JDST vs. TMF
JDST (Direxion Daily Junior Gold Miners Index Bear 2X Shares) and TMF (Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF) are both exchange-traded funds - JDST is a Leveraged Equities fund tracking the MVIS Global Junior Gold Miners Index (-300%), while TMF is a Leveraged Bonds fund tracking the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index (300%). Both are passively managed. Over the past 10 years, JDST returned -60.31%/yr vs -17.90%/yr for TMF. At a correlation of -0.18, they often move in opposite directions. JDST charges 1.10%/yr vs 1.01%/yr for TMF.
Performance
JDST vs. TMF - Performance Comparison
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Returns By Period
In the year-to-date period, JDST achieves a -15.75% return, which is significantly lower than TMF's -10.63% return. Over the past 10 years, JDST has underperformed TMF with an annualized return of -60.31%, while TMF has yielded a comparatively higher -17.90% annualized return.
JDST
- 1D
- 7.16%
- 1M
- 12.73%
- 6M
- 5.01%
- YTD
- -15.75%
- 1Y
- -75.99%
- 3Y*
- -65.43%
- 5Y*
- -52.35%
- 10Y*
- -60.31%
TMF
- 1D
- -1.85%
- 1M
- -5.74%
- 6M
- -11.74%
- YTD
- -10.63%
- 1Y
- -5.83%
- 3Y*
- -21.26%
- 5Y*
- -33.16%
- 10Y*
- -17.90%
JDST vs. TMF - Yearly Performance Comparison
| 2026 (YTD) | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
JDST Direxion Daily Junior Gold Miners Index Bear 2X Shares | -15.75% | -91.10% | -40.98% | -28.29% | -26.25% | 10.97% | -95.97% | -80.30% | -1.60% | -63.44% |
TMF Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF | -10.63% | -2.94% | -35.95% | -13.01% | -72.60% | -19.80% | 39.02% | 34.75% | -11.01% | 22.72% |
Correlation
The correlation between JDST and TMF is -0.15, meaning they tend to move in opposite directions. This is especially valuable for risk management - when one declines, the other has historically tended to hold steady or rise.
| Correlation | |
|---|---|
Correlation (1Y) Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | -0.15 |
Correlation (3Y) Calculated over the trailing 3-year period | -0.18 |
Correlation (5Y) Calculated over the trailing 5-year period | -0.17 |
Correlation (10Y) Calculated over the trailing 10-year period | -0.21 |
Correlation (All Time) Calculated using the full available price history since Oct 3, 2013 | -0.18 |
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Return for Risk
JDST vs. TMF — Risk / Return Rank
JDST
TMF
JDST vs. TMF - Risk-Adjusted Trends Comparison
This table presents a comparison of risk-adjusted performance metrics for Direxion Daily Junior Gold Miners Index Bear 2X Shares (JDST) and Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF (TMF). Risk-adjusted metrics are performance indicators that assess an investment's returns in relation to its risk, enabling a more accurate comparison of different investment options.
Values are calculated on a 1-year rolling basis and updated daily. Risk-adjusted metrics are more stable over longer periods — use the period switch above to explore them.
| JDST | TMF | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sharpe ratioReturn per unit of total volatility | -0.51 | ||
| Sortino ratioReturn per unit of downside risk | -1.11 | ||
| Omega ratioGain probability vs. loss probability | 0.87 | 0.99 | -0.12 |
| Calmar ratioReturn relative to maximum drawdown | -0.86 | -0.22 | -0.63 |
| Martin ratioReturn relative to average drawdown | -1.08 | -0.46 | -0.62 |
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Drawdowns
JDST vs. TMF - Drawdown Comparison
The maximum JDST drawdown since its inception was -100.00%, which is greater than TMF's maximum drawdown of -92.89%. Use the drawdown chart below to compare losses from any high point for JDST and TMF.
