Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
AAPB GraniteShares 2x Long AAPL Daily ETF | Leveraged Equities, Leveraged | 0.04% |
AVGO Broadcom Inc. | Technology | 8.13% |
BITO ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF | Cryptocurrency, Actively Managed | 6.12% |
FCNTX Fidelity Contrafund Fund | Large Cap Growth Equities | 0.04% |
MSFU Direxion Daily MSFT Bull 2X Shares | Leveraged Equities, Leveraged | 0.01% |
MSTR MicroStrategy Incorporated | Technology | 25.15% |
NVDL GraniteShares 2x Long NVDA Daily ETF | Leveraged Equities | 47.55% |
QCOM QUALCOMM Incorporated | Technology | 0.03% |
SMPIX ProFunds Semiconductor UltraSector Fund | Leveraged Equities, Leveraged | 12.92% |
Performance
Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in COMBINED 401K + ROLLover, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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The earliest data available for this chart is Dec 13, 2022, corresponding to the inception date of NVDL
Returns By Period
| 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 0.11% | -4.18% | -3.84% | -1.98% | 21.98% | 16.86% | 10.37% | 12.29% |
Portfolio COMBINED 401K + ROLLover | 0.36% | -9.26% | -14.67% | -30.88% | 51.56% | 101.76% | — | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
QCOM QUALCOMM Incorporated | -0.38% | -8.53% | -25.39% | -24.18% | -6.92% | 2.87% | 0.53% | 12.71% |
MSTR MicroStrategy Incorporated | -2.40% | -18.17% | -21.14% | -65.92% | -57.55% | 59.13% | 11.24% | 20.56% |
MSFU Direxion Daily MSFT Bull 2X Shares | 2.05% | -16.03% | -43.27% | -52.01% | -14.49% | -1.09% | — | — |
NVDL GraniteShares 2x Long NVDA Daily ETF | 1.74% | -7.86% | -14.77% | -20.67% | 131.16% | 119.23% | — | — |
AAPB GraniteShares 2x Long AAPL Daily ETF | 0.03% | -5.86% | -14.25% | -6.70% | 35.65% | 13.95% | — | — |
AVGO Broadcom Inc. | 0.34% | -0.73% | -8.93% | -6.67% | 105.89% | 72.07% | 48.84% | 38.50% |
BITO ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF | -1.60% | -8.48% | -24.03% | -46.41% | -21.71% | 24.92% | — | — |
FCNTX Fidelity Contrafund Fund | -0.04% | -5.05% | -4.61% | -1.83% | 25.97% | 24.90% | 13.39% | 16.17% |
SMPIX ProFunds Semiconductor UltraSector Fund | 0.98% | -3.51% | -1.62% | 2.30% | 141.13% | 66.89% | 37.66% | 40.03% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Dec 14, 2022, COMBINED 401K + ROLLover's average daily return is +0.45%, while the average monthly return is +8.04%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 0.7 years.
Historically, 66% of months were positive and 34% were negative. The best month was Feb 2024 with a return of +57.9%, while the worst month was Dec 2022 at -23.6%. The longest winning streak lasted 7 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 4 months.
On a daily basis, COMBINED 401K + ROLLover closed higher 53% of trading days. The best single day was Oct 14, 2024 with a return of +89.3%, while the worst single day was Oct 15, 2024 at -49.9%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1.94% | -13.65% | -4.27% | 1.26% | -14.67% | ||||||||
| 2025 | -9.63% | -8.12% | -12.83% | 6.63% | 26.45% | 24.30% | 14.03% | -7.12% | 8.48% | 6.35% | -21.42% | 0.50% | 17.05% |
| 2024 | 15.98% | 57.91% | 32.01% | -17.01% | 41.03% | 12.88% | -3.73% | -6.58% | 8.28% | 19.75% | 22.10% | -11.66% | 301.80% |
| 2023 | 50.59% | 14.96% | 21.88% | 1.62% | 28.71% | 13.78% | 15.44% | -2.23% | -13.68% | 2.81% | 18.74% | 16.49% | 335.08% |
| 2022 | -23.55% | -23.55% |
Benchmark Metrics
COMBINED 401K + ROLLover has an annualized alpha of 85.73%, beta of 3.23, and R² of 0.32 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since December 14, 2022.
- This portfolio captured 715.09% of S&P 500 Index gains and 168.60% of its losses — amplifying both gains and losses, but participating more in upside than downside.
- R² of 0.32 means the benchmark explains less than half of this portfolio's behavior — treat beta with caution or consider switching to a more representative benchmark.
- Alpha
- 85.73%
- Beta
- 3.23
- R²
- 0.32
- Upside Capture
- 715.09%
- Downside Capture
- 168.60%
Expense Ratio
COMBINED 401K + ROLLover has an expense ratio of 0.80%, placing it in the medium range. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
COMBINED 401K + ROLLover ranks 12 for risk / return — in the bottom 12% of portfolios on our site. This means you're taking on significantly more risk than the returns justify. Consider whether the potential upside is worth the volatility, or explore alternatives with better risk / return profiles.
