GDXU vs. TMF
GDXU (MicroSectors Gold Miners 3X Leveraged ETNs due June 29, 2040) and TMF (Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF) are both exchange-traded funds - GDXU is a Leveraged Equities fund tracking the S-Network MicroSectors Gold Miners Index, while TMF is a Leveraged Bonds fund tracking the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index (300%). Both are passively managed. Over the past 5 years, GDXU returned -14.73%/yr vs -31.10%/yr for TMF. At a 0.18 correlation, their price movements are largely independent. GDXU charges 0.95%/yr vs 1.01%/yr for TMF.
Performance
GDXU vs. TMF - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, GDXU achieves a -56.00% return, which is significantly lower than TMF's -5.18% return.
GDXU
- 1D
- 8.84%
- 1M
- -50.11%
- YTD
- -56.00%
- 6M
- -55.92%
- 1Y
- 30.95%
- 3Y*
- 37.87%
- 5Y*
- -14.73%
- 10Y*
- —
TMF
- 1D
- -0.93%
- 1M
- 3.29%
- YTD
- -5.18%
- 6M
- -5.04%
- 1Y
- -4.90%
- 3Y*
- -19.82%
- 5Y*
- -31.10%
- 10Y*
- -16.87%
GDXU vs. TMF - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GDXU MicroSectors Gold Miners 3X Leveraged ETNs due June 29, 2040 | -56.00% | 796.47% | -18.60% | -21.36% | -62.82% | -54.93% | 4.32% |
TMF Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF | -5.18% | -2.94% | -35.95% | -13.01% | -72.60% | -19.80% | 2.93% |
Correlation
The correlation between GDXU and TMF is 0.18, which is low. Their price movements are largely independent, making them effective diversification partners.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.18 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.19 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.18 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Dec 3, 2020 | 0.18 |
GDXU vs. TMF - Sectors Allocation Comparison
Sectors
GDXU
TMF
Basic Materials
-
Communication Services
-
-
Consumer Cyclical
-
-
Consumer Defensive
-
-
Energy
-
-
Financial Services
-
Healthcare
-
-
Industrials
-
-
Real Estate
-
-
Technology
-
-
Utilities
-
-
Basic Materials
GDXU
TMF
-
Communication Services
GDXU
-
TMF
-
Consumer Cyclical
GDXU
-
TMF
-
Consumer Defensive
GDXU
-
TMF
-
Energy
GDXU
-
TMF
-
Financial Services
GDXU
-
TMF
Healthcare
GDXU
-
TMF
-
Industrials
GDXU
-
TMF
-
Real Estate
GDXU
-
TMF
-
Technology
GDXU
-
TMF
-
Utilities
GDXU
-
TMF
-
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Return for Risk
GDXU vs. TMF — Risk / Return Rank
GDXU
TMF
GDXU vs. TMF - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for MicroSectors Gold Miners 3X Leveraged ETNs due June 29, 2040 (GDXU) and Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF (TMF). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| GDXU | TMF | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | +0.39 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | +1.33 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.18 | 0.99 | +0.18 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 0.37 | -0.19 | +0.56 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 0.80 | -0.41 | +1.22 |
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Drawdowns
GDXU vs. TMF - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum GDXU drawdown since its inception was -94.39%, roughly equal to the maximum TMF drawdown of -92.89%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for GDXU and TMF.
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Drawdown Indicators
| GDXU | TMF | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -94.39% | -92.89% | -1.50% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -83.97% | -26.51% | -57.46% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -83.97% | -56.31% | -27.66% |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | -92.44% | -88.81% | -3.63% |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | — | -92.89% | — |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -79.58% | -92.15% | +12.57% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -69.77% | -43.70% | -26.07% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 38.59% | 11.96% | +26.63% |
Volatility
GDXU vs. TMF - Volatility Comparison
MicroSectors Gold Miners 3X Leveraged ETNs due June 29, 2040 (GDXU) has a higher volatility of 54.28% compared to Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF (TMF) at 8.43%. This indicates that GDXU's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than TMF based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| GDXU | TMF | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 54.28% | 8.43% | +45.85% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 123.72% | 19.46% | +104.26% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 142.00% | 28.49% | +113.51% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 111.92% | 46.72% | +65.20% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 110.82% | 43.92% | +66.90% |
GDXU vs. TMF - Expense Ratio Comparison
GDXU has a 0.95% expense ratio, which is lower than TMF's 1.01% expense ratio.
Dividends
GDXU vs. TMF - Dividend Comparison
GDXU has not paid dividends to shareholders, while TMF's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 4.11%.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GDXU MicroSectors Gold Miners 3X Leveraged ETNs due June 29, 2040 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
TMF Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF | 4.11% | 4.06% | 4.29% | 2.82% | 1.62% | 0.13% | 2.23% | 0.94% | 1.49% | 0.41% |
Frequently Asked Questions
GDXU and TMF have a correlation of 0.18, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
GDXU has higher volatility (54.28%) compared to TMF (8.43%). In terms of maximum drawdown, GDXU dropped -94.39% vs TMF's -92.89%.
On 5-year performance, GDXU leads with -14.73% vs -31.10% for TMF. On fees, GDXU is cheaper at 0.95% per year. On volatility, TMF has been the lower-risk option at 8.43%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 5-year period, GDXU has performed better with a -14.73% return vs -31.10%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
GDXU is cheaper with a 0.95% expense ratio, compared with 1.01% for TMF.
TMF has the higher dividend yield at 4.11%, compared with 0.00% for GDXU.
GDXU is categorized as Leveraged Equities, while TMF is Leveraged Bonds. GDXU tracks S-Network MicroSectors Gold Miners Index, while TMF tracks ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index (300%). They also come from different issuers: BMO and Direxion. Their fees differ too: 0.95% for GDXU and 1.01% for TMF.
GDXU currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (0.22 vs -0.17), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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