HODL vs. BITS
HODL (VanEck Bitcoin Trust) and BITS (Global X Blockchain & Bitcoin Strategy ETF) are both Cryptocurrency funds - HODL tracks the CME CF Bitcoin Reference Rate - New York Variant while BITS tracks the NONE. Both are passively managed. Over the past year, HODL returned -39.68% vs 16.16% for BITS. Their correlation of 0.87 suggests significant overlap in exposure. HODL charges 0.25%/yr vs 0.65%/yr for BITS.
Performance
HODL vs. BITS - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, HODL achieves a -28.75% return, which is significantly lower than BITS's -1.05% return.
HODL
- 1D
- -3.24%
- 1M
- -17.82%
- YTD
- -28.75%
- 6M
- -28.92%
- 1Y
- -39.68%
- 3Y*
- —
- 5Y*
- —
- 10Y*
- —
BITS
- 1D
- -2.95%
- 1M
- -9.90%
- YTD
- -1.05%
- 6M
- -4.96%
- 1Y
- 16.16%
- 3Y*
- 41.04%
- 5Y*
- —
- 10Y*
- —
HODL vs. BITS - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|
HODL VanEck Bitcoin Trust | -28.75% | -6.42% | 91.50% |
BITS Global X Blockchain & Bitcoin Strategy ETF | -1.05% | 14.90% | 57.29% |
Correlation
The correlation between HODL and BITS is 0.85, indicating a strong positive relationship between their price movements. Combining them offers limited diversification - they tend to fall together during downturns.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.85 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Jan 11, 2024 | 0.87 |
The correlation between HODL and BITS has been stable across timeframes, ranging from 0.85 to 0.87 - a consistent structural relationship.
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Return for Risk
HODL vs. BITS — Risk / Return Rank
HODL
BITS
HODL vs. BITS - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) and Global X Blockchain & Bitcoin Strategy ETF (BITS). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| HODL | BITS | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | -1.21 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | -2.04 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 0.86 | 1.09 | -0.23 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | -0.77 | 0.34 | -1.10 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | -1.30 | 0.60 | -1.91 |
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Drawdowns
HODL vs. BITS - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum HODL drawdown since its inception was -51.96%, smaller than the maximum BITS drawdown of -83.11%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for HODL and BITS.
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Drawdown Indicators
| HODL | BITS | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -51.96% | -83.11% | +31.15% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -51.96% | -48.38% | -3.58% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | — | -48.38% | — |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -50.35% | -34.86% | -15.49% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -16.78% | -42.63% | +25.85% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 30.49% | 26.82% | +3.67% |
Volatility
HODL vs. BITS - Volatility Comparison
The current volatility for VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) is 13.07%, while Global X Blockchain & Bitcoin Strategy ETF (BITS) has a volatility of 14.66%. This indicates that HODL experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than BITS based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| HODL | BITS | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 13.07% | 14.66% | -1.59% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 34.59% | 40.96% | -6.37% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 44.11% | 53.22% | -9.11% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 49.89% | 60.86% | -10.97% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 49.89% | 60.86% | -10.97% |
HODL vs. BITS - Expense Ratio Comparison
HODL has a 0.25% expense ratio, which is lower than BITS's 0.65% expense ratio.
Dividends
HODL vs. BITS - Dividend Comparison
HODL has not paid dividends to shareholders, while BITS's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 23.04%.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BITS Global X Blockchain & Bitcoin Strategy ETF | 23.04% | 22.80% | 29.49% | 13.69% | 0.48% | 1.90% |
HODL VanEck Bitcoin Trust | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Frequently Asked Questions
HODL and BITS have a correlation of 0.85, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
BITS has higher volatility (14.66%) compared to HODL (13.07%). In terms of maximum drawdown, HODL dropped -51.96% vs BITS's -83.11%.
On 1-year performance, BITS leads with 16.16% vs -39.68% for HODL. On fees, HODL is cheaper at 0.25% per year. On volatility, HODL has been the lower-risk option at 13.07%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 1-year period, BITS has performed better with a 16.16% return vs -39.68%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
HODL is cheaper with a 0.25% expense ratio, compared with 0.65% for BITS.
BITS has the higher dividend yield at 23.04%, compared with 0.00% for HODL.
HODL tracks CME CF Bitcoin Reference Rate - New York Variant, while BITS tracks NONE. They also come from different issuers: VanEck and Global X. Their fees differ too: 0.25% for HODL and 0.65% for BITS.
BITS currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (0.30 vs -0.90), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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