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GDXU vs. TMF
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility
Dividends

Performance

GDXU vs. TMF - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in MicroSectors Gold Miners 3X Leveraged ETNs due June 29, 2040 (GDXU) and Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF (TMF). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, GDXU achieves a -56.00% return, which is significantly lower than TMF's -5.18% return.


GDXU

1D
8.84%
1M
-50.11%
YTD
-56.00%
6M
-55.92%
1Y
30.95%
3Y*
37.87%
5Y*
-14.73%
10Y*

TMF

1D
-0.93%
1M
3.29%
YTD
-5.18%
6M
-5.04%
1Y
-4.90%
3Y*
-19.82%
5Y*
-31.10%
10Y*
-16.87%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

GDXU vs. TMF - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)202520242023202220212020
GDXU
MicroSectors Gold Miners 3X Leveraged ETNs due June 29, 2040
-56.00%796.47%-18.60%-21.36%-62.82%-54.93%4.32%
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
-5.18%-2.94%-35.95%-13.01%-72.60%-19.80%2.93%

Correlation

The correlation between GDXU and TMF is 0.18, which is low. Their price movements are largely independent, making them effective diversification partners.


Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.18

Correlation (3Y)
Calculated over the trailing 3-year period

0.19

Correlation (5Y)
Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.18

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Dec 3, 2020

0.18

GDXU vs. TMF - Sectors Allocation Comparison


Sectors
GDXU
TMF

Basic Materials

100.0%

-

Communication Services

-

-

Consumer Cyclical

-

-

Consumer Defensive

-

-

Energy

-

-

Financial Services

-

18.4%

Healthcare

-

-

Industrials

-

-

Real Estate

-

-

Technology

-

-

Utilities

-

-

Basic Materials

GDXU
100.0%
TMF

-

Communication Services

GDXU

-

TMF

-

Consumer Cyclical

GDXU

-

TMF

-

Consumer Defensive

GDXU

-

TMF

-

Energy

GDXU

-

TMF

-

Financial Services

GDXU

-

TMF
18.4%

Healthcare

GDXU

-

TMF

-

Industrials

GDXU

-

TMF

-

Real Estate

GDXU

-

TMF

-

Technology

GDXU

-

TMF

-

Utilities

GDXU

-

TMF

-

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Return for Risk

GDXU vs. TMF — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

GDXU
GDXU Risk / Return Rank: 1919
Overall Rank
GDXU Sharpe Ratio Rank: 1313
Sharpe Ratio Rank
GDXU Sortino Ratio Rank: 2626
Sortino Ratio Rank
GDXU Omega Ratio Rank: 2929
Omega Ratio Rank
GDXU Calmar Ratio Rank: 1414
Calmar Ratio Rank
GDXU Martin Ratio Rank: 1414
Martin Ratio Rank

TMF
TMF Risk / Return Rank: 88
Overall Rank
TMF Sharpe Ratio Rank: 88
Sharpe Ratio Rank
TMF Sortino Ratio Rank: 88
Sortino Ratio Rank
TMF Omega Ratio Rank: 88
Omega Ratio Rank
TMF Calmar Ratio Rank: 88
Calmar Ratio Rank
TMF Martin Ratio Rank: 88
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

GDXU vs. TMF - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for MicroSectors Gold Miners 3X Leveraged ETNs due June 29, 2040 (GDXU) and Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF (TMF). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.

Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.


GDXUTMFDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

+0.39

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

+1.33

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

1.18

0.99

+0.18

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

0.37

-0.19

+0.56

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

0.80

-0.41

+1.22

GDXU vs. TMF - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current GDXU Sharpe Ratio is 0.22, which is higher than the TMF Sharpe Ratio of -0.17. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of GDXU and TMF, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.


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Drawdowns

GDXU vs. TMF - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum GDXU drawdown since its inception was -94.39%, roughly equal to the maximum TMF drawdown of -92.89%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for GDXU and TMF.


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Drawdown Indicators


GDXUTMFDifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-94.39%

-92.89%

-1.50%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-83.97%

-26.51%

-57.46%

Max Drawdown (3Y)

Largest decline over 3 years

-83.97%

-56.31%

-27.66%

Max Drawdown (5Y)

Largest decline over 5 years

-92.44%

-88.81%

-3.63%

Max Drawdown (10Y)

Largest decline over 10 years

-92.89%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

-79.58%

-92.15%

+12.57%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-69.77%

-43.70%

-26.07%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

38.59%

11.96%

+26.63%

Volatility

GDXU vs. TMF - Volatility Comparison

MicroSectors Gold Miners 3X Leveraged ETNs due June 29, 2040 (GDXU) has a higher volatility of 54.28% compared to Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF (TMF) at 8.43%. This indicates that GDXU's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than TMF based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


GDXUTMFDifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

54.28%

8.43%

+45.85%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

123.72%

19.46%

+104.26%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

142.00%

28.49%

+113.51%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

111.92%

46.72%

+65.20%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

110.82%

43.92%

+66.90%

GDXU vs. TMF - Expense Ratio Comparison

GDXU has a 0.95% expense ratio, which is lower than TMF's 1.01% expense ratio.


Dividends

GDXU vs. TMF - Dividend Comparison

GDXU has not paid dividends to shareholders, while TMF's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 4.11%.


PositionTTM202520242023202220212020201920182017
GDXU
MicroSectors Gold Miners 3X Leveraged ETNs due June 29, 2040
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
4.11%4.06%4.29%2.82%1.62%0.13%2.23%0.94%1.49%0.41%

Frequently Asked Questions


GDXU and TMF have a correlation of 0.18, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

GDXU has higher volatility (54.28%) compared to TMF (8.43%). In terms of maximum drawdown, GDXU dropped -94.39% vs TMF's -92.89%.

On 5-year performance, GDXU leads with -14.73% vs -31.10% for TMF. On fees, GDXU is cheaper at 0.95% per year. On volatility, TMF has been the lower-risk option at 8.43%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.

Over the 5-year period, GDXU has performed better with a -14.73% return vs -31.10%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.

GDXU is cheaper with a 0.95% expense ratio, compared with 1.01% for TMF.

TMF has the higher dividend yield at 4.11%, compared with 0.00% for GDXU.

GDXU is categorized as Leveraged Equities, while TMF is Leveraged Bonds. GDXU tracks S-Network MicroSectors Gold Miners Index, while TMF tracks ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index (300%). They also come from different issuers: BMO and Direxion. Their fees differ too: 0.95% for GDXU and 1.01% for TMF.

GDXU currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (0.22 vs -0.17), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.

Portfolio Optimizer

Find the right allocation for GDXU and TMF

Add both to a portfolio and optimize allocations for your target — whether that's maximizing returns, minimizing drawdowns, or balancing risk across holdings.

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