UBT vs. TQQQ
UBT (ProShares Ultra 20+ Year Treasury) and TQQQ (ProShares UltraPro QQQ) are both exchange-traded funds - UBT is a Leveraged Bonds fund tracking the Barclays Capital U.S. 20+ Year Treasury Index (200%), while TQQQ is a Leveraged Equities fund tracking the NASDAQ-100 Index (300%). Both are passively managed. Over the past 10 years, UBT returned -8.27%/yr vs 45.33%/yr for TQQQ. At a correlation of -0.19, they often move in opposite directions. Both charge a 0.95% expense ratio.
Performance
UBT vs. TQQQ - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, UBT achieves a -2.69% return, which is significantly lower than TQQQ's 64.46% return. Over the past 10 years, UBT has underperformed TQQQ with an annualized return of -8.27%, while TQQQ has yielded a comparatively higher 45.33% annualized return.
UBT
- 1D
- -0.74%
- 1M
- 1.08%
- YTD
- -2.69%
- 6M
- -6.59%
- 1Y
- 4.39%
- 3Y*
- -10.32%
- 5Y*
- -17.99%
- 10Y*
- -8.27%
TQQQ
- 1D
- -0.76%
- 1M
- 33.35%
- YTD
- 64.46%
- 6M
- 55.93%
- 1Y
- 137.89%
- 3Y*
- 69.49%
- 5Y*
- 28.37%
- 10Y*
- 45.33%
UBT vs. TQQQ - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UBT ProShares Ultra 20+ Year Treasury | -2.69% | 2.03% | -21.81% | -3.68% | -55.54% | -12.14% | 31.87% | 24.46% | -6.54% | 16.12% |
TQQQ ProShares UltraPro QQQ | 64.46% | 34.35% | 58.27% | 198.04% | -79.09% | 82.98% | 110.05% | 133.84% | -19.79% | 118.06% |
Correlation
The correlation between UBT and TQQQ is 0.16, which is low. Their price movements are largely independent, making them effective diversification partners.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.16 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.13 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.07 |
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | -0.04 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Feb 12, 2010 | -0.19 |
The correlation between UBT and TQQQ shifts across timeframes, from -0.19 (all time) to 0.16 (1 year), reflecting how their relationship changes across market environments.
UBT vs. TQQQ - Sectors Allocation Comparison
Sectors
UBT
TQQQ
Financial Services
Basic Materials
-
Communication Services
-
Consumer Cyclical
-
Consumer Defensive
-
Energy
-
Healthcare
-
Industrials
-
Real Estate
-
Technology
-
Utilities
-
Financial Services
UBT
TQQQ
Basic Materials
UBT
-
TQQQ
Communication Services
UBT
-
TQQQ
Consumer Cyclical
UBT
-
TQQQ
Consumer Defensive
UBT
-
TQQQ
Energy
UBT
-
TQQQ
Healthcare
UBT
-
TQQQ
Industrials
UBT
-
TQQQ
Real Estate
UBT
-
TQQQ
Technology
UBT
-
TQQQ
Utilities
UBT
-
TQQQ
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Return for Risk
UBT vs. TQQQ — Risk / Return Rank
UBT
TQQQ
UBT vs. TQQQ - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for ProShares Ultra 20+ Year Treasury (UBT) and ProShares UltraPro QQQ (TQQQ). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
| UBT | TQQQ | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | -2.69 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | -2.62 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.05 | 1.40 | -0.35 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 0.26 | 3.75 | -3.49 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 0.63 | 12.27 | -11.64 |
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month. | |||
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Sharpe Ratios by Period
| UBT | TQQQ | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Sharpe Ratio (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.23 | 2.92 | -2.69 |
Sharpe Ratio (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | -0.58 | 0.43 | -1.01 |
Sharpe Ratio (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | -0.28 | 0.69 | -0.97 |
Sharpe Ratio (All Time)Calculated using the full available price history | 0.02 | 0.74 | -0.72 |
Drawdowns
UBT vs. TQQQ - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum UBT drawdown since its inception was -78.90%, roughly equal to the maximum TQQQ drawdown of -81.66%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for UBT and TQQQ.
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Drawdown Indicators
| UBT | TQQQ | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -78.90% | -81.66% | +2.76% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -16.86% | -36.97% | +20.11% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -36.62% | -58.04% | +21.42% |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | -72.49% | -81.66% | +9.17% |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | -78.90% | -81.66% | +2.76% |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -76.66% | -0.76% | -75.90% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -32.30% | -18.52% | -13.78% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 7.01% | 11.28% | -4.27% |
Volatility
UBT vs. TQQQ - Volatility Comparison
The current volatility for ProShares Ultra 20+ Year Treasury (UBT) is 5.41%, while ProShares UltraPro QQQ (TQQQ) has a volatility of 13.29%. This indicates that UBT experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than TQQQ based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| UBT | TQQQ | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 5.41% | 13.29% | -7.88% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 12.78% | 36.04% | -23.26% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 19.41% | 47.60% | -28.19% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 31.33% | 66.53% | -35.20% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 29.31% | 65.96% | -36.65% |
UBT vs. TQQQ - Expense Ratio Comparison
Both UBT and TQQQ have an expense ratio of 0.95%.
Dividends
UBT vs. TQQQ - Dividend Comparison
UBT's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 3.99%, more than TQQQ's 0.36% yield.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TQQQ ProShares UltraPro QQQ | 0.36% | 0.65% | 1.27% | 1.26% | 0.57% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.06% | 0.11% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.01% |
UBT ProShares Ultra 20+ Year Treasury | 3.99% | 4.26% | 4.50% | 3.54% | 0.30% | 0.00% | 0.26% | 1.50% | 1.55% | 1.37% | 0.75% | 1.56% |
Frequently Asked Questions
UBT and TQQQ have a correlation of 0.16, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
TQQQ has higher volatility (13.29%) compared to UBT (5.41%). In terms of maximum drawdown, UBT dropped -78.90% vs TQQQ's -81.66%.
On 10-year performance, TQQQ leads with 45.33% vs -8.27% for UBT. Both ETFs have the same 0.95% expense ratio. On volatility, UBT has been the lower-risk option at 5.41%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 10-year period, TQQQ has performed better with a 45.33% return vs -8.27%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
UBT and TQQQ have the same expense ratio: 0.95% per year.
UBT has the higher dividend yield at 3.99%, compared with 0.36% for TQQQ.
UBT is categorized as Leveraged Bonds, while TQQQ is Leveraged Equities. UBT tracks Barclays Capital U.S. 20+ Year Treasury Index (200%), while TQQQ tracks NASDAQ-100 Index (300%).
TQQQ currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (2.92 vs 0.23), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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