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TMF vs. FAS
Performance
Return for Risk
Drawdowns
Volatility
Dividends

Performance

TMF vs. FAS - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF (TMF) and Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X Shares (FAS). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

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Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, TMF achieves a -6.85% return, which is significantly higher than FAS's -17.44% return. Over the past 10 years, TMF has underperformed FAS with an annualized return of -16.90%, while FAS has yielded a comparatively higher 19.91% annualized return.


TMF

1D
1.71%
1M
-2.92%
YTD
-6.85%
6M
-8.82%
1Y
-1.07%
3Y*
-20.85%
5Y*
-31.43%
10Y*
-16.90%

FAS

1D
2.86%
1M
6.03%
YTD
-17.44%
6M
-9.85%
1Y
-3.37%
3Y*
36.76%
5Y*
6.62%
10Y*
19.91%
*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

TMF vs. FAS - Yearly Performance Comparison


2026 (YTD)202520242023202220212020201920182017
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
-6.85%-2.94%-35.95%-13.01%-72.60%-19.80%39.02%34.75%-11.01%22.72%
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X Shares
-17.44%21.48%84.47%14.92%-43.19%116.59%-34.97%113.04%-33.84%67.37%

Correlation

The correlation between TMF and FAS is 0.15, which is low. Their price movements are largely independent, making them effective diversification partners.


Correlation
Correlation (1Y)
Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

0.15

Correlation (3Y)
Calculated over the trailing 3-year period

0.14

Correlation (5Y)
Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

-0.00

Correlation (10Y)
Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

-0.18

Correlation (All Time)
Calculated using the full available price history since Apr 16, 2009

-0.30

The correlation between TMF and FAS shifts across timeframes, from -0.30 (all time) to 0.15 (1 year), reflecting how their relationship changes across market environments.

TMF vs. FAS - Sectors Allocation Comparison


Sectors
TMF
FAS

Financial Services

18.4%
98.0%

Basic Materials

-

-

Communication Services

-

-

Consumer Cyclical

-

-

Consumer Defensive

-

-

Energy

-

-

Healthcare

-

-

Industrials

-

0.2%

Real Estate

-

-

Technology

-

1.7%

Utilities

-

-

Financial Services

TMF
18.4%
FAS
98.0%

Basic Materials

TMF

-

FAS

-

Communication Services

TMF

-

FAS

-

Consumer Cyclical

TMF

-

FAS

-

Consumer Defensive

TMF

-

FAS

-

Energy

TMF

-

FAS

-

Healthcare

TMF

-

FAS

-

Industrials

TMF

-

FAS
0.2%

Real Estate

TMF

-

FAS

-

Technology

TMF

-

FAS
1.7%

Utilities

TMF

-

FAS

-

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Return for Risk

TMF vs. FAS — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

TMF
TMF Risk / Return Rank: 99
Overall Rank
TMF Sharpe Ratio Rank: 99
Sharpe Ratio Rank
TMF Sortino Ratio Rank: 99
Sortino Ratio Rank
TMF Omega Ratio Rank: 99
Omega Ratio Rank
TMF Calmar Ratio Rank: 99
Calmar Ratio Rank
TMF Martin Ratio Rank: 99
Martin Ratio Rank

FAS
FAS Risk / Return Rank: 99
Overall Rank
FAS Sharpe Ratio Rank: 99
Sharpe Ratio Rank
FAS Sortino Ratio Rank: 1010
Sortino Ratio Rank
FAS Omega Ratio Rank: 1010
Omega Ratio Rank
FAS Calmar Ratio Rank: 99
Calmar Ratio Rank
FAS Martin Ratio Rank: 88
Martin Ratio Rank
The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

TMF vs. FAS - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF (TMF) and Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X Shares (FAS). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.


