HODL vs. BITC
HODL (VanEck Bitcoin Trust) and BITC (Bitwise Bitcoin Strategy Optimum Roll ETF) are both Cryptocurrency funds. HODL is passively managed, while BITC is actively managed. Over the past year, HODL returned -35.69% vs -15.15% for BITC. A 0.77 correlation means they provide meaningful diversification when combined. HODL charges 0.25%/yr vs 0.88%/yr for BITC.
Performance
HODL vs. BITC - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, HODL achieves a -23.13% return, which is significantly lower than BITC's 6.98% return.
HODL
- 1D
- -5.94%
- 1M
- -14.33%
- YTD
- -23.13%
- 6M
- -26.17%
- 1Y
- -35.69%
- 3Y*
- —
- 5Y*
- —
- 10Y*
- —
BITC
- 1D
- 0.04%
- 1M
- -2.30%
- YTD
- 6.98%
- 6M
- -1.16%
- 1Y
- -15.15%
- 3Y*
- 36.02%
- 5Y*
- —
- 10Y*
- —
HODL vs. BITC - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|
HODL VanEck Bitcoin Trust | -23.13% | -6.42% | 99.75% |
BITC Bitwise Bitcoin Strategy Optimum Roll ETF | 6.98% | -20.46% | 79.58% |
Correlation
The correlation between HODL and BITC is 0.56, which is moderate. They share some common price drivers but move independently often enough to provide real diversification benefit when combined.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.56 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Jan 12, 2024 | 0.77 |
Over the past year, the correlation between HODL and BITC has dropped to 0.56 - well below their long-term average of 0.77, suggesting their price drivers have been diverging.
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Return for Risk
HODL vs. BITC — Risk / Return Rank
HODL
BITC
HODL vs. BITC - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) and Bitwise Bitcoin Strategy Optimum Roll ETF (BITC). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
| HODL | BITC | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | -0.82 | -0.60 | -0.23 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | -1.09 | -0.72 | -0.37 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 0.88 | 0.89 | -0.02 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | -0.73 | -0.58 | -0.15 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | -1.27 | -0.83 | -0.44 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
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Sharpe Ratios by Period
| HODL | BITC | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe Ratio (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | -0.82 | -0.60 | -0.23 |
Sharpe Ratio (All Time)Calculated using the full available price history | 0.33 | 0.68 | -0.35 |
Drawdowns
HODL vs. BITC - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum HODL drawdown since its inception was -49.25%, which is greater than BITC's maximum drawdown of -38.51%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for HODL and BITC.
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Drawdown Indicators
| HODL | BITC | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -49.25% | -38.51% | -10.74% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -49.25% | -26.51% | -22.74% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | — | -38.51% | — |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -46.44% | -26.48% | -19.96% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -15.92% | -16.36% | +0.44% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 28.19% | 18.32% | +9.87% |
Volatility
HODL vs. BITC - Volatility Comparison
VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) has a higher volatility of 9.65% compared to Bitwise Bitcoin Strategy Optimum Roll ETF (BITC) at 6.79%. This indicates that HODL's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than BITC based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| HODL | BITC | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 9.65% | 6.79% | +2.86% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 34.73% | 19.98% | +14.75% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 43.43% | 25.54% | +17.89% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 49.89% | 46.68% | +3.21% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 49.89% | 46.68% | +3.21% |
HODL vs. BITC - Expense Ratio Comparison
HODL has a 0.25% expense ratio, which is lower than BITC's 0.88% expense ratio.
Dividends
HODL vs. BITC - Dividend Comparison
HODL has not paid dividends to shareholders, while BITC's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 3.14%.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
BITC Bitwise Bitcoin Strategy Optimum Roll ETF | 3.14% | 3.36% | 42.68% | 5.82% |
HODL VanEck Bitcoin Trust | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Frequently Asked Questions
HODL and BITC have a correlation of 0.56, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
HODL has higher volatility (9.65%) compared to BITC (6.79%). In terms of maximum drawdown, HODL dropped -49.25% vs BITC's -38.51%.
On 1-year performance, BITC leads with -15.15% vs -35.69% for HODL. On fees, HODL is cheaper at 0.25% per year. On volatility, BITC has been the lower-risk option at 6.79%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 1-year period, BITC has performed better with a -15.15% return vs -35.69%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
HODL is cheaper with a 0.25% expense ratio, compared with 0.88% for BITC.
BITC has the higher dividend yield at 3.14%, compared with 0.00% for HODL.
They also come from different issuers: VanEck and Bitwise. Their fees differ too: 0.25% for HODL and 0.88% for BITC.
BITC currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (-0.60 vs -0.82), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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