TMF vs. MUU
TMF (Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF) and MUU (Direxion Daily MU Bull 2X Shares) are both exchange-traded funds - TMF is a Leveraged Bonds fund tracking the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index (300%), while MUU is a Leveraged Equities fund tracking the Micron Technology, Inc. (200% Daily). Both are passively managed. Over the past year, TMF returned -5.83% vs 2796.55% for MUU. At a 0.02 correlation, their price movements are largely independent. Both charge a 1.01% expense ratio.
Performance
TMF vs. MUU - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, TMF achieves a -10.63% return, which is significantly lower than MUU's 575.80% return.
TMF
- 1D
- -1.85%
- 1M
- -5.74%
- 6M
- -11.74%
- YTD
- -10.63%
- 1Y
- -5.83%
- 3Y*
- -21.26%
- 5Y*
- -33.16%
- 10Y*
- -17.90%
MUU
- 1D
- -9.01%
- 1M
- -18.36%
- 6M
- 372.65%
- YTD
- 575.80%
- 1Y
- 2,796.55%
- 3Y*
- —
- 5Y*
- —
- 10Y*
- —
TMF vs. MUU - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|
TMF Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF | -10.63% | -2.94% | -21.82% |
MUU Direxion Daily MU Bull 2X Shares | 575.80% | 599.03% | -40.91% |
Correlation
The correlation between TMF and MUU is -0.00, meaning there is essentially no relationship between their price movements. Each responds to its own set of market drivers, making them strong candidates for combining in a diversified portfolio.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | -0.00 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Oct 10, 2024 | 0.02 |
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Return for Risk
TMF vs. MUU — Risk / Return Rank
TMF
MUU
TMF vs. MUU - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF (TMF) and Direxion Daily MU Bull 2X Shares (MUU). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| TMF | MUU | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | -24.16 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | -5.73 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 0.99 | 1.69 | -0.71 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | -0.22 | 66.09 | -66.31 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | -0.46 | 221.31 | -221.77 |
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Drawdowns
TMF vs. MUU - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum TMF drawdown since its inception was -92.89%, which is greater than MUU's maximum drawdown of -75.07%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for TMF and MUU.
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Drawdown Indicators
| TMF | MUU | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -92.89% | -75.07% | -17.82% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -26.51% | -52.72% | +26.21% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -55.14% | — | — |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | -88.81% | — | — |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | -92.89% | — | — |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -92.60% | -36.32% | -56.28% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -43.91% | -23.43% | -20.48% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 12.82% | 16.57% | -3.75% |
Volatility
TMF vs. MUU - Volatility Comparison
The current volatility for Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF (TMF) is 8.51%, while Direxion Daily MU Bull 2X Shares (MUU) has a volatility of 67.81%. This indicates that TMF experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than MUU based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| TMF | MUU | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 8.51% | 67.81% | -59.30% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 19.94% | 116.35% | -96.41% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 27.62% | 145.78% | -118.16% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 46.54% | 138.10% | -91.56% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 43.72% | 138.10% | -94.38% |
TMF vs. MUU - Expense Ratio Comparison
Both TMF and MUU have an expense ratio of 1.01%.
Dividends
TMF vs. MUU - Dividend Comparison
TMF's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 4.42%, more than MUU's 0.70% yield.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MUU Direxion Daily MU Bull 2X Shares | 0.70% | 4.27% | 0.31% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
TMF Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF | 4.42% | 4.06% | 4.29% | 2.82% | 1.62% | 0.13% | 2.23% | 0.94% | 1.49% | 0.41% |
Frequently Asked Questions
TMF and MUU have a correlation of -0.00, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
MUU has higher volatility (67.81%) compared to TMF (8.51%). In terms of maximum drawdown, TMF dropped -92.89% vs MUU's -75.07%.
On 1-year performance, MUU leads with 2796.55% vs -5.83% for TMF. Both ETFs have the same 1.01% expense ratio. On volatility, TMF has been the lower-risk option at 8.51%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 1-year period, MUU has performed better with a 2796.55% return vs -5.83%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
TMF and MUU have the same expense ratio: 1.01% per year.
TMF has the higher dividend yield at 4.42%, compared with 0.70% for MUU.
TMF is categorized as Leveraged Bonds, while MUU is Leveraged Equities. TMF tracks ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index (300%), while MUU tracks Micron Technology, Inc. (200% Daily).
MUU currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (23.95 vs -0.21), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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