TMF vs. MUU
TMF (Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF) and MUU (Direxion Daily MU Bull 2X Shares) are both exchange-traded funds - TMF is a Leveraged Bonds fund tracking the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index (300%), while MUU is a Leveraged Equities fund tracking the Micron Technology, Inc. (200% Daily). Both are passively managed. Over the past year, TMF returned -17.67% vs 2844.73% for MUU. Their 0.02 correlation means their historical movements had little consistent relationship. Both charge a 1.01% expense ratio.
Performance
TMF vs. MUU - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, TMF achieves a -15.88% return, which is significantly lower than MUU's 378.90% return.
TMF
- 1D
- 0.95%
- 1M
- -11.21%
- 6M
- -14.16%
- YTD
- -15.88%
- 1Y
- -17.67%
- 3Y*
- -18.84%
- 5Y*
- -35.05%
- 10Y*
- -18.33%
- ALL TIME*
- -6.63%
MUU
- 1D
- 1.35%
- 1M
- -35.62%
- 6M
- 114.51%
- YTD
- 378.90%
- 1Y
- 2,844.73%
- 3Y*
- —
- 5Y*
- —
- 10Y*
- —
- ALL TIME*
- 419.02%
Liquidity Comparison
| Position | Avg. Volume Value (2W) | Avg. Volume Value (1M) | Avg. Volume Value (3M) |
|---|---|---|---|
| $1.54B | $1.50B | $2.29B | |
| $168.22M | $133.63M | $127.70M |
TMF vs. MUU - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|
TMF Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF | -15.88% | -2.94% | -21.82% |
MUU Direxion Daily MU Bull 2X Shares | 378.90% | 599.03% | -40.91% |
Correlation
The correlation between TMF and MUU is 0.03, meaning there was essentially no consistent relationship between their historical price movements. Each responded to its own set of market drivers.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Focuses on recent behavior, but can change the most. | 0.03 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Oct 10, 2024 | 0.02 |
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Return for Risk
TMF vs. MUU — Risk / Return Rank
TMF
MUU
TMF vs. MUU - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF (TMF) and Direxion Daily MU Bull 2X Shares (MUU). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| TMF | MUU | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | -18.55 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | -5.79 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 0.91 | 1.63 | -0.71 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | -0.62 | 42.38 | -43.00 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | -1.25 | 138.45 | -139.70 |
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Drawdowns
TMF vs. MUU - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum TMF drawdown since its inception was -93.10%, which is greater than MUU's maximum drawdown of -75.07%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for TMF and MUU.
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Drawdown Indicators
| TMF | MUU | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -93.10% | -75.07% | -18.03% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -28.69% | -68.07% | +39.38% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -50.64% | — | — |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | -89.14% | — | — |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | -93.10% | — | — |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -93.04% | -60.98% | -32.06% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -44.08% | -24.42% | -19.66% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 14.21% | 20.79% | -6.58% |
Volatility
TMF vs. MUU - Volatility Comparison
The current volatility for Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF (TMF) is 7.36%, while Direxion Daily MU Bull 2X Shares (MUU) has a volatility of 61.31%. This indicates that TMF experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than MUU based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| TMF | MUU | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 7.36% | 61.31% | -53.95% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 19.96% | 133.76% | -113.80% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 27.08% | 161.53% | -134.45% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 46.37% | 146.55% | -100.18% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 43.71% | 146.55% | -102.84% |
TMF vs. MUU - Expense Ratio Comparison
Both TMF and MUU have an expense ratio of 1.01%.
Dividends
TMF vs. MUU - Dividend Comparison
TMF's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 4.69%, more than MUU's 1.42% yield.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
MUU Direxion Daily MU Bull 2X Shares | 1.42% | 4.27% | 0.31% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
TMF Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF | 4.69% | 4.06% | 4.29% | 2.82% | 1.62% | 0.13% | 2.23% | 0.94% | 1.49% | 0.41% |
Frequently Asked Questions
TMF and MUU have a correlation of 0.03, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
MUU has higher volatility (61.31%) compared to TMF (7.36%). In terms of maximum drawdown, TMF dropped -93.10% vs MUU's -75.07%.
On 1-year performance, MUU leads with 2844.73% vs -17.67% for TMF. Both ETFs have the same 1.01% expense ratio. On volatility, TMF has been the lower-risk option at 7.36%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 1-year period, MUU has performed better with a 2844.73% return vs -17.67%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
TMF and MUU have the same expense ratio: 1.01% per year.
TMF has the higher dividend yield at 4.69%, compared with 1.42% for MUU.
TMF is categorized as Leveraged Bonds, while MUU is Leveraged Equities. TMF tracks ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index (300%), while MUU tracks Micron Technology, Inc. (200% Daily).
MUU currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (17.89 vs -0.66), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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