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UST vs. UBT
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility
Dividends

Performance

UST vs. UBT - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury (UST) and ProShares Ultra 20+ Year Treasury (UBT). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, UST achieves a -2.88% return, which is significantly lower than UBT's -2.69% return. Over the past 10 years, UST has outperformed UBT with an annualized return of -2.13%, while UBT has yielded a comparatively lower -8.27% annualized return.


UST

1D
-0.56%
1M
-0.51%
YTD
-2.88%
6M
-4.24%
1Y
3.81%
3Y*
-0.51%
5Y*
-6.75%
10Y*
-2.13%

UBT

1D
-0.74%
1M
1.08%
YTD
-2.69%
6M
-6.59%
1Y
4.39%
3Y*
-10.32%
5Y*
-17.99%
10Y*
-8.27%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

UST vs. UBT - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)202520242023202220212020201920182017
UST
ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury
-2.88%10.26%-6.19%0.16%-30.19%-7.81%18.83%13.34%-1.09%3.21%
UBT
ProShares Ultra 20+ Year Treasury
-2.69%2.03%-21.81%-3.68%-55.54%-12.14%31.87%24.46%-6.54%16.12%

Correlation

The correlation between UST and UBT is 0.89, indicating a strong positive relationship between their price movements. Combining them offers limited diversification - they tend to fall together during downturns.


Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.89

Correlation (3Y)
Calculated over the trailing 3-year period

0.89

Correlation (5Y)
Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.90

Correlation (10Y)
Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

0.90

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Feb 3, 2010

0.89

The correlation between UST and UBT has been stable across timeframes, ranging from 0.89 to 0.90 - a consistent structural relationship.

UST vs. UBT - Sectors Allocation Comparison


Sectors
UST
UBT

Financial Services

97.4%
93.9%

Basic Materials

-

-

Communication Services

-

-

Consumer Cyclical

-

-

Consumer Defensive

-

-

Energy

-

-

Healthcare

-

-

Industrials

-

-

Real Estate

-

-

Technology

-

-

Utilities

-

-

Financial Services

UST
97.4%
UBT
93.9%

Basic Materials

UST

-

UBT

-

Communication Services

UST

-

UBT

-

Consumer Cyclical

UST

-

UBT

-

Consumer Defensive

UST

-

UBT

-

Energy

UST

-

UBT

-

Healthcare

UST

-

UBT

-

Industrials

UST

-

UBT

-

Real Estate

UST

-

UBT

-

Technology

UST

-

UBT

-

Utilities

UST

-

UBT

-

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Return for Risk

UST vs. UBT — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

UST
UST Risk / Return Rank: 1414
Overall Rank
UST Sharpe Ratio Rank: 1515
Sharpe Ratio Rank
UST Sortino Ratio Rank: 1313
Sortino Ratio Rank
UST Omega Ratio Rank: 1313
Omega Ratio Rank
UST Calmar Ratio Rank: 1414
Calmar Ratio Rank
UST Martin Ratio Rank: 1515
Martin Ratio Rank

UBT
UBT Risk / Return Rank: 1111
Overall Rank
UBT Sharpe Ratio Rank: 1212
Sharpe Ratio Rank
UBT Sortino Ratio Rank: 1111
Sortino Ratio Rank
UBT Omega Ratio Rank: 1111
Omega Ratio Rank
UBT Calmar Ratio Rank: 1212
Calmar Ratio Rank
UBT Martin Ratio Rank: 1111
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

UST vs. UBT - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury (UST) and ProShares Ultra 20+ Year Treasury (UBT). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.


USTUBTDifference

Sharpe ratio

Return per unit of total volatility

0.40

0.23

+0.18

Sortino ratio

Return per unit of downside risk

0.64

0.46

+0.18

Omega ratio

Gain probability vs. loss probability

1.07

1.05

+0.02

Calmar ratio

Return relative to maximum drawdown

0.44

0.26

+0.18

Martin ratio

Return relative to average drawdown

1.26

0.63

+0.63

UST vs. UBT - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current UST Sharpe Ratio is 0.40, which is higher than the UBT Sharpe Ratio of 0.23. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of UST and UBT, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.


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Sharpe Ratios by Period


USTUBTDifference

Sharpe Ratio (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.40

0.23

+0.18

Sharpe Ratio (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

-0.44

-0.58

+0.14

Sharpe Ratio (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

-0.16

-0.28

+0.12

Sharpe Ratio (All Time)

Calculated using the full available price history

0.19

0.02

+0.17

Drawdowns

UST vs. UBT - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum UST drawdown since its inception was -47.99%, smaller than the maximum UBT drawdown of -78.90%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for UST and UBT.


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Drawdown Indicators


USTUBTDifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-47.99%

-78.90%

+30.91%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-8.75%

-16.86%

+8.11%

Max Drawdown (3Y)

Largest decline over 3 years

-16.87%

-36.62%

+19.75%

Max Drawdown (5Y)

Largest decline over 5 years

-43.97%

-72.49%

+28.52%

Max Drawdown (10Y)

Largest decline over 10 years

-47.99%

-78.90%

+30.91%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

-38.33%

-76.66%

+38.33%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-15.13%

-32.30%

+17.17%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

3.03%

7.01%

-3.98%

Volatility

UST vs. UBT - Volatility Comparison

The current volatility for ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury (UST) is 3.10%, while ProShares Ultra 20+ Year Treasury (UBT) has a volatility of 5.41%. This indicates that UST experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than UBT based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


USTUBTDifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

3.10%

5.41%

-2.31%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

6.58%

12.78%

-6.20%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

9.50%

19.41%

-9.91%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

15.47%

31.33%

-15.86%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

13.18%

29.31%

-16.13%

UST vs. UBT - Expense Ratio Comparison

Both UST and UBT have an expense ratio of 0.95%.


Dividends

UST vs. UBT - Dividend Comparison

UST's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 3.49%, less than UBT's 3.99% yield.


PositionTTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
UBT
ProShares Ultra 20+ Year Treasury
3.99%4.26%4.50%3.54%0.30%0.00%0.26%1.50%1.55%1.37%0.75%1.56%
UST
ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury
3.49%3.65%4.09%3.49%0.47%0.27%0.53%1.42%1.71%0.84%0.64%0.75%

Frequently Asked Questions


UST and UBT have a correlation of 0.89, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

UBT has higher volatility (5.41%) compared to UST (3.10%). In terms of maximum drawdown, UST dropped -47.99% vs UBT's -78.90%.

On 10-year performance, UST leads with -2.13% vs -8.27% for UBT. Both ETFs have the same 0.95% expense ratio. On volatility, UST has been the lower-risk option at 3.10%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.

Over the 10-year period, UST has performed better with a -2.13% return vs -8.27%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.

UST and UBT have the same expense ratio: 0.95% per year.

UBT has the higher dividend yield at 3.99%, compared with 3.49% for UST.

UST tracks Barclays Capital U.S. 7-10 Year Treasury Index (200%), while UBT tracks Barclays Capital U.S. 20+ Year Treasury Index (200%).

UST currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (0.40 vs 0.23), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.

Portfolio Optimizer

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