while BTC is actively managed. Over the past year, SPY returned 24.27% vs -40.53% for BTC. At a 0.46 correlation, their price movements are largely independent. SPY charges 0.09%/yr vs 0.15%/yr for BTC.
Performance
SPY vs. BTC - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, SPY achieves a 9.07% return, which is significantly higher than BTC's -27.37% return.
SPY
- 1D
- 0.54%
- 1M
- -0.08%
- YTD
- 9.07%
- 6M
- 9.42%
- 1Y
- 24.27%
- 3Y*
- 20.86%
- 5Y*
- 13.36%
- 10Y*
- 15.42%
BTC
- 1D
- 0.07%
- 1M
- -20.09%
- YTD
- -27.37%
- 6M
- -29.59%
- 1Y
- -40.53%
- 3Y*
- —
- 5Y*
- —
- 10Y*
- —
SPY vs. BTC - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|
SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 9.07% | 17.72% | 8.83% |
BTC Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust ETF | -27.37% | -7.50% | 41.93% |
Correlation
The correlation between SPY and BTC is 0.48, which is low. Their price movements are largely independent, making them effective diversification partners.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.48 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Jul 31, 2024 | 0.46 |
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Return for Risk
SPY vs. BTC — Risk / Return Rank
SPY
BTC
SPY vs. BTC - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) and Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust ETF (BTC). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| SPY | BTC | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | +2.91 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | +3.98 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.36 | 0.85 | +0.51 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 2.74 | -0.78 | +3.53 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 12.39 | -1.37 | +13.76 |
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Drawdowns
SPY vs. BTC - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum SPY drawdown since its inception was -55.19%, which is greater than BTC's maximum drawdown of -51.97%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for SPY and BTC.
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Drawdown Indicators
| SPY | BTC | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -55.19% | -51.97% | -3.22% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -8.88% | -51.97% | +43.09% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -18.76% | — | — |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | -24.50% | — | — |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | -33.72% | — | — |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -2.35% | -49.38% | +47.03% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -9.04% | -17.26% | +8.22% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 1.97% | 29.58% | -27.61% |
Volatility
SPY vs. BTC - Volatility Comparison
The current volatility for State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) is 4.34%, while Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust ETF (BTC) has a volatility of 11.89%. This indicates that SPY experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than BTC based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| SPY | BTC | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 4.34% | 11.89% | -7.55% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 9.58% | 34.43% | -24.85% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 12.29% | 44.03% | -31.74% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 17.12% | 48.30% | -31.18% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 17.96% | 48.30% | -30.34% |
SPY vs. BTC - Expense Ratio Comparison
SPY has a 0.09% expense ratio, which is lower than BTC's 0.15% expense ratio. Despite the difference, both funds are considered low-cost compared to the broader market, where average expense ratios usually range from 0.3% to 0.9%.
Dividends
SPY vs. BTC - Dividend Comparison
SPY's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 1.00%, while BTC has not paid dividends to shareholders.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BTC Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust ETF | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF | 1.00% | 1.07% | 1.21% | 1.40% | 1.65% | 1.20% | 1.52% | 1.75% | 2.04% | 1.80% | 2.03% | 2.06% |
Frequently Asked Questions
SPY and BTC have a correlation of 0.48, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
BTC has higher volatility (11.89%) compared to SPY (4.34%). In terms of maximum drawdown, SPY dropped -55.19% vs BTC's -51.97%.
On 1-year performance, SPY leads with 24.27% vs -40.53% for BTC. On fees, SPY is cheaper at 0.09% per year. On volatility, SPY has been the lower-risk option at 4.34%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 1-year period, SPY has performed better with a 24.27% return vs -40.53%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
SPY is cheaper with a 0.09% expense ratio, compared with 0.15% for BTC.
SPY has the higher dividend yield at 1.00%, compared with 0.00% for BTC.
SPY is categorized as S&P 500, while BTC is Cryptocurrency. They also come from different issuers: State Street and Grayscale. Their fees differ too: 0.09% for SPY and 0.15% for BTC.
SPY currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (1.98 vs -0.92), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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