TMF vs. HIBL
TMF (Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF) and HIBL (Direxion Daily S&P 500 High Beta Bull 3X Shares) are both exchange-traded funds - TMF is a Leveraged Bonds fund tracking the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index (300%), while HIBL is a Leveraged Equities fund tracking the S&P 500 High Beta Index (300%). Both are passively managed. Over the past 5 years, TMF returned -31.10%/yr vs 10.57%/yr for HIBL. At a correlation of -0.06, they often move in opposite directions. TMF charges 1.01%/yr vs 1.12%/yr for HIBL.
Performance
TMF vs. HIBL - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, TMF achieves a -5.18% return, which is significantly lower than HIBL's 80.33% return.
TMF
- 1D
- -0.93%
- 1M
- 3.29%
- YTD
- -5.18%
- 6M
- -5.04%
- 1Y
- -4.90%
- 3Y*
- -19.82%
- 5Y*
- -31.10%
- 10Y*
- -16.87%
HIBL
- 1D
- 4.55%
- 1M
- 15.37%
- YTD
- 80.33%
- 6M
- 73.92%
- 1Y
- 226.21%
- 3Y*
- 49.52%
- 5Y*
- 10.57%
- 10Y*
- —
TMF vs. HIBL - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TMF Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF | -5.18% | -2.94% | -35.95% | -13.01% | -72.60% | -19.80% | 39.02% | -5.89% |
HIBL Direxion Daily S&P 500 High Beta Bull 3X Shares | 80.33% | 60.38% | -0.40% | 81.02% | -68.24% | 129.14% | -24.96% | 19.23% |
Correlation
The correlation between TMF and HIBL is 0.19, which is low. Their price movements are largely independent, making them effective diversification partners.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.19 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | 0.17 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | 0.06 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Nov 7, 2019 | -0.06 |
The correlation between TMF and HIBL shifts across timeframes, from -0.06 (all time) to 0.19 (1 year), reflecting how their relationship changes across market environments.
TMF vs. HIBL - Sectors Allocation Comparison
Sectors
TMF
HIBL
Financial Services
Basic Materials
-
Communication Services
-
Consumer Cyclical
-
Consumer Defensive
-
Energy
-
Healthcare
-
Industrials
-
Real Estate
-
-
Technology
-
Utilities
-
Financial Services
TMF
HIBL
Basic Materials
TMF
-
HIBL
Communication Services
TMF
-
HIBL
Consumer Cyclical
TMF
-
HIBL
Consumer Defensive
TMF
-
HIBL
Energy
TMF
-
HIBL
Healthcare
TMF
-
HIBL
Industrials
TMF
-
HIBL
Real Estate
TMF
-
HIBL
-
Technology
TMF
-
HIBL
Utilities
TMF
-
HIBL
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Return for Risk
TMF vs. HIBL — Risk / Return Rank
TMF
HIBL
TMF vs. HIBL - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF (TMF) and Direxion Daily S&P 500 High Beta Bull 3X Shares (HIBL). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| TMF | HIBL | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | -3.36 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | -3.06 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 0.99 | 1.40 | -0.41 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | -0.19 | 7.25 | -7.44 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | -0.41 | 25.38 | -25.79 |
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Drawdowns
TMF vs. HIBL - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum TMF drawdown since its inception was -92.89%, which is greater than HIBL's maximum drawdown of -88.27%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for TMF and HIBL.
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Drawdown Indicators
| TMF | HIBL | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -92.89% | -88.27% | -4.62% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -26.51% | -31.39% | +4.88% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -56.31% | -69.66% | +13.35% |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | -88.81% | -81.58% | -7.23% |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | -92.89% | — | — |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -92.15% | -10.19% | -81.96% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -43.70% | -44.05% | +0.35% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 11.96% | 8.96% | +3.00% |
Volatility
TMF vs. HIBL - Volatility Comparison
The current volatility for Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF (TMF) is 8.43%, while Direxion Daily S&P 500 High Beta Bull 3X Shares (HIBL) has a volatility of 34.70%. This indicates that TMF experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than HIBL based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| TMF | HIBL | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 8.43% | 34.70% | -26.27% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 19.46% | 57.54% | -38.08% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 28.49% | 71.43% | -42.94% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 46.72% | 83.04% | -36.32% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 43.92% | 92.32% | -48.40% |
TMF vs. HIBL - Expense Ratio Comparison
TMF has a 1.01% expense ratio, which is lower than HIBL's 1.12% expense ratio.
Dividends
TMF vs. HIBL - Dividend Comparison
TMF's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 4.11%, more than HIBL's 1.28% yield.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HIBL Direxion Daily S&P 500 High Beta Bull 3X Shares | 1.28% | 2.43% | 0.82% | 0.69% | 0.00% | 0.06% | 0.19% | 0.19% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
TMF Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF | 4.11% | 4.06% | 4.29% | 2.82% | 1.62% | 0.13% | 2.23% | 0.94% | 1.49% | 0.41% |
Frequently Asked Questions
TMF and HIBL have a correlation of 0.19, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
HIBL has higher volatility (34.70%) compared to TMF (8.43%). In terms of maximum drawdown, TMF dropped -92.89% vs HIBL's -88.27%.
On 5-year performance, HIBL leads with 10.57% vs -31.10% for TMF. On fees, TMF is cheaper at 1.01% per year. On volatility, TMF has been the lower-risk option at 8.43%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 5-year period, HIBL has performed better with a 10.57% return vs -31.10%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
TMF is cheaper with a 1.01% expense ratio, compared with 1.12% for HIBL.
TMF has the higher dividend yield at 4.11%, compared with 1.28% for HIBL.
TMF is categorized as Leveraged Bonds, while HIBL is Leveraged Equities. TMF tracks ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index (300%), while HIBL tracks S&P 500 High Beta Index (300%). Their fees differ too: 1.01% for TMF and 1.12% for HIBL.
HIBL currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (3.19 vs -0.17), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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