SMH vs. HODL
SMH (VanEck Semiconductor ETF) and HODL (VanEck Bitcoin Trust) are both exchange-traded funds - SMH is a Semiconductors fund tracking the MVIS US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index, while HODL is a Cryptocurrency fund tracking the CME CF Bitcoin Reference Rate - New York Variant. Both are passively managed. Over the past year, SMH returned 157.20% vs -38.56% for HODL. At a 0.35 correlation, their price movements are largely independent. SMH charges 0.35%/yr vs 0.25%/yr for HODL.
Performance
SMH vs. HODL - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, SMH achieves a 77.13% return, which is significantly higher than HODL's -25.27% return.
SMH
- 1D
- 0.90%
- 1M
- 25.87%
- YTD
- 77.13%
- 6M
- 75.61%
- 1Y
- 157.20%
- 3Y*
- 64.17%
- 5Y*
- 39.21%
- 10Y*
- 37.68%
HODL
- 1D
- -2.79%
- 1M
- -18.34%
- YTD
- -25.27%
- 6M
- -29.73%
- 1Y
- -38.56%
- 3Y*
- —
- 5Y*
- —
- 10Y*
- —
SMH vs. HODL - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|
SMH VanEck Semiconductor ETF | 77.13% | 49.17% | 40.15% |
HODL VanEck Bitcoin Trust | -25.27% | -6.42% | 99.75% |
Correlation
The correlation between SMH and HODL is 0.44, which is low. Their price movements are largely independent, making them effective diversification partners.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.44 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Jan 12, 2024 | 0.35 |
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Return for Risk
SMH vs. HODL — Risk / Return Rank
SMH
HODL
SMH vs. HODL - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) and VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
| SMH | HODL | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | +6.08 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | +6.44 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.72 | 0.86 | +0.86 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 10.59 | -0.79 | +11.38 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 40.63 | -1.36 | +41.99 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
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Sharpe Ratios by Period
| SMH | HODL | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe Ratio (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 5.19 | -0.89 | +6.08 |
Sharpe Ratio (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 1.13 | — | — |
Sharpe Ratio (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | 1.16 | — | — |
Sharpe Ratio (All Time)Calculated using the full available price history | 0.34 | 0.30 | +0.04 |
Drawdowns
SMH vs. HODL - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum SMH drawdown since its inception was -84.96%, which is greater than HODL's maximum drawdown of -49.25%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for SMH and HODL.
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Drawdown Indicators
| SMH | HODL | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -84.96% | -49.25% | -35.71% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -14.93% | -49.25% | +34.32% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -35.74% | — | — |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | -45.30% | — | — |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | -45.30% | — | — |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | 0.00% | -47.93% | +47.93% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -41.09% | -15.97% | -25.12% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 3.89% | 28.35% | -24.46% |
Volatility
SMH vs. HODL - Volatility Comparison
VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) has a higher volatility of 11.47% compared to VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) at 9.43%. This indicates that SMH's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than HODL based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| SMH | HODL | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 11.47% | 9.43% | +2.04% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 24.29% | 34.37% | -10.08% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 30.56% | 43.51% | -12.95% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 35.01% | 49.88% | -14.87% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 32.57% | 49.88% | -17.31% |
SMH vs. HODL - Expense Ratio Comparison
SMH has a 0.35% expense ratio, which is higher than HODL's 0.25% expense ratio.
Dividends
SMH vs. HODL - Dividend Comparison
SMH's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 0.17%, while HODL has not paid dividends to shareholders.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HODL VanEck Bitcoin Trust | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
SMH VanEck Semiconductor ETF | 0.17% | 0.31% | 0.44% | 0.60% | 1.18% | 0.51% | 0.69% | 1.50% | 1.88% | 1.43% | 0.80% | 2.14% |
Frequently Asked Questions
SMH and HODL have a correlation of 0.44, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
SMH has higher volatility (11.47%) compared to HODL (9.43%). In terms of maximum drawdown, SMH dropped -84.96% vs HODL's -49.25%.
On 1-year performance, SMH leads with 157.20% vs -38.56% for HODL. On fees, HODL is cheaper at 0.25% per year. On volatility, HODL has been the lower-risk option at 9.43%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 1-year period, SMH has performed better with a 157.20% return vs -38.56%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
HODL is cheaper with a 0.25% expense ratio, compared with 0.35% for SMH.
SMH has the higher dividend yield at 0.17%, compared with 0.00% for HODL.
SMH is categorized as Semiconductors, while HODL is Cryptocurrency. SMH tracks MVIS US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index, while HODL tracks CME CF Bitcoin Reference Rate - New York Variant. Their fees differ too: 0.35% for SMH and 0.25% for HODL.
SMH currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (5.19 vs -0.89), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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