PGR vs. MGK

Last updated Jun 13, 2026

PGR (The Progressive Corporation) is a stock, while MGK (Vanguard Mega Cap Growth ETF) is Large Cap Growth Equities fund tracking the CRSP US Mega Cap Growth Index. Over the past 10 years, PGR returned 23.64%/yr vs 18.85%/yr for MGK. At a 0.43 correlation, their price movements are largely independent.

Performance

PGR vs. MGK - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in The Progressive Corporation (PGR) and Vanguard Mega Cap Growth ETF (MGK). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, PGR achieves a -5.09% return, which is significantly lower than MGK's 5.33% return. Over the past 10 years, PGR has outperformed MGK with an annualized return of 23.64%, while MGK has yielded a comparatively lower 18.85% annualized return.

PGR

• 1D: 0.42%
• 1M: 1.69%
• YTD: -5.09%
• 6M: -7.97%
• 1Y: -19.25%
• 3Y*: 19.07%
• 5Y*: 19.40%
• 10Y*: 23.64%

MGK

• 1D: 0.22%
• 1M: -1.87%
• YTD: 5.33%
• 6M: 6.21%
• 1Y: 24.77%
• 3Y*: 24.17%
• 5Y*: 14.87%
• 10Y*: 18.85%

*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

PGR vs. MGK - Yearly Performance Comparison

	2026 (YTD)	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017
PGR The Progressive Corporation	-5.09%	-3.02%	51.39%	23.16%	26.81%	10.84%	41.48%	25.14%	9.39%	61.59%
MGK Vanguard Mega Cap Growth ETF	5.33%	20.67%	32.94%	51.67%	-33.59%	28.58%	41.01%	37.38%	-2.91%	29.49%

Correlation

The correlation between PGR and MGK is -0.20, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. This is especially valuable for risk management - when one declines, the other has historically tended to hold steady or rise.

	Correlation
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	-0.20
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period	-0.06
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period	0.10
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period	0.24
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Dec 27, 2007	0.43

The correlation between PGR and MGK shifts across timeframes, from -0.20 (1 year) to 0.43 (all time), reflecting how their relationship changes across market environments.

Return for Risk

PGR vs. MGK — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

PGR

PGR Risk / Return Rank: 11
PGR Sharpe Ratio Rank: 8
PGR Sortino Ratio Rank: 11
PGR Omega Ratio Rank: 12
PGR Calmar Ratio Rank: 12
PGR Martin Ratio Rank: 15

MGK

MGK Risk / Return Rank: 39
MGK Sharpe Ratio Rank: 44
MGK Sortino Ratio Rank: 42
MGK Omega Ratio Rank: 42
MGK Calmar Ratio Rank: 31
MGK Martin Ratio Rank: 35

The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

PGR vs. MGK - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for The Progressive Corporation (PGR) and Vanguard Mega Cap Growth ETF (MGK). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.

Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.

	PGR	MGK	Difference
Sharpe ratio: Return per unit of total volatility	-0.87	1.37	-2.24
Sortino ratio: Return per unit of downside risk	-1.13	1.89	-3.02
Omega ratio: Gain probability vs. loss probability	0.87	1.24	-0.37
Calmar ratio: Return relative to maximum drawdown	-0.80	1.37	-2.18
Martin ratio: Return relative to average drawdown	-1.23	4.65	-5.88

PGR vs. MGK - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current PGR Sharpe Ratio is -0.87, which is lower than the MGK Sharpe Ratio of 1.37. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of PGR and MGK, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.

Drawdowns

PGR vs. MGK - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum PGR drawdown since its inception was -71.06%, which is greater than MGK's maximum drawdown of -48.43%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for PGR and MGK.

Drawdown Indicators

	PGR	MGK	Difference
Max Drawdown Largest peak-to-trough decline	-71.06%	-48.43%	-22.63%
Max Drawdown (1Y) Largest decline over 1 year	-24.30%	-16.85%	-7.45%
Max Drawdown (3Y) Largest decline over 3 years	-30.35%	-23.36%	-6.99%
Max Drawdown (5Y) Largest decline over 5 years	-30.35%	-36.01%	+5.66%
Max Drawdown (10Y) Largest decline over 10 years	-30.35%	-36.01%	+5.66%
Current Drawdown Current decline from peak	-25.70%	-5.63%	-20.07%
Average Drawdown Average peak-to-trough decline	-14.53%	-7.58%	-6.95%
Ulcer Index Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks	15.96%	4.97%	+10.99%

Volatility

PGR vs. MGK - Volatility Comparison

The Progressive Corporation (PGR) has a higher volatility of 7.54% compared to Vanguard Mega Cap Growth ETF (MGK) at 5.96%. This indicates that PGR's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than MGK based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.

Volatility by Period

	PGR	MGK	Difference
Volatility (1M) Calculated over the trailing 1-month period	7.54%	5.96%	+1.58%
Volatility (6M) Calculated over the trailing 6-month period	16.87%	13.29%	+3.58%
Volatility (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	22.55%	16.87%	+5.68%
Volatility (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized	24.55%	22.72%	+1.83%
Volatility (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized	24.48%	21.93%	+2.55%

Dividends

PGR vs. MGK - Dividend Comparison

PGR's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 6.84%, more than MGK's 0.33% yield.

Position	TTM	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
MGK Vanguard Mega Cap Growth ETF	0.33%	0.35%	0.43%	0.50%	0.70%	0.41%	0.65%	0.85%	1.12%	1.23%	1.53%	1.43%
PGR The Progressive Corporation	6.84%	2.15%	0.48%	0.25%	0.31%	6.23%	2.68%	3.89%	1.86%	1.21%	2.50%	2.16%

Frequently Asked Questions

Can I hold both PGR and MGK in my portfolio?

PGR and MGK have a correlation of -0.20, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

Which is riskier, PGR or MGK?

PGR has higher volatility (7.54%) compared to MGK (5.96%). In terms of maximum drawdown, PGR dropped -71.06% vs MGK's -48.43%.

Which has better risk-adjusted returns?

MGK currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (1.37 vs -0.87), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.