HODL vs. BITS
HODL (VanEck Bitcoin Trust) and BITS (Global X Blockchain & Bitcoin Strategy ETF) are both Cryptocurrency funds - HODL tracks the CME CF Bitcoin Reference Rate - New York Variant while BITS tracks the NONE. Both are passively managed. Over the past year, HODL returned -38.56% vs 19.33% for BITS. Their correlation of 0.87 suggests significant overlap in exposure. HODL charges 0.25%/yr vs 0.65%/yr for BITS.
Performance
HODL vs. BITS - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, HODL achieves a -25.27% return, which is significantly lower than BITS's 4.17% return.
HODL
- 1D
- -2.79%
- 1M
- -18.34%
- YTD
- -25.27%
- 6M
- -29.73%
- 1Y
- -38.56%
- 3Y*
- —
- 5Y*
- —
- 10Y*
- —
BITS
- 1D
- -2.94%
- 1M
- -1.76%
- YTD
- 4.17%
- 6M
- -6.53%
- 1Y
- 19.33%
- 3Y*
- 49.59%
- 5Y*
- —
- 10Y*
- —
HODL vs. BITS - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|
HODL VanEck Bitcoin Trust | -25.27% | -6.42% | 99.75% |
BITS Global X Blockchain & Bitcoin Strategy ETF | 4.17% | 14.90% | 62.06% |
Correlation
The correlation between HODL and BITS is 0.85, indicating a strong positive relationship between their price movements. Combining them offers limited diversification - they tend to fall together during downturns.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.85 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Jan 12, 2024 | 0.87 |
The correlation between HODL and BITS has been stable across timeframes, ranging from 0.85 to 0.87 - a consistent structural relationship.
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Return for Risk
HODL vs. BITS — Risk / Return Rank
HODL
BITS
HODL vs. BITS - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) and Global X Blockchain & Bitcoin Strategy ETF (BITS). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
| HODL | BITS | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | -0.89 | 0.37 | -1.26 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | -1.23 | 0.86 | -2.09 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 0.86 | 1.10 | -0.24 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | -0.79 | 0.40 | -1.19 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | -1.36 | 0.75 | -2.12 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
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Sharpe Ratios by Period
| HODL | BITS | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe Ratio (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | -0.89 | 0.37 | -1.26 |
Sharpe Ratio (All Time)Calculated using the full available price history | 0.30 | 0.02 | +0.29 |
Drawdowns
HODL vs. BITS - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum HODL drawdown since its inception was -49.25%, smaller than the maximum BITS drawdown of -83.11%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for HODL and BITS.
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Drawdown Indicators
| HODL | BITS | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -49.25% | -83.11% | +33.86% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -49.25% | -48.38% | -0.87% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | — | -48.38% | — |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -47.93% | -31.42% | -16.51% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -15.97% | -42.76% | +26.79% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 28.35% | 25.68% | +2.67% |
Volatility
HODL vs. BITS - Volatility Comparison
The current volatility for VanEck Bitcoin Trust (HODL) is 9.43%, while Global X Blockchain & Bitcoin Strategy ETF (BITS) has a volatility of 12.83%. This indicates that HODL experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than BITS based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| HODL | BITS | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 9.43% | 12.83% | -3.40% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 34.37% | 40.38% | -6.01% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 43.51% | 52.55% | -9.04% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 49.88% | 60.91% | -11.03% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 49.88% | 60.91% | -11.03% |
HODL vs. BITS - Expense Ratio Comparison
HODL has a 0.25% expense ratio, which is lower than BITS's 0.65% expense ratio.
Dividends
HODL vs. BITS - Dividend Comparison
HODL has not paid dividends to shareholders, while BITS's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 21.88%.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BITS Global X Blockchain & Bitcoin Strategy ETF | 21.88% | 22.80% | 29.49% | 13.69% | 0.48% | 1.90% |
HODL VanEck Bitcoin Trust | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Frequently Asked Questions
HODL and BITS have a correlation of 0.85, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
BITS has higher volatility (12.83%) compared to HODL (9.43%). In terms of maximum drawdown, HODL dropped -49.25% vs BITS's -83.11%.
On 1-year performance, BITS leads with 19.33% vs -38.56% for HODL. On fees, HODL is cheaper at 0.25% per year. On volatility, HODL has been the lower-risk option at 9.43%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 1-year period, BITS has performed better with a 19.33% return vs -38.56%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
HODL is cheaper with a 0.25% expense ratio, compared with 0.65% for BITS.
BITS has the higher dividend yield at 21.88%, compared with 0.00% for HODL.
HODL tracks CME CF Bitcoin Reference Rate - New York Variant, while BITS tracks NONE. They also come from different issuers: VanEck and Global X. Their fees differ too: 0.25% for HODL and 0.65% for BITS.
BITS currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (0.37 vs -0.89), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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