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Drawdown Indicators
| JDST | TMF | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Max DrawdownLargest peak-to-trough decline | -100.00% | -92.89% | -7.11% |
Max Drawdown (1Y)Largest decline over 1 year | -88.98% | -26.51% | -62.47% |
Max Drawdown (3Y)Largest decline over 3 years | -98.58% | -55.14% | -43.44% |
Max Drawdown (5Y)Largest decline over 5 years | -99.28% | -88.81% | -10.47% |
Max Drawdown (10Y)Largest decline over 10 years | -100.00% | -92.89% | -7.11% |
Current DrawdownCurrent decline from peak | -100.00% | -92.60% | -7.40% |
Average DrawdownAverage peak-to-trough decline | -95.33% | -43.91% | -51.42% |
Ulcer IndexDepth and duration of drawdowns from previous peaks | 70.33% | 12.82% | +57.51% |
Volatility
JDST vs. TMF - Volatility Comparison
Direxion Daily Junior Gold Miners Index Bear 2X Shares (JDST) has a higher volatility of 34.78% compared to Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF (TMF) at 8.51%. This indicates that JDST's price experiences larger fluctuations and is considered to be riskier than TMF based on this measure. The chart below showcases a comparison of their rolling one-month volatility.
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Volatility by Period
| JDST | TMF | Difference | |
|---|---|---|---|
Volatility (1M)Calculated over the trailing 1-month period | 34.78% | 8.51% | +26.27% |
Volatility (6M)Calculated over the trailing 6-month period | 86.06% | 19.94% | +66.12% |
Volatility (1Y)Calculated over the trailing 1-year period | 105.38% | 27.62% | +77.76% |
Volatility (5Y)Calculated over the trailing 5-year period, annualized | 82.47% | 46.54% | +35.93% |
Volatility (10Y)Calculated over the trailing 10-year period, annualized | 104.51% | 43.72% | +60.79% |
JDST vs. TMF - Expense Ratio Comparison
JDST has a 1.10% expense ratio, which is higher than TMF's 1.01% expense ratio.
Dividends
JDST vs. TMF - Dividend Comparison
JDST's dividend yield for the trailing twelve months is around 5.76%, more than TMF's 4.42% yield.
| Position | TTM | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
JDST Direxion Daily Junior Gold Miners Index Bear 2X Shares | 5.76% | 15.08% | 6.50% | 4.81% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 11.75% | 3.16% | 0.57% | 0.00% |
TMF Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF | 4.42% | 4.06% | 4.29% | 2.82% | 1.62% | 0.13% | 2.23% | 0.94% | 1.49% | 0.41% |
Frequently Asked Questions
JDST and TMF have a correlation of -0.15, meaning they provide meaningful diversification benefit when combined. Depending on your allocation goals, holding both could reduce overall portfolio risk.
JDST has higher volatility (34.78%) compared to TMF (8.51%). In terms of maximum drawdown, JDST dropped -100.00% vs TMF's -92.89%.
On 10-year performance, TMF leads with -17.90% vs -60.31% for JDST. On fees, TMF is cheaper at 1.01% per year. On volatility, TMF has been the lower-risk option at 8.51%. The better choice depends on whether you care most about return, fees, risk, or income.
Over the 10-year period, TMF has performed better with a -17.90% return vs -60.31%. Past performance does not guarantee future results, so compare this with risk, fees, and fund exposure.
TMF is cheaper with a 1.01% expense ratio, compared with 1.10% for JDST.
JDST has the higher dividend yield at 5.76%, compared with 4.42% for TMF.
JDST is categorized as Leveraged Equities, while TMF is Leveraged Bonds. JDST tracks MVIS Global Junior Gold Miners Index (-300%), while TMF tracks ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index (300%). Their fees differ too: 1.10% for JDST and 1.01% for TMF.
TMF currently has the higher Sharpe Ratio (-0.21 vs -0.72), meaning it's delivered slightly more return per unit of risk over the trailing 12 months. However, this ranking shifts over time - use the Risk/Return Score above for a more comprehensive view that combines Sharpe, Sortino, and other measures used by quantitative funds.
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