Asset Allocation
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in AI suggested, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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The earliest data available for this chart is Mar 31, 2011, corresponding to the inception date of HDV
Returns By Period
As of Apr 3, 2026, the AI suggested returned 7.71% Year-To-Date and 9.65% of annualized return in the last 10 years.
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.11% | -3.43% | -3.84% | -1.98% | 16.08% | 16.86% | 10.37% | 12.29% |
Portfolio AI suggested | -0.06% | -1.44% | 7.71% | 12.99% | 26.44% | 16.15% | 10.50% | 9.65% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF | 0.16% | -3.26% | -3.13% | -1.24% | 17.86% | 18.10% | 10.66% | 13.75% |
VOO Vanguard S&P 500 ETF | 0.11% | -3.33% | -3.55% | -1.41% | 17.60% | 18.47% | 11.96% | 14.19% |
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | 0.11% | -2.64% | -4.65% | -3.18% | 23.45% | 22.97% | 13.18% | 19.05% |
VEA Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF | -0.77% | -2.79% | 3.65% | 8.84% | 30.37% | 16.09% | 8.76% | 9.49% |
VWO Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF | -0.72% | -2.55% | 0.11% | 0.38% | 21.72% | 13.41% | 3.75% | 7.73% |
IXC iShares Global Energy ETF | 1.18% | 8.08% | 34.70% | 39.06% | 38.51% | 17.03% | 22.47% | 11.43% |
IBB iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF | -0.41% | -0.32% | 0.46% | 13.45% | 33.95% | 9.60% | 2.53% | 6.78% |
XLF Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund | 0.18% | -2.78% | -9.10% | -6.36% | 0.27% | 17.30% | 9.41% | 12.53% |
XLV State Street Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF | -0.62% | -5.95% | -4.77% | 3.39% | 3.55% | 5.64% | 6.45% | 9.60% |
VNQ Vanguard Real Estate ETF | 1.36% | -4.43% | 3.06% | 1.04% | 2.95% | 7.33% | 3.14% | 4.85% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Apr 1, 2011, AI suggested's average daily return is +0.04%, while the average monthly return is +0.73%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 7.9 years.
Historically, 61% of months were positive and 39% were negative. The best month was Nov 2020 with a return of +11.6%, while the worst month was Mar 2020 at -13.8%. The longest winning streak lasted 10 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 5 months.
On a daily basis, AI suggested closed higher 55% of trading days. The best single day was Mar 24, 2020 with a return of +7.1%, while the worst single day was Mar 12, 2020 at -9.0%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 6.21% | 5.76% | -3.95% | -0.17% | 7.71% | ||||||||
| 2025 | 3.16% | 3.50% | 2.20% | -0.52% | 1.98% | 3.02% | 0.57% | 4.14% | 2.08% | 0.86% | 3.24% | 0.90% | 28.12% |
| 2024 | -0.59% | 1.11% | 4.02% | -1.97% | 3.53% | -0.97% | 4.59% | 2.64% | 1.68% | -2.27% | 1.38% | -4.74% | 8.27% |
| 2023 | 5.07% | -4.66% | 1.39% | 1.58% | -4.77% | 3.14% | 3.28% | -2.45% | -2.92% | -2.63% | 6.30% | 4.87% | 7.59% |
| 2022 | 0.61% | -0.48% | 1.97% | -4.84% | 2.95% | -7.58% | 2.90% | -3.54% | -8.80% | 6.73% | 8.99% | -1.34% | -3.96% |
| 2021 | -0.15% | 2.60% | 3.09% | 2.40% | 3.03% | -0.56% | 0.17% | 0.69% | -2.86% | 3.33% | -3.37% | 4.83% | 13.62% |
Benchmark Metrics
AI suggested has an annualized alpha of 0.73%, beta of 0.68, and R² of 0.77 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since April 01, 2011.
- This portfolio participated in 75.17% of S&P 500 Index downside but only 69.30% of its upside — more exposed to losses than it benefited from rallies.
- Beta of 0.68 indicates this portfolio moves significantly less than S&P 500 Index — a genuinely defensive profile with reduced participation in both market rallies and downturns.
