METD vs. TMF

Last updated Jun 26, 2026

METD (Direxion Daily META Bear 1X ETF) and TMF (Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF) are both exchange-traded funds - METD is a Inverse Equities fund actively managed by Direxion, while TMF is a Leveraged Bonds fund tracking the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index (300%). METD is actively managed, while TMF is passively managed. Over the past year, METD returned 22.37% vs -0.36% for TMF. At a correlation of -0.03, they often move in opposite directions. METD charges 1.00%/yr vs 1.01%/yr for TMF.

Performance

METD vs. TMF - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in Direxion Daily META Bear 1X ETF (METD) and Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF (TMF). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, METD achieves a 15.72% return, which is significantly higher than TMF's -0.03% return.

METD

• 1D: 2.72%
• 1M: 11.25%
• YTD: 15.72%
• 6M: 17.24%
• 1Y: 22.37%
• 3Y*: —
• 5Y*: —
• 10Y*: —

TMF

• 1D: -0.11%
• 1M: 8.39%
• YTD: -0.03%
• 6M: -2.97%
• 1Y: -0.36%
• 3Y*: -19.98%
• 5Y*: -30.26%
• 10Y*: -17.10%

*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

METD vs. TMF - Yearly Performance Comparison

	2026 (YTD)	2025	2024
METD Direxion Daily META Bear 1X ETF	15.72%	-17.33%	-15.84%
TMF Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF	-0.03%	-2.94%	-19.33%

Correlation

The correlation between METD and TMF is -0.10, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. This is especially valuable for risk management - when one declines, the other has historically tended to hold steady or rise.

	Correlation
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	-0.10
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Jun 5, 2024	-0.03

Return for Risk

METD vs. TMF — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

METD

METD Risk / Return Rank: 20
METD Sharpe Ratio Rank: 19
METD Sortino Ratio Rank: 20
METD Omega Ratio Rank: 22
METD Calmar Ratio Rank: 21
METD Martin Ratio Rank: 19

TMF

TMF Risk / Return Rank: 9
TMF Sharpe Ratio Rank: 9
TMF Sortino Ratio Rank: 9
TMF Omega Ratio Rank: 9
TMF Calmar Ratio Rank: 9
TMF Martin Ratio Rank: 9

The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

METD vs. TMF - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Direxion Daily META Bear 1X ETF (METD) and Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF (TMF). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.

Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.

	METD	TMF	Difference
Sharpe ratio: Return per unit of total volatility	0.61	-0.01	+0.63
Sortino ratio: Return per unit of downside risk	1.06	0.18	+0.88
Omega ratio: Gain probability vs. loss probability	1.15	1.02	+0.13
Calmar ratio: Return relative to maximum drawdown	0.92	-0.01	+0.94
Martin ratio: Return relative to average drawdown	2.10	-0.03	+2.13

METD vs. TMF - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current METD Sharpe Ratio is 0.61, which is higher than the TMF Sharpe Ratio of -0.01. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of METD and TMF, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.

Drawdowns

METD vs. TMF - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum METD drawdown since its inception was -46.03%, smaller than the maximum TMF drawdown of -92.89%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for METD and TMF.

Drawdown Indicators

	METD	TMF	Difference
Max Drawdown Largest peak-to-trough decline	-46.03%	-92.89%	+46.86%
Max Drawdown (1Y) Largest decline over 1 year	-24.38%	-26.51%	+2.13%
Max Drawdown (3Y) Largest decline over 3 years	—	-56.09%	—
Max Drawdown (5Y) Largest decline over 5 years	—	-88.81%	—
Max Drawdown (10Y) Largest decline over 10 years	—	-92.89%	—
Current Drawdown Current decline from peak	-25.62%	-91.72%	+66.10%
Average Drawdown Average peak-to-trough decline	-28.59%	-43.79%	+15.20%
Ulcer Index Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks	10.70%	12.32%	-1.62%

Volatility

METD vs. TMF - Volatility Comparison

Direxion Daily META Bear 1X ETF (METD) has a higher volatility of 13.19% compared to Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF (TMF) at 7.19%. This indicates that METD's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than TMF based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.

Volatility by Period

	METD	TMF	Difference
Volatility (1M) Calculated over the trailing 1-month period	13.19%	7.19%	+6.00%
Volatility (6M) Calculated over the trailing 6-month period	28.43%	19.68%	+8.75%
Volatility (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	36.55%	28.08%	+8.47%
Volatility (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized	36.62%	46.61%	-9.99%
Volatility (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized	36.62%	43.86%	-7.24%

METD vs. TMF - Expense Ratio Comparison

METD has a 1.00% expense ratio, which is lower than TMF's 1.01% expense ratio.

Dividends

METD vs. TMF - Dividend Comparison

METD's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 2.39%, less than TMF's 3.95% yield.

Position	TTM	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017
METD Direxion Daily META Bear 1X ETF	2.39%	3.35%	2.30%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
TMF Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF	3.95%	4.06%	4.29%	2.82%	1.62%	0.13%	2.23%	0.94%	1.49%	0.41%

Frequently Asked Questions

Can I hold both METD and TMF in my portfolio?

METD and TMF have a correlation of -0.10, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

Which is riskier, METD or TMF?

METD has higher volatility (13.19%) compared to TMF (7.19%). In terms of maximum drawdown, METD dropped -46.03% vs TMF's -92.89%.

Which ETF is better, METD or TMF?

On 1-year performance, METD leads with 22.37% vs -0.36% for TMF. On fees, METD is cheaper at 1.00% per year. On volatility, TMF has been the lower-risk option at 7.19%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.

Which ETF has performed better, METD or TMF?

Over the 1-year period, METD has performed better with a 22.37% return vs -0.36%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.

Which ETF is cheaper, METD or TMF?

METD is cheaper with a 1.00% expense ratio, compared with 1.01% for TMF.

Which ETF pays a higher dividend yield, METD or TMF?

TMF has the higher dividend yield at 3.95%, compared with 2.39% for METD.

What is the main difference between METD and TMF?

METD is categorized as Inverse Equities, while TMF is Leveraged Bonds. Their fees differ too: 1.00% for METD and 1.01% for TMF.

Which has better risk-adjusted returns?

METD currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (0.61 vs -0.01), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.