TMFFASDifference
Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility

+0.04

Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk

-0.04

Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability

1.02

1.02

-0.01

Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown

-0.04

-0.08

+0.04

Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown

-0.09

-0.19

+0.10

TMF vs. FAS - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current TMF Sharpe Ratio is -0.04, which is higher than the FAS Sharpe Ratio of -0.08. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of TMF and FAS, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.


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Sharpe Ratios by Period


TMFFASDifference

Sharpe Ratio (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

-0.04

-0.08

+0.04

Sharpe Ratio (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period

-0.68

0.12

-0.80

Sharpe Ratio (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period

-0.39

0.33

-0.71

Sharpe Ratio (All Time)

Calculated using the full available price history

-0.14

0.17

-0.31

Drawdowns

TMF vs. FAS - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum TMF drawdown since its inception was -92.89%, roughly equal to the maximum FAS drawdown of -91.61%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for TMF and FAS.


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Drawdown Indicators


TMFFASDifference

Max Drawdown

Largest peak-to-trough decline

-92.89%

-91.61%

-1.28%

Max Drawdown (1Y)

Largest decline over 1 year

-26.51%

-40.88%

+14.37%

Max Drawdown (3Y)

Largest decline over 3 years

-56.31%

-43.10%

-13.21%

Max Drawdown (5Y)

Largest decline over 5 years

-88.81%

-66.88%

-21.93%

Max Drawdown (10Y)

Largest decline over 10 years

-92.89%

-85.99%

-6.90%

Current Drawdown

Current decline from peak

-92.29%

-24.24%

-68.05%

Average Drawdown

Average peak-to-trough decline

-43.66%

-31.12%

-12.54%

Ulcer Index

Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks

11.77%

17.79%

-6.02%

Volatility

TMF vs. FAS - Volatility Comparison

The current volatility for Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF (TMF) is 7.87%, while Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X Shares (FAS) has a volatility of 12.33%. This indicates that TMF experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than FAS based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.


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Volatility by Period


TMFFASDifference

Volatility (1M)

Calculated over the trailing 1-month period

7.87%

12.33%

-4.46%

Volatility (6M)

Calculated over the trailing 6-month period

19.09%

33.34%

-14.25%

Volatility (1Y)

Calculated over the trailing 1-year period

28.24%

43.37%

-15.13%

Volatility (5Y)

Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized

46.71%

55.59%

-8.88%

Volatility (10Y)

Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized

43.92%

61.35%

-17.43%

TMF vs. FAS - Expense Ratio Comparison

TMF has a 1.01% expense ratio, which is higher than FAS's 1.00% expense ratio.


Dividends

TMF vs. FAS - Dividend Comparison

TMF's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 4.19%, less than FAS's 10.10% yield.


PositionTTM202520242023202220212020201920182017
FAS
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X Shares
10.10%8.21%0.76%1.77%0.91%0.60%0.47%0.62%1.43%0.11%
TMF
Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF
4.19%4.06%4.29%2.82%1.62%0.13%2.23%0.94%1.49%0.41%

Frequently Asked Questions


TMF and FAS have a correlation of 0.15, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

FAS has higher volatility (12.33%) compared to TMF (7.87%). In terms of maximum drawdown, TMF dropped -92.89% vs FAS's -91.61%.

On 10-year performance, FAS leads with 19.91% vs -16.90% for TMF. On fees, FAS is cheaper at 1.00% per year. On volatility, TMF has been the lower-risk option at 7.87%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.

Over the 10-year period, FAS has performed better with a 19.91% return vs -16.90%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.

FAS is cheaper with a 1.00% expense ratio, compared with 1.01% for TMF.

FAS has the higher dividend yield at 10.10%, compared with 4.19% for TMF.

TMF is categorized as Leveraged Bonds, while FAS is Leveraged Equities. TMF tracks ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index (300%), while FAS tracks Russell 1000 Financial Services Index (300%). Their fees differ too: 1.01% for TMF and 1.00% for FAS.

TMF currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (-0.04 vs -0.08), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.

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