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UBT vs. UST
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility
Dividends

Performance

UBT vs. UST - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in ProShares Ultra 20+ Year Treasury (UBT) and ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury (UST). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, UBT achieves a -2.69% return, which is significantly higher than UST's -2.88% return. Over the past 10 years, UBT has underperformed UST with an annualized return of -8.27%, while UST has yielded a comparatively higher -2.13% annualized return.


UBT

1D
-0.74%
1M
1.08%
YTD
-2.69%
6M
-6.59%
1Y
4.39%
3Y*
-10.32%
5Y*
-17.99%
10Y*
-8.27%

UST

1D
-0.56%
1M
-0.51%
YTD
-2.88%
6M
-4.24%
1Y
3.81%
3Y*
-0.51%
5Y*
-6.75%
10Y*
-2.13%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

UBT vs. UST - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)202520242023202220212020201920182017
UBT
ProShares Ultra 20+ Year Treasury
-2.69%2.03%-21.81%-3.68%-55.54%-12.14%31.87%24.46%-6.54%16.12%
UST
ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury
-2.88%10.26%-6.19%0.16%-30.19%-7.81%18.83%13.34%-1.09%3.21%

Correlation

The correlation between UBT and UST is 0.89, indicating a strong positive relationship between their price movements. Combining them offers limited diversification - they tend to fall together during downturns.


Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.89

Correlation (3Y)
Calculated over the trailing 3-year period

0.89

Correlation (5Y)
Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.90

Correlation (10Y)
Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

0.90

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Feb 3, 2010

0.89

The correlation between UBT and UST has been stable across timeframes, ranging from 0.89 to 0.90 - a consistent structural relationship.

UBT vs. UST - Sectors Allocation Comparison


Sectors
UBT
UST

Financial Services

93.9%
97.4%

Basic Materials

-

-

Communication Services

-

-

Consumer Cyclical

-

-

Consumer Defensive

-

-

Energy

-

-

Healthcare

-

-

Industrials

-

-

Real Estate

-

-

Technology

-

-

Utilities

-

-

Financial Services

UBT
93.9%
UST
97.4%

Basic Materials

UBT

-

UST

-

Communication Services

UBT

-

UST

-

Consumer Cyclical

UBT

-

UST

-

Consumer Defensive

UBT

-

UST

-

Energy

UBT

-

UST

-

Healthcare

UBT

-

UST

-

Industrials

UBT

-

UST

-

Real Estate

UBT

-

UST

-

Technology

UBT

-

UST

-

Utilities

UBT

-

UST

-

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Return for Risk

UBT vs. UST — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

UBT
UBT Risk / Return Rank: 1111
Overall Rank
UBT Sharpe Ratio Rank: 1212
Sharpe Ratio Rank
UBT Sortino Ratio Rank: 1111
Sortino Ratio Rank
UBT Omega Ratio Rank: 1111
Omega Ratio Rank
UBT Calmar Ratio Rank: 1212
Calmar Ratio Rank
UBT Martin Ratio Rank: 1111
Martin Ratio Rank

UST
UST Risk / Return Rank: 1414
Overall Rank
UST Sharpe Ratio Rank: 1515
Sharpe Ratio Rank
UST Sortino Ratio Rank: 1313
Sortino Ratio Rank
UST Omega Ratio Rank: 1313
Omega Ratio Rank
UST Calmar Ratio Rank: 1414
Calmar Ratio Rank
UST Martin Ratio Rank: 1515
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

UBT vs. UST - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for ProShares Ultra 20+ Year Treasury (UBT) and ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury (UST). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.


UBTUSTDifference

Sharpe ratio

Return per unit of total volatility

0.23

0.40

-0.18

Sortino ratio

Return per unit of downside risk

0.46

0.64

-0.18

Omega ratio

Gain probability vs. loss probability

1.05

1.07

-0.02

Calmar ratio

Return relative to maximum drawdown

0.26

0.44

-0.18

Martin ratio

Return relative to average drawdown

0.63

1.26

-0.63

UBT vs. UST - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current UBT Sharpe Ratio is 0.23, which is lower than the UST Sharpe Ratio of 0.40. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of UBT and UST, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.


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Sharpe Ratios by Period


UBTUSTDifference

Sharpe Ratio (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.23

0.40

-0.18

Sharpe Ratio (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

-0.58

-0.44

-0.14

Sharpe Ratio (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

-0.28

-0.16

-0.12

Sharpe Ratio (All Time)

Calculated using the full available price history

0.02

0.19

-0.17

Drawdowns

UBT vs. UST - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum UBT drawdown since its inception was -78.90%, which is greater than UST's maximum drawdown of -47.99%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for UBT and UST.


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Drawdown Indicators


UBTUSTDifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-78.90%

-47.99%

-30.91%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-16.86%

-8.75%

-8.11%

Max Drawdown (3Y)

Largest decline over 3 years

-36.62%

-16.87%

-19.75%

Max Drawdown (5Y)

Largest decline over 5 years

-72.49%

-43.97%

-28.52%

Max Drawdown (10Y)

Largest decline over 10 years

-78.90%

-47.99%

-30.91%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

-76.66%

-38.33%

-38.33%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-32.30%

-15.13%

-17.17%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

7.01%

3.03%

+3.98%

Volatility

UBT vs. UST - Volatility Comparison

ProShares Ultra 20+ Year Treasury (UBT) has a higher volatility of 5.41% compared to ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury (UST) at 3.10%. This indicates that UBT's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than UST based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


UBTUSTDifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

5.41%

3.10%

+2.31%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

12.78%

6.58%

+6.20%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

19.41%

9.50%

+9.91%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

31.33%

15.47%

+15.86%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

29.31%

13.18%

+16.13%

UBT vs. UST - Expense Ratio Comparison

Both UBT and UST have an expense ratio of 0.95%.


Dividends

UBT vs. UST - Dividend Comparison

UBT's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 3.99%, more than UST's 3.49% yield.


PositionTTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
UBT
ProShares Ultra 20+ Year Treasury
3.99%4.26%4.50%3.54%0.30%0.00%0.26%1.50%1.55%1.37%0.75%1.56%
UST
ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury
3.49%3.65%4.09%3.49%0.47%0.27%0.53%1.42%1.71%0.84%0.64%0.75%

Frequently Asked Questions


UBT and UST have a correlation of 0.89, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

UBT has higher volatility (5.41%) compared to UST (3.10%). In terms of maximum drawdown, UBT dropped -78.90% vs UST's -47.99%.

On 10-year performance, UST leads with -2.13% vs -8.27% for UBT. Both ETFs have the same 0.95% expense ratio. On volatility, UST has been the lower-risk option at 3.10%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.

Over the 10-year period, UST has performed better with a -2.13% return vs -8.27%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.

UBT and UST have the same expense ratio: 0.95% per year.

UBT has the higher dividend yield at 3.99%, compared with 3.49% for UST.

UBT tracks Barclays Capital U.S. 20+ Year Treasury Index (200%), while UST tracks Barclays Capital U.S. 7-10 Year Treasury Index (200%).

UST currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (0.40 vs 0.23), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.

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