HODL vs. IBIT
HODL (VanEck Bitcoin Trust) and IBIT (iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF) are both Cryptocurrency funds tracking the CME CF Bitcoin Reference Rate - New York Variant, from VanEck and iShares respectively. Both are passively managed. Over the past year, HODL returned -35.69% vs -35.90% for IBIT. With a 1.00 correlation, they move nearly in lockstep. Both charge a 0.25% expense ratio.
Performance
HODL vs. IBIT - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
The year-to-date returns for both stocks are quite close, with HODL having a -23.13% return and IBIT slightly lower at -23.36%.
HODL
- 1D
- -5.94%
- 1M
- -14.33%
- YTD
- -23.13%
- 6M
- -26.17%
- 1Y
- -35.69%
- 3Y*
- —
- 5Y*
- —
- 10Y*
- —
IBIT
- 1D
- -6.03%
- 1M
- -14.44%
- YTD
- -23.36%
- 6M
- -26.36%
- 1Y
- -35.90%
- 3Y*
- —
- 5Y*
- —
- 10Y*
- —
HODL vs. IBIT - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|
HODL VanEck Bitcoin Trust | -23.13% | -6.42% | 99.75% |
IBIT iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF | -23.36% | -6.41% | 99.21% |
Correlation
The correlation between HODL and IBIT is 1.00 - these two move nearly in lockstep. At this level, holding both provides almost no diversification benefit. If you already own one, adding the other does little to reduce portfolio risk.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 1.00 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Jan 12, 2024 | 1.00 |
The correlation between HODL and IBIT has been stable across timeframes, ranging from 1.00 to 1.00 - a consistent structural relationship.
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Return for Risk
HODL vs. IBIT — Risk / Return Rank
HODL
IBIT
HODL vs. IBIT - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) and iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
| HODL | IBIT | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | -0.82 | -0.83 | 0.00 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | -1.09 | -1.09 | 0.00 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 0.88 | 0.88 | 0.00 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | -0.73 | -0.73 | 0.00 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | -1.27 | -1.27 | 0.00 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
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Sharpe Ratios by Period
| HODL | IBIT | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe Ratio (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | -0.82 | -0.83 | 0.00 |
Sharpe Ratio (All Time)Calculated using the full available price history | 0.33 | 0.32 | +0.01 |
Drawdowns
HODL vs. IBIT - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum HODL drawdown since its inception was -49.25%, roughly equal to the maximum IBIT drawdown of -49.36%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for HODL and IBIT.
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Drawdown Indicators
| HODL | IBIT | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -49.25% | -49.36% | +0.11% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -49.25% | -49.36% | +0.11% |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -46.44% | -46.63% | +0.19% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -15.92% | -15.96% | +0.04% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 28.19% | 28.28% | -0.09% |
Volatility
HODL vs. IBIT - Volatility Comparison
VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) and iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT) have volatilities of 9.65% and 9.76%, respectively, indicating that both stocks experience similar levels of price fluctuations. This suggests that the risk associated with both stocks, as measured by volatility, is nearly the same. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| HODL | IBIT | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 9.65% | 9.76% | -0.11% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 34.73% | 34.85% | -0.12% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 43.43% | 43.65% | -0.22% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 49.89% | 50.20% | -0.31% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 49.89% | 50.20% | -0.31% |
HODL vs. IBIT - Expense Ratio Comparison
Both HODL and IBIT have an expense ratio of 0.25%, making them cost-effective options compared to the broader market, where average expense ratios typically range from 0.3% to 0.9%.
Dividends
HODL vs. IBIT - Dividend Comparison
Neither HODL nor IBIT has paid dividends to shareholders.
Frequently Asked Questions
With a correlation of 1.00, HODL and IBIT move almost identically. Holding both adds very little diversification - you're essentially doubling your position in the same market segment. Choosing one is usually more capital-efficient.
IBIT has higher volatility (9.76%) compared to HODL (9.65%). In terms of maximum drawdown, HODL dropped -49.25% vs IBIT's -49.36%.
On 1-year performance, HODL leads with -35.69% vs -35.90% for IBIT. Both ETFs have the same 0.25% expense ratio. On volatility, HODL has been the lower-risk option at 9.65%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 1-year period, HODL has performed better with a -35.69% return vs -35.90%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
HODL and IBIT have the same expense ratio: 0.25% per year.
HODL and IBIT have nearly identical dividend yields, around 0.00%.
Both ETFs track CME CF Bitcoin Reference Rate - New York Variant. They also come from different issuers: VanEck and iShares.
HODL currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (-0.82 vs -0.82), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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