MIDU vs. UST

Last updated Jun 4, 2026

MIDU (Direxion Daily Mid Cap Bull 3X Shares) and UST (ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury) are both exchange-traded funds - MIDU is a Leveraged Equities fund tracking the S&P MidCap 400 Index (300%), while UST is a Leveraged Bonds fund tracking the Barclays Capital U.S. 7-10 Year Treasury Index (200%). Both are passively managed. Over the past 10 years, MIDU returned 11.92%/yr vs -2.13%/yr for UST. At a correlation of -0.23, they often move in opposite directions. MIDU charges 1.06%/yr vs 0.95%/yr for UST.

Performance

MIDU vs. UST - Performance Comparison

The chart below illustrates the hypothetical performance of a $10,000 investment in Direxion Daily Mid Cap Bull 3X Shares (MIDU) and ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury (UST). The values are adjusted to include any dividend payments, if applicable.

Returns By Period

In the year-to-date period, MIDU achieves a 37.63% return, which is significantly higher than UST's -2.88% return. Over the past 10 years, MIDU has outperformed UST with an annualized return of 11.92%, while UST has yielded a comparatively lower -2.13% annualized return.

MIDU

• 1D: -0.19%
• 1M: 10.56%
• YTD: 37.63%
• 6M: 36.96%
• 1Y: 65.54%
• 3Y*: 26.41%
• 5Y*: 2.59%
• 10Y*: 11.92%

UST

• 1D: -0.56%
• 1M: -0.51%
• YTD: -2.88%
• 6M: -4.24%
• 1Y: 3.81%
• 3Y*: -0.51%
• 5Y*: -6.75%
• 10Y*: -2.13%

*Multi-year figures are annualized to reflect compound growth (CAGR)

MIDU vs. UST - Yearly Performance Comparison

	2026 (YTD)	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017
MIDU Direxion Daily Mid Cap Bull 3X Shares	37.63%	-2.75%	20.32%	27.79%	-49.27%	72.89%	-18.31%	77.38%	-39.21%	46.86%
UST ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury	-2.88%	10.26%	-6.19%	0.16%	-30.19%	-7.81%	18.83%	13.34%	-1.09%	3.21%

Correlation

The correlation between MIDU and UST is 0.26, which is low. Their price movements are largely independent, making them effective diversification partners.

	Correlation
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	0.26
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period	0.16
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period	0.07
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period	-0.11
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Feb 3, 2010	-0.23

The correlation between MIDU and UST shifts across timeframes, from -0.23 (all time) to 0.26 (1 year), reflecting how their relationship changes across market environments.

MIDU vs. UST - Sectors Allocation Comparison

Sectors	MIDU	UST
Industrials	25.0%	-
Technology	15.7%	-
Financial Services	14.4%	97.4%
Consumer Cyclical	10.7%	-
Healthcare	8.6%	-
Real Estate	7.5%	-
Energy	5.5%	-
Basic Materials	4.8%	-
Consumer Defensive	3.8%	-
Utilities	3.1%	-
Communication Services	1.0%	-

Return for Risk

MIDU vs. UST — Risk / Return Rank

Compare risk-adjusted metric ranks to identify better-performing investments over the past 12 months.

MIDU

MIDU Risk / Return Rank: 43
MIDU Sharpe Ratio Rank: 39
MIDU Sortino Ratio Rank: 39
MIDU Omega Ratio Rank: 37
MIDU Calmar Ratio Rank: 52
MIDU Martin Ratio Rank: 50

UST

UST Risk / Return Rank: 14
UST Sharpe Ratio Rank: 15
UST Sortino Ratio Rank: 13
UST Omega Ratio Rank: 13
UST Calmar Ratio Rank: 14
UST Martin Ratio Rank: 15

The rank (0–100) shows how this investment's returns compare to the risk taken. Higher = better. Based on the past 12 months of data, combining Sharpe, Sortino, and other metrics used by quantitative funds and institutional investors.

MIDU vs. UST - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison

This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Direxion Daily Mid Cap Bull 3X Shares (MIDU) and ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury (UST). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.

	MIDU	UST	Difference
Sharpe ratio: Return per unit of total volatility	1.42	0.40	+1.02
Sortino ratio: Return per unit of downside risk	2.04	0.64	+1.39
Omega ratio: Gain probability vs. loss probability	1.25	1.07	+0.17
Calmar ratio: Return relative to maximum drawdown	2.55	0.44	+2.12
Martin ratio: Return relative to average drawdown	8.47	1.26	+7.21
Data is calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. The trend shows the change in the indicator over the past month.

