QQQU vs. TMF

Last updated Jul 14, 2026

QQQU (Direxion Daily Magnificent 7 Bull 2X Shares) and TMF (Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF) are both exchange-traded funds - QQQU is a Leveraged Equities fund tracking the Indxx Magnificent 7 Index (200%), while TMF is a Leveraged Bonds fund tracking the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index (300%). Both are passively managed. Over the past year, QQQU returned 35.42% vs -5.83% for TMF. At a 0.04 correlation, their price movements are largely independent. QQQU charges 0.98%/yr vs 1.01%/yr for TMF.

Performance

QQQU vs. TMF - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in Direxion Daily Magnificent 7 Bull 2X Shares (QQQU) and Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF (TMF). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, QQQU achieves a -1.66% return, which is significantly higher than TMF's -10.63% return.

QQQU

• 1D: -1.91%
• 1M: 5.66%
• 6M: -2.38%
• YTD: -1.66%
• 1Y: 35.42%
• 3Y*: —
• 5Y*: —
• 10Y*: —

TMF

• 1D: -1.85%
• 1M: -5.74%
• 6M: -11.74%
• YTD: -10.63%
• 1Y: -5.83%
• 3Y*: -21.26%
• 5Y*: -33.16%
• 10Y*: -17.90%

*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

QQQU vs. TMF - Yearly Performance Comparison

	2026 (YTD)	2025	2024
QQQU Direxion Daily Magnificent 7 Bull 2X Shares	-1.66%	32.87%	87.67%
TMF Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF	-10.63%	-2.94%	-28.53%

Correlation

The correlation between QQQU and TMF is 0.09, meaning there is essentially no relationship between their price movements. Each responds to its own set of market drivers, making them strong candidates for combining in a diversified portfolio.

	Correlation
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	0.09
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Mar 7, 2024	0.04

Return for Risk

QQQU vs. TMF — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

QQQU

QQQU Risk / Return Rank: 28
QQQU Sharpe Ratio Rank: 29
QQQU Sortino Ratio Rank: 30
QQQU Omega Ratio Rank: 29
QQQU Calmar Ratio Rank: 25
QQQU Martin Ratio Rank: 26

TMF

TMF Risk / Return Rank: 7
TMF Sharpe Ratio Rank: 7
TMF Sortino Ratio Rank: 7
TMF Omega Ratio Rank: 7
TMF Calmar Ratio Rank: 7
TMF Martin Ratio Rank: 7

The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

QQQU vs. TMF - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Direxion Daily Magnificent 7 Bull 2X Shares (QQQU) and Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF (TMF). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.

Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.

	QQQU	TMF	Difference
Sharpe ratio: Return per unit of total volatility	0.84	-0.21	+1.05
Sortino ratio: Return per unit of downside risk	1.34	-0.12	+1.46
Omega ratio: Gain probability vs. loss probability	1.16	0.99	+0.18
Calmar ratio: Return relative to maximum drawdown	0.98	-0.22	+1.20
Martin ratio: Return relative to average drawdown	2.78	-0.46	+3.23

QQQU vs. TMF - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current QQQU Sharpe Ratio is 0.84, which is higher than the TMF Sharpe Ratio of -0.21. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of QQQU and TMF, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.

Drawdowns

QQQU vs. TMF - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum QQQU drawdown since its inception was -53.70%, smaller than the maximum TMF drawdown of -92.89%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for QQQU and TMF.

Drawdown Indicators

	QQQU	TMF	Difference
Max Drawdown Largest peak-to-trough decline	-53.70%	-92.89%	+39.19%
Max Drawdown (1Y) Largest decline over 1 year	-36.29%	-26.51%	-9.78%
Max Drawdown (3Y) Largest decline over 3 years	—	-55.14%	—
Max Drawdown (5Y) Largest decline over 5 years	—	-88.81%	—
Max Drawdown (10Y) Largest decline over 10 years	—	-92.89%	—
Current Drawdown Current decline from peak	-12.16%	-92.60%	+80.44%
Average Drawdown Average peak-to-trough decline	-13.44%	-43.91%	+30.47%
Ulcer Index Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks	12.78%	12.82%	-0.04%

Volatility

QQQU vs. TMF - Volatility Comparison

Direxion Daily Magnificent 7 Bull 2X Shares (QQQU) has a higher volatility of 15.89% compared to Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF (TMF) at 8.51%. This indicates that QQQU's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than TMF based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.

Volatility by Period

	QQQU	TMF	Difference
Volatility (1M) Calculated over the trailing 1-month period	15.89%	8.51%	+7.38%
Volatility (6M) Calculated over the trailing 6-month period	32.72%	19.94%	+12.78%
Volatility (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	42.37%	27.62%	+14.75%
Volatility (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized	53.16%	46.54%	+6.62%
Volatility (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized	53.16%	43.72%	+9.44%

QQQU vs. TMF - Expense Ratio Comparison

QQQU has a 0.98% expense ratio, which is lower than TMF's 1.01% expense ratio.

Dividends

QQQU vs. TMF - Dividend Comparison

QQQU's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 9.71%, more than TMF's 4.42% yield.

Position	TTM	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017
QQQU Direxion Daily Magnificent 7 Bull 2X Shares	9.71%	9.62%	2.75%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%
TMF Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF	4.42%	4.06%	4.29%	2.82%	1.62%	0.13%	2.23%	0.94%	1.49%	0.41%

Frequently Asked Questions

Can I hold both QQQU and TMF in my portfolio?

QQQU and TMF have a correlation of 0.09, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

Which is riskier, QQQU or TMF?

QQQU has higher volatility (15.89%) compared to TMF (8.51%). In terms of maximum drawdown, QQQU dropped -53.70% vs TMF's -92.89%.

Which ETF is better, QQQU or TMF?

On 1-year performance, QQQU leads with 35.42% vs -5.83% for TMF. On fees, QQQU is cheaper at 0.98% per year. On volatility, TMF has been the lower-risk option at 8.51%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.

Which ETF has performed better, QQQU or TMF?

Over the 1-year period, QQQU has performed better with a 35.42% return vs -5.83%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.

Which ETF is cheaper, QQQU or TMF?

QQQU is cheaper with a 0.98% expense ratio, compared with 1.01% for TMF.

Which ETF pays a higher dividend yield, QQQU or TMF?

QQQU has the higher dividend yield at 9.71%, compared with 4.42% for TMF.

What is the main difference between QQQU and TMF?

QQQU is categorized as Leveraged Equities, while TMF is Leveraged Bonds. QQQU tracks Indxx Magnificent 7 Index (200%), while TMF tracks ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index (300%). Their fees differ too: 0.98% for QQQU and 1.01% for TMF.

Which has better risk-adjusted returns?

QQQU currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (0.84 vs -0.21), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.