Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
NVDL GraniteShares 2x Long NVDA Daily ETF | Leveraged Equities, Technology Equities | 47.55% |
MSTR Strategy Inc | Technology | 25.15% |
SMPIX ProFunds Semiconductor UltraSector Fund | Leveraged Equities | 12.92% |
AVGO Broadcom Inc. | Technology | 8.13% |
BITO ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF | Cryptocurrency | 6.12% |
AAPB GraniteShares 2x Long AAPL Daily ETF | Leveraged Equities | 0.04% |
FCNTX Fidelity Contrafund | Large Cap Growth Equities | 0.04% |
QCOM QUALCOMM Incorporated | Technology | 0.03% |
MSFU Direxion Daily MSFT Bull 2X Shares | Leveraged Equities | 0.01% |
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Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in COMBINED 401K + ROLLover, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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Returns By Period
| Position | 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 1.65% | 1.97% | 10.35% | 10.82% | 26.39% | 19.66% | 12.33% | 13.81% |
Portfolio COMBINED 401K + ROLLover | 5.14% | -13.37% | 11.97% | 18.55% | 25.37% | 89.58% | — | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
AAPB GraniteShares 2x Long AAPL Daily ETF | 3.36% | -3.87% | 12.10% | 10.03% | 101.75% | 17.91% | — | — |
AVGO Broadcom Inc. | 3.11% | -7.35% | 14.06% | 16.39% | 59.68% | 67.77% | 56.37% | 41.61% |
BITO ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF | 4.62% | -16.16% | -25.13% | -23.76% | -39.30% | 27.40% | — | — |
FCNTX Fidelity Contrafund | 1.31% | 1.79% | 8.05% | 9.44% | 23.55% | 26.44% | 14.71% | 17.64% |
MSFU Direxion Daily MSFT Bull 2X Shares | 4.68% | -11.32% | -37.11% | -35.10% | -39.10% | -5.80% | — | — |
MSTR Strategy Inc | 5.78% | -26.08% | -13.70% | -19.09% | -65.75% | 64.73% | 16.17% | 22.02% |
NVDL GraniteShares 2x Long NVDA Daily ETF | 7.05% | -12.95% | 16.15% | 28.66% | 78.08% | 99.48% | — | — |
QCOM QUALCOMM Incorporated | 4.29% | 9.99% | 30.40% | 24.43% | 45.72% | 24.31% | 12.76% | 18.41% |
SMPIX ProFunds Semiconductor UltraSector Fund | 1.30% | 2.63% | 64.10% | 74.65% | 154.32% | -10.34% | 0.33% | 19.12% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Dec 13, 2022, COMBINED 401K + ROLLover's average daily return is +0.40%, while the average monthly return is +8.20%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 0.7 years.
Historically, 65% of months were positive and 35% were negative. The best month was Feb 2024 with a return of +57.9%, while the worst month was Dec 2022 at -22.5%. The longest winning streak lasted 7 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 4 months.
On a daily basis, COMBINED 401K + ROLLover closed higher 54% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +28.4%, while the worst single day was Jan 27, 2025 at -20.2%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1.94% | -13.65% | -4.27% | 31.15% | 7.58% | -5.82% | 11.97% | ||||||
| 2025 | -9.63% | -8.12% | -12.83% | 6.63% | 26.45% | 24.30% | 14.03% | -7.12% | 8.48% | 6.35% | -21.42% | 0.50% | 17.05% |
| 2024 | 15.98% | 57.91% | 32.01% | -17.01% | 41.03% | 12.88% | -3.73% | -6.58% | 8.28% | 8.01% | 24.34% | -11.77% | 268.61% |
| 2023 | 50.59% | 14.96% | 21.88% | 1.62% | 28.71% | 13.78% | 15.44% | -2.23% | -13.68% | 2.81% | 18.74% | 16.49% | 335.08% |
| 2022 | -22.52% | -22.52% |
Benchmark Metrics
COMBINED 401K + ROLLover has an annualized alpha of 51.26%, beta of 3.12, and R2 of 0.50 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since December 13, 2022.
- This portfolio captured 705.13% of S&P 500 Index gains and 195.55% of its losses - amplifying both gains and losses, but participating more in upside than downside.
- R2 of 0.50 means the benchmark explains less than half of this portfolio's behavior - treat beta with caution or consider switching to a more representative benchmark.
- Alpha
- 51.26%
- Beta
- 3.12
- R²
- 0.50
- Upside Capture
- 705.13%
- Downside Capture
- 195.55%
Expense Ratio
COMBINED 401K + ROLLover has an expense ratio of 0.75%, placing it in the medium range. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
COMBINED 401K + ROLLover ranks 9 for risk / return — in the bottom 9% of Portfolios on our site. This means you're taking on significantly more risk than the returns justify. Consider whether the potential upside is worth the volatility, or explore alternatives with better risk / return profiles.
