MSFD vs. NVDQ

Last updated Jun 4, 2026

MSFD (Direxion Daily MSFT Bear 1X Shares) and NVDQ (T-Rex 2X Inverse NVIDIA Daily Target ETF) are both Inverse Equities funds. MSFD is passively managed, while NVDQ is actively managed. Over the past year, MSFD returned 7.43% vs -68.82% for NVDQ. A 0.51 correlation means they provide meaningful diversification when combined. MSFD charges 1.06%/yr vs 1.05%/yr for NVDQ.

Performance

MSFD vs. NVDQ - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in Direxion Daily MSFT Bear 1X Shares (MSFD) and T-Rex 2X Inverse NVIDIA Daily Target ETF (NVDQ). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, MSFD achieves a 10.43% return, which is significantly higher than NVDQ's -36.13% return.

MSFD

• 1D: 3.26%
• 1M: -3.86%
• YTD: 10.43%
• 6M: 9.36%
• 1Y: 7.43%
• 3Y*: -7.16%
• 5Y*: —
• 10Y*: —

NVDQ

• 1D: 7.09%
• 1M: -18.40%
• YTD: -36.13%
• 6M: -41.91%
• 1Y: -68.82%
• 3Y*: —
• 5Y*: —
• 10Y*: —

*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

MSFD vs. NVDQ - Yearly Performance Comparison

	2026 (YTD)	2025	2024	2023
MSFD Direxion Daily MSFT Bear 1X Shares	10.43%	-13.36%	-7.86%	-11.28%
NVDQ T-Rex 2X Inverse NVIDIA Daily Target ETF	-36.13%	-74.63%	-93.80%	-30.70%

Correlation

The correlation between MSFD and NVDQ is 0.42, which is low. Their price movements are largely independent, making them effective diversification partners.

	Correlation
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	0.42
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Oct 20, 2023	0.51

The correlation between MSFD and NVDQ has been stable across timeframes, ranging from 0.42 to 0.51 - a consistent structural relationship.

Return for Risk

MSFD vs. NVDQ — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

MSFD

MSFD Risk / Return Rank: 13
MSFD Sharpe Ratio Rank: 13
MSFD Sortino Ratio Rank: 14
MSFD Omega Ratio Rank: 14
MSFD Calmar Ratio Rank: 13
MSFD Martin Ratio Rank: 13

NVDQ

NVDQ Risk / Return Rank: 1
NVDQ Sharpe Ratio Rank: 1
NVDQ Sortino Ratio Rank: 1
NVDQ Omega Ratio Rank: 1
NVDQ Calmar Ratio Rank: 1
NVDQ Martin Ratio Rank: 2

The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

MSFD vs. NVDQ - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Direxion Daily MSFT Bear 1X Shares (MSFD) and T-Rex 2X Inverse NVIDIA Daily Target ETF (NVDQ). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.

	MSFD	NVDQ	Difference
Sharpe ratio: Return per unit of total volatility	0.29	-1.02	+1.31
Sortino ratio: Return per unit of downside risk	0.63	-1.82	+2.45
Omega ratio: Gain probability vs. loss probability	1.08	0.80	+0.28
Calmar ratio: Return relative to maximum drawdown	0.32	-0.94	+1.26
Martin ratio: Return relative to average drawdown	0.89	-1.42	+2.31
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month.

MSFD vs. NVDQ - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current MSFD Sharpe Ratio is 0.29, which is higher than the NVDQ Sharpe Ratio of -1.02. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of MSFD and NVDQ, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.

Sharpe Ratios by Period

	MSFD	NVDQ	Difference
Sharpe Ratio (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	0.29	-1.02	+1.31
Sharpe Ratio (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history	-0.51	-0.89	+0.38

Drawdowns

MSFD vs. NVDQ - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum MSFD drawdown since its inception was -59.90%, smaller than the maximum NVDQ drawdown of -99.45%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for MSFD and NVDQ.

Drawdown Indicators

	MSFD	NVDQ	Difference
Max Drawdown Largest peak-to-trough decline	-59.90%	-99.45%	+39.55%
Max Drawdown (1Y) Largest decline over 1 year	-23.25%	-73.67%	+50.42%
Max Drawdown (3Y) Largest decline over 3 years	-40.50%	—	—
Current Drawdown Current decline from peak	-50.20%	-99.35%	+49.15%
Average Drawdown Average peak-to-trough decline	-41.59%	-88.21%	+46.62%
Ulcer Index Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks	8.40%	48.57%	-40.17%

Volatility

MSFD vs. NVDQ - Volatility Comparison

The current volatility for Direxion Daily MSFT Bear 1X Shares (MSFD) is 10.12%, while T-Rex 2X Inverse NVIDIA Daily Target ETF (NVDQ) has a volatility of 25.84%. This indicates that MSFD experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than NVDQ based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.

Volatility by Period

	MSFD	NVDQ	Difference
Volatility (1M) Calculated over the trailing 1-month period	10.12%	25.84%	-15.72%
Volatility (6M) Calculated over the trailing 6-month period	22.06%	51.78%	-29.72%
Volatility (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	25.32%	67.86%	-42.54%
Volatility (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized	26.15%	95.52%	-69.37%
Volatility (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized	26.15%	95.52%	-69.37%

MSFD vs. NVDQ - Expense Ratio Comparison

MSFD has a 1.06% expense ratio, which is higher than NVDQ's 1.05% expense ratio.

Dividends

MSFD vs. NVDQ - Dividend Comparison

MSFD's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 2.83%, more than NVDQ's 0.41% yield.

Position	TTM	2025	2024	2023	2022
MSFD Direxion Daily MSFT Bear 1X Shares	2.83%	3.33%	4.46%	4.43%	0.74%
NVDQ T-Rex 2X Inverse NVIDIA Daily Target ETF	0.41%	0.26%	4.59%	11.60%	0.00%

Frequently Asked Questions

Can I hold both MSFD and NVDQ in my portfolio?

MSFD and NVDQ have a correlation of 0.42, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

Which is riskier, MSFD or NVDQ?

NVDQ has higher volatility (25.84%) compared to MSFD (10.12%). In terms of maximum drawdown, MSFD dropped -59.90% vs NVDQ's -99.45%.

Which ETF is better, MSFD or NVDQ?

On 1-year performance, MSFD leads with 7.43% vs -68.82% for NVDQ. On fees, NVDQ is cheaper at 1.05% per year. On volatility, MSFD has been the lower-risk option at 10.12%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.

Which ETF has performed better, MSFD or NVDQ?

Over the 1-year period, MSFD has performed better with a 7.43% return vs -68.82%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.

Which ETF is cheaper, MSFD or NVDQ?

NVDQ is cheaper with a 1.05% expense ratio, compared with 1.06% for MSFD.

Which ETF pays a higher dividend yield, MSFD or NVDQ?

MSFD has the higher dividend yield at 2.83%, compared with 0.41% for NVDQ.

What is the main difference between MSFD and NVDQ?

They also come from different issuers: Direxion and T-Rex. Their fees differ too: 1.06% for MSFD and 1.05% for NVDQ.

Which has better risk-adjusted returns?

MSFD currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (0.29 vs -1.02), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.