SMH vs. HODL
SMH (VanEck Semiconductor ETF) and HODL (VanEck Bitcoin Trust) are both exchange-traded funds - SMH is a Semiconductors fund tracking the MVIS US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index, while HODL is a Cryptocurrency fund tracking the CME CF Bitcoin Reference Rate - New York Variant. Both are passively managed. Over the past year, SMH returned 128.64% vs -43.43% for HODL. At a 0.36 correlation, their price movements are largely independent. SMH charges 0.35%/yr vs 0.25%/yr for HODL.
Performance
SMH vs. HODL - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, SMH achieves a 71.86% return, which is significantly higher than HODL's -31.58% return.
SMH
- 1D
- -0.50%
- 1M
- 7.39%
- YTD
- 71.86%
- 6M
- 69.95%
- 1Y
- 128.64%
- 3Y*
- 62.01%
- 5Y*
- 38.15%
- 10Y*
- 37.78%
HODL
- 1D
- -3.97%
- 1M
- -21.08%
- YTD
- -31.58%
- 6M
- -31.41%
- 1Y
- -43.43%
- 3Y*
- —
- 5Y*
- —
- 10Y*
- —
SMH vs. HODL - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|
SMH VanEck Semiconductor ETF | 71.86% | 49.17% | 40.95% |
HODL VanEck Bitcoin Trust | -31.58% | -6.42% | 91.50% |
Correlation
The correlation between SMH and HODL is 0.45, which is low. Their price movements are largely independent, making them effective diversification partners.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.45 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Jan 11, 2024 | 0.36 |
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Return for Risk
SMH vs. HODL — Risk / Return Rank
SMH
HODL
SMH vs. HODL - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) and VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| SMH | HODL | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | +4.71 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | +5.31 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.55 | 0.84 | +0.71 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 8.67 | -0.83 | +9.50 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 31.31 | -1.42 | +32.73 |
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Drawdowns
SMH vs. HODL - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum SMH drawdown since its inception was -84.96%, which is greater than HODL's maximum drawdown of -52.32%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for SMH and HODL.
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Drawdown Indicators
| SMH | HODL | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -84.96% | -52.32% | -32.64% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -14.93% | -52.32% | +37.39% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -35.74% | — | — |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | -45.30% | — | — |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | -45.30% | — | — |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -7.47% | -52.32% | +44.85% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -41.00% | -16.84% | -24.16% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 4.12% | 30.66% | -26.54% |
Volatility
SMH vs. HODL - Volatility Comparison
VanEck Semiconductor ETF (SMH) has a higher volatility of 19.07% compared to VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) at 13.35%. This indicates that SMH's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than HODL based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| SMH | HODL | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 19.07% | 13.35% | +5.72% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 29.12% | 34.55% | -5.43% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 34.88% | 44.27% | -9.39% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 35.82% | 49.92% | -14.10% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 32.96% | 49.92% | -16.96% |
SMH vs. HODL - Expense Ratio Comparison
SMH has a 0.35% expense ratio, which is higher than HODL's 0.25% expense ratio.
Dividends
SMH vs. HODL - Dividend Comparison
SMH's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 0.18%, while HODL has not paid dividends to shareholders.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HODL VanEck Bitcoin Trust | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
SMH VanEck Semiconductor ETF | 0.18% | 0.31% | 0.44% | 0.60% | 1.18% | 0.51% | 0.69% | 1.50% | 1.88% | 1.43% | 0.80% | 2.14% |
Frequently Asked Questions
SMH and HODL have a correlation of 0.45, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
SMH has higher volatility (19.07%) compared to HODL (13.35%). In terms of maximum drawdown, SMH dropped -84.96% vs HODL's -52.32%.
On 1-year performance, SMH leads with 128.64% vs -43.43% for HODL. On fees, HODL is cheaper at 0.25% per year. On volatility, HODL has been the lower-risk option at 13.35%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 1-year period, SMH has performed better with a 128.64% return vs -43.43%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
HODL is cheaper with a 0.25% expense ratio, compared with 0.35% for SMH.
SMH has the higher dividend yield at 0.18%, compared with 0.00% for HODL.
SMH is categorized as Semiconductors, while HODL is Cryptocurrency. SMH tracks MVIS US Listed Semiconductor 25 Index, while HODL tracks CME CF Bitcoin Reference Rate - New York Variant. Their fees differ too: 0.35% for SMH and 0.25% for HODL.
SMH currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (3.73 vs -0.99), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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