- Alpha
- 0.73%
- Beta
- 0.68
- R²
- 0.77
- Upside Capture
- 69.30%
- Downside Capture
- 75.17%
Expense Ratio
AI suggested has an expense ratio of 0.24%, which is considered low. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Top 10 holdings
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
AI suggested ranks 87 for risk / return — in the top 87% of portfolios on our site. This means strong returns relative to risk — exactly what professional investors look for. Well-suited for investors who want to maximize return per unit of risk.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 2.15 | 0.88 | +1.27 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 2.83 | 1.37 | +1.46 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.46 | 1.21 | +0.25 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 2.69 | 1.39 | +1.30 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 13.21 | 6.43 | +6.78 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF | 54 | 0.94 | 1.47 | 1.22 | 1.53 | 7.16 |
VOO Vanguard S&P 500 ETF | 54 | 0.98 | 1.49 | 1.23 | 1.53 | 7.13 |
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | 59 | 1.04 | 1.62 | 1.23 | 1.93 | 7.00 |
VEA Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF | 83 | 1.73 | 2.36 | 1.35 | 2.64 | 10.14 |
VWO Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF | 62 | 1.22 | 1.74 | 1.25 | 1.78 | 6.68 |
IXC iShares Global Energy ETF | 75 | 1.72 | 2.16 | 1.32 | 2.15 | 7.14 |
IBB iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF | 78 | 1.43 | 2.01 | 1.26 | 3.13 | 11.12 |
XLF Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund | 12 | 0.01 | 0.15 | 1.02 | 0.07 | 0.22 |
XLV State Street Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF | 16 | 0.20 | 0.40 | 1.05 | 0.39 | 0.83 |
VNQ Vanguard Real Estate ETF | 16 | 0.18 | 0.36 | 1.05 | 0.29 | 1.11 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
AI suggested provided a 3.09% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 3.09% | 3.31% | 3.91% | 3.86% | 4.04% | 3.33% | 3.39% | 3.43% | 3.61% | 2.98% | 3.66% | 3.41% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
VTI Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF | 1.16% | 1.12% | 1.27% | 1.44% | 1.66% | 1.21% | 1.42% | 1.78% | 2.04% | 1.71% | 1.92% | 1.98% |
VOO Vanguard S&P 500 ETF | 1.18% | 1.13% | 1.24% | 1.46% | 1.69% | 1.25% | 1.54% | 1.88% | 2.06% | 1.78% | 2.02% | 2.10% |
QQQ Invesco QQQ ETF | 0.48% | 0.45% | 0.56% | 0.62% | 0.80% | 0.43% | 0.55% | 0.74% | 0.91% | 0.84% | 1.06% | 0.99% |
VEA Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF | 2.90% | 3.22% | 3.35% | 3.15% | 2.91% | 3.16% | 2.04% | 3.04% | 3.35% | 2.77% | 3.05% | 2.92% |
VWO Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF | 2.70% | 2.79% | 3.20% | 3.52% | 4.11% | 2.63% | 1.91% | 3.23% | 2.88% | 2.30% | 2.52% | 3.26% |
IXC iShares Global Energy ETF | 2.73% | 3.68% | 4.56% | 3.45% | 4.76% | 3.98% | 4.86% | 7.00% | 3.51% | 3.05% | 2.86% | 3.77% |
IBB iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF | 0.23% | 0.23% | 0.29% | 0.26% | 0.31% | 0.21% | 0.21% | 0.33% | 0.20% | 0.30% | 0.19% | 0.03% |
XLF Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund | 1.60% | 1.31% | 1.42% | 1.71% | 2.04% | 1.63% | 2.03% | 1.87% | 2.08% | 1.48% | 21.10% | 1.95% |
XLV State Street Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF | 1.71% | 1.60% | 1.67% | 1.59% | 1.47% | 1.33% | 1.49% | 2.17% | 1.57% | 1.47% | 1.60% | 1.43% |
VNQ Vanguard Real Estate ETF | 3.86% | 3.92% | 3.85% | 3.95% | 3.91% | 2.56% | 3.93% | 3.39% | 4.74% | 4.23% | 4.82% | 3.92% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the AI suggested. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the AI suggested was 31.41%, occurring on Mar 23, 2020. Recovery took 179 trading sessions.