MIDU vs. UST - Sharpe Ratio Comparison

The current MIDU Sharpe Ratio is 1.42, which is higher than the UST Sharpe Ratio of 0.40. The chart below compares the historical Sharpe Ratios of MIDU and UST, calculated using daily returns over the previous 12 months. A higher Sharpe Ratio indicates better risk-adjusted performance relative to the risk-free rate.

Sharpe Ratios by Period

	MIDU	UST	Difference
Sharpe Ratio (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	1.42	0.40	+1.02
Sharpe Ratio (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period	0.04	-0.44	+0.48
Sharpe Ratio (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period	0.19	-0.16	+0.35
Sharpe Ratio (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history	0.35	0.19	+0.16

Drawdowns

MIDU vs. UST - Drawdown Comparison

The maximum MIDU drawdown since its inception was -86.26%, which is greater than UST's maximum drawdown of -47.99%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for MIDU and UST.

Drawdown Indicators

	MIDU	UST	Difference
Max Drawdown Largest peak-to-trough decline	-86.26%	-47.99%	-38.27%
Max Drawdown (1Y) Largest decline over 1 year	-25.80%	-8.75%	-17.05%
Max Drawdown (3Y) Largest decline over 3 years	-60.41%	-16.87%	-43.54%
Max Drawdown (5Y) Largest decline over 5 years	-64.14%	-43.97%	-20.17%
Max Drawdown (10Y) Largest decline over 10 years	-86.26%	-47.99%	-38.27%
Current Drawdown Current decline from peak	-4.20%	-38.33%	+34.13%
Average Drawdown Average peak-to-trough decline	-22.44%	-15.13%	-7.31%
Ulcer Index Depth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks	7.76%	3.03%	+4.73%

Volatility

MIDU vs. UST - Volatility Comparison

Direxion Daily Mid Cap Bull 3X Shares (MIDU) has a higher volatility of 12.93% compared to ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury (UST) at 3.10%. This indicates that MIDU's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than UST based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.

Volatility by Period

	MIDU	UST	Difference
Volatility (1M) Calculated over the trailing 1-month period	12.93%	3.10%	+9.83%
Volatility (6M) Calculated over the trailing 6-month period	33.72%	6.58%	+27.14%
Volatility (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period	46.41%	9.50%	+36.91%
Volatility (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized	59.44%	15.47%	+43.97%
Volatility (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized	63.60%	13.18%	+50.42%

MIDU vs. UST - Expense Ratio Comparison

MIDU has a 1.06% expense ratio, which is higher than UST's 0.95% expense ratio.

Dividends

MIDU vs. UST - Dividend Comparison

MIDU's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 0.65%, less than UST's 3.49% yield.

Position	TTM	2025	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
MIDU Direxion Daily Mid Cap Bull 3X Shares	0.65%	1.04%	1.10%	1.43%	0.11%	0.00%	0.06%	0.71%	0.70%	2.67%	1.89%	0.00%
UST ProShares Ultra 7-10 Year Treasury	3.49%	3.65%	4.09%	3.49%	0.47%	0.27%	0.53%	1.42%	1.71%	0.84%	0.64%	0.75%

Frequently Asked Questions

Can I hold both MIDU and UST in my portfolio?

MIDU and UST have a correlation of 0.26, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.

Which is riskier, MIDU or UST?

MIDU has higher volatility (12.93%) compared to UST (3.10%). In terms of maximum drawdown, MIDU dropped -86.26% vs UST's -47.99%.

Which ETF is better, MIDU or UST?

On 10-year performance, MIDU leads with 11.92% vs -2.13% for UST. On fees, UST is cheaper at 0.95% per year. On volatility, UST has been the lower-risk option at 3.10%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.

Which ETF has performed better, MIDU or UST?

Over the 10-year period, MIDU has performed better with a 11.92% return vs -2.13%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.

Which ETF is cheaper, MIDU or UST?

UST is cheaper with a 0.95% expense ratio, compared with 1.06% for MIDU.

Which ETF pays a higher dividend yield, MIDU or UST?

UST has the higher dividend yield at 3.49%, compared with 0.65% for MIDU.

What is the main difference between MIDU and UST?

MIDU is categorized as Leveraged Equities, while UST is Leveraged Bonds. MIDU tracks S&P MidCap 400 Index (300%), while UST tracks Barclays Capital U.S. 7-10 Year Treasury Index (200%). They also come from different issuers: Direxion and ProShares. Their fees differ too: 1.06% for MIDU and 0.95% for UST.

Which has better risk-adjusted returns?

MIDU currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (1.42 vs 0.40), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.