TQQQ vs. TMF

Last updated Jun 4, 2026

TQQQ (ProShares UltraPro QQQ) and TMF (Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF) are both exchange-traded funds - TQQQ is a Leveraged Equities fund tracking the NASDAQ-100 Index (300%), while TMF is a Leveraged Bonds fund tracking the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index (300%). Both are passively managed. Over the past 10 years, TQQQ returned 45.33%/yr vs -16.56%/yr for TMF. At a correlation of -0.18, they often move in opposite directions. TQQQ charges 0.95%/yr vs 1.01%/yr for TMF.

Performance

TQQQ vs. TMF - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in ProShares UltraPro QQQ (TQQQ) and Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF (TMF). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, TQQQ achieves a 64.46% return, which is significantly higher than TMF's -6.13% return. Over the past 10 years, TQQQ has outperformed TMF with an annualized return of 45.33%, while TMF has yielded a comparatively lower -16.56% annualized return.

TQQQ

• 1D: -0.76%
• 1M: 33.35%
• YTD: 64.46%
• 6M: 55.93%
• 1Y: 137.89%
• 3Y*: 69.49%
• 5Y*: 28.37%
• 10Y*: 45.33%

TMF

• 1D: -1.14%
• 1M: 1.22%
• YTD: -6.13%
• 6M: -11.63%
• 1Y: 0.90%
• 3Y*: -20.78%
• 5Y*: -30.52%
• 10Y*: -16.56%

*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

TQQQ vs. TMF - Yearly Performance Comparison

	2026 (YTD)	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017
TQQQ ProShares UltraPro QQQ	64.46%	34.35%	58.27%	198.04%	-79.09%	82.98%	110.05%	133.84%	-19.79%	118.06%
TMF Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF	-6.13%	-2.94%	-35.95%	-13.01%	-72.60%	-19.80%	39.02%	34.75%	-11.01%	22.72%

Correlation

The correlation between TQQQ and TMF is 0.16, which is low. Their price movements are largely independent, making them effective diversification partners.

	Correlation
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	0.16
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period	0.13
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period	0.07
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period	-0.04
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Feb 12, 2010	-0.18

The correlation between TQQQ and TMF shifts across timeframes, from -0.18 (all time) to 0.16 (1 year), reflecting how their relationship changes across market environments.

TQQQ vs. TMF - Sectors Allocation Comparison

Sectors	TQQQ	TMF
Technology	53.8%	-
Communication Services	15.8%	-
Consumer Cyclical	12.3%	-
Consumer Defensive	7.7%	-
Healthcare	4.2%	-
Industrials	2.8%	-
Utilities	1.4%	-
Basic Materials	1.1%	-
Energy	0.6%	-
Financial Services	0.2%	18.7%
Real Estate	0.1%	-

Return for Risk

TQQQ vs. TMF — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

TQQQ

TQQQ Risk / Return Rank: 71
TQQQ Sharpe Ratio Rank: 86
TQQQ Sortino Ratio Rank: 65
TQQQ Omega Ratio Rank: 65
TQQQ Calmar Ratio Rank: 73
TQQQ Martin Ratio Rank: 66

TMF

TMF Risk / Return Rank: 9
TMF Sharpe Ratio Rank: 9
TMF Sortino Ratio Rank: 9
TMF Omega Ratio Rank: 9
TMF Calmar Ratio Rank: 9
TMF Martin Ratio Rank: 9

The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

TQQQ vs. TMF - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for ProShares UltraPro QQQ (TQQQ) and Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF (TMF). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.

	TQQQ	TMF	Difference
Sharpe ratio: Return per unit of total volatility	2.92	0.03	+2.88
Sortino ratio: Return per unit of downside risk	3.09	0.25	+2.84
Omega ratio: Gain probability vs. loss probability	1.40	1.03	+0.37
Calmar ratio: Return relative to maximum drawdown	3.75	0.03	+3.72
Martin ratio: Return relative to average drawdown	12.27	0.08	+12.19
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month.

TQQQ vs. TMF - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current TQQQ Sharpe Ratio is 2.92, which is higher than the TMF Sharpe Ratio of 0.03. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of TQQQ and TMF, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.

