Asset Allocation
| Position | Category/Sector | Target Weight |
|---|---|---|
PLTR Palantir Technologies Inc. | Technology | 7.14% |
NOW ServiceNow, Inc | Technology | 7.14% |
ASML ASML Holding N.V. | Technology | 7.14% |
ARM Arm Holdings plc American Depositary Shares | Technology | 7.14% |
NFLX Netflix, Inc. | Communication Services | 7.14% |
MSFT Microsoft Corporation | Technology | 7.14% |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | Technology | 7.14% |
TSLA Tesla, Inc. | Consumer Cyclical | 7.14% |
AVGO Broadcom Inc. | Technology | 7.14% |
ORCL Oracle Corporation | Technology | 7.14% |
META Meta Platforms, Inc. | Communication Services | 7.14% |
AMZN Amazon.com, Inc | Consumer Cyclical | 7.14% |
TSM Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited | Technology | 7.14% |
CRWD CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. | Technology | 7.14% |
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Performance Chart
The chart shows the growth of an initial investment of $10,000 in 2030 Model , comparing it to the performance of the S&P 500 index or another benchmark. All prices have been adjusted for splits and dividends. The portfolio is rebalanced Every 3 months.
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Returns By Period
| Position | 1D | 1M | YTD | 6M | 1Y | 3Y* | 5Y* | 10Y* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Benchmark S&P 500 Index | 1.65% | 1.97% | 10.35% | 10.82% | 26.39% | 19.66% | 12.33% | 13.81% |
Portfolio 2030 Model | 3.73% | 10.38% | 21.68% | 21.56% | 34.72% | — | — | — |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||
AMZN Amazon.com, Inc | 3.13% | -6.86% | 6.59% | 10.55% | 15.99% | 25.16% | 7.58% | 21.42% |
ARM Arm Holdings plc American Depositary Shares | 8.33% | 97.24% | 277.41% | 231.71% | 204.35% | — | — | — |
ASML ASML Holding N.V. | 1.56% | 26.03% | 77.53% | 74.60% | 150.66% | 39.28% | 23.28% | 36.21% |
AVGO Broadcom Inc. | 3.11% | -7.35% | 14.06% | 16.39% | 59.68% | 67.77% | 56.37% | 41.61% |
CRWD CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. | 1.48% | 16.64% | 47.82% | 42.14% | 44.17% | 64.68% | 24.23% | — |
META Meta Platforms, Inc. | 4.77% | -3.29% | -9.93% | -8.18% | -12.74% | 28.68% | 12.58% | 18.14% |
MSFT Microsoft Corporation | 2.31% | -5.05% | -16.97% | -15.43% | -15.16% | 6.13% | 10.11% | 24.60% |
NFLX Netflix, Inc. | 1.66% | -6.15% | -12.89% | -12.90% | -32.62% | 23.65% | 10.65% | 24.08% |
NOW ServiceNow, Inc | 1.96% | 9.55% | -32.01% | -31.95% | -47.33% | -2.71% | 0.41% | 21.87% |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | 3.54% | -5.60% | 14.05% | 20.66% | 49.84% | 70.84% | 64.29% | 68.59% |
Monthly Returns
Based on dividend-adjusted daily data since Sep 14, 2023, 2030 Model 's average daily return is +0.19%, while the average monthly return is +3.93%. At this rate, an investment would double in approximately 1.5 years.
Historically, 62% of months were positive and 38% were negative. The best month was May 2026 with a return of +20.5%, while the worst month was Mar 2025 at -10.4%. The longest winning streak lasted 6 consecutive months, and the longest losing streak was 5 months.
On a daily basis, 2030 Model closed higher 59% of trading days. The best single day was Apr 9, 2025 with a return of +15.5%, while the worst single day was Jun 5, 2026 at -6.8%.
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Total | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -2.81% | -2.35% | -1.98% | 11.83% | 20.49% | -2.93% | 21.68% | ||||||
| 2025 | 6.06% | -6.94% | -10.44% | 9.60% | 14.41% | 11.27% | 1.22% | -1.77% | 11.52% | 4.87% | -7.37% | -3.21% | 28.59% |
| 2024 | 5.78% | 19.59% | 0.40% | -6.63% | 7.11% | 15.01% | -4.63% | 2.96% | 7.18% | 0.96% | 12.42% | 5.25% | 83.65% |
| 2023 | -4.61% | -0.72% | 17.13% | 4.96% | 16.42% |
Benchmark Metrics
2030 Model has an annualized alpha of 14.69%, beta of 1.73, and R2 of 0.74 versus S&P 500 Index. Calculated based on daily prices since September 14, 2023.
- This portfolio captured 219.73% of S&P 500 Index gains but only 91.36% of its losses - a favorable profile for investors.
- This portfolio generated an annualized alpha of 14.69% versus S&P 500 Index - delivering returns beyond what market exposure alone would predict.
- Beta of 1.73 means this portfolio moves significantly more than S&P 500 Index - expect amplified gains in rallies and amplified losses in downturns.
- Alpha
- 14.69%
- Beta
- 1.73
- R²
- 0.74
- Upside Capture
- 219.73%
- Downside Capture
- 91.36%
Expense Ratio
2030 Model has an expense ratio of 0.00%, meaning no management fees are charged. Below, you can find the expense ratios of the portfolio's funds side by side and easily compare their relative costs.
Return for Risk
Risk / Return Rank
2030 Model ranks 15 for risk / return — in the bottom 15% of Portfolios on our site. This means you're taking on significantly more risk than the returns justify. Consider whether the potential upside is worth the volatility, or explore alternatives with better risk / return profiles.
