HODL vs. BTCI
HODL (VanEck Bitcoin Trust) and BTCI (NEOS Bitcoin High Income ETF) are both Cryptocurrency funds. HODL is passively managed, while BTCI is actively managed. Over the past year, HODL returned -38.56% vs -33.43% for BTCI. With a 0.99 correlation, they move nearly in lockstep. HODL charges 0.25%/yr vs 0.99%/yr for BTCI.
Performance
HODL vs. BTCI - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, HODL achieves a -25.27% return, which is significantly lower than BTCI's -22.74% return.
HODL
- 1D
- -2.79%
- 1M
- -18.34%
- YTD
- -25.27%
- 6M
- -29.73%
- 1Y
- -38.56%
- 3Y*
- —
- 5Y*
- —
- 10Y*
- —
BTCI
- 1D
- -2.56%
- 1M
- -16.29%
- YTD
- -22.74%
- 6M
- -26.41%
- 1Y
- -33.43%
- 3Y*
- —
- 5Y*
- —
- 10Y*
- —
HODL vs. BTCI - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|
HODL VanEck Bitcoin Trust | -25.27% | -6.42% | 39.74% |
BTCI NEOS Bitcoin High Income ETF | -22.74% | -1.09% | 28.24% |
Correlation
The correlation between HODL and BTCI is 0.99 - these two move nearly in lockstep. At this level, holding both provides almost no diversification benefit. If you already own one, adding the other does little to reduce portfolio risk.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.99 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Oct 18, 2024 | 0.99 |
The correlation between HODL and BTCI has been stable across timeframes, ranging from 0.99 to 0.99 - a consistent structural relationship.
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Return for Risk
HODL vs. BTCI — Risk / Return Rank
HODL
BTCI
HODL vs. BTCI - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) and NEOS Bitcoin High Income ETF (BTCI). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
| HODL | BTCI | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | -0.89 | -0.86 | -0.03 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | -1.23 | -1.14 | -0.09 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 0.86 | 0.87 | 0.00 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | -0.79 | -0.75 | -0.04 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | -1.36 | -1.34 | -0.03 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
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Sharpe Ratios by Period
| HODL | BTCI | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe Ratio (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | -0.89 | -0.86 | -0.03 |
Sharpe Ratio (All Time)Calculated using the full available price history | 0.30 | -0.03 | +0.33 |
Drawdowns
HODL vs. BTCI - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum HODL drawdown since its inception was -49.25%, which is greater than BTCI's maximum drawdown of -44.98%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for HODL and BTCI.
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Drawdown Indicators
| HODL | BTCI | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -49.25% | -44.98% | -4.27% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -49.25% | -44.98% | -4.27% |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -47.93% | -42.87% | -5.06% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -15.97% | -15.18% | -0.79% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 28.35% | 25.05% | +3.30% |
Volatility
HODL vs. BTCI - Volatility Comparison
VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) has a higher volatility of 9.43% compared to NEOS Bitcoin High Income ETF (BTCI) at 8.35%. This indicates that HODL's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than BTCI based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| HODL | BTCI | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 9.43% | 8.35% | +1.08% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 34.37% | 30.94% | +3.43% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 43.51% | 38.93% | +4.58% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 49.88% | 40.11% | +9.77% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 49.88% | 40.11% | +9.77% |
HODL vs. BTCI - Expense Ratio Comparison
HODL has a 0.25% expense ratio, which is lower than BTCI's 0.99% expense ratio.
Dividends
HODL vs. BTCI - Dividend Comparison
HODL has not paid dividends to shareholders, while BTCI's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 43.16%.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 |
|---|---|---|---|
BTCI NEOS Bitcoin High Income ETF | 43.16% | 36.46% | 6.76% |
HODL VanEck Bitcoin Trust | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Frequently Asked Questions
With a correlation of 0.99, HODL and BTCI move almost identically. Holding both adds very little diversification - you're essentially doubling your position in the same market segment. Choosing one is usually more capital-efficient.
HODL has higher volatility (9.43%) compared to BTCI (8.35%). In terms of maximum drawdown, HODL dropped -49.25% vs BTCI's -44.98%.
On 1-year performance, BTCI leads with -33.43% vs -38.56% for HODL. On fees, HODL is cheaper at 0.25% per year. On volatility, BTCI has been the lower-risk option at 8.35%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 1-year period, BTCI has performed better with a -33.43% return vs -38.56%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
HODL is cheaper with a 0.25% expense ratio, compared with 0.99% for BTCI.
BTCI has the higher dividend yield at 43.16%, compared with 0.00% for HODL.
They also come from different issuers: VanEck and Neos. Their fees differ too: 0.25% for HODL and 0.99% for BTCI.
BTCI currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (-0.86 vs -0.89), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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