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COMBINED 401K + ROLLover
Performance
Return for Risk
Dividends
Drawdowns
Volatility
Diversification

Asset Allocation


S&P 500 Index

Performance

Performance Chart

The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in COMBINED 401K + ROLLover, comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.


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The earliest data available for this chart is Dec 13, 2022, corresponding to the inception date of NVDL

Returns By Period


1D1MYTD6M1Y3Y*5Y*10Y*
Benchmark
S&P 500 Index
0.11%-4.18%-3.84%-1.98%21.98%16.86%10.37%12.29%
Portfolio
COMBINED 401K + ROLLover
0.36%-9.26%-14.67%-30.88%51.56%101.76%
QCOM
QUALCOMM Incorporated
-0.38%-8.53%-25.39%-24.18%-6.92%2.87%0.53%12.71%
MSTR
MicroStrategy Incorporated
-2.40%-18.17%-21.14%-65.92%-57.55%59.13%11.24%20.56%
MSFU
Direxion Daily MSFT Bull 2X Shares
2.05%-16.03%-43.27%-52.01%-14.49%-1.09%
NVDL
GraniteShares 2x Long NVDA Daily ETF
1.74%-7.86%-14.77%-20.67%131.16%119.23%
AAPB
GraniteShares 2x Long AAPL Daily ETF
0.03%-5.86%-14.25%-6.70%35.65%13.95%
AVGO
Broadcom Inc.
0.34%-0.73%-8.93%-6.67%105.89%72.07%48.84%38.50%
BITO
ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF
-1.60%-8.48%-24.03%-46.41%-21.71%24.92%
FCNTX
Fidelity Contrafund Fund
-0.04%-5.05%-4.61%-1.83%25.97%24.90%13.39%16.17%
SMPIX
ProFunds Semiconductor UltraSector Fund
0.98%-3.51%-1.62%2.30%141.13%66.89%37.66%40.03%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

Monthly Returns

Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Dec 14, 2022, COMBINED 401K + ROLLover's average daily return is +0.45%, while the average monthly return is +8.04%. At this rate, your investment would double in approximately 0.7 years.

Historically, 66% of months were positive and 34% were negative. The best month was Feb 2024 with a return of +57.9%, while the worst month was Dec 2022 at -23.6%. The longest winning streak lasted 7 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 4 months.

On a daily basis, COMBINED 401K + ROLLover closed higher 53% of trading days. The best single day was Oct 14, 2024 with a return of +89.3%, while the worst single day was Oct 15, 2024 at -49.9%.


JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecTotal
20261.94%-13.65%-4.27%1.26%-14.67%
2025-9.63%-8.12%-12.83%6.63%26.45%24.30%14.03%-7.12%8.48%6.35%-21.42%0.50%17.05%
202415.98%57.91%32.01%-17.01%41.03%12.88%-3.73%-6.58%8.28%19.75%22.10%-11.66%301.80%
202350.59%14.96%21.88%1.62%28.71%13.78%15.44%-2.23%-13.68%2.81%18.74%16.49%335.08%
2022-23.55%-23.55%

Benchmark Metrics

COMBINED 401K + ROLLover has an annualized alpha of 85.73%, beta of 3.23, and R² of 0.32 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since December 14, 2022.

  • This portfolio captured 715.09% of S&P 500 Index gains and 168.60% of its losses — amplifying both gains and losses, but participating more in upside than downside.
  • R² of 0.32 means the benchmark explains less than half of this portfolio's behavior — treat beta with caution or consider switching to a more representative benchmark.

Alpha
85.73%
Beta
3.23
0.32
Upside Capture
715.09%
Downside Capture
168.60%

Expense Ratio

COMBINED 401K + ROLLover has an expense ratio of 0.80%, placing it in the medium range. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.


Return for Risk

Risk / Return Rank

COMBINED 401K + ROLLover ranks 12 for risk / return — in the bottom 12% of portfolios on our site. This means you're taking on significantly more risk than the returns justify. Consider whether the potential upside is worth the volatility, or explore alternatives with better risk / return profiles.


COMBINED 401K + ROLLover Risk / Return Rank: 1212
Overall Rank
COMBINED 401K + ROLLover Sharpe Ratio Rank: 1010
Sharpe Ratio Rank
COMBINED 401K + ROLLover Sortino Ratio Rank: 1515
Sortino Ratio Rank
COMBINED 401K + ROLLover Omega Ratio Rank: 1313
Omega Ratio Rank
COMBINED 401K + ROLLover Calmar Ratio Rank: 1313
Calmar Ratio Rank
COMBINED 401K + ROLLover Martin Ratio Rank: 1111
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

Return / Risk — by metrics


PortfolioBenchmarkDifference

Sharpe ratio

Return per unit of total volatility

0.53

0.88

-0.35

Sortino ratio

Return per unit of downside risk

1.19

1.37

-0.18

Omega ratio

Gain probability vs. loss probability

1.15

1.21

-0.06

Calmar ratio

Return relative to maximum drawdown

0.84

1.39

-0.55

Martin ratio

Return relative to average drawdown

1.96

6.43

-4.47


How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.

