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UBT vs. TQQQ
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility
Dividends

Performance

UBT vs. TQQQ - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in ProShares Ultra 20+ Year Treasury (UBT) and ProShares UltraPro QQQ (TQQQ). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, UBT achieves a -2.69% return, which is significantly lower than TQQQ's 64.46% return. Over the past 10 years, UBT has underperformed TQQQ with an annualized return of -8.27%, while TQQQ has yielded a comparatively higher 45.33% annualized return.


UBT

1D
-0.74%
1M
1.08%
YTD
-2.69%
6M
-6.59%
1Y
4.39%
3Y*
-10.32%
5Y*
-17.99%
10Y*
-8.27%

TQQQ

1D
-0.76%
1M
33.35%
YTD
64.46%
6M
55.93%
1Y
137.89%
3Y*
69.49%
5Y*
28.37%
10Y*
45.33%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

UBT vs. TQQQ - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)202520242023202220212020201920182017
UBT
ProShares Ultra 20+ Year Treasury
-2.69%2.03%-21.81%-3.68%-55.54%-12.14%31.87%24.46%-6.54%16.12%
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
64.46%34.35%58.27%198.04%-79.09%82.98%110.05%133.84%-19.79%118.06%

Correlation

The correlation between UBT and TQQQ is 0.16, which is low. Their price movements are largely independent, making them effective diversification partners.


Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.16

Correlation (3Y)
Calculated over the trailing 3-year period

0.13

Correlation (5Y)
Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

0.07

Correlation (10Y)
Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

-0.04

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Feb 12, 2010

-0.19

The correlation between UBT and TQQQ shifts across timeframes, from -0.19 (all time) to 0.16 (1 year), reflecting how their relationship changes across market environments.

UBT vs. TQQQ - Sectors Allocation Comparison


Sectors
UBT
TQQQ

Financial Services

93.9%
0.2%

Basic Materials

-

1.1%

Communication Services

-

15.8%

Consumer Cyclical

-

12.3%

Consumer Defensive

-

7.7%

Energy

-

0.6%

Healthcare

-

4.2%

Industrials

-

2.8%

Real Estate

-

0.1%

Technology

-

53.8%

Utilities

-

1.4%

Financial Services

UBT
93.9%
TQQQ
0.2%

Basic Materials

UBT

-

TQQQ
1.1%

Communication Services

UBT

-

TQQQ
15.8%

Consumer Cyclical

UBT

-

TQQQ
12.3%

Consumer Defensive

UBT

-

TQQQ
7.7%

Energy

UBT

-

TQQQ
0.6%

Healthcare

UBT

-

TQQQ
4.2%

Industrials

UBT

-

TQQQ
2.8%

Real Estate

UBT

-

TQQQ
0.1%

Technology

UBT

-

TQQQ
53.8%

Utilities

UBT

-

TQQQ
1.4%

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Return for Risk

UBT vs. TQQQ — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

UBT
UBT Risk / Return Rank: 1111
Overall Rank
UBT Sharpe Ratio Rank: 1212
Sharpe Ratio Rank
UBT Sortino Ratio Rank: 1111
Sortino Ratio Rank
UBT Omega Ratio Rank: 1111
Omega Ratio Rank
UBT Calmar Ratio Rank: 1212
Calmar Ratio Rank
UBT Martin Ratio Rank: 1111
Martin Ratio Rank

TQQQ
TQQQ Risk / Return Rank: 7171
Overall Rank
TQQQ Sharpe Ratio Rank: 8686
Sharpe Ratio Rank
TQQQ Sortino Ratio Rank: 6565
Sortino Ratio Rank
TQQQ Omega Ratio Rank: 6565
Omega Ratio Rank
TQQQ Calmar Ratio Rank: 7373
Calmar Ratio Rank
TQQQ Martin Ratio Rank: 6666
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

UBT vs. TQQQ - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for ProShares Ultra 20+ Year Treasury (UBT) and ProShares UltraPro QQQ (TQQQ). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.


UBTTQQQDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

-2.69

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

-2.62

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

1.05

1.40

-0.35

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

0.26

3.75

-3.49

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

0.63

12.27

-11.64

UBT vs. TQQQ - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current UBT Sharpe Ratio is 0.23, which is lower than the TQQQ Sharpe Ratio of 2.92. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of UBT and TQQQ, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.


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Sharpe Ratios by Period


UBTTQQQDifference

Sharpe Ratio (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.23

2.92

-2.69

Sharpe Ratio (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

-0.58

0.43

-1.01

Sharpe Ratio (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

-0.28

0.69

-0.97

Sharpe Ratio (All Time)

Calculated using the full available price history

0.02

0.74

-0.72

Drawdowns

UBT vs. TQQQ - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum UBT drawdown since its inception was -78.90%, roughly equal to the maximum TQQQ drawdown of -81.66%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for UBT and TQQQ.


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Drawdown Indicators


UBTTQQQDifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-78.90%

-81.66%

+2.76%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-16.86%

-36.97%

+20.11%

Max Drawdown (3Y)

Largest decline over 3 years

-36.62%

-58.04%

+21.42%

Max Drawdown (5Y)

Largest decline over 5 years

-72.49%

-81.66%

+9.17%

Max Drawdown (10Y)

Largest decline over 10 years

-78.90%

-81.66%

+2.76%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

-76.66%

-0.76%

-75.90%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-32.30%

-18.52%

-13.78%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

7.01%

11.28%

-4.27%

Volatility

UBT vs. TQQQ - Volatility Comparison

The current volatility for ProShares Ultra 20+ Year Treasury (UBT) is 5.41%, while ProShares UltraPro QQQ (TQQQ) has a volatility of 13.29%. This indicates that UBT experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than TQQQ based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


UBTTQQQDifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

5.41%

13.29%

-7.88%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

12.78%

36.04%

-23.26%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

19.41%

47.60%

-28.19%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

31.33%

66.53%

-35.20%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

29.31%

65.96%

-36.65%

UBT vs. TQQQ - Expense Ratio Comparison

Both UBT and TQQQ have an expense ratio of 0.95%.


Dividends

UBT vs. TQQQ - Dividend Comparison

UBT's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 3.99%, more than TQQQ's 0.36% yield.


PositionTTM20252024202320222021202020192018201720162015
TQQQ
ProShares UltraPro QQQ
0.36%0.65%1.27%1.26%0.57%0.00%0.00%0.06%0.11%0.00%0.00%0.01%
UBT
ProShares Ultra 20+ Year Treasury
3.99%4.26%4.50%3.54%0.30%0.00%0.26%1.50%1.55%1.37%0.75%1.56%

Frequently Asked Questions


UBT and TQQQ have a correlation of 0.16, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

TQQQ has higher volatility (13.29%) compared to UBT (5.41%). In terms of maximum drawdown, UBT dropped -78.90% vs TQQQ's -81.66%.

On 10-year performance, TQQQ leads with 45.33% vs -8.27% for UBT. Both ETFs have the same 0.95% expense ratio. On volatility, UBT has been the lower-risk option at 5.41%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.

Over the 10-year period, TQQQ has performed better with a 45.33% return vs -8.27%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.

UBT and TQQQ have the same expense ratio: 0.95% per year.

UBT has the higher dividend yield at 3.99%, compared with 0.36% for TQQQ.

UBT is categorized as Leveraged Bonds, while TQQQ is Leveraged Equities. UBT tracks Barclays Capital U.S. 20+ Year Treasury Index (200%), while TQQQ tracks NASDAQ-100 Index (300%).

TQQQ currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (2.92 vs 0.23), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.

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