Return / Risk — by metrics
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 0.53 | 0.88 | -0.35 |
Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 1.19 | 1.37 | -0.18 |
Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.15 | 1.21 | -0.06 |
Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 0.84 | 1.39 | -0.55 |
Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 1.96 | 6.43 | -4.47 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
QCOM QUALCOMM Incorporated | 21 | -0.41 | -0.35 | 0.95 | -0.48 | -1.18 |
MSTR MicroStrategy Incorporated | 9 | -0.84 | -1.36 | 0.85 | -0.80 | -1.37 |
MSFU Direxion Daily MSFT Bull 2X Shares | 6 | -0.35 | -0.18 | 0.98 | -0.31 | -0.76 |
NVDL GraniteShares 2x Long NVDA Daily ETF | 62 | 1.17 | 1.93 | 1.24 | 2.27 | 5.42 |
AAPB GraniteShares 2x Long AAPL Daily ETF | 18 | 0.17 | 0.72 | 1.10 | 0.27 | 0.65 |
AVGO Broadcom Inc. | 84 | 1.76 | 2.49 | 1.32 | 3.08 | 7.50 |
BITO ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF | 3 | -0.58 | -0.62 | 0.93 | -0.49 | -1.02 |
FCNTX Fidelity Contrafund Fund | 47 | 0.98 | 1.51 | 1.22 | 1.78 | 6.67 |
SMPIX ProFunds Semiconductor UltraSector Fund | 89 | 1.87 | 2.47 | 1.34 | 4.89 | 13.71 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
COMBINED 401K + ROLLover provided a 6.78% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 6.78% | 6.53% | 3.87% | 6.44% | 0.25% | 1.04% | 0.25% | 0.58% | 5.43% | 0.17% | 0.18% | 0.18% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
QCOM QUALCOMM Incorporated | 2.81% | 2.06% | 2.18% | 2.18% | 2.67% | 1.47% | 1.69% | 2.81% | 4.27% | 3.50% | 3.17% | 3.72% |
MSTR MicroStrategy Incorporated | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
MSFU Direxion Daily MSFT Bull 2X Shares | 13.95% | 8.15% | 7.00% | 2.11% | 0.54% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
NVDL GraniteShares 2x Long NVDA Daily ETF | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 11.29% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
AAPB GraniteShares 2x Long AAPL Daily ETF | 5.12% | 4.39% | 0.00% | 18.75% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
AVGO Broadcom Inc. | 0.79% | 0.70% | 0.94% | 1.71% | 3.02% | 2.24% | 3.05% | 3.54% | 3.11% | 1.87% | 1.43% | 1.13% |
BITO ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF | 81.78% | 78.29% | 61.59% | 15.14% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
FCNTX Fidelity Contrafund Fund | 4.89% | 5.21% | 4.19% | 3.78% | 11.87% | 10.80% | 8.01% | 4.16% | 7.46% | 6.08% | 3.81% | 5.33% |
SMPIX ProFunds Semiconductor UltraSector Fund | 13.23% | 13.02% | 0.16% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 6.57% | 0.00% | 2.26% | 40.03% | 0.11% | 0.45% | 0.68% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the COMBINED 401K + ROLLover. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the COMBINED 401K + ROLLover was 66.10%, occurring on Apr 8, 2025. The portfolio has not yet recovered.
The current COMBINED 401K + ROLLover drawdown is 42.57%.
Depth | Start | To Bottom | Bottom | To Recover | End | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| -66.1% | Oct 15, 2024 | 120 | Apr 8, 2025 | — | — | — |
| -39.64% | Jun 20, 2024 | 55 | Sep 6, 2024 | 26 | Oct 14, 2024 | 81 |
| -31.94% | Mar 26, 2024 | 18 | Apr 19, 2024 | 24 | May 23, 2024 | 42 |
| -26.65% | Dec 14, 2022 | 10 | Dec 28, 2022 | 12 | Jan 17, 2023 | 22 |
| -21.61% | Jul 19, 2023 | 46 | Sep 21, 2023 | 35 | Nov 9, 2023 | 81 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 9 assets, with an effective number of assets of 3.16, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests a highly concentrated portfolio, where a few assets dominate the allocation, potentially increasing the portfolio's risk due to lack of diversification.
Asset Correlations Table
| Benchmark | BITO | AAPB | MSTR | QCOM | MSFU | AVGO | NVDL | FCNTX | SMPIX | Portfolio | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benchmark | 1.00 | 0.35 | 0.60 | 0.42 | 0.66 | 0.66 | 0.64 | 0.64 | 0.92 | 0.75 | 0.68 |
| BITO | 0.35 | 1.00 | 0.16 | 0.78 | 0.25 | 0.24 | 0.22 | 0.27 | 0.33 | 0.31 | 0.54 |
| AAPB | 0.60 | 0.16 | 1.00 | 0.22 | 0.41 | 0.43 | 0.36 | 0.34 | 0.53 | 0.40 | 0.36 |
| MSTR | 0.42 | 0.78 | 0.22 | 1.00 | 0.33 | 0.30 | 0.26 | 0.35 | 0.40 | 0.38 | 0.66 |
| QCOM | 0.66 | 0.25 | 0.41 | 0.33 | 1.00 | 0.42 | 0.51 | 0.49 | 0.59 | 0.64 | 0.54 |
| MSFU | 0.66 | 0.24 | 0.43 | 0.30 | 0.42 | 1.00 | 0.52 | 0.55 | 0.71 | 0.57 | 0.54 |
| AVGO | 0.64 | 0.22 | 0.36 | 0.26 | 0.51 | 0.52 | 1.00 | 0.63 | 0.66 | 0.79 | 0.64 |
| NVDL | 0.64 | 0.27 | 0.34 | 0.35 | 0.49 | 0.55 | 0.63 | 1.00 | 0.71 | 0.92 | 0.90 |
| FCNTX | 0.92 | 0.33 | 0.53 | 0.40 | 0.59 | 0.71 | 0.66 | 0.71 | 1.00 | 0.77 | 0.71 |
| SMPIX | 0.75 | 0.31 | 0.40 | 0.38 | 0.64 | 0.57 | 0.79 | 0.92 | 0.77 | 1.00 | 0.89 |
| Portfolio | 0.68 | 0.54 | 0.36 | 0.66 | 0.54 | 0.54 | 0.64 | 0.90 | 0.71 | 0.89 | 1.00 |