RSBA vs. TMF
RSBA (Return Stacked Bonds & Merger Arbitrage ETF) and TMF (Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF) are both Leveraged Bonds funds. RSBA is actively managed, while TMF is passively managed. Over the past year, RSBA returned 4.71% vs -2.84% for TMF. Their correlation of 0.84 suggests significant overlap in exposure. RSBA charges 0.96%/yr vs 1.01%/yr for TMF.
Performance
RSBA vs. TMF - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, RSBA achieves a 0.86% return, which is significantly higher than TMF's -10.00% return.
RSBA
- 1D
- 0.14%
- 1M
- 0.50%
- 6M
- 0.30%
- YTD
- 0.86%
- 1Y
- 4.71%
- 3Y*
- —
- 5Y*
- —
- 10Y*
- —
TMF
- 1D
- -0.03%
- 1M
- -6.57%
- 6M
- -13.01%
- YTD
- -10.00%
- 1Y
- -2.84%
- 3Y*
- -21.08%
- 5Y*
- -33.44%
- 10Y*
- -17.81%
RSBA vs. TMF - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | |
|---|---|---|---|
RSBA Return Stacked Bonds & Merger Arbitrage ETF | 0.86% | 7.73% | -0.11% |
TMF Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF | -10.00% | -2.94% | -10.12% |
Correlation
The correlation between RSBA and TMF is 0.83, indicating a strong positive relationship between their price movements. Combining them offers limited diversification - they tend to fall together during downturns.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 0.83 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Dec 18, 2024 | 0.84 |
The correlation between RSBA and TMF has been stable across timeframes, ranging from 0.83 to 0.84 - a consistent structural relationship.
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Return for Risk
RSBA vs. TMF — Risk / Return Rank
RSBA
TMF
RSBA vs. TMF - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Return Stacked Bonds & Merger Arbitrage ETF (RSBA) and Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF (TMF). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| RSBA | TMF | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | +1.16 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | +1.52 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 1.18 | 1.01 | +0.18 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | 1.72 | -0.11 | +1.83 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | 4.58 | -0.22 | +4.80 |
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Drawdowns
RSBA vs. TMF - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum RSBA drawdown since its inception was -2.83%, smaller than the maximum TMF drawdown of -92.89%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for RSBA and TMF.
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Drawdown Indicators
| RSBA | TMF | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -2.83% | -92.89% | +90.06% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -2.74% | -26.51% | +23.77% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | — | -55.14% | — |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | — | -88.81% | — |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | — | -92.89% | — |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -0.47% | -92.55% | +92.08% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -0.81% | -43.94% | +43.13% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 1.03% | 13.06% | -12.03% |
Volatility
RSBA vs. TMF - Volatility Comparison
The current volatility for Return Stacked Bonds & Merger Arbitrage ETF (RSBA) is 1.26%, while Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF (TMF) has a volatility of 7.49%. This indicates that RSBA experiences smaller price fluctuations and is considered to be less risky than TMF based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| RSBA | TMF | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 1.26% | 7.49% | -6.23% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 3.48% | 19.82% | -16.34% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 4.50% | 27.47% | -22.97% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 5.04% | 46.49% | -41.45% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 5.04% | 43.70% | -38.66% |
RSBA vs. TMF - Expense Ratio Comparison
RSBA has a 0.96% expense ratio, which is lower than TMF's 1.01% expense ratio.
Dividends
RSBA vs. TMF - Dividend Comparison
RSBA's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 3.34%, less than TMF's 4.39% yield.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RSBA Return Stacked Bonds & Merger Arbitrage ETF | 3.34% | 3.37% | 0.01% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
TMF Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF | 4.39% | 4.06% | 4.29% | 2.82% | 1.62% | 0.13% | 2.23% | 0.94% | 1.49% | 0.41% |
Frequently Asked Questions
RSBA and TMF have a correlation of 0.83, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
TMF has higher volatility (7.49%) compared to RSBA (1.26%). In terms of maximum drawdown, RSBA dropped -2.83% vs TMF's -92.89%.
On 1-year performance, RSBA leads with 4.71% vs -2.84% for TMF. On fees, RSBA is cheaper at 0.96% per year. On volatility, RSBA has been the lower-risk option at 1.26%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 1-year period, RSBA has performed better with a 4.71% return vs -2.84%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
RSBA is cheaper with a 0.96% expense ratio, compared with 1.01% for TMF.
TMF has the higher dividend yield at 4.39%, compared with 3.34% for RSBA.
They also come from different issuers: Return Stacked and Direxion. Their fees differ too: 0.96% for RSBA and 1.01% for TMF.
RSBA currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (1.05 vs -0.10), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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