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HODL vs. IBIT
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility
Dividends

Performance

HODL vs. IBIT - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) and iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

The year-to-date returns for both stocks are quite close, with HODL having a -23.13% return and IBIT slightly lower at -23.36%.


HODL

1D
-5.94%
1M
-14.33%
YTD
-23.13%
6M
-26.17%
1Y
-35.69%
3Y*
5Y*
10Y*

IBIT

1D
-6.03%
1M
-14.44%
YTD
-23.36%
6M
-26.36%
1Y
-35.90%
3Y*
5Y*
10Y*
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

HODL vs. IBIT - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)20252024
HODL
VanEck Bitcoin Trust
-23.13%-6.42%99.75%
IBIT
iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF
-23.36%-6.41%99.21%

Correlation

The correlation between HODL and IBIT is 1.00 - these two move nearly in lockstep. At this level, holding both provides almost no diversification benefit. If you already own one, adding the other does little to reduce portfolio risk.


Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

1.00

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Jan 12, 2024

1.00

The correlation between HODL and IBIT has been stable across timeframes, ranging from 1.00 to 1.00 - a consistent structural relationship.

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Return for Risk

HODL vs. IBIT — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

HODL
HODL Risk / Return Rank: 22
Overall Rank
HODL Sharpe Ratio Rank: 22
Sharpe Ratio Rank
HODL Sortino Ratio Rank: 22
Sortino Ratio Rank
HODL Omega Ratio Rank: 33
Omega Ratio Rank
HODL Calmar Ratio Rank: 22
Calmar Ratio Rank
HODL Martin Ratio Rank: 22
Martin Ratio Rank

IBIT
IBIT Risk / Return Rank: 22
Overall Rank
IBIT Sharpe Ratio Rank: 22
Sharpe Ratio Rank
IBIT Sortino Ratio Rank: 22
Sortino Ratio Rank
IBIT Omega Ratio Rank: 22
Omega Ratio Rank
IBIT Calmar Ratio Rank: 22
Calmar Ratio Rank
IBIT Martin Ratio Rank: 22
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

HODL vs. IBIT - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) and iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.


HODLIBITDifference

Sharpe ratio

Return per unit of total volatility

-0.82

-0.83

0.00

Sortino ratio

Return per unit of downside risk

-1.09

-1.09

0.00

Omega ratio

Gain probability vs. loss probability

0.88

0.88

0.00

Calmar ratio

Return relative to maximum drawdown

-0.73

-0.73

0.00

Martin ratio

Return relative to average drawdown

-1.27

-1.27

0.00

HODL vs. IBIT - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current HODL Sharpe Ratio is -0.82, which is comparable to the IBIT Sharpe Ratio of -0.83. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of HODL and IBIT, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.


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Sharpe Ratios by Period


HODLIBITDifference

Sharpe Ratio (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

-0.82

-0.83

0.00

Sharpe Ratio (All Time)

Calculated using the full available price history

0.33

0.32

+0.01

Drawdowns

HODL vs. IBIT - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum HODL drawdown since its inception was -49.25%, roughly equal to the maximum IBIT drawdown of -49.36%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for HODL and IBIT.


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Drawdown Indicators


HODLIBITDifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-49.25%

-49.36%

+0.11%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-49.25%

-49.36%

+0.11%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

-46.44%

-46.63%

+0.19%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-15.92%

-15.96%

+0.04%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

28.19%

28.28%

-0.09%

Volatility

HODL vs. IBIT - Volatility Comparison

VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) and iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT) have volatilities of 9.65% and 9.76%, respectively, indicating that both stocks experience similar levels of price fluctuations. This suggests that the risk associated with both stocks, as measured by volatility, is nearly the same. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


HODLIBITDifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

9.65%

9.76%

-0.11%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

34.73%

34.85%

-0.12%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

43.43%

43.65%

-0.22%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

49.89%

50.20%

-0.31%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

49.89%

50.20%

-0.31%

HODL vs. IBIT - Expense Ratio Comparison

Both HODL and IBIT have an expense ratio of 0.25%, making them cost-effective options compared to the broader market, where average expense ratios typically range from 0.3% to 0.9%.


Dividends

HODL vs. IBIT - Dividend Comparison

Neither HODL nor IBIT has paid dividends to shareholders.


Tickers have no history of dividend payments

Frequently Asked Questions


With a correlation of 1.00, HODL and IBIT move almost identically. Holding both adds very little diversification - you're essentially doubling your position in the same market segment. Choosing one is usually more capital-efficient.

IBIT has higher volatility (9.76%) compared to HODL (9.65%). In terms of maximum drawdown, HODL dropped -49.25% vs IBIT's -49.36%.

On 1-year performance, HODL leads with -35.69% vs -35.90% for IBIT. Both ETFs have the same 0.25% expense ratio. On volatility, HODL has been the lower-risk option at 9.65%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.

Over the 1-year period, HODL has performed better with a -35.69% return vs -35.90%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.

HODL and IBIT have the same expense ratio: 0.25% per year.

HODL and IBIT have nearly identical dividend yields, around 0.00%.

Both ETFs track CME CF Bitcoin Reference Rate - New York Variant. They also come from different issuers: VanEck and iShares.

HODL currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (-0.82 vs -0.82), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.

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