TMF vs. GDXU
TMF (Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF) and GDXU (MicroSectors Gold Miners 3X Leveraged ETNs due June 29, 2040) are both exchange-traded funds - TMF is a Leveraged Bonds fund tracking the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index (300%), while GDXU is a Leveraged Equities fund tracking the S-Network MicroSectors Gold Miners Index. Both are passively managed. Over the past 5 years, TMF returned -31.10%/yr vs -14.73%/yr for GDXU. At a 0.18 correlation, their price movements are largely independent. TMF charges 1.01%/yr vs 0.95%/yr for GDXU.
Performance
TMF vs. GDXU - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, TMF achieves a -5.18% return, which is significantly higher than GDXU's -56.00% return.
TMF
- 1D
- -0.93%
- 1M
- 3.29%
- YTD
- -5.18%
- 6M
- -5.04%
- 1Y
- -4.90%
- 3Y*
- -19.82%
- 5Y*
- -31.10%
- 10Y*
- -16.87%
GDXU
- 1D
- 8.84%
- 1M
- -50.11%
- YTD
- -56.00%
- 6M
- -55.92%
- 1Y
- 30.95%
- 3Y*
- 37.87%
- 5Y*
- -14.73%
- 10Y*
- —
TMF vs. GDXU - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TMF Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF | -5.18% | -2.94% | -35.95% | -13.01% | -72.60% | -19.80% | 2.93% |
GDXU MicroSectors Gold Miners 3X Leveraged ETNs due June 29, 2040 | -56.00% | 796.47% | -18.60% | -21.36% | -62.82% | -54.93% | 4.32% |
Correlation
The correlation between TMF and GDXU is 0.18, which is low. Their price movements are largely independent, making them effective diversification partners.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.18 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.19 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.18 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Dec 3, 2020 | 0.18 |
TMF vs. GDXU - Sectors Allocation Comparison
Sectors
TMF
GDXU
Financial Services
-
Basic Materials
-
Communication Services
-
-
Consumer Cyclical
-
-
Consumer Defensive
-
-
Energy
-
-
Healthcare
-
-
Industrials
-
-
Real Estate
-
-
Technology
-
-
Utilities
-
-
Financial Services
TMF
GDXU
-
Basic Materials
TMF
-
GDXU
Communication Services
TMF
-
GDXU
-
Consumer Cyclical
TMF
-
GDXU
-
Consumer Defensive
TMF
-
GDXU
-
Energy
TMF
-
GDXU
-
Healthcare
TMF
-
GDXU
-
Industrials
TMF
-
GDXU
-
Real Estate
TMF
-
GDXU
-
Technology
TMF
-
GDXU
-
Utilities
TMF
-
GDXU
-
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Return for Risk
TMF vs. GDXU — Risk / Return Rank
TMF
GDXU
TMF vs. GDXU - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF (TMF) and MicroSectors Gold Miners 3X Leveraged ETNs due June 29, 2040 (GDXU). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| TMF | GDXU | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | -0.39 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | -1.33 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 0.99 | 1.18 | -0.18 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | -0.19 | 0.37 | -0.56 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | -0.41 | 0.80 | -1.22 |
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Drawdowns
TMF vs. GDXU - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum TMF drawdown since its inception was -92.89%, roughly equal to the maximum GDXU drawdown of -94.39%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for TMF and GDXU.
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Drawdown Indicators
| TMF | GDXU | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -92.89% | -94.39% | +1.50% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -26.51% | -83.97% | +57.46% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -56.31% | -83.97% | +27.66% |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | -88.81% | -92.44% | +3.63% |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | -92.89% | — | — |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -92.15% | -79.58% | -12.57% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -43.70% | -69.77% | +26.07% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 11.96% | 38.59% | -26.63% |
Volatility
TMF vs. GDXU - Volatility Comparison
The current volatility for Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF (TMF) is 8.43%, while MicroSectors Gold Miners 3X Leveraged ETNs due June 29, 2040 (GDXU) has a volatility of 54.28%. This indicates that TMF experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than GDXU based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| TMF | GDXU | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 8.43% | 54.28% | -45.85% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 19.46% | 123.72% | -104.26% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 28.49% | 142.00% | -113.51% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 46.72% | 111.92% | -65.20% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 43.92% | 110.82% | -66.90% |
TMF vs. GDXU - Expense Ratio Comparison
TMF has a 1.01% expense ratio, which is higher than GDXU's 0.95% expense ratio.
Dividends
TMF vs. GDXU - Dividend Comparison
TMF's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 4.11%, while GDXU has not paid dividends to shareholders.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GDXU MicroSectors Gold Miners 3X Leveraged ETNs due June 29, 2040 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
TMF Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF | 4.11% | 4.06% | 4.29% | 2.82% | 1.62% | 0.13% | 2.23% | 0.94% | 1.49% | 0.41% |
Frequently Asked Questions
TMF and GDXU have a correlation of 0.18, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
GDXU has higher volatility (54.28%) compared to TMF (8.43%). In terms of maximum drawdown, TMF dropped -92.89% vs GDXU's -94.39%.
On 5-year performance, GDXU leads with -14.73% vs -31.10% for TMF. On fees, GDXU is cheaper at 0.95% per year. On volatility, TMF has been the lower-risk option at 8.43%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 5-year period, GDXU has performed better with a -14.73% return vs -31.10%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
GDXU is cheaper with a 0.95% expense ratio, compared with 1.01% for TMF.
TMF has the higher dividend yield at 4.11%, compared with 0.00% for GDXU.
TMF is categorized as Leveraged Bonds, while GDXU is Leveraged Equities. TMF tracks ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index (300%), while GDXU tracks S-Network MicroSectors Gold Miners Index. They also come from different issuers: Direxion and BMO. Their fees differ too: 1.01% for TMF and 0.95% for GDXU.
GDXU currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (0.22 vs -0.17), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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