UST vs. UBT
UST (ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury) and UBT (ProShares Ultra 20+ Year Treasury) are both Leveraged Bonds funds from ProShares - UST tracks the Barclays Capital U.S. 7-10 Year Treasury Index (200%) while UBT tracks the Barclays Capital U.S. 20+ Year Treasury Index (200%). Both are passively managed. Over the past 10 years, UST returned -2.13%/yr vs -8.27%/yr for UBT. Their correlation of 0.89 suggests significant overlap in exposure. Both charge a 0.95% expense ratio.
Performance
UST vs. UBT - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, UST achieves a -2.88% return, which is significantly lower than UBT's -2.69% return. Over the past 10 years, UST has outperformed UBT with an annualized return of -2.13%, while UBT has yielded a comparatively lower -8.27% annualized return.
UST
- 1D
- -0.56%
- 1M
- -0.51%
- YTD
- -2.88%
- 6M
- -4.24%
- 1Y
- 3.81%
- 3Y*
- -0.51%
- 5Y*
- -6.75%
- 10Y*
- -2.13%
UBT
- 1D
- -0.74%
- 1M
- 1.08%
- YTD
- -2.69%
- 6M
- -6.59%
- 1Y
- 4.39%
- 3Y*
- -10.32%
- 5Y*
- -17.99%
- 10Y*
- -8.27%
UST vs. UBT - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UST ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury | -2.88% | 10.26% | -6.19% | 0.16% | -30.19% | -7.81% | 18.83% | 13.34% | -1.09% | 3.21% |
UBT ProShares Ultra 20+ Year Treasury | -2.69% | 2.03% | -21.81% | -3.68% | -55.54% | -12.14% | 31.87% | 24.46% | -6.54% | 16.12% |
Correlation
The correlation between UST and UBT is 0.89, indicating a strong positive relationship between their price movements. Combining them offers limited diversification - they tend to fall together during downturns.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.89 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.89 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.90 |
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | 0.90 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Feb 3, 2010 | 0.89 |
The correlation between UST and UBT has been stable across timeframes, ranging from 0.89 to 0.90 - a consistent structural relationship.
UST vs. UBT - Sectors Allocation Comparison
Sectors
UST
UBT
Financial Services
Basic Materials
-
-
Communication Services
-
-
Consumer Cyclical
-
-
Consumer Defensive
-
-
Energy
-
-
Healthcare
-
-
Industrials
-
-
Real Estate
-
-
Technology
-
-
Utilities
-
-
Financial Services
UST
UBT
Basic Materials
UST
-
UBT
-
Communication Services
UST
-
UBT
-
Consumer Cyclical
UST
-
UBT
-
Consumer Defensive
UST
-
UBT
-
Energy
UST
-
UBT
-
Healthcare
UST
-
UBT
-
Industrials
UST
-
UBT
-
Real Estate
UST
-
UBT
-
Technology
UST
-
UBT
-
Utilities
UST
-
UBT
-
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Return for Risk
UST vs. UBT — Risk / Return Rank
UST
UBT
UST vs. UBT - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury (UST) and ProShares Ultra 20+ Year Treasury (UBT). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
| UST | UBT | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 0.40 | 0.23 | +0.18 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 0.64 | 0.46 | +0.18 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.07 | 1.05 | +0.02 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 0.44 | 0.26 | +0.18 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 1.26 | 0.63 | +0.63 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
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Sharpe Ratios by Period
| UST | UBT | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe Ratio (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.40 | 0.23 | +0.18 |
Sharpe Ratio (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | -0.44 | -0.58 | +0.14 |
Sharpe Ratio (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | -0.16 | -0.28 | +0.12 |
Sharpe Ratio (All Time)Calculated using the full available price history | 0.19 | 0.02 | +0.17 |
Drawdowns
UST vs. UBT - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum UST drawdown since its inception was -47.99%, smaller than the maximum UBT drawdown of -78.90%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for UST and UBT.
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Drawdown Indicators
| UST | UBT | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -47.99% | -78.90% | +30.91% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -8.75% | -16.86% | +8.11% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -16.87% | -36.62% | +19.75% |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | -43.97% | -72.49% | +28.52% |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | -47.99% | -78.90% | +30.91% |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -38.33% | -76.66% | +38.33% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -15.13% | -32.30% | +17.17% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 3.03% | 7.01% | -3.98% |
Volatility
UST vs. UBT - Volatility Comparison
The current volatility for ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury (UST) is 3.10%, while ProShares Ultra 20+ Year Treasury (UBT) has a volatility of 5.41%. This indicates that UST experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than UBT based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| UST | UBT | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 3.10% | 5.41% | -2.31% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 6.58% | 12.78% | -6.20% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 9.50% | 19.41% | -9.91% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 15.47% | 31.33% | -15.86% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 13.18% | 29.31% | -16.13% |
UST vs. UBT - Expense Ratio Comparison
Both UST and UBT have an expense ratio of 0.95%.
Dividends
UST vs. UBT - Dividend Comparison
UST's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 3.49%, less than UBT's 3.99% yield.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UBT ProShares Ultra 20+ Year Treasury | 3.99% | 4.26% | 4.50% | 3.54% | 0.30% | 0.00% | 0.26% | 1.50% | 1.55% | 1.37% | 0.75% | 1.56% |
UST ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury | 3.49% | 3.65% | 4.09% | 3.49% | 0.47% | 0.27% | 0.53% | 1.42% | 1.71% | 0.84% | 0.64% | 0.75% |
Frequently Asked Questions
UST and UBT have a correlation of 0.89, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
UBT has higher volatility (5.41%) compared to UST (3.10%). In terms of maximum drawdown, UST dropped -47.99% vs UBT's -78.90%.
On 10-year performance, UST leads with -2.13% vs -8.27% for UBT. Both ETFs have the same 0.95% expense ratio. On volatility, UST has been the lower-risk option at 3.10%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 10-year period, UST has performed better with a -2.13% return vs -8.27%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
UST and UBT have the same expense ratio: 0.95% per year.
UBT has the higher dividend yield at 3.99%, compared with 3.49% for UST.
UST tracks Barclays Capital U.S. 7-10 Year Treasury Index (200%), while UBT tracks Barclays Capital U.S. 20+ Year Treasury Index (200%).
UST currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (0.40 vs 0.23), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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