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HODL vs. BTCI
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility
Dividends

Performance

HODL vs. BTCI - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) and NEOS Bitcoin High Income ETF (BTCI). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, HODL achieves a -25.27% return, which is significantly lower than BTCI's -22.74% return.


HODL

1D
-2.79%
1M
-18.34%
YTD
-25.27%
6M
-29.73%
1Y
-38.56%
3Y*
5Y*
10Y*

BTCI

1D
-2.56%
1M
-16.29%
YTD
-22.74%
6M
-26.41%
1Y
-33.43%
3Y*
5Y*
10Y*
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

HODL vs. BTCI - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)20252024
HODL
VanEck Bitcoin Trust
-25.27%-6.42%39.74%
BTCI
NEOS Bitcoin High Income ETF
-22.74%-1.09%28.24%

Correlation

The correlation between HODL and BTCI is 0.99 - these two move nearly in lockstep. At this level, holding both provides almost no diversification benefit. If you already own one, adding the other does little to reduce portfolio risk.


Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.99

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Oct 18, 2024

0.99

The correlation between HODL and BTCI has been stable across timeframes, ranging from 0.99 to 0.99 - a consistent structural relationship.

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Return for Risk

HODL vs. BTCI — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

HODL
HODL Risk / Return Rank: 22
Overall Rank
HODL Sharpe Ratio Rank: 22
Sharpe Ratio Rank
HODL Sortino Ratio Rank: 22
Sortino Ratio Rank
HODL Omega Ratio Rank: 22
Omega Ratio Rank
HODL Calmar Ratio Rank: 22
Calmar Ratio Rank
HODL Martin Ratio Rank: 22
Martin Ratio Rank

BTCI
BTCI Risk / Return Rank: 22
Overall Rank
BTCI Sharpe Ratio Rank: 22
Sharpe Ratio Rank
BTCI Sortino Ratio Rank: 22
Sortino Ratio Rank
BTCI Omega Ratio Rank: 22
Omega Ratio Rank
BTCI Calmar Ratio Rank: 22
Calmar Ratio Rank
BTCI Martin Ratio Rank: 22
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

HODL vs. BTCI - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) and NEOS Bitcoin High Income ETF (BTCI). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.


HODLBTCIDifference

Sharpe ratio

Return per unit of total volatility

-0.89

-0.86

-0.03

Sortino ratio

Return per unit of downside risk

-1.23

-1.14

-0.09

Omega ratio

Gain probability vs. loss probability

0.86

0.87

0.00

Calmar ratio

Return relative to maximum drawdown

-0.79

-0.75

-0.04

Martin ratio

Return relative to average drawdown

-1.36

-1.34

-0.03

HODL vs. BTCI - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current HODL Sharpe Ratio is -0.89, which is comparable to the BTCI Sharpe Ratio of -0.86. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of HODL and BTCI, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.


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Sharpe Ratios by Period


HODLBTCIDifference

Sharpe Ratio (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

-0.89

-0.86

-0.03

Sharpe Ratio (All Time)

Calculated using the full available price history

0.30

-0.03

+0.33

Drawdowns

HODL vs. BTCI - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum HODL drawdown since its inception was -49.25%, which is greater than BTCI's maximum drawdown of -44.98%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for HODL and BTCI.


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Drawdown Indicators


HODLBTCIDifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-49.25%

-44.98%

-4.27%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-49.25%

-44.98%

-4.27%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

-47.93%

-42.87%

-5.06%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-15.97%

-15.18%

-0.79%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

28.35%

25.05%

+3.30%

Volatility

HODL vs. BTCI - Volatility Comparison

VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) has a higher volatility of 9.43% compared to NEOS Bitcoin High Income ETF (BTCI) at 8.35%. This indicates that HODL's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than BTCI based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


HODLBTCIDifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

9.43%

8.35%

+1.08%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

34.37%

30.94%

+3.43%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

43.51%

38.93%

+4.58%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

49.88%

40.11%

+9.77%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

49.88%

40.11%

+9.77%

HODL vs. BTCI - Expense Ratio Comparison

HODL has a 0.25% expense ratio, which is lower than BTCI's 0.99% expense ratio.


Dividends

HODL vs. BTCI - Dividend Comparison

HODL has not paid dividends to shareholders, while BTCI's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 43.16%.


PositionTTM20252024
BTCI
NEOS Bitcoin High Income ETF
43.16%36.46%6.76%
HODL
VanEck Bitcoin Trust
0.00%0.00%0.00%

Frequently Asked Questions


With a correlation of 0.99, HODL and BTCI move almost identically. Holding both adds very little diversification - you're essentially doubling your position in the same market segment. Choosing one is usually more capital-efficient.

HODL has higher volatility (9.43%) compared to BTCI (8.35%). In terms of maximum drawdown, HODL dropped -49.25% vs BTCI's -44.98%.

On 1-year performance, BTCI leads with -33.43% vs -38.56% for HODL. On fees, HODL is cheaper at 0.25% per year. On volatility, BTCI has been the lower-risk option at 8.35%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.

Over the 1-year period, BTCI has performed better with a -33.43% return vs -38.56%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.

HODL is cheaper with a 0.25% expense ratio, compared with 0.99% for BTCI.

BTCI has the higher dividend yield at 43.16%, compared with 0.00% for HODL.

They also come from different issuers: VanEck and Neos. Their fees differ too: 0.25% for HODL and 0.99% for BTCI.

BTCI currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (-0.86 vs -0.89), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.

Portfolio Optimizer

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