Sharpe Ratios by Period

	TQQQ	TMF	Difference
Sharpe Ratio (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	2.92	0.03	+2.88
Sharpe Ratio (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period	0.43	-0.66	+1.08
Sharpe Ratio (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period	0.69	-0.38	+1.07
Sharpe Ratio (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history	0.74	-0.14	+0.87

Drawdowns

TQQQ vs. TMF - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum TQQQ drawdown since its inception was -81.66%, smaller than the maximum TMF drawdown of -92.89%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for TQQQ and TMF.

Drawdown Indicators

	TQQQ	TMF	Difference
Max Drawdown Largest peak-to-trough decline	-81.66%	-92.89%	+11.23%
Max Drawdown (1Y) Largest decline over 1 year	-36.97%	-26.51%	-10.46%
Max Drawdown (3Y) Largest decline over 3 years	-58.04%	-56.31%	-1.73%
Max Drawdown (5Y) Largest decline over 5 years	-81.66%	-88.81%	+7.15%
Max Drawdown (10Y) Largest decline over 10 years	-81.66%	-92.89%	+11.23%
Current Drawdown Current decline from peak	-0.76%	-92.23%	+91.47%
Average Drawdown Average peak-to-trough decline	-18.52%	-43.63%	+25.11%
Ulcer Index Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks	11.28%	11.49%	-0.21%

Volatility

TQQQ vs. TMF - Volatility Comparison

ProShares UltraPro QQQ (TQQQ) has a higher volatility of 13.29% compared to Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF (TMF) at 8.09%. This indicates that TQQQ's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than TMF based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.

Volatility by Period

	TQQQ	TMF	Difference
Volatility (1M) Calculated over the trailing 1-month period	13.29%	8.09%	+5.20%
Volatility (6M) Calculated over the trailing 6-month period	36.04%	19.01%	+17.03%
Volatility (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	47.60%	28.76%	+18.84%
Volatility (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized	66.53%	46.75%	+19.78%
Volatility (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized	65.96%	43.92%	+22.04%

TQQQ vs. TMF - Expense Ratio Comparison

TQQQ has a 0.95% expense ratio, which is lower than TMF's 1.01% expense ratio.

Dividends

TQQQ vs. TMF - Dividend Comparison

TQQQ's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 0.36%, less than TMF's 4.15% yield.

Position	TTM	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
TMF Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF	4.15%	4.06%	4.29%	2.82%	1.62%	0.13%	2.23%	0.94%	1.49%	0.41%	0.00%	0.00%
TQQQ ProShares UltraPro QQQ	0.36%	0.65%	1.27%	1.26%	0.57%	0.00%	0.00%	0.06%	0.11%	0.00%	0.00%	0.01%

Frequently Asked Questions

Can I hold both TQQQ and TMF in my portfolio?

TQQQ and TMF have a correlation of 0.16, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

Which is riskier, TQQQ or TMF?

TQQQ has higher volatility (13.29%) compared to TMF (8.09%). In terms of maximum drawdown, TQQQ dropped -81.66% vs TMF's -92.89%.

Which ETF is better, TQQQ or TMF?

On 10-year performance, TQQQ leads with 45.33% vs -16.56% for TMF. On fees, TQQQ is cheaper at 0.95% per year. On volatility, TMF has been the lower-risk option at 8.09%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.

Which ETF has performed better, TQQQ or TMF?

Over the 10-year period, TQQQ has performed better with a 45.33% return vs -16.56%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.

Which ETF is cheaper, TQQQ or TMF?

TQQQ is cheaper with a 0.95% expense ratio, compared with 1.01% for TMF.

Which ETF pays a higher dividend yield, TQQQ or TMF?

TMF has the higher dividend yield at 4.15%, compared with 0.36% for TQQQ.

What is the main difference between TQQQ and TMF?

TQQQ is categorized as Leveraged Equities, while TMF is Leveraged Bonds. TQQQ tracks NASDAQ-100 Index (300%), while TMF tracks ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index (300%). They also come from different issuers: ProShares and Direxion. Their fees differ too: 0.95% for TQQQ and 1.01% for TMF.

Which has better risk-adjusted returns?

TQQQ currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (2.92 vs 0.03), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.