VUG vs. PGR

Last updated Jun 16, 2026

VUG (Vanguard Growth ETF) is Large Cap Growth Equities fund tracking the CRSP US Large Cap Growth Index, while PGR (The Progressive Corporation) is a stock. Over the past 10 years, VUG returned 18.30%/yr vs 23.78%/yr for PGR. At a 0.43 correlation, their price movements are largely independent.

Performance

VUG vs. PGR - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in Vanguard Growth ETF (VUG) and The Progressive Corporation (PGR). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, VUG achieves a 7.94% return, which is significantly higher than PGR's -4.91% return. Over the past 10 years, VUG has underperformed PGR with an annualized return of 18.30%, while PGR has yielded a comparatively higher 23.78% annualized return.

VUG

• 1D: 2.81%
• 1M: 0.27%
• YTD: 7.94%
• 6M: 9.17%
• 1Y: 26.29%
• 3Y*: 24.04%
• 5Y*: 14.43%
• 10Y*: 18.30%

PGR

• 1D: 0.19%
• 1M: 1.89%
• YTD: -4.91%
• 6M: -8.39%
• 1Y: -19.09%
• 3Y*: 19.66%
• 5Y*: 19.62%
• 10Y*: 23.78%

*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

VUG vs. PGR - Yearly Performance Comparison

	2026 (YTD)	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017
VUG Vanguard Growth ETF	7.94%	19.40%	32.69%	46.83%	-33.16%	27.35%	40.25%	37.03%	-3.32%	27.72%
PGR The Progressive Corporation	-4.91%	-3.02%	51.39%	23.16%	26.81%	10.84%	41.48%	25.14%	9.39%	61.59%

Correlation

The correlation between VUG and PGR is -0.19, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. This is especially valuable for risk management - when one declines, the other has historically tended to hold steady or rise.

	Correlation
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	-0.19
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period	-0.06
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period	0.11
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period	0.25
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Jan 30, 2004	0.43

The correlation between VUG and PGR shifts across timeframes, from -0.19 (1 year) to 0.43 (all time), reflecting how their relationship changes across market environments.

Return for Risk

VUG vs. PGR — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

VUG

VUG Risk / Return Rank: 44
VUG Sharpe Ratio Rank: 51
VUG Sortino Ratio Rank: 48
VUG Omega Ratio Rank: 49
VUG Calmar Ratio Rank: 35
VUG Martin Ratio Rank: 38

PGR

PGR Risk / Return Rank: 11
PGR Sharpe Ratio Rank: 8
PGR Sortino Ratio Rank: 11
PGR Omega Ratio Rank: 12
PGR Calmar Ratio Rank: 12
PGR Martin Ratio Rank: 14

The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

VUG vs. PGR - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Vanguard Growth ETF (VUG) and The Progressive Corporation (PGR). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.

Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.

	VUG	PGR	Difference
Sharpe ratio: Return per unit of total volatility	1.59	-0.85	+2.44
Sortino ratio: Return per unit of downside risk	2.16	-1.10	+3.26
Omega ratio: Gain probability vs. loss probability	1.28	0.87	+0.41
Calmar ratio: Return relative to maximum drawdown	1.60	-0.80	+2.40
Martin ratio: Return relative to average drawdown	5.50	-1.23	+6.73

VUG vs. PGR - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current VUG Sharpe Ratio is 1.59, which is higher than the PGR Sharpe Ratio of -0.85. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of VUG and PGR, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.

Drawdowns

VUG vs. PGR - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum VUG drawdown since its inception was -50.68%, smaller than the maximum PGR drawdown of -71.06%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for VUG and PGR.

Drawdown Indicators

	VUG	PGR	Difference
Max Drawdown Largest peak-to-trough decline	-50.68%	-71.06%	+20.38%
Max Drawdown (1Y) Largest decline over 1 year	-16.53%	-24.02%	+7.49%
Max Drawdown (3Y) Largest decline over 3 years	-22.85%	-30.35%	+7.50%
Max Drawdown (5Y) Largest decline over 5 years	-35.61%	-30.35%	-5.26%
Max Drawdown (10Y) Largest decline over 10 years	-35.61%	-30.35%	-5.26%
Current Drawdown Current decline from peak	-2.90%	-25.56%	+22.66%
Average Drawdown Average peak-to-trough decline	-7.09%	-14.54%	+7.45%
Ulcer Index Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks	4.79%	15.84%	-11.05%

Volatility

VUG vs. PGR - Volatility Comparison

The current volatility for Vanguard Growth ETF (VUG) is 6.32%, while The Progressive Corporation (PGR) has a volatility of 7.53%. This indicates that VUG experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than PGR based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.

Volatility by Period

	VUG	PGR	Difference
Volatility (1M) Calculated over the trailing 1-month period	6.32%	7.53%	-1.21%
Volatility (6M) Calculated over the trailing 6-month period	13.28%	16.52%	-3.24%
Volatility (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	16.65%	22.51%	-5.86%
Volatility (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized	22.34%	24.56%	-2.22%
Volatility (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized	21.51%	24.48%	-2.97%

Dividends

VUG vs. PGR - Dividend Comparison

VUG's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 0.38%, less than PGR's 6.83% yield.

Position	TTM	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
PGR The Progressive Corporation	6.83%	2.15%	0.48%	0.25%	0.31%	6.23%	2.68%	3.89%	1.86%	1.21%	2.50%	2.16%
VUG Vanguard Growth ETF	0.38%	0.41%	0.47%	0.58%	0.70%	0.48%	0.66%	0.95%	1.32%	1.14%	1.39%	1.30%

Frequently Asked Questions

Can I hold both VUG and PGR in my portfolio?

VUG and PGR have a correlation of -0.19, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

Which is riskier, VUG or PGR?

PGR has higher volatility (7.53%) compared to VUG (6.32%). In terms of maximum drawdown, VUG dropped -50.68% vs PGR's -71.06%.

Which has better risk-adjusted returns?

VUG currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (1.59 vs -0.85), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.