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BTC vs. SPY
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility
Dividends

Performance

BTC vs. SPY - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust ETF (BTC) and State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, BTC achieves a -20.35% return, which is significantly lower than SPY's -3.11% return.


BTC

1D
4.05%
1M
2.42%
YTD
-20.35%
6M
-44.48%
1Y
-17.09%
3Y*
5Y*
10Y*

SPY

1D
0.47%
1M
-1.73%
YTD
-3.11%
6M
-1.33%
1Y
31.90%
3Y*
18.72%
5Y*
11.65%
10Y*
14.26%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

BTC vs. SPY - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)20252024
BTC
Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust ETF
-20.35%-7.50%44.64%
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF
-3.11%17.72%7.09%

Correlation

The correlation between BTC and SPY is 0.46, which is low. Their price movements are largely independent, making them effective diversification partners. Combining low-correlation assets is one of the most reliable ways to reduce portfolio risk without sacrificing expected returns.


BTC vs. SPY - Expense Ratio Comparison

BTC has a 0.15% expense ratio, which is higher than SPY's 0.09% expense ratio. However, both funds are considered low-cost compared to the broader market, where average expense ratios usually range from 0.3% to 0.9%.


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Return for Risk

BTC vs. SPY — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

BTC
BTC Risk / Return Rank: 55
Overall Rank
BTC Sharpe Ratio Rank: 55
Sharpe Ratio Rank
BTC Sortino Ratio Rank: 55
Sortino Ratio Rank
BTC Omega Ratio Rank: 66
Omega Ratio Rank
BTC Calmar Ratio Rank: 44
Calmar Ratio Rank
BTC Martin Ratio Rank: 44
Martin Ratio Rank

SPY
SPY Risk / Return Rank: 8080
Overall Rank
SPY Sharpe Ratio Rank: 8787
Sharpe Ratio Rank
SPY Sortino Ratio Rank: 9494
Sortino Ratio Rank
SPY Omega Ratio Rank: 9292
Omega Ratio Rank
SPY Calmar Ratio Rank: 6363
Calmar Ratio Rank
SPY Martin Ratio Rank: 6666
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

BTC vs. SPY - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust ETF (BTC) and State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.


BTCSPYDifference

Sharpe ratio

Return per unit of total volatility

-0.38

1.85

-2.23

Sortino ratio

Return per unit of downside risk

-0.27

3.00

-3.27

Omega ratio

Gain probability vs. loss probability

0.97

1.42

-0.45

Calmar ratio

Return relative to maximum drawdown

-0.40

2.03

-2.44

Martin ratio

Return relative to average drawdown

-0.85

8.48

-9.33

BTC vs. SPY - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current BTC Sharpe Ratio is -0.38, which is lower than the SPY Sharpe Ratio of 1.85. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of BTC and SPY, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.


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Sharpe Ratios by Period


BTCSPYDifference

Sharpe Ratio (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

-0.38

1.85

-2.23

Sharpe Ratio (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.69

Sharpe Ratio (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

0.80

Sharpe Ratio (All Time)

Calculated using the full available price history

0.08

0.56

-0.49

Drawdowns

BTC vs. SPY - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum BTC drawdown since its inception was -49.34%, smaller than the maximum SPY drawdown of -55.19%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for BTC and SPY.


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Drawdown Indicators


BTCSPYDifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-49.34%

-55.19%

+5.85%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-49.34%

-8.88%

-40.46%

Max Drawdown (5Y)

Largest decline over 5 years

-24.50%

Max Drawdown (10Y)

Largest decline over 10 years

-33.72%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

-44.48%

-5.00%

-39.48%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-14.39%

-9.09%

-5.30%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

23.55%

2.13%

+21.42%

Volatility

BTC vs. SPY - Volatility Comparison

Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust ETF (BTC) has a higher volatility of 11.42% compared to State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) at 5.31%. This indicates that BTC's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than SPY based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


BTCSPYDifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

11.42%

5.31%

+6.11%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

36.83%

9.50%

+27.33%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

45.17%

17.45%

+27.72%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

49.53%

17.05%

+32.48%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

49.53%

17.92%

+31.61%

Dividends

BTC vs. SPY - Dividend Comparison

BTC has not paid dividends to shareholders, while SPY's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 1.12%.


TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
BTC
Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust ETF
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
SPY
State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF
1.12%1.07%1.21%1.40%1.65%1.20%1.52%1.75%2.04%1.80%2.03%2.06%