Return / Risk — by metrics
The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for COMBINED 401K + ROLLover and compares them with S&P 500 Index.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 0.48 | 2.14 | -1.66 |
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 0.99 | 2.89 | -1.89 |
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.12 | 1.39 | -0.27 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 0.63 | 2.91 | -2.28 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 1.36 | 13.08 | -11.73 |
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Position | Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AAPB GraniteShares 2x Long AAPL Daily ETF | 69 | 2.25 | 2.84 | 1.37 | 3.64 | 8.67 |
AVGO Broadcom Inc. | 76 | 1.32 | 1.89 | 1.25 | 2.09 | 4.85 |
BITO ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF | 3 | -0.89 | -1.24 | 0.86 | -0.74 | -1.29 |
FCNTX Fidelity Contrafund | 37 | 1.53 | 2.11 | 1.27 | 1.97 | 8.27 |
MSFU Direxion Daily MSFT Bull 2X Shares | 3 | -0.77 | -0.93 | 0.88 | -0.66 | -1.22 |
MSTR Strategy Inc | 8 | -0.92 | -1.61 | 0.83 | -0.86 | -1.24 |
NVDL GraniteShares 2x Long NVDA Daily ETF | 35 | 1.12 | 1.76 | 1.21 | 1.86 | 4.15 |
QCOM QUALCOMM Incorporated | 70 | 0.94 | 1.58 | 1.23 | 1.39 | 3.08 |
SMPIX ProFunds Semiconductor UltraSector Fund | 87 | 2.94 | 3.08 | 1.41 | 6.44 | 18.72 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
COMBINED 401K + ROLLover provided a 5.15% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 5.15% | 6.53% | 3.87% | 6.44% | 0.25% | 1.04% | 0.25% | 0.58% | 5.43% | 0.17% | 0.18% | 0.18% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
AAPB GraniteShares 2x Long AAPL Daily ETF | 3.92% | 4.39% | 0.00% | 18.75% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
AVGO Broadcom Inc. | 0.63% | 0.70% | 0.94% | 1.71% | 3.02% | 2.24% | 3.05% | 3.54% | 3.11% | 1.87% | 1.43% | 1.13% |
BITO ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF | 66.51% | 78.29% | 61.59% | 15.14% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
FCNTX Fidelity Contrafund | 4.32% | 5.21% | 4.19% | 3.78% | 11.87% | 10.80% | 8.01% | 4.16% | 7.46% | 6.08% | 3.81% | 5.33% |
MSFU Direxion Daily MSFT Bull 2X Shares | 12.58% | 8.15% | 7.00% | 2.11% | 0.54% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
MSTR Strategy Inc | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
NVDL GraniteShares 2x Long NVDA Daily ETF | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 11.29% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
QCOM QUALCOMM Incorporated | 1.63% | 2.06% | 2.18% | 2.18% | 2.67% | 1.47% | 1.69% | 2.81% | 4.27% | 3.50% | 3.17% | 3.72% |
SMPIX ProFunds Semiconductor UltraSector Fund | 7.93% | 13.02% | 0.16% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 6.57% | 0.00% | 2.26% | 40.03% | 0.11% | 0.45% | 0.68% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the COMBINED 401K + ROLLover. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the COMBINED 401K + ROLLover was 54.60%, occurring on Apr 8, 2025. Recovery took 65 trading sessions.
The current COMBINED 401K + ROLLover drawdown is 19.53%.
Related event | Drawdown | Fall | Recovery | Underwater |
|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 selloff2025 | -54.60%Apr 2025 | 4mo 18d | 3mo 7d | 7mo 25dNov 2024 - Jul 2025 |
2026 bear market2026 | -40.44%Mar 2026 | 5mo 1d | 1mo 15d | 6mo 16dOct 2025 - May 2026 |
2024 bear market2024 | -39.64%Sep 2024 | 2mo 18d | 2mo 1d | 4mo 19dJun 2024 - Nov 2024 |
2024 bear market2024 | -31.94%Apr 2024 | 24d | 1mo 4d | 1mo 28dMar 2024 - May 2024 |
2026 bear market2026 | -27.67%Jun 2026 | 26d | — | 1mo 2dMay 2026 - now |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 9 assets, with an effective number of assets of 3.16, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your portfolio is dominated by one or two holdings, which significantly increases concentration risk. Consider rebalancing toward more even weights or adding additional positions.
Diversification Ratio
1Y | 3Y | All Time | |
|---|---|---|---|
Diversification Ratio | 1.21 | 1.24 | 1.24 |
The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.24, in line with the typical range across portfolios. There's room to improve by adding less correlated assets.
COMBINED 401K + ROLLover correlation to the S&P 500 Index
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.67 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.68 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Dec 13, 2022 | 0.68 |
Benchmark Correlations
Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. FCNTX has the highest benchmark correlation at 0.92, while BITO has the lowest at 0.36.
Asset Correlations Table
| BITO | AAPB | MSTR | QCOM | MSFU | AVGO | NVDL | FCNTX | SMPIX | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BITO | 1.00 | 0.17 | 0.79 | 0.24 | 0.23 | 0.24 | 0.27 | 0.33 | 0.32 |
| AAPB | 0.17 | 1.00 | 0.23 | 0.40 | 0.40 | 0.35 | 0.32 | 0.51 | 0.39 |
| MSTR | 0.79 | 0.23 | 1.00 | 0.32 | 0.30 | 0.27 | 0.35 | 0.40 | 0.39 |
| QCOM | 0.24 | 0.40 | 0.32 | 1.00 | 0.39 | 0.50 | 0.46 | 0.58 | 0.63 |
| MSFU | 0.23 | 0.40 | 0.30 | 0.39 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 0.53 | 0.67 | 0.54 |
| AVGO | 0.24 | 0.35 | 0.27 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 1.00 | 0.61 | 0.65 | 0.78 |
| NVDL | 0.27 | 0.32 | 0.35 | 0.46 | 0.53 | 0.61 | 1.00 | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| FCNTX | 0.33 | 0.51 | 0.40 | 0.58 | 0.67 | 0.65 | 0.70 | 1.00 | 0.77 |
| SMPIX | 0.32 | 0.39 | 0.39 | 0.63 | 0.54 | 0.78 | 0.90 | 0.77 | 1.00 |
Find what COMBINED 401K + ROLLover is missing
See which holdings overlap, where COMBINED 401K + ROLLover is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.
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