The current AI suggested drawdown is 4.11%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -31.41% | Jan 21, 2020 | 44 | Mar 23, 2020 | 179 | Dec 4, 2020 | 223 |
| -18.82% | Mar 31, 2022 | 124 | Sep 27, 2022 | 313 | Dec 26, 2023 | 437 |
| -16.95% | Apr 29, 2015 | 184 | Jan 20, 2016 | 142 | Aug 11, 2016 | 326 |
| -14.78% | Jan 29, 2018 | 229 | Dec 24, 2018 | 131 | Jul 3, 2019 | 360 |
| -14.48% | May 2, 2011 | 108 | Oct 3, 2011 | 88 | Feb 8, 2012 | 196 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 15 assets, with an effective number of assets of 6.05, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets indicates a moderate level of diversification, where some assets may have a more significant influence on overall performance.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | IAU | IEF | TLT | VNQ | IBB | IXC | XLV | VWO | QQQ | HDV | XLF | IDV | VEA | VOO | VTI | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | 0.04 | -0.22 | -0.23 | 0.61 | 0.65 | 0.59 | 0.73 | 0.70 | 0.90 | 0.73 | 0.79 | 0.72 | 0.82 | 1.00 | 0.99 | 0.82 |
| IAU | 0.04 | 1.00 | 0.30 | 0.23 | 0.11 | 0.04 | 0.13 | 0.03 | 0.19 | 0.03 | 0.06 | -0.05 | 0.20 | 0.18 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.26 |
| IEF | -0.22 | 0.30 | 1.00 | 0.92 | 0.06 | -0.10 | -0.27 | -0.14 | -0.16 | -0.17 | -0.17 | -0.32 | -0.17 | -0.17 | -0.22 | -0.22 | -0.10 |
| TLT | -0.23 | 0.23 | 0.92 | 1.00 | 0.03 | -0.10 | -0.29 | -0.15 | -0.18 | -0.17 | -0.19 | -0.32 | -0.20 | -0.20 | -0.23 | -0.23 | -0.13 |
| VNQ | 0.61 | 0.11 | 0.06 | 0.03 | 1.00 | 0.44 | 0.38 | 0.53 | 0.45 | 0.48 | 0.61 | 0.54 | 0.53 | 0.56 | 0.61 | 0.63 | 0.65 |
| IBB | 0.65 | 0.04 | -0.10 | -0.10 | 0.44 | 1.00 | 0.36 | 0.76 | 0.48 | 0.65 | 0.49 | 0.49 | 0.48 | 0.56 | 0.65 | 0.67 | 0.60 |
| IXC | 0.59 | 0.13 | -0.27 | -0.29 | 0.38 | 0.36 | 1.00 | 0.41 | 0.57 | 0.42 | 0.70 | 0.59 | 0.68 | 0.64 | 0.59 | 0.60 | 0.75 |
| XLV | 0.73 | 0.03 | -0.14 | -0.15 | 0.53 | 0.76 | 0.41 | 1.00 | 0.49 | 0.62 | 0.70 | 0.60 | 0.56 | 0.62 | 0.73 | 0.72 | 0.70 |
| VWO | 0.70 | 0.19 | -0.16 | -0.18 | 0.45 | 0.48 | 0.57 | 0.49 | 1.00 | 0.65 | 0.55 | 0.57 | 0.75 | 0.80 | 0.70 | 0.71 | 0.79 |
| QQQ | 0.90 | 0.03 | -0.17 | -0.17 | 0.48 | 0.65 | 0.42 | 0.62 | 0.65 | 1.00 | 0.53 | 0.60 | 0.60 | 0.71 | 0.90 | 0.90 | 0.66 |
| HDV | 0.73 | 0.06 | -0.17 | -0.19 | 0.61 | 0.49 | 0.70 | 0.70 | 0.55 | 0.53 | 1.00 | 0.70 | 0.68 | 0.67 | 0.73 | 0.72 | 0.85 |
| XLF | 0.79 | -0.05 | -0.32 | -0.32 | 0.54 | 0.49 | 0.59 | 0.60 | 0.57 | 0.60 | 0.70 | 1.00 | 0.67 | 0.70 | 0.79 | 0.80 | 0.73 |
| IDV | 0.72 | 0.20 | -0.17 | -0.20 | 0.53 | 0.48 | 0.68 | 0.56 | 0.75 | 0.60 | 0.68 | 0.67 | 1.00 | 0.91 | 0.72 | 0.72 | 0.92 |
| VEA | 0.82 | 0.18 | -0.17 | -0.20 | 0.56 | 0.56 | 0.64 | 0.62 | 0.80 | 0.71 | 0.67 | 0.70 | 0.91 | 1.00 | 0.82 | 0.82 | 0.91 |
| VOO | 1.00 | 0.04 | -0.22 | -0.23 | 0.61 | 0.65 | 0.59 | 0.73 | 0.70 | 0.90 | 0.73 | 0.79 | 0.72 | 0.82 | 1.00 | 0.99 | 0.82 |
| VTI | 0.99 | 0.04 | -0.22 | -0.23 | 0.63 | 0.67 | 0.60 | 0.72 | 0.71 | 0.90 | 0.72 | 0.80 | 0.72 | 0.82 | 0.99 | 1.00 | 0.83 |
| Portfolio | 0.82 | 0.26 | -0.10 | -0.13 | 0.65 | 0.60 | 0.75 | 0.70 | 0.79 | 0.66 | 0.85 | 0.73 | 0.92 | 0.91 | 0.82 | 0.83 | 1.00 |