Return / Risk — by metrics
The table below presents risk-adjusted performance metrics for 2030 Model and compares them with S&P 500 Index.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| Portfolio | Benchmark | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | 1.32 | 2.14 | -0.81 |
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | 1.86 | 2.89 | -1.03 |
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.23 | 1.39 | -0.15 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 1.59 | 2.91 | -1.32 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 3.67 | 13.08 | -9.42 |
How much return does each position deliver for the risk it carries? Higher values mean better reward for the risk taken.
| Position | Risk / Return Rank | Sharpe ratio | Sortino ratio | Omega ratio | Calmar ratio | Martin ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AMZN Amazon.com, Inc | 57 | 0.53 | 0.94 | 1.12 | 0.74 | 1.74 |
ARM Arm Holdings plc American Depositary Shares | 92 | 2.97 | 3.43 | 1.44 | 4.96 | 9.74 |
ASML ASML Holding N.V. | 96 | 3.56 | 3.91 | 1.48 | 8.49 | 22.87 |
AVGO Broadcom Inc. | 76 | 1.32 | 1.89 | 1.25 | 2.09 | 4.85 |
CRWD CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. | 68 | 0.98 | 1.54 | 1.19 | 1.19 | 2.72 |
META Meta Platforms, Inc. | 27 | -0.36 | -0.29 | 0.96 | -0.38 | -0.79 |
MSFT Microsoft Corporation | 20 | -0.60 | -0.68 | 0.91 | -0.45 | -0.92 |
NFLX Netflix, Inc. | 9 | -0.99 | -1.38 | 0.82 | -0.76 | -1.29 |
NOW ServiceNow, Inc | 9 | -0.95 | -1.35 | 0.83 | -0.79 | -1.39 |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | 78 | 1.43 | 2.00 | 1.24 | 2.48 | 5.89 |
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Dividends
Dividend yield
2030 Model provided a 0.31% dividend yield over the last twelve months.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portfolio | 0.31% | 0.33% | 0.37% | 0.47% | 0.68% | 0.46% | 0.55% | 0.83% | 0.82% | 0.61% | 0.67% | 0.68% |
| Portfolio components: | ||||||||||||
AMZN Amazon.com, Inc | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
ARM Arm Holdings plc American Depositary Shares | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
ASML ASML Holding N.V. | 0.46% | 0.97% | 0.97% | 0.86% | 1.27% | 0.50% | 0.50% | 1.40% | 0.94% | 0.64% | 0.92% | 0.73% |
AVGO Broadcom Inc. | 0.63% | 0.70% | 0.94% | 1.71% | 3.02% | 2.24% | 3.05% | 3.54% | 3.11% | 1.87% | 1.43% | 1.13% |
CRWD CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
META Meta Platforms, Inc. | 0.44% | 0.32% | 0.34% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
MSFT Microsoft Corporation | 0.89% | 0.70% | 0.73% | 0.74% | 1.06% | 0.68% | 0.94% | 1.20% | 1.69% | 1.86% | 2.37% | 2.33% |
NFLX Netflix, Inc. | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
NOW ServiceNow, Inc | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation | 0.13% | 0.02% | 0.03% | 0.03% | 0.11% | 0.05% | 0.12% | 0.27% | 0.46% | 0.29% | 0.45% | 1.20% |
Drawdowns
Drawdowns Chart
The Drawdowns chart displays portfolio losses from any high point along the way. Drawdowns are calculated considering price movements and all distributions paid, if any.
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Worst Drawdowns
The table below displays the maximum drawdowns of the 2030 Model . A maximum drawdown is a measure of risk, indicating the largest reduction in portfolio value due to a series of losing trades.
The maximum drawdown for the 2030 Model was 29.40%, occurring on Apr 8, 2025. Recovery took 38 trading sessions.
The current 2030 Model drawdown is 10.48%.
Related event | Drawdown | Fall | Recovery | Underwater |
|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 selloff2025 | -29.40%Apr 2025 | 1mo 18d | 1mo 26d | 3mo 14dFeb 2025 - Jun 2025 |
2026 bear market2026 | -21.93%Mar 2026 | 5mo 1d | 1mo 21d | 6mo 22dOct 2025 - May 2026 |
2024 correction2024 | -19.94%Aug 2024 | 25d | 2mo 4d | 2mo 29dJul 2024 - Oct 2024 |
2026 correction2026 | -13.85%Jun 2026 | 8d | — | 14d 4hJun 2026 - now |
2024 correction2024 | -13.77%Apr 2024 | 1mo 12d | 1mo 9d | 2mo 21dMar 2024 - May 2024 |
Volatility
Volatility Chart
The chart below shows the rolling one-month volatility.
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Diversification
Diversification Metrics
Number of Effective Assets
The portfolio contains 14 assets, with an effective number of assets of 14.00, reflecting the diversification based on asset allocation. Your capital is spread almost evenly across your holdings, indicating a well-balanced allocation. Note that true diversification also depends on the correlations between assets — check the diversification ratio below.
Diversification Ratio
1Y | All Time | |
|---|---|---|
Diversification Ratio | 1.71 | 1.52 |
The portfolio has a diversification ratio of 1.52, in line with the typical range across portfolios. There's room to improve by adding less correlated assets.
2030 Model correlation to the S&P 500 Index
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.79 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Sep 14, 2023 | 0.82 |
Benchmark Correlations
Correlation vs. S&P 500 Index. AMZN has the highest benchmark correlation at 0.66, while NFLX has the lowest at 0.41.
Asset Correlations Table
Find what 2030 Model is missing
See which holdings overlap, where 2030 Model is concentrated, and which low-correlation assets could fill the gaps.
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