Risk / Return RankSharpe ratioSortino ratioOmega ratioCalmar ratioMartin ratio
QCOM
QUALCOMM Incorporated
21-0.41-0.350.95-0.48-1.18
MSTR
MicroStrategy Incorporated
9-0.84-1.360.85-0.80-1.37
MSFU
Direxion Daily MSFT Bull 2X Shares
6-0.35-0.180.98-0.31-0.76
NVDL
GraniteShares 2x Long NVDA Daily ETF
621.171.931.242.275.42
AAPB
GraniteShares 2x Long AAPL Daily ETF
180.170.721.100.270.65
AVGO
Broadcom Inc.
841.762.491.323.087.50
BITO
ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF
3-0.58-0.620.93-0.49-1.02
FCNTX
Fidelity Contrafund Fund
470.981.511.221.786.67
SMPIX
ProFunds Semiconductor UltraSector Fund
891.872.471.344.8913.71

Sharpe Ratio

The Sharpe ratio helps investors understand how much return they're getting for the level of risk taken. A higher Sharpe ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance, meaning more reward for each unit of risk.

COMBINED 401K + ROLLover Sharpe ratios as of Apr 4, 2026 (values are recalculated daily):

  • 1-Year: 0.53
  • All Time: 1.39

These values reflect how efficiently the investment has delivered returns relative to its volatility over different time periods. All figures are annualized and based on daily total returns (including price changes and dividends).

Compared to the broad market, where average Sharpe ratios range from 0.99 to 1.69, this portfolio's current Sharpe ratio places it in the bottom 25%. This suggests weaker risk-adjusted returns than most portfolios, possibly due to lower returns, higher volatility, or both. It may be worth reviewing the allocation. You can use the Portfolio Optimization tool to explore options for improving the Sharpe ratio.

The chart below shows the rolling Sharpe ratio of COMBINED 401K + ROLLover compared to the selected benchmark. This view highlights how the investment's risk-adjusted performance has changed over time.


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Dividends

Dividend yield

COMBINED 401K + ROLLover provided a 6.78% dividend yield over the last twelve months.


TTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
Portfolio6.78%6.53%3.87%6.44%0.25%1.04%0.25%0.58%5.43%0.17%0.18%0.18%
QCOM
QUALCOMM Incorporated
2.81%2.06%2.18%2.18%2.67%1.47%1.69%2.81%4.27%3.50%3.17%3.72%
MSTR
MicroStrategy Incorporated
0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
MSFU
Direxion Daily MSFT Bull 2X Shares
13.95%8.15%7.00%2.11%0.54%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
NVDL
GraniteShares 2x Long NVDA Daily ETF
0.00%0.00%0.00%11.29%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
AAPB
GraniteShares 2x Long AAPL Daily ETF
5.12%4.39%0.00%18.75%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
AVGO
Broadcom Inc.
0.79%0.70%0.94%1.71%3.02%2.24%3.05%3.54%3.11%1.87%1.43%1.13%
BITO
ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF
81.78%78.29%61.59%15.14%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
FCNTX
Fidelity Contrafund Fund
4.89%5.21%4.19%3.78%11.87%10.80%8.01%4.16%7.46%6.08%3.81%5.33%
SMPIX
ProFunds Semiconductor UltraSector Fund
13.23%13.02%0.16%0.00%0.00%6.57%0.00%2.26%40.03%0.11%0.45%0.68%

Drawdowns

Drawdowns Chart

The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.


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Worst Drawdowns

The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the COMBINED 401K + ROLLover. A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.

The maximum drawdown for the COMBINED 401K + ROLLover was 66.10%, occurring on Apr 8, 2025. The portfolio has not yet recovered.

The current COMBINED 401K + ROLLover drawdown is 42.57%.


Depth

Start

To Bottom

Bottom

To Recover

End

Total

-66.1%Oct 15, 2024120Apr 8, 2025
-39.64%Jun 20, 202455Sep 6, 202426Oct 14, 202481
-31.94%Mar 26, 202418Apr 19, 202424May 23, 202442
-26.65%Dec 14, 202210Dec 28, 202212Jan 17, 202322
-21.61%Jul 19, 202346Sep 21, 202335Nov 9, 202381

Volatility

Volatility Chart

The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.


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Diversification

Diversification Metrics


Number of Effective Assets

The portfolio contains 9 assets, with an effective number of assets of 3.16, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. This number of effective assets suggests a highly concentrated portfolio, where a few assets dominate the allocation, potentially increasing the portfolio's risk due to lack of diversification.

Asset Correlations Table

The table below displays the correlation coefficients between the individual components of the portfolio, the entire portfolio, and the chosen benchmark.

BenchmarkBITOAAPBMSTRQCOMMSFUAVGONVDLFCNTXSMPIXPortfolio
Benchmark1.000.350.600.420.660.660.640.640.920.750.68
BITO0.351.000.160.780.250.240.220.270.330.310.54
AAPB0.600.161.000.220.410.430.360.340.530.400.36
MSTR0.420.780.221.000.330.300.260.350.400.380.66
QCOM0.660.250.410.331.000.420.510.490.590.640.54
MSFU0.660.240.430.300.421.000.520.550.710.570.54
AVGO0.640.220.360.260.510.521.000.630.660.790.64
NVDL0.640.270.340.350.490.550.631.000.710.920.90
FCNTX0.920.330.530.400.590.710.660.711.000.770.71
SMPIX0.750.310.400.380.640.570.790.920.771.000.89
Portfolio0.680.540.360.660.540.540.640.900.710.891.00
The correlation results are calculated based on daily price changes starting from Dec 14, 2022