TSLS vs. TMF
TSLS (Direxion Daily TSLA Bear 1X Shares) and TMF (Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF) are both exchange-traded funds - TSLS is a Inverse Equities fund tracking the Tesla Inc (--100%), while TMF is a Leveraged Bonds fund tracking the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index (300%). Both are passively managed. Over the past 3 years, TSLS returned -32.36%/yr vs -21.07%/yr for TMF. At a correlation of -0.08, they often move in opposite directions. TSLS charges 1.07%/yr vs 1.01%/yr for TMF.
Performance
TSLS vs. TMF - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, TSLS achieves a 12.45% return, which is significantly higher than TMF's -4.67% return.
TSLS
- 1D
- 5.18%
- 1M
- 9.46%
- YTD
- 12.45%
- 6M
- 21.31%
- 1Y
- -18.80%
- 3Y*
- -32.36%
- 5Y*
- —
- 10Y*
- —
TMF
- 1D
- -0.62%
- 1M
- 4.96%
- YTD
- -4.67%
- 6M
- -5.95%
- 1Y
- -2.80%
- 3Y*
- -21.07%
- 5Y*
- -31.33%
- 10Y*
- -16.87%
TSLS vs. TMF - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TSLS Direxion Daily TSLA Bear 1X Shares | 12.45% | -34.95% | -55.71% | -60.12% | 105.60% |
TMF Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF | -4.67% | -2.94% | -35.95% | -13.01% | -43.40% |
Correlation
The correlation between TSLS and TMF is -0.05, meaning there is essentially no relationship between their price movements. Each responds to its own set of market drivers, making them strong candidates for combining in a diversified portfolio.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | -0.05 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | -0.08 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Aug 9, 2022 | -0.08 |
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Return for Risk
TSLS vs. TMF — Risk / Return Rank
TSLS
TMF
TSLS vs. TMF - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Direxion Daily TSLA Bear 1X Shares (TSLS) and Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF (TMF). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| TSLS | TMF | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | -0.33 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | -0.41 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 0.96 | 1.01 | -0.04 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | -0.43 | -0.11 | -0.33 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | -0.62 | -0.23 | -0.39 |
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Drawdowns
TSLS vs. TMF - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum TSLS drawdown since its inception was -90.73%, roughly equal to the maximum TMF drawdown of -92.89%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for TSLS and TMF.
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Drawdown Indicators
| TSLS | TMF | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -90.73% | -92.89% | +2.16% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -43.46% | -26.51% | -16.95% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -84.16% | -56.09% | -28.07% |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | — | -88.81% | — |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | — | -92.89% | — |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -88.66% | -92.11% | +3.45% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -63.77% | -43.76% | -20.01% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 30.42% | 12.26% | +18.16% |
Volatility
TSLS vs. TMF - Volatility Comparison
Direxion Daily TSLA Bear 1X Shares (TSLS) has a higher volatility of 13.77% compared to Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF (TMF) at 6.50%. This indicates that TSLS's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than TMF based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| TSLS | TMF | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 13.77% | 6.50% | +7.27% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 28.37% | 19.35% | +9.02% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 44.91% | 27.91% | +17.00% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 58.68% | 46.59% | +12.09% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 58.68% | 43.86% | +14.82% |
TSLS vs. TMF - Expense Ratio Comparison
TSLS has a 1.07% expense ratio, which is higher than TMF's 1.01% expense ratio.
Dividends
TSLS vs. TMF - Dividend Comparison
TSLS's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 3.11%, less than TMF's 4.09% yield.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TMF Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF | 4.09% | 4.06% | 4.29% | 2.82% | 1.62% | 0.13% | 2.23% | 0.94% | 1.49% | 0.41% |
TSLS Direxion Daily TSLA Bear 1X Shares | 3.11% | 4.30% | 7.62% | 4.52% | 3.46% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
Frequently Asked Questions
TSLS and TMF have a correlation of -0.05, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
TSLS has higher volatility (13.77%) compared to TMF (6.50%). In terms of maximum drawdown, TSLS dropped -90.73% vs TMF's -92.89%.
On 3-year performance, TMF leads with -21.07% vs -32.36% for TSLS. On fees, TMF is cheaper at 1.01% per year. On volatility, TMF has been the lower-risk option at 6.50%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 3-year period, TMF has performed better with a -21.07% return vs -32.36%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
TMF is cheaper with a 1.01% expense ratio, compared with 1.07% for TSLS.
TMF has the higher dividend yield at 4.09%, compared with 3.11% for TSLS.
TSLS is categorized as Inverse Equities, while TMF is Leveraged Bonds. TSLS tracks Tesla Inc (--100%), while TMF tracks ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index (300%). Their fees differ too: 1.07% for TSLS and 1.01% for TMF.
TMF currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (-0.10 vs -0.43), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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